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Author Topic: Keeping Warm in Winter  (Read 101917 times)
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Fatcatstu
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« Reply #990 on: October 27, 2016, 10:34:27 AM »

Hand 1 - agree looks like a FD all day really, he got there, good fold.

Hand 2 - I watched it without reading your notes. My first thought was KQ got there, he was calling with the draw, hit his Q and decided that was probably good too.

Hand 3 - Lol.

12 days to go Smiley
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England C Captain 2012
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« Reply #991 on: October 27, 2016, 12:40:40 PM »

Wow doesn"t time fly I have not updated this for nearly a week, thought it was a few days. The forum really seems to have picked up lately lots of blogs getting updated again. Good to see of course and this weekedn I am looking forward to following the IPO and APAT Ireland. Hopefully the traffic stays up for this.

APAT Ireland is one of my favourites and being along side the IPO is a great idea and last year was one of the best tournaments that I played. I will be mostly supporting JP Round and Glenn Laming along with whatever other regs are travelling. I like the idea of having the game in the same place as we are staying, especially as there is a very nice bar for food and beer at The Regency. Didn"t have enough holiday time left from work to make this weekend as well as having two weeks off later this month and a week next month (our holiday year goes from Jan - Dec). The APAT / Degens tours are taking up a lot of time lol I looked at what I want to do next year and it is worse than this year. Will make do with following Ireland online. Then playing the online version the following week.

I went to the football on Tuesday, not been able to get to many game this year which is a bit of a shame as the team is obviously struggling badly. It will be a big surprise if we stay in the football league. The team looks happy to fight for every point to be fair but is just not good enough. We were playing Barnet on Tuesday and it would not surprise me to see them also hit the drop, although Leyton Orient are surprisingly bad as well, I actually had them down for promotion this year. An additional concern with winter coming is the state of the pitch we have already had two games postponed and there are likely to be more in January / February time. Maybe the transfer window will help but at the moment relegation from the league seems more likely than not.

So with Vegas less than two weeks away we are ready to go but still getting the poker game in place.

http://www.boomplayer.com/en/poker-hands/Boom/21256491_42DDD7D3BE

This is a kind of interesting hand against a player who has 4-bet a few times from the button. I quite like my light 5 bet shove in this spot. I was surprised he called but it is a good call by him I THINK. I was happy enough with the hand he had as it was just a flip anyway. It is this kind of spot you have to be careful with, it is usually right to just fold to the 4-bet but after you get a few right you can get over confident. I will be trying to aviod that of course. Not as good of a move in tournaments as in cash anyway.

http://www.boomplayer.com/en/poker-hands/Boom/21206446_B6D355AED9

Interesting hand this one. Preflop is standard. I 3-bet with AK and get called in two spots. The flop is very good as I have flopped the nut flush draw and two overcards. I bet $6 into two players the pot is $8.16. I think I get a good few folds here but then the player shows on me for the rest of my stack which was $33.13. So about 132BB. So it is $33.13 to win $86.38. I think I can be ahead here as he can have a flush draw or a staight draw. I am well ahead of hands like TT or JJ, sets don"t usually shove here (although it is possible). I think a lot of the time my Ace and King are good for outs. The hand he has is not ideal as it removes some of my outs but is the kind of hand I would expect. I think this is played OK by me, his shove is OK as well, he does not mind winning the pot there and has good equity against the overpairs that are certainly in my range and he can get some folds as well.

http://www.boomplayer.com/en/poker-hands/Boom/21206349_E87C131766

This should be quite a standard hand I think. My hand is pretty standard preflop. I make the raise in position and I get called in two spots. I hit top pair and get bet into. I COULD raise here due to the draws thjat are out but I can then get put in a really tough spot where I don"t know where I am if he 3-bets his draw and I have to fold so I am happy to call there. THe turn is a good card for me I don"t put him on a 7 that often and his bet size still looks weaker so I think I can call again. Every draw misses on thE river and again I think it is a pretty easy call. Quite happy with how I read that one as well.

So happy enough with the above. Time to start playing some tournaments in the build up now get in the right mindset for that.

