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Keeping Warm in Winter
AAroddersAA:
Good Afternoon
Day two is in the books and the results read a bit different from yesterday:
Hands: 1509
Profit: -$0.84
All-in EV: $17.96 (repaying yesterday's run good)
VPIP: 23.27
PFR: 19.66
3Bet: 7.11
Fold to 3be: 85.37t
The fold to 3bet is probably too high but it is unlikely to be a massive issue in this game. Will try to adjust that though. The session went OK I am happy enough with how I played it.
This hand did some damage (I was not able to get it on Boom as when the money went in my opponent cashed out which stops the Boom player from showing it seems). The hand plays itself though
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com
BTN: 161.2 BB
SB: 100 BB
BB: 147.1 BB
Hero (UTG): 154.2 BB
MP: 101.5 BB
CO: 231.3 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Ah As
Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB raises to 6 BB, Hero raises to 30 BB, BB raises to 147.1 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 117.1 BB
Flop : (294.7 BB, 2 players) 3c Ks 6d
Turn : (294.7 BB, 2 players) 6h
River : (294.7 BB, 2 players) 3d
BB cashed out 52.3 BB for a fee of 0.5 BB
BB shows Kd Kc (Full House, Kings full of Sixes)
(Pre 19%, Flop 91%, Turn 95%)
Hero shows Ah As (Two Pair, Aces and Sixes)
(Pre 81%, Flop 9%, Turn 5%)
My tracker says he cashed out for 52.3BB which is $5.23. Given that the pot was $29.47 before rake and $28.14 after rake and he has 19% equity which is $5.34 cashing out is going to be -EV. This is pretty much always the case long term it makes more sense to just click resume hand.
https://www.boomplayer.com/32879830_26CB07EF2F
Not sure if I like how I play this hand or not. Preflop and the flop are fine. When we hit the ace on the turn we have to feel like we have the best hand. We bet half the pot which is OK. Maybe we can go bigger, the space draw completes on the river and we check/call a half pot bet. I think we should either check/fold or bet/fold here as he has a lot of flush draws, probably a mistake there.
https://www.boomplayer.com/32879848_9C91AF0FDC
I win this hand but think I should raise his flop lead with the over pair. QQ beats his range well enough so it should be an easy raise I think. The turn shuts down the action although I didn't think he had a King that often unless it is KJ there did not seem to be much value in a river bet. Think I lose some money in this hand.
https://www.boomplayer.com/32879945_52EA277018
This hand is a bit of a session saver but is I think an interesting one. We start the hand really deep 280BB effective. AK is a raise and he makes the call with QJ. The flop is A-K-3 with 2 clubs. I have top two pair making it hard for him to have anything, although there are some draws so I want to bet. I bet about 40% of the pot hoping to get some value from worse aces and maybe a king. He calls and the turn is a ten which is his gin card. I dislike the ten as I know that he can have QJ here but there are lots of other hands he can have here like flush draws. I decide I need to charge the flush draws which it feels like he can have so I bet just over half pot. He calls. I think his call here is quite a big mistake. When we are this deep and you have the nuts you have to build the pot. In position he was clearly intending to raise the river but I raise would have put me in a tough spot. I would probably have had to call and check/call the river unless he really takes off. As it is I could have just bet/folded the river and got away quite cheap. The river card is really bad for him though. It is literally the worst card in the deck for his hand. The flush got there and any 2 pair ace hand or set just got there. I now have the nuts and therefore bet out almost the full part thinking I can get a call from a flush. He clicks it back which is just bad with his hand. It is so small that I am going to have to call with the flush. I actually now think he might have flopped a set of threes or just be overplaying the flush. I got all-in to try and make him make a big mistake with a flush or set. He call off with the straight. Here I think he has basically got married to his hand on the turn and just refuses to believe the river has killed his hand. I suppose we all do it sometimes.
Basically, a break-even session. I actually got a chest that I opened and it gave me $1 so that takes me into profit for the session (woohoo).
I have enjoyed the last couple of days and hope I maintain the games, my games still seems to be OK for holdem cash. Played the PLO mini games last night on Party but did not cash, think I played OK though but it was really just standard spots. Will probably play again tonight in the 8pm game. Not sure I want to play the main games quite yet as I really need to do some work on the tournament game. Going to just get through the hands for this week first and see if we end up in profit then go from there.
