Poker Forum > Strategy
Play by Play - day by day
noble1:
--- Quote ---Simple call now?
Thoughts on raise/fold line?
--- End quote ---
raise/fold - errr no :) you know the logic for that one me thinks :P
simple call - hmmmm no :) you"ve played it fine to this point imho and given villains aggro stats plus his stack size and his turn bet sizing with no other reads on his tendencies etc , i would call but i wouldn"t be to thrilled about it lol...
if the HUD stats were pointing towards villain being a more passive type i"d find a spew invoking fold maybe 75% of the time and move on..
Santino67:
Has anyone considered he may have a Louis Manson style 4/2?
Good possibility the way it"s been played ;)
Jon MW:
--- Quote from: noble1 on January 11, 2013, 19:27:15 PM ---
--- Quote ---Simple call now?
Thoughts on raise/fold line?
--- End quote ---
raise/fold - errr no :) you know the logic for that one me thinks :P
simple call - hmmmm no :) you"ve played it fine to this point imho and given villains aggro stats plus his stack size and his turn bet sizing with no other reads on his tendencies etc , i would call but i wouldn"t be to thrilled about it lol...
if the HUD stats were pointing towards villain being a more passive type i"d find a spew invoking fold maybe 75% of the time and move on..
--- End quote ---
Don"t you think the sample size is a bit small to give too much weighting to the stats?
I think the chance of being ahead on this hand is too low to call and would reluctantly fold - but I hope it was called because I want to see what the SB actually had :D
noble1:
--- Quote from: Jon MW on January 12, 2013, 06:20:27 AM ---
Don"t you think the sample size is a bit small to give too much weighting to the stats?
I think the chance of being ahead on this hand is too low to call and would reluctantly fold - but I hope it was called because I want to see what the SB actually had :D
--- End quote ---
i"m only accounting for above above avg aggro nature Jon , plus no reads as such from Rodders [tbf having seen 18 hands -
--- Quote ---Hands: 60 | | VP$IP 30% | PFR: 28% | 3-Bet 10% | Fold to Steal: 75%
--- End quote ---
i"d thought Rodders would of had some sort of insight into the villains betting lines, quite handy to note in a large player pool where players won"t expect anyone to be noticing that their plays are standardised in a lot of spots [when in ZOOM/RUSH]
ref the the sample size - only 60 hands BUT remember this is based on a avg player pool of 400+ at most times of the day] , so 60 separate random occasions NOT 60 straight hands compounded by the fact that players can immediately go to a new hand by folding..
--- Quote ---I think the chance of being ahead on this hand is too low to call and would reluctantly fold - but I hope it was called because I want to see what the SB actually had
--- End quote ---
i agree villains line is strong but given the lack of reads, the turn bet sizing and to a certain extent his check raise flop sizing i"d suspect villain to VB a wee bit bigger, making this a call..
Santino67:
Outcome???
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