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Hand of the Day #2

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AAroddersAA:
ITM, 2 tables left average of about 16K

PokerStars Hand #98421858780: Tournament #731308728, $2.28+$0.22 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XII (500/1000) - 2013/05/11 17:49:03 WET [2013/05/11 12:49:03 ET]
Table "731308728 10" 9-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: Hlazor (38006 in chips)
Seat 2: AAADRENALINA (14706 in chips)
Seat 3: bartuxas (4045 in chips)
Seat 4: koikoi781230 (16172 in chips)
Seat 5: 33teetwo33 (15670 in chips)
Seat 6: nkostas12 (21496 in chips)
Seat 7: saldaini5 (13791 in chips)
Seat 8: roger660 (8134 in chips)
Seat 9: gydro88 (14570 in chips)
Hlazor: posts the ante 100
AAADRENALINA: posts the ante 100
bartuxas: posts the ante 100
koikoi781230: posts the ante 100
33teetwo33: posts the ante 100
nkostas12: posts the ante 100
saldaini5: posts the ante 100
roger660: posts the ante 100
gydro88: posts the ante 100
AAADRENALINA: posts small blind 500
bartuxas: posts big blind 1000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to 33teetwo33 [Jc Ah]
koikoi781230: folds
33teetwo33:

What do you do with AJ here and what is your shoving range?

AMRN:
In early to mid position, I probably shove AJ here.... however I reckon it"s pretty near the bottom of my shoving range in this position.

mporter123:
How long we got till the clock goes up?  :)

I fold here. Would be shoving 88+, AQ+. Probs too tight.

mporter123:
Probs min raising QQ, KK, AA and AK too. Exploitable ftw.

Charlie44:
Interesting situation here in my IMO. BB is probably committed to calling. Lets assume apart from bb you are only getting called by a hand that is dominating you JJ+,AQ+, by my calc that"s approx 20% chance for 6 players, and against that range you are close to 25% chance of winning. Assume that the BB calls with any 2 cards you have 63% chance against random hand. Ignoring the complication of having 2 or more callers I believe approx. scenario if you push is :

Call by hand other than BB and lose - 15%    Lose  15,670
Call by hand other than BB and win    -  5%   Win   18,070
Call by BB and win                          -  50%  Win    5,445
Call by BB and lose                           30%   Lose   4,045

Overall chips ev = +62. Very marginal gain in chips but this is before taking into account ICM considerations, so it is a fold for me. I don"t think I like a min raise/fold to shove  here. So no shame to folding AJ here IMO.

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