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What are the different ways of playing this hand?

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shozboy1:
I don"t want to indicate the final result of this hand at all, to avoid it influencing responses...
please don"t assume I lost it!

10 of a 90 man online tourney/SNG (depending on your definition of a tourney and SNG)
5 players per table, so its the final table bubble.
Opponent is 2nd to act with a stack of about 75000. Blinds are 375-750 with antes. He"s accumulated the stack through some decent play along with lots of luck (always a useful combo) Has stats of 44/15 over probably 70 hands or so.
I"m in the SB and have AJ spades. I have 30 BBs. My numbers are about 21/15. The other 3 players have 10-13BBs and all fold. I flat call from the SB and take a flop (BB folds).
Flop comes A-9-2 all diamonds. I check, he shoves all in. I think for 10ish secs and...

(The only other time I saw him shove all in was over top of someone;s river bet. He had a flopped straight the other guy had 2 pair. This however, had developed into a big pot and the money was always going in from both players. Thats how he doubled up to over 70k. Obviously this hand is slightly different to that one in the fact I"ve shown no interest so far.) The money pays top 12 so bubbles already burst, as there"s 10 left now. He has defo become more aggressive since doubling up and was alittle tighter pre his double up, so his pfr raise stat of 15% is probably alittle conservative if you only take the 30-40 hands since doubling up. He prob is closer to 25% pfr since then. I"ve only smooth called him once or twice before, and prob won one of those pots, he took the other without showdown. The only other slightly sneaky thing i did was sm call another players raise with KK about 50 hands earlier and double up. I dont know if he recalls this or not...

JamieCarra:

--- Quote from: shozboy1 on January 02, 2010, 00:06:11 AM ---
decent play

--- End quote ---



--- Quote from: shozboy1 on January 02, 2010, 00:06:11 AM ---
44/15

--- End quote ---


I highly doubt that someone playing a 44/15 style is capable of decent play.

Pretty sure it"s a fold once you"ve got to that spot,  I prob 3x it preflop though

LongshanksED:
Fold flop although I"d have probably bet 1/2 to 2/3rds of the pot to try and take a stab at it. Thing is with the litle info you have, he seems to like to bet big with string hands so wait until you have an equally strong hand and you can check call/raise him all the way

shozboy1:
thanks. I folded but wanted to know specifics about this hand. I went out alittle later to the same guy but got outdrawn. Then I started to wonder whether this was a bad fold (he called my all in with K10 when I had AK at a higher blind level) given some of his play. My thinking at the time was why risk (at best) a race with top pair vs his maybe flush draw with my healthy stack.

Just another thing most people have repopped him from the BB or taken the flop as I did. I didnt repopp because I thought I"d start getting into the realms of committing myself to the hand esp if I cbet the flop. Also I had seen him call some all ins of 15ish BBs with as low as A8 so felt a repopp wouldn"t have taken the pot right there anyhow

Swinebag:
Not sure I"d be using tracking software in such a short game. 70 hands is not really enough to give you a good interpretation of how a player is playing. However there is a big difference between 44 and 15 so I"d assume he is weak.

This is tricky because you dont really want to tangle with the only player who can bust you, but you have hand that plays well against his range, but you are OOP. If he"s raising 25% of late then re popping is probably better than flatting. The only trouble is that any repop commits you to the hand if he calls or raises, so repop allin for me.

as played, I think you have to fold even though there is a decent chance you are winning and villain is reading your check as weakness.

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