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Keeping Warm in Winter
TheSnapper:
AA hand,
would need a really good read / reason to fold here, there are lots of bluffs and weaker made hands in his flop raising range. He bets strongly at the
4h 3s 2d 6d turn
when lots of his range should slow down (assuming he is semi decent), I would suspect him to have nuts or air now and there are a lot more combos of air thus it is less likely he has 57,A5 also though dependent on your cbet frequency, its a good spot to bluff raise your flop bet on a flop that should be perceived as missing your range.
Shoving the flop would be bad in as much as you don"t want to discourage his bluffs from firing the turn.
77 and 66 hands,
Much prefer to keep these in my raising range, actually I don"t think its good to open limp ever. Would be curious as to what hands are in your open limp range and would suspect it to be very small and thus very transparent. For example in the 66 hand, on a flop of 5c 6s 7c, as your ranges currently stand............
when you limp preflop you are very likely to have set or oesd.
when you raise preflop, you can never have a set.
Maybe the oppo in the AA hand had this figured?
HOLDorFOLD:
--- Quote from: Des on January 03, 2012, 17:54:40 PM ---
--- Quote from: AAroddersAA on January 03, 2012, 09:42:08 AM ---
Working over Christmas was a REALLY good idea, it seems everybody else has to go back to work today and I am still of for the rest of the week. I see Des has given a clue that the first event of season 6 may possibly be the last weekend of Feb.
Going to play online today of course, hopefully get a good few hands in but not at home so playing on my laptop without my main setup so volume might be a little lower. Will start off with cash games but likely to switch to the MTT"s later today to start on the aim of 30.
--- End quote ---
FYP :)
Liking your early stats btw Steve. Hopefully some form of charts will follow. I really love charts!
--- End quote ---
AAroddersAA:
Some good point to answer above. Yet another great post by Brendan, his anaysis is excellent, what happened to Noble btw, is he still missing in Canada? Loving Michelles chart much better than anything I could have come up with, mine would have been boring stuff about poker, although her"s is a bit optimistic imo. And of course DES POSTED IN MY THREAD. I feel so, well nearly important *lol*. Will address Brendans points in a post of their own as they deserve it. A review of this morning:-
Not a good start to the session today, although I don"t think I did too much wrong. At the start of the session I was just running below par in general. C-bets were not working for example. Then one by one these hands came up.
http://www.pokerhandreplays.com/view.php/id/3940063
http://www.pokerhandreplays.com/view.php/id/3940064
http://www.pokerhandreplays.com/view.php/id/3940067
Could not have done anything about any of those hands. They are just those type of hands that are going to happen from time to time which are basically coolers. I like the way I played in them all.
This one might be a bit tougher.
http://www.pokerhandreplays.com/view.php/id/3940073
His hand does look a lot like a flush draw and I think OTR he either has some kind of ace or a flush. He would be more likely to raise the flop or bet the turn with an ace though. I actually still think it is fine, it is posted on Blonde Poker though so I will find out if I am wrong soon enough.
I also had a hand which I can"t convert but it"s another one I am unsure of but it can be found here. Please feel free to comment either on the PHA thread or in here http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=56312.0
I also had a few plays that were pretty much fine go wrong and I ended up down by about $70. At this stage I thought that maybe I should come off, I thought I was still confident of playing well though and that there was no reason to change any of the tables I was playing. Then I get a slice of good luck when this happens.
http://www.pokerhandreplays.com/view.php/id/3940078
I really did not think he was that strong on the flop and thought he had an ace, decided not to raise (which would have been slightly better actually as he probably calls if he does have the ace and if he doesn"t I don"t get much more out of him anyway). I didn"t think he had the flush on the turn but though he might have a single club so did not want to give him a cheap draw or lose value if he did not have a club. The river is the perfect card for me as I now beat everything and shoving here is a great play. A lot of people at this level will call with hands like AQ or AJ. I was lucky in this hand but it"s swings and roundabouts.
I then stack KK with 66 after making a set on the flop - totally standard hand where I call his preflop raise from the blinds and lead into him and get it allin on the turn.
Then things start to work and I am back to being less than a buyin down. I then make a mistake on a hand where I win when I misread the board and call on the river when I should have shoved but that only costs me about $6 as that was all my opponent had left but this hand still brings me close to being level. The hand below brings me into a small profit for the session. I do miss a bet OTR in this hand as well maybe?
http://www.pokerhandreplays.com/view.php/id/3940081
I am very happy with my play in that session as I was running bad to start with but continued to play well and make good plays. I do think this is what i need to be doing more often but talking myself through it on here helps with it. It would have been very easy to give it up when I was running bad but I did not do that and I did not let it effect my play.
The stats for today so far are:-
Hands = 1028
VP$IP = 9.73%
PRF = 8.07%
3-Bet = 4.09%
Profit = $4.13
bb/100 = 0.8
Volume remains good and I have now played a total of 5281 hands this year so looking good to do 15K this month. I need to do 10K per month to hit the target of course but this month is when I have some spare time off work so looking to get a good start. Now have 315 VPP"s this month so going along well enough on that as well.
May play some more cash later or may play some more MTT games.
TheSnapper:
--- Quote from: AAroddersAA on January 04, 2012, 13:23:24 PM ---
I also had a hand which I can"t convert but it"s another one I am unsure of but it can be found here. Please feel free to comment either on the PHA thread or in here http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=56312.0
The stats for today so far are:-
Hands = 1028
VP$IP = 9.73%
PRF = 8.07%
3-Bet = 4.09%
Profit = $4.13
bb/100 = 0.8
--- End quote ---
Assuming you were beat in the above hand where you check called the river for $4.30, folding that hand in that spot saves 17 bb"s, doubles your profit and doubles your win rate. Which leads to a thought provoking Noble"esque type question,
Of the $4.13 profit, what percentage is directly attributable to spots where you lost less than you should have?
AAroddersAA:
You mean lost the minimum right? I find this a difficult one to answer.
I would say the hand where I make the straight against the flush I lost the minimum, or did I just lose value by not raising the river as long term it is profitable to do so? Not sure so, did I really lose the minimum or was just calling bad?
Didn"t really get any other spots like that one today, although the AA hand we were discussing yesterday I do believe I lose less than I am meant to long term in that spot. I am in the middle of responding to you previous post regarding as it takes some doing.
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