Poker Forum > Strategy

Call or Fold?

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kinboshi:
http://www.cardplayer.com/magazine/article/15093

This was being discussed on the blonde poker forum, and it"s made for an interesting debate (at first glance I couldn"t really see the debate and I thought it was an obvious decision).


--- Quote ---It"s the first day of a five-figure buy-in no-limit hold"em tournament. You"ve gotten a good night"s sleep. You feel alert.

You wade through all the railbirds and all the media and finally locate your seat. Just as you do, the tournament director announces, "Shuffle up and deal!" It"s your big blind, and you toss two of your green chips onto the felt. You"ve now got $9,950 in chips in your stack.

Everyone folds around to the small blind, who shoves all in for $10,000. You haven"t even taken your chip protector out of your pocket yet, but you figure you probably won"t need it on this hand. You"re going to fold, unless you look down at aces. But there"s a problem. The small blind doesn"t have a protector on his cards, either, and when he looks down at them one more time, he accidentally exposes his hand.

He has the  ad kd. You look down at your hand, and find  qc qs. You"ve done your research. You know you have a 53.8 percent chance of winning if you call. But should you?
--- End quote ---


Thoughts?

coprey:
Fold.

I dont want to put my tournament life on a 50/50 shot in the first hand. If I had AA I will call. If I had KK I would probably fold as it is my nemesis hand.

HaworthBantam:

Fold.

Is trusting to luck in a 50/50 race, with the blinds so small, really poker ?

Roscopiko:
I"d like to be sure I call but in the actual situation who knows.

Given I have no edge in this tourney and I am ahead I think its a call and if I win I have some protection for later when my AA gets busted by some deep south donks 74s that he cant put down cos its his favourite hand.

If they hit fair enough, I"ll just go and play the next $10k buy in starting in 5 mins.......oh...

Still call (probably maybe)

Mikeyboy9361:
I think we have had a similar discussion before. So basically we are talking about the main event or similar, a tourney that the average man in the street has either satellited ( is that a word) into or spent a big buy in. He has been looking forward to this tourney for weeks, is he going to throw it all in on the first hand with a race? If it was me the answer is a defo, no, I would fold this hand. If I am a pro who gets bought into these tourneys by my sponsor and I play these big tourneys all the time then it is a straight call.
The other thing to consider is that when you get deep in these tourneys that 10k isn"t actually that big, in fact it is only a small blind!! So even though if you win you are sitting pretty early and can maybe use that stack aggressively, you can build up to that over the next few hours without putting your life at risk.
That would be my stategy any way, in fact if it was me I would probs fold at an APAT regional!! Cos for me its a day out :)
Some people might say then if you fold a hand like that when you are favourite to win, you shouldn"t be playing poker, well to those people I say :P

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