Poker Forum > General Discussion
APAT tournament entry
APAT:
Tell the truth Jimmy, you"ve been on the "meds" all day ;D
kinboshi:
--- Quote from: APAT on October 11, 2007, 23:57:31 PM ---
Tell the truth Jimmy, you"ve been on the "meths" all day ;D
--- End quote ---
FYP
Waz1892:
Duly noted Jons stats (very good) and APAT response..I back down!!..it was just a thought..stoking the fire of debate..
tinkerman:
--- Quote from: Jon MW on October 11, 2007, 20:16:54 PM ---
--- Quote from: Waz1892 on October 11, 2007, 19:57:29 PM ---
...
The odds (come on stat people) that you"d not get a seat for the whole year, i"m guess wouldn"t happen?..
--- End quote ---
Say 1600 applications for 200 places.
Chances of not getting in 1: 87.5%
Chances of not getting in 2: 76.6%
Chances of not getting in 3: 67.0%
Chances of not getting in 4: 58.6%
Chances of not getting in 5: 51.3%
Chances of not getting in 6: 44.9%
Chances of not getting in 7: 39.3%
Chances of not getting in 8: 34.4%
So about 1 in 3 chance of never getting a seat, that"s better than a coinflip but it"s not very good - and that"s assuming you can make every event.
I was only able to make 3 events in the first season - so that would mean a 2 in 3 chance of not being able to get in to any of the 3 I was able to get to.
--- End quote ---
It doesn"t matter if you do it by a draw or a click feast, if it is fair then everybody has the same chance of getting a spot. However, some people have more advantage for the click-feast so this will actually mean it less likely for somebody without the knowledge of winning the click-feast a much less chance of getting a spot.
Of course, you could do a draw but give people a weight depending on whether they were successful in the previous round. For example everybody starts with a weight of 10. All those that are successful in a draw have their weight for the next draw halved and those who entered the draw but unlucky not to get a spot have their weight doubled for the next draw. Those not entering have their weight unaltered. ifsomebody wins a seat and doesn"t take it up then their wiethed is either halved or quartered.
This would enablemot pople to playt least one event per year
RioRodent:
--- Quote from: tinkerman on October 13, 2007, 00:33:05 AM ---
However, some people have more advantage for the click-feast so this will actually mean it less likely for somebody without the knowledge of winning the click-feast a much less chance of getting a spot.
--- End quote ---
Could someone explain this statement... what is "the knowledge of winning a click-fest"?
The only thing I would change about the "click-fest" would be to sell the seats in two lots, at different times on different days.
This would ease the pain of those who -
* Can"t make Wed night.
* Can"t make 9.00pm.
* Had computer / ISP problems.
* and any number of other reasons for missing out...
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