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JM 3 Barrels and allin on river from villain but does it make sense ?

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Charlie44:
Thanks all for the input. Hard to remeber my reasoning not to raise the flop at the time but I think it was something like this. Villain has five basic type of hands -

1. Monsters that beat me AA/QQ (only 2 combos). I"m probably going broke against these but obviously calling is better than raising here hoping he doesnt bet enough to put you all in by riv.

2. Split with AQ.- Irrelevant how action goes.

3. Value hands that I beat - AK and maybe AJ. I can get more value out of these hands but will villain call raise and two further streets and go broke? I am not classifying him as a fish so I think this is doubtful. Villain only has max of 3 outs with these holdings. So best strategy in position IMO is call until villain stops betting.

4. Semi Bluffs - If villain has flush draw prob best to raise , but how likley is this given action and the fact A diamonds on board.

5 Bluffs - If villain is bluffing e.g with pocket pair less than queen,  he will fold to any raise, but may keep bluffing on further streets. He prob has 2 outs.

When a blank hit turn I had same reasoning about calling rather than raising.

I actually called the river because I could not see many value hands in his range which made sense,and thought it possible he was overplaying AJ. He actually showed JJ and caught a set on the river. He must have believed I had enough Ax hands in my range which I would fold with a turn bet.  The old addage of not calling all in pot bet without very strong ahnd seems to hold true again  :( Oh well make a note and carry on  :)

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