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WSOP Event #6: "Millionaire Maker" No-Limit Hold'em - Selling Action - 34% REM.

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poker_jason:

mylesfdo:
Those links dont seem to be working fyi Jason!!

poker_jason:
Thanks for the heads up - Links corrected and tested!  ::)

mylesfdo:
2% pls Jason....tbh its a bit of a longshot obv....would prob be up for investing more if it was for package of events while over there!!

poker_jason:
mylesfdo - 2% Reserved.
Outside APAT - 14% Reserved.
34 % Remaining.

Cheers mylesfdo.

I have a loose schedule of events that I"ve planned in advance, I could do a base package (2K worth) but I"d only want to sell a small amount of this (20%) and I really wanted to keep my options open without any commitment or messing people about.

You raised an interesting point btw - how much of a longshot is one? I was thinking about this point all day Friday(thanks!)

I"ve cashed approx 1 in 5 / 1 in 6 live tournments in the last 18 months / 2 years. And I"ve been close on 3/4 other occassions. Obviously this is a small sample and I simply might have run good. Individual luck per tournment is definately a big factor though. Do I rate myself at 4-1 in this event to cash? I"m really not sure, we"re expecting several thousand for this event. Does this make it harder or easier.....more places paid/more fish/more variance

Of course cashing is one thing - final tabling another, and t3/winning is another. I might be 4-1 to cash, 40-1 to final table and 400-1 to win in a 4000 field. But this doesn"t seem right. How would I determine this?

I"d like to try and quantify this in some logical way and try to use the factors in play (e.g. Field size, Buy-in).
I might raise this as a topic for discussion at some point as I think it a very interesting question.

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