--- Quote from: duke3016 on April 11, 2020, 10:14:41 AM ---Watched your couple of videos last night and to be fair you give a nice commentary and it was interesting. Stu also gives entertaining interactive commentary on Twitch - maybe you should try that and we can abuse you in the commentary box ;D
--- End quote ---
Thing is Stu is very good at that. I don't think I really have his ability to keep it interesting unless people are really interested in poker theory. The youtube videos are helpful to watch back and I might do some longer ones.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M_uYsl9ZEYc&feature=youtu.be Part 1 today
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1ve9qjuu-Y Part2 today
I will leave it there, stay safe all.
duke3016:
Nice one Steve, great read (if I understood the maths I would be dangerous). Watched the APAT live commentary last night and have decided to play all the squad games this week as an individual for the craic 8)
AAroddersAA:
--- Quote from: duke3016 on April 13, 2020, 11:03:06 AM ---Nice one Steve, great read (if I understood the maths I would be dangerous). Watched the APAT live commentary last night and have decided to play all the squad games this week as an individual for the craic 8)
--- End quote ---
I will also be playing the squad games for Raise for Jack with a percentage of our winnings (lol winnings like that is gonna happen) going to the charity. So will see you at the table I am sure.
Played a smallish session today of only 1000 hands. Went OK winning a little bit over a buyin.
Hands: 1000
Total Profit: $13.72
Allin EV: $11.89
VPIP: 20.82%
PFR: 17.44%
3bet: 9.70%
Fold to 3bet: 81.36%
Happy enough with how I am playing and will just finish off the planned 5K hands for the rest of the week then see where to go from there. I think that should be enough to get some of the rust out of my Holdem game. I still do feel a bit lost in certain situations which I really shouldn't and probably need to run some examples through come solvers. The games are still fairly soft at least in part due to it being Easter weekend and nobody can go out. I have obviously run good as well.
Mind you I might still have some work to do on my game as it comes to something when you can't even successfully bluff the nut low off a pot.
https://www.boomplayer.com/32895255_E960E5FE8E
Not sure it is the best play I have ever made, he can easily call me there with a Jack and it doesn't look like I have an Ace. I thought he could fold some hands that beat me, it would appear I was wrong.
https://www.boomplayer.com/32895258_FB35B98AE8
This is a nice flop. The hand kind of plays itself though. Maybe there is an argument for shoving the turn but with the stack sizes and his remaining stack I will be able to shove the river and it keeps bluffs in his range. He should probably check/fold the river but I think by calling rather than raising the turn we give him the chance to make the mistake.
https://www.boomplayer.com/32895076_17016A0447
This was the first time I have felt confident to 4bet light in a situation. I have the ace blocker and can flop good equity. People also play quite straight forward in 4bet pots so the cbet works a lot.
https://www.boomplayer.com/32895056_0F72A011BE
Don't like how I play this hand. Maybe I should be 4betting pre but I think the call Is OK. I should just fold the flop though once I have taken that line. This is one of those spots where I am still not 100% confident.
So we are 4K hands through the 5K I said I would play. I am currently winning overall by $46.52 which is about 11.5BB/100. It really doesn't give an accurate picture though. I have run good and that win rate is obviously not sustainable. My biggest loss was $14.71 when I lost with AA to KK, apart from that I have only lost one hand for 100BB (when I flopped a set against a player who flopped a straight). All that being said I think I would still e a winning player at this stake. The game is playing softer though. I always sad that this game is tougher than 90% of live 50p/£1 games around the UK. I am not sure how true that is at the moment. It is probably still slightly tougher. I am confident in still saying if you can beat this game long term then you would be a winner at the lowest stakes of live poker. If you can beat the $25 Zoom game (which plays harder than the $10 Zoom Game) then you should crush live games up to £1/£2. That's my theory anyway, I could be talking rubbish as I have not played any worthwhile volume of live cash for a few years. Whenever I do though it seems to play the same as always.
Back to work tomorrow - if you can call it that as going to work involves going from my bedroom. Having a shower ect making coffee and sitting down in my living room at my laptop. I have tended to go for a short walk after work just around by my house as it's fairly quiet and its easy enough to avoid other people out walking so I have managed to maintain a routine up to a point. I have been reading a couple of threads on two plus two which are entertaining (even if I don't believe they are 100% real.
https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/174/poker-goals-amp-challenges/return-6bet-me-1762207/
I read the previous thread to this one too, it is well written and entertaining although it is quite clearly a parody with some elements of truth in it.
https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/174/poker-goals-amp-challenges/biggest-loser-online-poker-history-wants-grind-16k-1738987/?highlight=
Not sure how close to the truth this one is. The player and the games exist and the graph looks genuine. Still struggle to believe it can be fully factual though.
Until tomorrow, stay safe everybody.
AAroddersAA:
Good Evening
Nobody (except me and Ger) is posting on the thread but it is getting views so I assume people are reading.