Can"t wait to be in the limo travelling to the strip now. Having the Mandalay Bay and the amazing MGM Grand coming into view. Going past and seeing New York New York with the Statue of Liberty. Then seeing the Monte Carlo and Planet Hollywood before passing all of them and seeing Paris, then Las Vegas really comes into view as you see the Bellagio possibly with the fountains going and Ceasars Palace. Not long after that we will see Mirage and I get my first look at Linq. Then we will be delivered to Harrahs. A quick check in, drop stuff in room, get a replacement players card (it 3 years since I have been to Vegas and I have lost mine) and then it will be TO THE BAR where will will be meeting Tom (the Scottish version) and with a bit of luck Curly, Debbie, Ian and anybody else who is out there, UK time this is likely to be around 10pm. It will still be before 2pm Vegas time I am sure that the sensible heads that will have preveiled the previous night will be well and truely removed and mayhem will commence.

The competition is which of these will actually happen before midnight:-

1)  Curly will have a beer
2)  Deb will be excited that everybody has arrived
3)  Ger will play 3-card poker
4)  Sneaky Joe will tell somebody to "fornicate under consent of the king" off in a loud voice (abbreviations also count)
5)  Tom will predict a win for Scotland against England on Friday and get laughed at
6)  Ian turn up and will drink a cocktail or a short
7)  Rodders will fall to sleep (leaving before midnight counts as falling to sleep)
Cool  Matt (Stu"s Brother) will have a bet in the sportsbook
9)  Stu will play at least one hand of poker (cash or tournament not a table game)
10) JP Round or Glen Laming will arrive in Vegas

You have to declare how many will happen before midnight Vegas time on the day we arrive. Do you know your apaters?

I am saying 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 9

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gZXGqclG58U
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Curlarge
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« Reply #992 on: October 27, 2016, 13:29:05 PM »

7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7, 7,
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APAT Season 6 statistics
APAT Live Events 8, Attended 8, Final Tables 0, Cashes 0, Ranking Points 0, Having a word with myself 1.
Fatcatstu
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« Reply #993 on: October 27, 2016, 14:22:32 PM »

I very much doubt I will play any poker that day!!!
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England C Captain 2012
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« Reply #994 on: October 27, 2016, 14:39:49 PM »


I very much doubt I will play any poker that day!!!

See that you don"t however you have a track record of suddenly entering tournaments late on during the first day, although you did nearly win the last one to be fair.
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Quasar
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« Reply #995 on: October 30, 2016, 12:06:37 PM »



Love your blog Rodders. Suffice to say that I am already unbelievably excited!

Can"t wait to come and meet you all on Wednesday. I should hopefully be on Vegas time by then, as I"m normally a 11pm - 7am kinda girl UK time!

To answer your question, I"m going with 1,2,3,6,7,8,9

See you a week on Wednesday. I actually cannot wait for this  Grin Grin Grin Grin
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Curlarge
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I wish I was as good as someone better than me!


« Reply #996 on: October 30, 2016, 13:54:16 PM »




Love your blog Rodders. Suffice to say that I am already unbelievably excited!

Can"t wait to come and meet you all on Wednesday. I should hopefully be on Vegas time by then, as I"m normally a 11pm - 7am kinda girl UK time!

To answer your question, I"m going with 1,2,3,6,7,8,9

See you a week on Wednesday. I actually cannot wait for this  Grin Grin Grin Grin


Thats good to know  Kiss
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APAT Season 6 statistics
APAT Live Events 8, Attended 8, Final Tables 0, Cashes 0, Ranking Points 0, Having a word with myself 1.
Fatcatstu
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« Reply #997 on: October 31, 2016, 09:42:33 AM »

8
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England C Captain 2012
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« Reply #998 on: November 03, 2016, 08:58:46 AM »

