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Tricky Hand?

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Mikeyboy9361:
3rd level at the APAT tournament in Luton, so blinds 100/200. I have 12,500 and am playing  TAG, and the villain has a very similar stack. The table had been fairly tight, with only one or two clashes. We had Brendan Byrne and Rupinder Bedi on the table both playing a small ball game, but this pot didn"t involve them.
I am dealt AKo in late position, and it is folded round to the villain, two to my right. My history with this guy is that I had re raised him on two previous occasions, and got him to lay down. On this occasion he raises to 1000. Now here I know I should have re raised, but having done it twice recently I wanted to mix up my play, so I just flat, everyone else folds.
Flop is K J 6 rainbow, happy days. Villain checks I bet 2000, villain check raises to 4000, I call. Turn is a non scare card, he checks, and now slightly concerned I check behind. River blanks, this time he leads out for 5000. Now what, I call with TPTK and win a good pot to leave me well placed, or lose and am down to just over 10BB. What would you do? Thoughts?

deanp27:
3bet pre - he has made it worthwhile

his raise size is huuuuuge and can indicate AQ/AK/TT/JJ type hands

you called flop, checked turn to call river amirite?

i don"t fold this as played, tbh i half expect to see hime turn over the ace and the king

AMRN:
Given that you haven"t shown much aggression in the hand, he probably can"t put you on a strong hand and the river bet feels like an attempt to steal...  Also, thinking about his bet sizing of 5xBB to open from MP preflop - that doesnt feel like a massive hand - perhaps AK or a medium pair. I think the only thing likely to be beating you here is a pair that has caught a set on turn or river. If he flopped a set, he didn"t play too well by checking the turn and allowing straight draws to catch up.

I think I might make a crying call here and hope to see KQ or QQ, or an underpair, but most likely AK. Wouldn"t blame you for folding though. Think it would come down to any sign of phsyical tells for strength or weakness. 50/50.

Would have raised pre though.

Marty719:
Yea 100% 3-bet pre!!  Had he made it 5x w/ his entire range??  I prob pay him off on the river as played.

Once checked to on the flop, I dnt think I bet 2k either.  Prob around 1300.  The fact that such a large % of ur stack has gone in on the flop makes it hard to fold.  What is he min-raising the flop w/ and checking the turn!?

bigredders:
by raising pre it defines your hand better, you can also narrow the villians range.

kj/jj is definately possible here but i think you have to make the call as played as it also could be quite easy be a steal as you have shown weakness on the turn. By betting the turn you also find out where you are at, saving yourself a tricky decision on the river

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