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Suited Board

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AAroddersAA:
Based on the above his range is very wide, it is not too far from ATC. We credit the villain with being a good player and he see"s us as aggressive so puts us on a wide range. It is very hard to give him a proper range from the SB, it should be something decent (in theory) as he is playing the hand OOP. The fact he may be tilting negates this somewhat. If I have to give him a range at this point I would say he could have - any pair, below say JJ as he should definitely reraise JJ+. He could have any two broadway including AK, although AK would often reraise he might call. He could also have SC or Ax suited, he should not really have SC in this spot but we think he is tilted. Maybe there are some raggy aces in there as well and hands like Q9. His perceived calling range on the button appears to be huge based on the reads here.

The flop does not change anything and I like the check back as we would HATE to get checked raised here and would have to fold. I would expect him to check most of his range, planning a check/raise.

The turn gives us a strong hand. It is very unlikely he has the flush. At this point in the hand I think I am ahead. His bet out does not tell me much he could be taking a stab at the pot. There is £7 in there right and he has bet £5. I am probably raising for value although if I get 3-bet I probably like it a lot less. The way you have described it above is that our opponent has called down in some marginal spots, not turned into a raising machine. I would therefore raise to £20.

If he calls I think I am ahead as a flush should want to get it in on the turn, so a flush is now a smaller part of his range. If he 3-bets me the situation just became horrible as calling would really commit me to the hand as I would then have to call any river that does not pair the board which I am actually not a fan of doing. I would just fold if he 3-bets here. I doubt he is doing it with the bare Ad. Although that is possible it is unlikely enough that hoping that is what he has is -EV I think.

If he does call We are going to have a pot of £47. The best outcome OTR is he checks I bet £35 as it still looks like I am ahead, he calls and we win.

If he bets out say around the £35 I was going to bet anyway I am just going to call it and expect to be good, raising is too thin here I think.

If he checks raises me OTR I am not sure, his range suddenly changes and the flush is now a much bigger part of it. I probably make a crying call although folding is likely to be a better option.

dwh103:
Thanks guys, especially Steve for the detailed post!

I"d c-bet against many players, but not against this guy. Not because I don"t like my hand (I"m massive, obviously) but because it could lead to an awkward spot on the turn should I miss.

Also agree with Steve that his range is near impossible to pin down at this stage. Whatever the answer is, it"s pretty wide. The Jd is a pretty key blocker for the high suited cards he could call with. I"d expect to get 3bet from a reasonable hand pre, so if he does have me beat, it"s by a suited connector (I have outs) or an outside chance of Q9 or A2-A7 suited. He may or may not 3bet these hands pre.

And obviously there"s a shedload I"m miles ahead of. So here"s the next action.

Turn (£7)  Kd 10d 8d 7s

Villain bets £5
Hero raises to £15
Villain raises to £55
Hero?

The critical problem for me is what range does he put me on? I"ve checked the flop hoping he"d think I"d cbet the hand I have in the event it hits, which it now has. Thinking about it I"m of the opinion my range is relatively polarised here to flush, draw or air - weighted toward the latter. There"s the odd weak made hand in there I guess, but that"s also a small part. Anyway, I think my range looks weak, if this is the case the Villain could be 3betting reasonably wide - am I wrong here about how my range looks? And what do you do from here?

deanp27:
Did a big response to this on phone yesterday but lost it. Vs a steaming guy losing and chasing losses I would raise turn, call a 3bet and call most river or bet if checked to. Not raising this hand at any point is a mistake against anyone who isn"t a nit imo and raising turn is much easier and less thin than raising river

Swinebag:
If he is 3 betting the turn wide then it may be best to flat and let him bet again on the river. If you 4 bet/jam the turn then he will give up (unless he is really tilted!!) or will call with better.

I"d be playing this hand like I"m ahead all the way. If you are behind, it is unlucky, but even tilted monkeys can flop gin

Honeybadg:
Against a tilting LAG then "just" a question of how to get all the money in as quickly as possible ... he could have anything ... but here I would be guessing he has a high diamond Q or A ... and possibly a gutshot or an 8 ... if he has flopped a flush then pretty COLD but his re-raise to £55 makes me doubt that ... it"s a big bet unless a truly micro flush ... even then I think he would chance it.

I would shove it all in and "let" him make the bad call or ... SICK call with the nuts ... (standard)

L

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