Poker Forum > Strategy

Do we call?

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Marty719:
The problem is noble, we can only beat random floats which do not occur a lot at this level. We have to assume villain is capable of floating or turning hands w/sdv into a bluff. Most r not at this level. Calling here without reads is bad.

George2Loose:

--- Quote from: Marty719 on October 08, 2010, 06:57:36 AM ---
The problem is noble, we can only beat random floats which do not occur a lot at this level. We have to assume villain is capable of floating or turning hands w/sdv into a bluff. Most r not at this level. Calling here without reads is bad.

--- End quote ---


This is very true. And his sizing tells me that he probably does now what he"s doing because he"s polarizing his range with his bet size. I would fold this quite quickly in real time

WYoung83:
George2nitty, Folding 2 pair in the wcoop, and now folding top top, gonna have to change your name.....

No this is defently a fold, How can calling here ever be +EV in the long run?? Even with Nobles breakdown analysis, im still strugling to find a call .

deanp27:
its all a bit meh with 15bbs really. sure there is a postflop discussion to be had, but i think how we start a hand with these stack sizes is probably more important.

not sure what the payouts are in a 30 man SNG/MTT but surely will also be a factor, especially if it is the bubble.we have two shorter stacks and some similar stacks.

In a vaccuum and as played it is probably a fold but i just don"t think i could do it as there are so many donks in these comps who just mash buttons. I may even be tempted to check back the flop as our hand is good here a high % of the time but can"t really take any heat if we bet.

However how important do we think preflop is with 15bbs and AJ?
In a normal MTT we shouldn"t be raise/folding anything pre with our stack size,  we would usually keep our raises small to induce light resteals and to keep stealing cheap etc, but in this format of comp i think i would just prefer to jam or fold pre, i think this is more of a SNG conundrum than one in need of genuine MTT strat.

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