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Tournament Life...?

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tonyj444:
Right, this is a spot that came up early in the recent APAT at Bolton (which was a thoroughly good day as ever).  Blinds are 150/300 (level 5 I think) and I have a stack of 11500.  Image should be pretty solid although have started to open up a little from late position, taking down a few pots pre.  Certainly nothing too out of line.

UTG limps - he has limp folded several times from EP. Not yet seen him limp/raise - stack of about 10k
UTG + 2 limps - newcomer to the table (about 6 hands in), limp-called the button about 4 hands earlier only for the dealer to muck his cards.  He was understandably annoyed but also seemed convinced that the TD"s decision of his hand was dead (which I believe is correct) was wrong.  Possibly still steaming about this. - stack of about 20k
SB (Me) AKo - I make it 1450 total (1150 more), past experience says that this is enough to take UTG off his hand and I have no info on UTG + 2.  I could make it more but don"t like the fact that I"m OOP and think it"s unlikely he is folding to 1800 if he will call 1450.  Also I want to be sure I have 2 full barrels should I need them.

UTG Folds
UTG + 2 thinks for less than 10 seconds before announcing he is all in.
SB (Me) starts to cry

So to summarise, pot is 13600 and it"s 10500 for me to call (my stack).  I"m looking for comments on -
My line up to this point
Your assessment of villains range
Call or fold and how (if it is) it is affected by the stage we are at in the tournament and the fact that torunament life is at stake.

I will post my own thoughts at the time and the decision I reached later.

Thanks,
Tony

cincicrappykid:
 if he has seen a lot of  raising when lots of limpers in pot and knows you are just punishing the limpers his  range could be quite wide kq suited etc planning to this or trapping with big hand also knowing you will re raise.....   apat has some players who are likely to shove top pair on flop and think they are good  or hands like 10 10 and think they are ahead sooo  beware the lunatic prob had jacks i think ....easy fold  

deanp27:
call and go to the races - you have an ace and a king

is he really limping AA/KK behind a limper than overjamming?

Marty719:
Meh - depends on ur table I think - if you think u can outplay the majority of the table and keep picking up small pots then you can fold, but if its a tough table, Im just gng to get it in here.  I dnt think any of his range in this spot really has u crushed wen he limp/3-bet shoves.  I think its likely 77-JJ, AQ+ for the most part.  Cnt see him (as he has zero info on how the table is playing) limping behind an utg-limp with a truly premium hand.  Think he mite show up w/ AK/AQ a good % of the time here as well, as people just dnt like to take flops w/ these hands, so just mass over-bet pre to try and pick it up.

AMRN:
He rarely has AA/KK here, meaning you are 50/50 at worst, and possibly as good as 80/20.

You have 30 BBs - win this and you are in good shape to make a run at going deep. Fold, and you still have playable stack, but are likely to need to get your chips in at some point, probably in a worse spot than this one.

snap-call

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