Poker Forum > Strategy

is this call profitable in the long term?

(1/3) > >>

shozboy1:
Hi guys, is this call of a shove profitable? I"m in the BB with JJ. The player in question raises all in from mid position with stats of 21/12 over 50 or so hands. We are down to 20 of a 90 man SNG. Top 12 get paid. I"ve not got any "out of the ordinary" reads on this chap...


PokerStars Game #37101024311: Tournament #224690377, $5.00+$0.50 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XIII (175/350) - 2009/12/23 22:18:23 WET [2009/12/23 17:18:23 ET]
Table "224690377 4" 9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: shozboy (6930 in chips)
Seat 2: elnilo (13255 in chips)
Seat 3: Sparx2287 (21763 in chips)
Seat 4: saf10 (4150 in chips)
Seat 6: Hyllen (9330 in chips)
Seat 7: diky3stiks (4511 in chips)
Seat 9: boumpies (8844 in chips)
shozboy: posts the ante 45
elnilo: posts the ante 45
Sparx2287: posts the ante 45
saf10: posts the ante 45
Hyllen: posts the ante 45
diky3stiks: posts the ante 45
boumpies: posts the ante 45
boumpies: posts small blind 175
shozboy: posts big blind 350
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to shozboy [Js Jh]
elnilo: folds
Sparx2287: calls 350
saf10: raises 3755 to 4105 and is all-in
Hyllen: folds
diky3stiks: folds
boumpies: folds
shozboy: raises 2780 to 6885 and is all-in
billycan is connected
HamariMalua is connected
Sparx2287: folds
Uncalled bet (2780) returned to shozboy
*** FLOP *** [4c Td 9c]
*** TURN *** [4c Td 9c] [9h]
*** RIVER *** [4c Td 9c 9h] [Ts]
*** SHOW DOWN ***

deanp27:
yeah i"d be snapping this off

Eck:

--- Quote from: deanp27 on December 23, 2009, 23:36:05 PM ---
yeah i"d be snapping this off

--- End quote ---

noble1:
if u think villains range is 12% - 55+,A8s+,KQs,ATo+,KQo   
then its cEV+ to call - 66+,ATs+,AJo+

if villains range is slightly nittier say - 88+,ATs+,AJo+,KQs   
then its cEV+ to call - 99+,AQs+,AQo+


Pot-$5,295+3755 to call=9050  3755/9050=0.414 is your pot equity,basically as long as your hand equity[using stove] against villains range is greater than the pot equity, it is a pot odds call [+cEV]   
So just use pokerstove and see how individual hands are equity wise versus whatever shove range u have villain on......

OR - 5295 pot 3755 to call  5295/3755=1.41    1/2.41=0.4149 [41.5% pot equity]

Eck:
So what range do you bother to put someone on with 12bb"s?

Navigation

[0] Message Index

[#] Next page