Poker Forum > Strategy

End game in satellite for a live event

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JamieCarra:

--- Quote from: samuel_9 on March 02, 2011, 17:13:56 PM ---
ONE question.... why not just call and see the FLOP with this  ah 8h

--- End quote ---


Why see a flop when we can pick up the ~1500 chips in the middle?

Waz1892:

--- Quote from: MintTrav on March 02, 2011, 14:13:29 PM ---

--- Quote from: Chipaccrual on March 01, 2011, 22:11:44 PM ---
We"re 5 handed in a satellite for a live event. (Buyin $40)

Payout is 1st & 2nd = $250 seat, 3rd = $100, 4th = $60, 5th = $40

X - 7,000
Y - 7,000
Z - 7,000
SB - 16,500
BB - 15,800

Blinds are 200/400/50

Play folds round to you in SB and you are holding ac kd

You raise it to 1050

BB goes allin for 15,800

Limited reads on BB.  Has been in top two of chips since final table began, played minimal hands to showdown. (If that means anything)


What do you do ?

--- End quote ---


I"m putting BB on a weak A here, possibly suited.

--- End quote ---


That made me chuckle out loud!

Waz1892:

--- Quote from: AMRN on March 02, 2011, 14:24:08 PM ---
so the background to the OP is now clear.  Leigh made a "good" call with the AK, and the guy hits his 30% shot, and that"s all she wrote.

......and that 30% shot is why we should be folding AK in the OP.

--- End quote ---


Steve, you"re in a different league to me with MTT and SATs and well poker in general so keen to discuss with you and learn at the same time..

Suppose we do fold the AK, and wait for a better spot with perhaps one of the shorter stacks.

It is a safe-ish assumption that at some point very soon either -

a) small stack will knock off a small stack and then you"ll have 3 large stacks, instead of just 2. and we are all the same boat.

b) We"ll look to bully the Short stack, who will themselves within a few rounds be looking to shove lightish.  When they do shove, wouldn"t we find ourselves in a not to disilimar position we found ourselves in BvB - OK, maybe not with our whole stack at risk, but a 70/30 or flipping and losing would just about eliminate us anyway.

Can"t get around why we think BB is not bullying himself, knowing we can"t call because of everything everyone has said.  We know that, he"ll know that...so the fact we have a genuine hand, still snapping him.

a little fishes thoughts to learn to be a shark!   :)

ian.ski309:

samuel_9:

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