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Heads up, Pair v Pair

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Maxriddles:
I have just bust out again with a big pair all in v a smaller pair who hit on the turn. I know statistically I am 80% favourite in this situation. Since noticing that I was actually 60% with KK v a smaller pair I have paid much more attention to this sort of situation and in the last 4 weeks when I have been against a smaller pair with a dominating pair I have a win rate of less than 60%. I know it is only a small amount of data but it is making me think about how I play pairs especially later in MTTs.

I think it may be a blip in the and in the longer term the balance may be re-dressed and it is not yet effecting my decision making, I know I should be happy that people with 6,6 and the likes are going to go all in after my initial raise when I"m holding AA or KK, but I just can"t help thinking I am doing something wrong as it"s nearly always someone with enough chips to hurt me or take me out, but then again how do you win tournaments if you back off when you have a big hand just because you"re up against the big stacks.

Philippos13:
as you wrote made i every 5 time you will lose the hand...stats make no mistakes in the long run... one way to approach it is not giving them 5 cards  to out draw you...that is by not trying to get all the chips in preflop allthough sometimes as a short stack u will have no other choice....

kinboshi:
What"s the sample size of hands you are looking at here?  60% might well be within the standard deviation of what to expect.

If you are "slow-playing" the big pairs and letting smaller pairs catch up on the turn or river (I don"t know if you are or not), then maybe you have to play them harder pre-flop and on the flop?

Saying that, I went out with KK v 85o last night ;D.

The other thing to remember is that tight aggressive players usually go out of a tournament with a big hand.  Very often a big pair or AK.

swordfish:

--- Quote from: Kinboshi on December 03, 2007, 10:52:57 AM ---
Saying that, I went out with KK v 85o last night ;D.

--- End quote ---


Did you go out to 85o?  You never mentioned it...

kinboshi:

--- Quote from: swordfish on December 03, 2007, 13:49:41 PM ---

--- Quote from: Kinboshi on December 03, 2007, 10:52:57 AM ---
Saying that, I went out with KK v 85o last night ;D.

--- End quote ---


Did you go out to 85o?  You never mentioned it...

--- End quote ---


Well, what happened was...

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