Poker Forum > Strategy

John Major 3rd September, Hand 1 - JM makes a rare bluff

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Charlie44:

--- Quote from: TheSnapper on September 06, 2013, 14:21:52 PM ---

--- Quote from: AAroddersAA on September 06, 2013, 10:50:19 AM ---

Mike/Brendan - what is your opinion on raising the flop as a bluff? Is the fact he has bet into 3 player to strong even though the bet is too small?

--- End quote ---


Bluff raises on paired boards seem very prevalent and transparent atm, so are unlikely to succeed often enough.

Several factors in this spot for me...





* four players have seen a flop, how likely is it that none of them hold an Ace?

* We have very little equity

* Even when we hit our gutshot, we still lose a decent amount of time

* Our line is easily perceived as FOS and we are repping a very thin range against an unknown




--- End quote ---


Don"t sit on the fence is that a yes or no ?!!!! ;D

Seriously thanks for the input. On reviewing the hand I agree I played it badly on most if not all streets. I picked a bad spot to be bluffing. He actually folded the river, but I appreciate you should not be results orientated. I guess he probably had a small flush draw like T9 spades, or maybe a medium pair when he made a crying call on the turn. But I think these are lessthan the 27% of his range which I need for the river bluff to be ev+.

I guess I got lucky which is certainly not the formula for long term success.

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