Poker Forum > Strategy
DTD Grand Prix Day 1a Decision
GiMac:
--- Quote from: david3103 on March 13, 2013, 01:35:34 AM ---
--- Quote from: GiMac on March 13, 2013, 00:24:19 AM ---
I am below the minimum 30 BB target I want to come back for day 2, and since I have a "free" re-entry I am looking to gamble with a wide range of hands here. But the difference is I know I am gambling, cos this guys stats says he invariably has a hand, unless he is thinking the same as me. ;)
--- End quote ---
So his range is??
And now you"re ready to gamble?????
--- End quote ---
It"s a COMPLETELY different scenario, so not sure what point you are trying to make.
But since you ask we can"t put him on a range, as we do not have enough information. If you can put someone on a range of hands after playing only 24 hands then you are a far better player than I will ever be. Here with this stack, since I set myself a minimum 30xBB stack target to go to day 2 with, as it is not worth the expense of travel etc with any less AND a free re-entry, yes I am looking for a spot to gamble, so it"s more about what I am prepared to gamble with not what I guess his hand to be cos thats all it will be a guess.
p.s. Also important that he covers me, cos i don"t want to be left with a ****ty small stack and unable to use my re-entry cos I am left with 5 bigs behind or something. ;)
p.p.s. You seem to be implyingt that I am unable or unwilling to gamble. I disagree, I just choose to gamble when the situation requires it. The original situation posted is not a situation where we need to gamble imho.
Erimus:
Tough spot, it looks like AK, AQ maybe JJ or a mid pair he doesnt want to see a flop with,you have 22 bigs but you also have 2 more goes so that may skew decision.
I would be surprised if he has AA or KK here, wouldn"t play either of theses hands like this surely.
Only 24 hands on villain, stats can"t be relied upon here but does indicate a decent holding.
12 months ago I fold,these days 77+AK, take the flip if he has the usual win the race, hit a set if he has an overpair, if
you don"t bink have another go.
AQ insta fold, hate calling off with AQ in this spot so many times dominated.
Gotta win them flips, or even 94% favourites after flop in previous games, not bitter just saying.
Going into Day 2 with 20 bigs compared to 30 plus is massive makes Day 2 easier to play and your not hoping for a double up early or an early trip home.
pokerpops:
--- Quote from: GiMac on March 13, 2013, 01:43:21 AM ---
--- Quote from: david3103 on March 13, 2013, 01:35:34 AM ---
--- Quote from: GiMac on March 13, 2013, 00:24:19 AM ---
I am below the minimum 30 BB target I want to come back for day 2, and since I have a "free" re-entry I am looking to gamble with a wide range of hands here. But the difference is I know I am gambling, cos this guys stats says he invariably has a hand, unless he is thinking the same as me. ;)
--- End quote ---
So his range is??
And now you"re ready to gamble?????
--- End quote ---
It"s a COMPLETELY different scenario, so not sure what point you are trying to make.
But since you ask we can"t put him on a range, as we do not have enough information. If you can put someone on a range of hands after playing only 24 hands then you are a far better player than I will ever be. Here with this stack, since I set myself a minimum 30xBB stack target to go to day 2 with, as it is not worth the expense of travel etc with any less AND a free re-entry, yes I am looking for a spot to gamble, so it"s more about what I am prepared to gamble with not what I guess his hand to be cos thats all it will be a guess.
p.s. Also important that he covers me, cos i don"t want to be left with a ****ty small stack and unable to use my re-entry cos I am left with 5 bigs behind or something. ;)
p.p.s. You seem to be implyingt that I am unable or unwilling to gamble. I disagree, I just choose to gamble when the situation requires it. The original situation posted is not a situation where we need to gamble imho.
--- End quote ---
OK - the scenario is different. Closer to the end of the day and bigger stacks involved, but my point was that you justify the fold earlier using GTO and yet you are calling wide here because you think you want to gamble?
I"m not gambling here. I"m looking for spots to pick up some chips with pressure on the shorter stacks and anticipating that they will reshove lighter than usual given the re-entry opportunity, but I"m not going to take big gambles.
Probably worth noting that the blinds when Day 2 starts will be 2500/5000/500 regardless of how much longer it takes to get down to the 10% and that going into Day 2 with 130k gives us a chance of making decent progress.
BUT - I posted this hand as I raged about it"s result having exited the tourney, not to see if I"d made an error in it.
Unless anyone here can make an argument for open-shoving 26BB utg+1 with KK?
50p has gone into the Comic Relief tin
Chipaccrual:
Question for those that are folding the hand in the OP.
What range of cards would I need to have to make it a call for you, or is it a case of being unable to put him on a range, and therefore the risk of losing that amount of chips makes it a fold unless i"ve got kings or aces ?
GiMac:
--- Quote from: Chipaccrual on March 13, 2013, 10:28:03 AM ---
Question for those that are folding the hand in the OP.
What range of cards would I need to have to make it a call for you, or is it a case of being unable to put him on a range, and therefore the risk of losing that amount of chips makes it a fold unless i"ve got kings or aces ?
--- End quote ---
I think for me its probably 99+ and AQ+
Navigation
[0] Message Index
[#] Next page
[*] Previous page
Go to full version