Poker Forum > Strategy
Can I fold?
LongshanksED:
any 2 then with your stack
against the other 2 players random+ holdings then youd be no worse than 25-30% to win - and to win 1st players 2k + sb"s blinds of 4k + your 4k blind + sb"s 6.5k to cover your stack = 23k
6k to win 24k is about the right price
it would be a painful crying call though knowing i have to get lucky
pokerpops:
--- Quote from: LongshanksED on January 25, 2010, 14:18:12 PM ---
any 2 then with your stack
against the other 2 players random+ holdings then youd be no worse than 25-30% to win - and to win 1st players 2k + sb"s blinds of 4k + your 4k blind + sb"s 6.5k to cover your stack = 23k
6k to win 24k is about the right price
it would be a painful crying call though knowing i have to get lucky
--- End quote ---
I"m not sure about the maths there... I"m putting 6.5k in to win 16.5k surely?
But in any event, if I fold I have only 1.5 BBs left and I"m shoving one of the next 4 hands regardless and inevitably winning less (assuming I get lucky!)
noble1:
6000 in blinds + 2000 from guy who just lost AK V AQ + a double up from CL , so u shove 10500 to double up off the CL and win the blinds and shorties 2000 = 18500 chips to be won.. Taking the dogs for a walk but looking at it quick i"d say it is closer than calling ATC because if CL wins obv only 4 left with 3 getting paid so it would be handy to know the stacks of the other villains , as u say the CL only has 35000 so this is close imho [maybe not quite ATC ]
what do others think???
LongshanksED:
23k
you have 10.5k total (after posting blind)
sb has you covered so if you win (he"s already all in) you take 10.5k of him
1st player 2k total
10.5 you
10.5 sb
2 1st player
=23k
noble1:
longshank u are making a common mistake here in counting your own stack , u only win the blinds[and antes if any] , the 2000 and 10500 chips off the CL .. so u are risking 10500 to win 18500..
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