Non Poker Forum > Sports Betting & Discussion
Saturday Donkey
noble1:
--- Quote ---post-flop he missed alot of spots to take advantage of because he didn"t adjust to the villains tendencies and so forth..
--- End quote ---
just on the above if your hand reading skills are a tad murky then obvious you"ll find the above tricky...
below are some notes i had tucked away on the psychology of hand reading that causes inaccurate reads -
Optimism - some players like to/prefer to believe or convince themselves that they are winning the hand rather than losing it :) this leads you to craft ranges for your opponent to ones more weighted to those that you are beating..
Freudian projection - thinking why we would do something and then applying it to our opponent, the problem is players can vary a lot in how they think..
In the present/recent moment - letting the last few hands seen over influence our decisions on putting players on ranges, this leads to problems when playing opponents who adjust/deviate from how they play the same type of hands/situations :)
Being negative - playing in fear which causes the player to see monsters, most cards on the flop.turn and river will be scare cards :) thus this player will weigh ranges more to what is beating him..
Conflicting thoughts - we make a decision then even though you get further info later in the hand that implies you may of made the wrong choice, you still stubbornly stick to your original conclusion...
Not forgetting your own hand - when trying to put yourself in your opponents position and trying to see the hand from there perspective, sometimes our hand can still overly influence us because its tough to totally forget what we actually have, to truly look it from the opponents perspective we have to try and view it like he does, afterall he doesn"t know what cards we have ! ! ....
noble1:
--- Quote from: noble1 on February 12, 2011, 12:46:40 PM ---
--- Quote from: Chipaccrual on February 12, 2011, 09:23:45 AM ---
--- Quote from: noble1 on February 12, 2011, 02:25:25 AM ---
WARWICK 2:10 - Bet On totepool At totesport.com Handicap Chase
Chance Du Roy
NEWBURY 3:35 - totesport Trophy Hurdle
Rebel Dancer e/w
Tarkari e/w
Get Me Out Of Here
--- End quote ---
Good pick, imo
--- End quote ---
shame Tarkari has withdrawn, yep yep Rebel"s 2nd to TOCCA FERRO [keep a eye out for this one :)] was good form imho plus the race was over 2.5secs ish quicker than the fighting fifth won earlier by Peddlers Cross... tough race today but if Rebel reproduces this form he"ll have a great chance...
Get Me Out Of Here if Jonjo has him right could run this field ragged, big IF but Jonjo has a habit of picking up valuable handicaps :) and 12"s is rather juicy for a repeat of last year :)
--- End quote ---
right fingers crossed, i"m off to watch it, i"m hoping there"s no repeat of Saturday...
glgl if you are punting today..............
noble1:
KEMPTON 3:00 - Racing Post Chase Handicap
3 of interest at rather juicy long odds...
Polyfast
Free World
Fistral Beach
i"m going to back all 3 as i fancy a upset today, fingers crossed it"ll be one of these 3...
good luck all whomever is punting today...
noble1:
jacklevel06:
Any fancies for Kelso ,noble heading off there in an hour.
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