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Streaks

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evilpie:
I"ll start with a little about myself. I got in to poker through TV and decided to study it to see if there was any chance of making some money on the side whilst being entertained in to the bargain. I"ve been playing for 4 months now and have recently started to show enough improvement to not have to top up my bankroll every day.

At first I would lose a lot but made sure that I noted where I"d gone wrong and not make the same mistakes again.

Anyway, recently I went on a bit of a run: 16th and 18th in the PStars 50K for $450 each, 1st in a BSQ 1075 player $10 for $2250 and then 3rd in the APAT World open all in the space of about 2 weeks.

I thought that I"d finally turned the corner and maybe become competent enough to not worry about losing my house through online poker ;D ;D. Since the APAT World Open though things have been on a downwards spiral and I"ve only cashed in a couple of events (both omaha, can"t win nlhe anymore).

I"m hoping that this losing streak will stop soon and I"ll be back to winning ways but when will it happen? I"ve not changed my game (I don"t think so anyway) so what"s going on?

I know that there"s no such thing as luck, only statistics and good / bad poker play so I understand that you can"t win "em all :)

What are other player"s thoughts on winning / losing streaks?

Do you think streaks actually exist or do they maybe just materialise because despite all your efforts you can"t help but change your game when you"re on a run of either the good or bad variety.

Look forward to hearing anyone"s thoughts and I"ll see you all in Cardiff.

Cheers

kinboshi:
The problem with MTTs is variance.

You can play "perfect" poker, and not win - and that can happen for a long time.  The bigger the fields, the longer the losing streaks can be.

I play more cash than tournament poker, as I find the return is more stable.  Of course, the big tournament win is what we all want, and I guess that"s the big draw of MTTs.

As well as variance, you also have to make sure you continue to play your A-game.  It"s all too easy to let a string of bad results affect your play, which in turn means that the streak of bad luck becomes something much worse.  This is true in cash games as well as tournaments.

I like the 180-seater SNGs on PokerStars, as the field size isn"t too large and a solid game means you are likely to be in with a shout to cash the majority of times, and when the cards fall for you a final table or better.

evilpie:
Thanks for the tip. I"ve just signed up for a 180 seat SNG on PStars. Can"t do anything else this new year"s eve cos I"ve got a stinking cold :-[

Got to concentrate on not tilting. I"ll let you know how it goes.

Cheers

kinboshi:
The other thing to remember is that I"m no expert!

Preedmaster:
Must admit I mix my games up depending on mood and how I"m playing. The 180 tourns are good as its a good 3-4 hours and you can judge where you are by each break. 78-62 1ts break, 26-38 2nd and final table ish for 3rd. Cash games are a different way to play and you will soon find out where you are.

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