Poker Forum > Strategy

Down to 3 in 18 man SnG on Stars

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TheSnapper:


--- Quote from: Dewi_cool on November 09, 2010, 02:17:28 AM ---

ship on the turn & call here, his all in looks weak, would he not value bet the river if his hand was that strong?


--- End quote ---


I assume and hope you mean check raise ai on the turn Dewi, Leading the turn for $9k into $1200 would obviously be a long term losing bet.

I suspected lots of players would suggest the turn check raise ai, we have lots of equity against villains range. The problem is, our equity comes mostly from the portion of that range that folds to a turn shove. You could make a case for betting ai to take down the pot, it is quite big already @ ~30% of our stack.

WYoung83:
 As played i check call river an expect him to mostly have air. Hes gonna check behind pairs including 7 or 8, cant put him on a jack.

LongshanksED:
Even with Bottom pair im leading out on the flop to see where I am, if I"m raised I can muck it

As played I"m at least leading the turn but again not looking to get much action

On river what are we beating? Any J, 7, 8 even some 5s beat you. Any over pair 66+ or any gapped connecters like 64, 69 or 9 10!

Snap fold

Swinebag:
pretty much like the way you played it. You call turn I assume to call the river but the shove is a serious overbet and is for your tourney.

Given that you are abusing successfully, there is no need to stack off with this hand so fold river, even though there is a pretty good chance you are ahead here.

For a sit and go the stacks are pretty deep 3 handed so I"d fold and carry on abusing in the next hand.

what are the payouts? these may mean that calling is correct here (need some noble maths here!!)

AJDUK:
Since you set the scene as an aggressor I don"t really understand the way you played it :-\

Flop check fine for me. I would have def done something on the turn that didn"t involve check calling though. I"d rather bet and be called than check call, but I wouldn"t shove. If you bet the turn and get called you have taken the lead and may then be able to check down the river if you miss since you have showdown value (and so might he). Plus you could win it there and then by betting the turn. If he then shoves the river I fold, it"s bottom pair and I think after he called the turn he has you beat more often than not, and some of these times will be when HE thinks he"s got the worst hand.

As played insta-fold and post on a forum somewhere if I coulda played it different ;) I can"t make a case for calling because some of his bluffs will have you beat.

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