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More dubious Expressed Odds ? Or do the implied odds justify playing ....

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Mayfair:

Any thoughts on how i played and should have continued in this hand ?

Thoughts on the expressed/implied odds on the turn of particular
interest.




$5 + $0.50 Sit & Go 6max - 60/120 - No Limit Hold'em

Only stats i have on Player B are the current tourney.
At this point his VPIP was below 20% and his PFR at 5% ish
He hadn"t played a single hand in level 1 and only went to his
first showdown in the current level 7.

I"d been somewhat looser at around 33% VPIP and 17% PFR.
But again i"d not shown many cards and when i did they were decent.



Seat 4: PLAYER-A (1,982)
Seat 5: Mayfa1r (3,736)
Seat 6: PLAYER-B (3,282)
Mayfa1r posts the small blind of 60
PLAYER-B posts the big blind of 120
The button is in seat #4

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Mayfa1r [5d 6s]
PLAYER-A folds
Mayfa1r calls 60
PLAYER-B checks

*** FLOP *** [4c ad  :3h:]
Mayfa1r bets 120
PLAYER-B calls 120

*** TURN *** [4c ad :3h:] [:as:]
Mayfa1r bets 120
PLAYER-B raises to 400
Mayfa1r has 15 seconds left to act.....

LongshanksED:
fold

still plenty of chips left

AMRN:
you have to call 280 to win a pot of 1000 - easy call, and yes the implied odds suggest that if you hit you will pick up more chips, assuming your read that he has an ace is good.

However, with a paired board, you could be drawing dead at this point. Not good to put your money in on a draw when you are already dead.

Cyntaf:
Your 16% or 5-1 to hit, immediate pot odds 3.5-1 or 7/2 approx, however if you take into consideration the odds that your drawing dead to A rag, pkt 3 etc you will be far worse than a 16% dog with 1 card to come. Worst case scenario versus A-7s  or A-2s as per low limiters love to play, and rvr is a 7?
If a 7 or 2 hits, and even with implied odds, what will you do to an all in shove/ re> etc.

Factoring in his stack, he can really hurt you, so I"d say a no brainer. FOLD.

Swinebag:
I dont really chase to the river in Sit and Goes and certainly not on the bubble. The chips are too precious. You have good odds to call (and possibly great implied odds) but may be drawing dead so I fold here. In fact I check/fold the turn.

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