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John Major plays poker
Charlie44:
I know I shouldn"t harp on about bad luck and its all down to variance but now I"ve had KKvAA twice in a 355 hand session. Should happen one in every 250 sessions of this length according to me. Oh well off to casino tonight see if I have better luck !!
AAroddersAA:
--- Quote from: Charlie44 on September 21, 2013, 17:24:19 PM ---
I know I shouldn"t harp on about bad luck and its all down to variance but now I"ve had KKvAA twice in a 355 hand session. Should happen one in every 250 sessions of this length according to me. Oh well off to casino tonight see if I have better luck !!
--- End quote ---
Les Croupier"s Mike? Is their Saturday night game any good these days, might come and join you one week.
Charlie44:
--- Quote from: AAroddersAA on September 21, 2013, 17:46:00 PM ---
--- Quote from: Charlie44 on September 21, 2013, 17:24:19 PM ---
I know I shouldn"t harp on about bad luck and its all down to variance but now I"ve had KKvAA twice in a 355 hand session. Should happen one in every 250 sessions of this length according to me. Oh well off to casino tonight see if I have better luck !!
--- End quote ---
Les Croupier"s Mike? Is their Saturday night game any good these days, might come and join you one week.
--- End quote ---
Yes - Be good to see you there Steve. About 40 players there for £20 tourney,unlimited re-entry. No luck yesterday out in about 14th.
Charlie44:
Good result today of $18.33 profit after after yesterday"s setback of $17.81 loss. Thought I played well generally but again a preflop loss of $7.13, mainly I think due to lack of agression. Definitely need to get that sorted. Will concentrate on that tomorrow before another session.
Still well on course to reach the hands played target for month of 24K (currently 19.4k). The $won of 8BB/100 looks out of reach now (currently 3.2). But certainly not despondent - am learning and I think improving all the time which is the main thing that matters. Onwards and upwards!!
Charlie44:
Had a reasonably uneventful session, played reasonably well I think but again lack of agression (see below). Stats as follows:
Today Month to date
Preflop profit -5.90 -130.53
Overall Profit 1.45 40.70
Hands 1,005 20,400 (target 24k for month)
BB/100 1.44 3.12 (target 8 )
VPIP 17.34 13.84
PFR 13.62 10.64
3 Bet PFR 3.18 3.56
2bet/fold PF 72.73 61.94
4 bet pf 1.85 4.10
Att to steal LP 38.64 35.41
Att to steal SB 31.82 28.86
Been looking in detail at the preflop losses again. Looking specifically at Sundays stats I had net loss of $7.13 in hands that did not see a flop compared to overall profit of $18.33. I lost $11.45 through folding my blinds. I raised 118 times in the session. Only 43 times did I win preflop winning $8.02 and 12 times I folded to 3 bet losing $3.72. The success rate of 43/118 at first seems concerning. But looking at the 63 times I raised and saw a flop I actually won $35.54 which is much more than the $9.45 I would have won if everybody folded. So on the face of it perhaps I shouldn"t be so worried about my preflop losses.
However looking at my stats I win 1.2BB per hand on average everytime I raise and 2BB when I 3 bet. So it makes sense to try and increase my agression. Clearly there is a saturation point where any extra raises don"t win any more profit, but I don"t think I"ve reached there yet. I am currently winning 3.12BB/100 compared to target of 8BB/100. I appreciate that there will be variance but if we assume for a moment that the result would have been expected from my performance to date, I think I will find some improvement from better post flop play, but also I can achieve better results from increased agression. I think if I should attempt to increase my average PFR to 14% (compared to 10.64% month to date), most of which will come from more 3 betting and stealing. However clearly this needs to be well targeted and not indiscrimate, and the majority I want to be playing with position.
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