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Killer hand in $2.5m G'tee - Comments ...

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Morethanluck:
Louis

I"m far from being an expert, but thought I"d add my thoughts - you"ve done the same for me before!

I"ve deliberately not read all of the other comments in advance.

I think your stack size makes this a really difficult decision.  I don"t think you can call because you don"t have the implied odds to make it profitable - just under 8 times his raise - you"d need to be 100% sure you would double up if you hit a set, which is unlikely.  If you call, what flop without a jack do you like and what do you do in each case if - all lower than J and he bets? Or overcards which will come about 60% of the time?  I don"t think you would know where you are in either case.

That leaves pushing or folding.  If you push you are probably only being called by a hand that beats you, or best case AK for a race.

For a tournamanet this size and a not desperate stack size of over 30BBs, I think a fold would be my choice, but perhaps I"m too tight in these situations as I tend to try to preserve my tournamant life and wait for a better spot.

I"ll go and read the other comments to see if my analysis is going to be slaughtered for being too tight!

Cheers.

Craig

Morethanluck:
Just read the comments - looks like I"m in a "tight" minority!  I expect my blinds to be stolen from everywhere in future APAT events!  :)

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