Poker Forum > Strategy
End game in satellite for a live event
PantsMan:
Insta-fold (well, maybe a bit of hollywood first!). ;)
Never ever calling here in a satellite sitting with 40 bbs and 3 smaller stacks at the table.
Basic satellite strategy imo. No need to battle with the other big stack and no need to be flipping or risking your whole stack with such a weak holding. At best he"s holding AQ or below and even then you"re only a 72% favourite. Even if he"s holding 7-2 os you"re only a 2-1 favourite. If he has a pair you"re flipping. None of those situations is good in a satellite for your whole stack when you"re currently in such a good position.
Swinebag:
I think the stacks are deep enough to fold here. Whilst the seat is far from a shoe in and you will most likely need to increase your stack at some point, it seems silly to take on the only player who could bust you. FWIW you are most likely ahead here.
It does seem strange to raise fold such a strong hand and it is probably such a weak play that it makes you think, "why bother raising into the BB in the first place".
If the stacks were shallower then I"m calling.
noble1:
http://www.pokerxfactor.com/sheets/
goto open shove and put in 3% or so for villain to call shove or reraise shove, u"ll be surprised how close it is in cEV terms [raise fold marginally best]... note if $EV then probs a clear fold...
Chipaccrual:
All interesting views guys, appreciate the responses. Let"s look at it from another angle. ;D
Chipaccrual:
We"re 5 handed in a satellite for a live event. (Buyin $40)
Payout is 1st & 2nd = $250 seat, 3rd = $100, 4th = $60, 5th = $40
X - 7,000
Y - 7,000
Z - 7,000
SB - 16,500
BB - 15,800
Blinds are 200/400/50
Play folds round to the SB who raises it to 1050
You are in the BB with ah 8h
Limited reads on SB. Has knocked out a couple of the players on the final table to build their stack.
What plays do you have here ?
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