The Vegas trip is now dominating thoughts. This trip was arranged ages ago, back in February I think. It was something that was a long long way off. Almost not real yet. We were counting the time in months, it was almost a full year off and so many cool things were happening this year, and they have delivered. We went through things like WCOAP, Yarm Invasion, Belgium and various other things loosely related to poker. I remember in May commenting it was six months until Vegas. Summer came and went again and the months turned into weeks. I spoke to Stu and Matt Ward a while ago and commented that it was five weeks until Vegas and that it would be a looooong five weeks but as I sit here now it is just five DAYS away. Before long the countdown will be in hours. For some people it is even less as Curly, Deb, Tom and Ian all head out on Saturday, I seriously considered doing something similar (going on Monday) however I decided that the holiday was best extended by meeting up with the Stockton lads in Manchester on Tuesday. Once you have met up the holiday is under way. I have two more days in work of course before (if I do say so myself) a well earned 17 days off. Everything is getting shut down, laptop is not coming with me phone is staying in work and email is not getting forwarded.

I am going to try something quite ambitious as well and post some video updates from Vegas here. I will just upload them onto youtube and link them here. You will get to see such things as:-

1) The pre-show. Clips from Manchester the night before Vegas

2) The pre flight beer

3) The arrival in Vegas

4) Clips from the Friday (Epic day planned)

5) Stu falling off the Stratosphere

6) Some random poker stuff

Plus whatever else I am sober/awake enough to post.

Here is a song that to be honest probably does not usually sum up many APATers - however for the next couple of weeks might just do, love the chorus and I can"t help but think of the Vegas gang when listening to it:-

So hand me one more
That"s what I"m here for
I"m built for having a ball
I love the nightlife
I love my Bud lite
I like "em cold and tall

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ShMNIWSsf8k
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duke3016
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« Reply #999 on: November 03, 2016, 09:03:24 AM »

 Grin Grin Grin That is all  Grin Grin Grin
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Fatcatstu
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« Reply #1000 on: November 03, 2016, 09:29:32 AM »

5 days?!?!
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England C Captain 2012
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Fatcatstu
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« Reply #1001 on: November 03, 2016, 09:36:08 AM »

Oh, and falling off the Stratosphere you say? Thats got to be worth a few quid of peoples money!!!

https://www.justgiving.com/crowdfunding/StuartWard
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England C Captain 2012
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AAroddersAA
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« Reply #1002 on: November 05, 2016, 11:28:17 AM »

VIVA LAS VEGAS VIVA LAS VEGAS

We have sent an advance party consisting of Curly, Deb and UKTom to Vegas.

Rumor has it that JP Round won some package to go over in June as well. Massive congrats to JP on this of course, can"t wait to head over in June as well as on Wednesday. JP is indeed a man of many talents including poker and sports betting, he also as a brilliant imagination one day I will tell you about the song he made up, something about balloons I think. He keeps telling me his song go to number one in the eighties, this can"t be the case though I remember the eighties and would have heard of it. However ignoring this strange fact really well done to JP on his win (he crushes side events harder than anybody I know) and I look forward to having a few beers with him in Vegas..... Yeah I mean that has always worked out well for me in the past :-)

Right the goal today is to make enough cash to buy into some events tomorrow the APAT main and side event should be realistic targets how about also going for a seat in the Destination Vegas Qualifier good luck us.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V2zxHuze_Gw



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AAroddersAA
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« Reply #1003 on: November 05, 2016, 11:49:02 AM »

POTENTIALLY BORING POST TLDR UNLESS YOU ARE INTERESTED IN HOW SIMPLE MATCHED BETTING WORKS

OK guy"s the goal here is to make £35 to play the APAT games tomorrow night. This will be done with simple offers that anybody can do. I can also explain some far more complex stuff if people are interested (up to and including finding and using each way arbs) anyway. Lets go with our bets and see how we do. I will edit this post as I go with the bets I do. The goal is not to gamble but to win money whatever the result using bookie free bet offers and price boosts.