Played two mini sessions since my last post. The first one was last night and the results were:-
Hands: 198
Profit -$3.47
Allin EV: -$3.47
The second one was this evening
Hands: 205
Profit: $14.18
Allin EV: $14.18
VPIP: 20.5%
PFR: 16%
3bet: 7.23%
Fold to 3bet: 81.82% (this is too high)
This was a big swing hand. I didn't get it on the replayer
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN (BTN): 94.7 BB
SB (SB): 99.8 BB
Hero (BB): 121.3 BB
UTG (UTG): 107.8 BB
MP (MP): 224.8 BB
CO (CO): 100 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Dealt to Hero:
fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 14 BB, MP calls 11 BB, BTN calls 11 BB
Flop (42.5 BB, 3 players):
Hero bets 15 BB, MP calls 15 BB, BTN calls 15 BB
Turn (87.5 BB, 3 players):
Hero bets 28 BB, MP calls 28 BB, fold
River (143.5 BB, 2 players):
Hero bets 64.3 BB and is all-in, MP calls 64.3 BB
Hero shows:
(Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 43%, Flop 28%, Turn 30%)
MP shows:
(Flush, Queen High)
(Pre 57%, Flop 72%, Turn 70%)
Hero wins 259.9 BB
Not sure how much I like how I play it to be honest, it's most likely OK. I don't dislike my 3bet preflop at all but calling would be OK as well. The c-bet on the flop is marginal but OK. Once he calls I think he has a lot of JJ and QQ type hands which called the 3bet preflop. I still have all the over-pairs including AA with the Ad so I think betting the turn as I also have some equity is OK as well I hit the nut flush on the river and it's an easy shove. I would also have shoved an Ace or Queen here by the way but it is easier to get called when the flush hits as he can easily have a hand like he did. There is also the small chance he hit a set of queens and although that hand should fold sometimes it doesn't
I played the squads game last night and scrapped a min cash. I was doing OK until I checked the BB against a button limper with 82 and the flop came A-8-2. We were both sat on about 35BB and so I bet 3.4BB into a 3.5BB pot he then raises I think he has a lot of aces here that my two pair beats but my hand is very vulnerable and needs protection. I shove my stack and he makes the call with A6. The turn and the river were both 9's and he takes a massive pot to go chip leader with 750K (second place at that time had about 550K). I am not exactly a massive Favorited in the hand but I guess I want the call there. I still manage to hold on a cash. Hopefully will make a better run in the PLO8 tonight.
I also have a quandary. I am currently working from home as are most people I am sure. I get 35 days holiday a year (Jan - Dec) and have so far used 4. I tend to not use holidays much in the first half of the year only really using holidays for the Team Event (I only used one day for that) and Cheltenham for which I used 3 days (I had some time owed to me so just finished early enough on the Tuesday to run around several bookies mainly William Hill). I have a week booked off in May. We will still be in lockdown by the looks of it so do I cancel it? I can't take any time in June as our team is already got too many people off not like Royal Ascot is gonna happen anyway. However, I then get to July and can take a week off every month or a good few long weekend for Poker / Racing Festivals / Race days / Dogs. It will mean however that I only take 4 days annual leave in the first 6 months of the year. I would be able to carry over anything I don't use. I think I would rather take the time when I can actually do something with it as opposed to just sitting at home, if I am here then I may as well open the laptop and work as opposed to open a different laptop and play poker.
AAroddersAA:
I played the last 600 hands of the 5000 I said I would play this week and made a profit in doing so. So overall the results were:
Hands: 5000
Total Profit: $84.06
Total All-in EV: $74.37
VPIP: 22.13%
PFR: 18.32%
3bet: 7.91%
Fold to 3bet: 82.14%
BB/100: 16.81
Don't think that really says much. The win rate is not sustainable even at these stakes although I am confident I can beat this game still, my win rate would be nowhere near this. As expected my cash game is in much better shape than my tournament game. I have only played APAT games (the squad's games) and for the first time I can remember since I stared playing APAT games I don't think I would be a winning player in that field. Enough time to do something about that before I need to play anything near serious though but I will skip the bigger weekend events for now. That's for the future though. Don't think I am at playing well enough to start focusing on MTT's as yet.
I have decided I want to increase the sample size I have here so want to add another 2.K hands to it this weekend. That's only 1250 hands each day so should not be too hard. I do think my VPIP and PFR are too far apart although 22.18 is not terrible it should be about one percent closer. More updates to come. Here are some interesting hands from the last few days:
https://www.boomplayer.com/32930200_087E6F8CA0
https://www.boomplayer.com/32930189_9C4E15185A
https://www.boomplayer.com/32930147_5C4CC94BB3
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