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Grosvenor Casino tourney on tuesday

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AAroddersAA:
Are there antes?

We have 23K in the pot so we can shove against some players, but it"s a really crap spot to do that.  I doubt there is much fold equity based on this post. We lose 106K when we lose and win 129K when we win so we need 45% to make the call based on chip equity and no fold equity (we don"t need to worry too much about that here as we don"t have much).

To give us 45% his range needs to look something like AA-66,AK-AT,KQ-KJ. I think his range will be quite a bit tighter than that based on the OP (any reason to think otherwise?). We also feel confident we can do well on this table so don"t need to take really marginal spots like this one. That"s before we even take the BB into consideration. No need to risk our tournament life in this spot.

Fold.

Swinebag:
I"m folding in a heartbeat. No need for second in chips to tangle with the big stack with AJ (unless you are stu O). He is raising too big to be played back at. You have a pretty awkward stack size here so pick on someone else and wait for a better hand vs this guy.



As an aside, I"m impressed that the average stack in the money is so big.

deanp27:
if these comps played like they used to 3-4 years ago i"d just fold and move on

LombBomb:
I"d fold here and be very comfortable with it.

mousebob:
It"s a no brainer like averyone says.
fold.

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