1) Offer One - Coral 1:50pm at Doncaster - Bet £20 get £10 to use on UK Racing today

   £20 Back Withernsea on Coral £20 @ 10.0
   £17.41 Placed on Smarkets Exchange @ 12 Layed Withersea
      Either way this bet will lose £3.64 and gain a £10 Free bet on any result

1b) Coral 6:10 at Chelmsford
      £10 free bet backed watersmeet @ 7.0
      £7.33 layed Watersmeet on Smarkets
         Profit = £7.18

2) Offer Two - Ladbrokes Bet £20 in play on Chelsea Vs Everton (Min odds 1.5) get £10 free to use on Arsenal Vs Tottenham
(must be done on mobile)
    Backed draw @ 4.33 for £20
    Layed draw @ 4.7 for £18.50 either way this bet will lose -£1.86

3) Bet365 (get free bet equal to Stake if your horse wins) 3pm Doncaster
    £50 Entsar - Placed on Bet365 @ 5.5 - Backed Entsar to win
    £49.28 - Place on Smarkets exchange @ 5.6 Layed Entsar
        Either way this bet will lose £1.70 but if the horse wins I will gain a £50 free bet

4) Bet365 (get free bet equal to Stake if your horse wins) 2:10 Wincaton
    £50 Zubayr - Placed on Bet365 @ 5.0 - Backed Zubayr-1.50 to win
    £48.26 - Place on Smarkets exchange @ 5.6 Layed Zubayr
        Either way this bet will lose £2.70 but if the horse wins I will gain a £50 free bet

5) SkyBet (Get Free Bet equal to stake if horse comes 2nd 3rd or 4th) 13:50 Doncaster
    £25 Boy in the Bar - Placed on SkyBet @ 11.0 - Back Boy in the Bar to win
    £23.95 - Placed on Smarkets Exchange @ 11.5 - Layed Boy in the bar
        Either way this bet will lose £1.50 but if horse comes 2nd 3rd or 4th I will gain a £25 Free Bet

Target £35
Current Profit -£4.22
Current Free bet Balance £10

Might have t do some clever stuff tomorrow - smarkets going down and stopping me using C4 racing did not help and none of the bets hit. Should be about £3 up by the time I have done the £10 free bet tomorrow hoped to do a bit more today though. Still some good chances tomorrow though.
« Last Edit: November 05, 2016, 18:40:05 PM by AAroddersAA » Logged

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duke3016
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« Reply #1004 on: November 05, 2016, 14:02:02 PM »


POTENTIALLY BORING POST TLDR UNLESS YOU ARE INTERESTED IN HOW SIMPLE MATCHED BETTING WORKS

OK guy"s the goal here is to make £33 to play the APAT games tomorrow night. This will be done with simple offers that anybody can do. I can also explain some far more complex stuff if people are interested (up to and including finding and using each way arbs) anyway. Lets go with our bets and see how we do. I will edit this post as I go with the bets I do. The goal is not to gamble but to win money whatever the result using bookie free bet offers and price boosts.

1) Offer One - Coral 1:50pm at Doncaster - Bet £20 get £10 to use on UK Racing today

    £20 Back Withernsea on Coral £20 @ 10.0
    £17.41 Placed on Smarkets Exchange @ 11.5 Layed Withersea
       Either way this bet will lose £2.92 and gain a £10 Free bet

2) Offer Two - Ladbrokes Bet £20 in play on Chelsea Vs Everton (Min odds 1.5) get £10 free to use on Arsenal Vs Tottenham
(must be done on mobile)

3) Bet365 (get free bet equal to Stake if your horse wins) 3pm Doncaster
    £50 Entsar - Placed on Bet365 @ 5.5 - Backed Entsar to win
    £49.28 - Place on Smarkets exchange @ 5.6 Layed Entsar
        Either way this bet will lose £1.70 but if the horse wins I will gain a £50 free bet

4) Bet365 (get free bet equal to Stake if your horse wins) 2:10 Wincaton
    £50 Zubayr - Placed on Bet365 @ 5.0 - Backed Zubayr to win
    £48.26 - Place on Smarkets exchange @ 5.6 Layed Zubayr
        Either way this bet will lose £2.70 but if the horse wins I will gain a £50 free bet

Target £33
Current Profit £0


I have absolutely no idea what that man just said  Huh? Huh? Huh?
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