Poker Forum > Strategy
AQ 15x CO facing min open by unknown older gentleman always a ship?
Jon MW:
I had a bit of a play on pokerstove
I think that for a shortstack situation like this that you"re not going to be unhappy with a coinflip
If your opponent will call your all in with roughly any pair or any 2 broadway cards then AQ is roughly 50:50 against his range.
If your opponent will call wider than that range then you"re even stronger.
If your opponent will only call tighter than that range (like the top 5% Steve suggested) then you can take into account your fold equity.
i.e. whatever way you look at it AQ is too strong to fold. Given that you"re too short stacked to play any streets I don"t see any other option than to shove.
pokerpops:
--- Quote from: Jon MW on February 08, 2013, 14:03:58 PM ---
I had a bit of a play on pokerstove
I think that for a shortstack situation like this that you"re not going to be unhappy with a coinflip
If your opponent will call your all in with roughly any pair or any 2 broadway cards then AQ is roughly 50:50 against his range.
If your opponent will call wider than that range then you"re even stronger.
If your opponent will only call tighter than that range (like the top 5% Steve suggested) then you can take into account your fold equity.
i.e. whatever way you look at it AQ is too strong to fold. Given that you"re too short stacked to play any streets I don"t see any other option than to shove.
--- End quote ---
It"s unlikely that you"re getting called that wide - I posted my"theoretical" range on page 1, 99+, ATs+, KQs, AQo+
which puts AQs at 43% (espoused theory often isn"t matched by theory in practice)
Still don"t hate the shove obviously, but it depends on a decent number of folds to make it +EV which means that utg has to be capable of having a wide enough utg raise range to have a sizable raise fold range. imo.
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