Poker Forum > Strategy
PLO Cash hand
Santino67:
--- Quote from: AAroddersAA on December 18, 2012, 21:59:40 PM ---
I have not checked the figures but I am sure you are correct. Just work out if you make a profit over 100 hands. I will need to check this in the morning tbh as I am not very awake *lol*
Assuming he does this with any two pair combo that he has somehow flopped, it does happen in PLO and sets as well then we will win the pot 47% of the time.
So 53% of the time we lose $8.74 and 47% of the time we win 10.74 assuming he always has either two pair or a set and never folds (which is close to worst case).
$8.74*53=$462.69
10.74*47=$504.78
So we make $42.09 ovcer 100 hands by shoving from this spot. That works out to $4.21 per hand which is a massive profit.
--- End quote ---
Cheers for that Steve, I"m also taking into consideration that my JJ may give me another 2 outs v 33 or 44 or 2 pairs. Not a massive difference but does anyone think it"s worth taking into account or just to dismiss this coz of the QQ possibility?
Love your reply as well Stu, my gut used to work so well before in these spots..............till i got my gall bladder out :D
AAroddersAA:
--- Quote from: Santino67 on December 18, 2012, 22:11:52 PM ---
--- Quote from: AAroddersAA on December 18, 2012, 21:59:40 PM ---
I have not checked the figures but I am sure you are correct. Just work out if you make a profit over 100 hands. I will need to check this in the morning tbh as I am not very awake *lol*
Assuming he does this with any two pair combo that he has somehow flopped, it does happen in PLO and sets as well then we will win the pot 47% of the time.
So 53% of the time we lose $8.74 and 47% of the time we win 10.74 assuming he always has either two pair or a set and never folds (which is close to worst case).
$8.74*53=$462.69
10.74*47=$504.78
So we make $42.09 ovcer 100 hands by shoving from this spot. That works out to $4.21 per hand which is a massive profit.
--- End quote ---
Cheers for that Steve, I"m also taking into consideration that my JJ may give me another 2 outs v 33 or 44 or 2 pairs. Not a massive difference but does anyone think it"s worth taking into account or just to dismiss this coz of the QQ possibility?
Love your reply as well Stu, my gut used to work so well before in these spots..............till i got my gall bladder out :D
--- End quote ---
The odds are calculated by Odds Oracle so will take all of this into account plus any back door draws we have and any redraws he has against us.
noble1:
--- Quote from: AAroddersAA on December 18, 2012, 21:59:40 PM ---
I have not checked the figures but I am sure you are correct. Just work out if you make a profit over 100 hands. I will need to check this in the morning tbh as I am not very awake *lol*
$8.74*53=$462.69
10.74*47=$504.78
So we make $42.09 ovcer 100 hands by shoving from this spot. That works out to $4.21 per hand which is a massive profit.
--- End quote ---
42.09/100 = 0.4209
u divided by 10 rather than 100
so 42 cents per hand going by your figures...
Santino67:
--- Quote from: noble1 on December 20, 2012, 11:21:44 AM ---
--- Quote from: AAroddersAA on December 18, 2012, 21:59:40 PM ---
I have not checked the figures but I am sure you are correct. Just work out if you make a profit over 100 hands. I will need to check this in the morning tbh as I am not very awake *lol*
$8.74*53=$462.69
10.74*47=$504.78
So we make $42.09 ovcer 100 hands by shoving from this spot. That works out to $4.21 per hand which is a massive profit.
--- End quote ---
42.09/100 = 0.4209
u divided by 10 rather than 100
so 42 cents per hand going by your figures...
--- End quote ---
Thanks for that :) Still massive at stakes I"m playing ;D
Santino67:
--- Quote from: Santino67 on December 18, 2012, 00:09:21 AM ---
Not long at this table, only read I have is that any hand I"ve played, the villain has been tagging along and already helped me build my stack, topping up his as we"ve gone. I"m planning to check raise any bet when this flop comes down, then he plays this one strong. Interested to know what you do here in this spot......and why, if poss.
OMAHA_HI, POT_LIMIT, R5-295620018-495
played at "Bologna" for USD RM from 2012-12-17 23:54 until 2012-12-17 23:55
Seat 3: Santino1967 ($17.86 in chips)
Seat 6: _I AM SINGLE ($9.40 in chips)
Seat 7: Ithdabquth ($10.01 in chips)
Seat 8: DR_MATARELLO ($9.30 in chips)
Seat 9: Amarkes ($9.14 in chips)
ANTES/BLINDS
Santino1967 posts small blind ($0.10), _I AM SINGLE posts big blind ($0.10),
Santino1967 [ Jd, 5s, Jh, Ah ]
PRE-FLOP
Ithdabquth raises to $0.40, DR_MATARELLO folds, Amarkes calls $0.40, Santino1967 calls $0.40, _I AM SINGLE folds.
FLOP [board cards: Qh, 3s, 4h]
Santino1967 checks, Ithdabquth bets $0.70, Amarkes raises to $3.40,
--- End quote ---
Sorry gang almost forgot about this but here"s how it went. Figured it was almost a coinflip so jammed it in.
Santino1967 raises to $12.20, Ithdabquth folds, Amarkes calls $8.74 and is all-in.
TURN [board cards: 5d]
RIVER [board cards: 10h]
SHOWDOWN
Santino1967 shows [ Jd, 5s, Jh, Ah ]
Amarkes shows [ 9d, Qs, 2c, Qc ]
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