Amateur Poker Association & Tour

Poker Forum => Strategy => Topic started by: Swinebag on January 05, 2010, 16:54:16 PM

Title: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: Swinebag on January 05, 2010, 16:54:16 PM
what are we raising to here??

***** Hand History for Game 8773791420 *****
NL Texas Hold'em $44 USD Buy-in Trny: 49393980 Level: 1  Blinds(20/40) - Tuesday, January 05, 16:46:48 GMT 2010
Table $35K Gtd Super Weekday Qualifier (1827964) Table #1 (Real Money)
Seat 1 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 2: ClaSsSiCk ( 3,180 )
Seat 10: Sari77999 ( 2,390 )
Seat 3: Swinebag22 ( 2,880 )
Seat 9: The_eDude ( 1,260 )
Seat 4: dadlavlund ( 2,880 )
Seat 7: manuherra ( 5,060 )
Seat 6: massu111 ( 2,860 )
Seat 5: splif2 ( 2,980 )
Seat 8: will6913 ( 3,610 )
Seat 1: ysh3z ( 2,900 )
Trny: 49393980 Level: 1
Blinds(20/40)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Swinebag22 [  As Ad ] in the BB
dadlavlund calls [40]
splif2 folds
massu111 raises [80]
manuherra has been reconnected and has 20 seconds to act.
manuherra calls [80]
will6913 folds
The_eDude folds
Sari77999 calls [80]
ysh3z calls [80]
ClaSsSiCk calls [60]
Swinebag22 raises to ?
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: cincicrappykid on January 05, 2010, 16:56:11 PM
280
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: AMRN on January 05, 2010, 17:00:25 PM

280


they should all call for 200 more.... I"m making it 500 here and hope that one calls to get HU for the flop
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: duke3016 on January 05, 2010, 17:01:43 PM
too many in the pot = scary -- 750 and hope the original raiser calls - but thats just me  ;D
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: Swinebag on January 05, 2010, 17:03:25 PM
ooh..some replies.

I"ll get leigh to send a chipset to the person who picks the winning number ;D ;D
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: Mikeyboy9361 on January 05, 2010, 17:07:05 PM
420
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: AMRN on January 05, 2010, 17:10:31 PM
ahhhh ok didnt realise we were guessing your raise value...... i change my guess to 2880
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: Swinebag on January 05, 2010, 17:19:01 PM

ahhhh ok didnt realise we were guessing your raise value...... i change my guess to 2880


sorry, didn"t mean to make it a comp. I didn"t shove.

I genuinely want to know what people think is a good bet size here
Why do you pick 500 steve?
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: Eck on January 05, 2010, 17:25:06 PM


ahhhh ok didnt realise we were guessing your raise value...... i change my guess to 2880


sorry, didn"t mean to make it a comp. I didn"t shove.

I genuinely want to know what people think is a good bet size here
Why do you pick 500 steve?


probably as its pretty much pot. I normally click on bet pot and edge it back a notch just to get someone in. then get 5 callers and wish i had jammed....

so about 480 is good for me
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: mal666 on January 05, 2010, 18:15:46 PM
120
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: Marty719 on January 05, 2010, 18:26:19 PM
i fold...............................................................................

ok ok - 400
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: Swinebag on January 05, 2010, 18:30:48 PM

120


hahahaha...quality mal

I"ve seen this before
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: Waz1892 on January 05, 2010, 18:35:05 PM
380.  because with your BB blind bet this makes roughly the pot, which would hopefully reduce the field to at the very most 3.  then pushthe flop, unless very scary.


Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: WYoung83 on January 05, 2010, 18:44:36 PM
400. which means the first raiser will probably flat call, and you take a flop with 9 other players. This is the joys of online poker.
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: cincicrappykid on January 05, 2010, 18:45:32 PM
lol  soooooooo true
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: mousebob on January 05, 2010, 19:06:51 PM
I"m sticking !!
Origional raiser has AA & was trapping !!
Someone else has KK & is just a muppet.
You check & flop str8,shove, triple up & it"s all over.
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: AMRN on January 05, 2010, 19:08:05 PM


ahhhh ok didnt realise we were guessing your raise value...... i change my guess to 2880


sorry, didn"t mean to make it a comp. I didn"t shove.

I genuinely want to know what people think is a good bet size here
Why do you pick 500 steve?


I"m figuring the pot is 420. Over-betting the pot might look weak to some who may see it as a squeeze and think their big ace or mid pair is good for a shove. Raising any less than pot is dangerous as an early caller after you will give everyone else the correct odds to call - not what you want.... and overbet is more likely to scare most off, and keep few in.  If they all fold, c"est la vie - AA is always a hand to win small or lose big with.

Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: LongshanksED on January 05, 2010, 19:15:59 PM
600

should be enough to get one caller. Both all in on the flop and his kings turn a set!
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: Swinebag on January 05, 2010, 19:19:23 PM

600

should be enough to get one caller. Both all in on the flop and his kings turn a set!


I dont post bad beats on the strategy board.............












.......ever
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: janc on January 05, 2010, 19:30:35 PM
675
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: deanp27 on January 05, 2010, 21:10:03 PM
666
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: JamieCarra on January 05, 2010, 21:24:40 PM

380.  because with your BB blind bet this makes roughly the pot, which would hopefully reduce the field to at the very most 3.  then pushthe flop, unless very scary.


A pot sized bet is actually 600 here.

I think we"re prob best overbetting slightly due to being OOP, and if we were to make it say 750, we still probably get 1 caller and it will leave us with a decent stack to pot ratio to shove 99.99% of flops.  If we were to make a smaller raise, and then the first guy calls, it"ll have a domine effect and we"ll up getting a million callers
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: Cyntaf on January 05, 2010, 22:24:14 PM
you either went 1200 or folded ::)
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: Waz1892 on January 05, 2010, 22:26:34 PM


380.  because with your BB blind bet this makes roughly the pot, which would hopefully reduce the field to at the very most 3.  then pushthe flop, unless very scary.


A pot sized bet is actually 600 here.



what did i miss?
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: JamieCarra on January 05, 2010, 22:50:57 PM



380.  because with your BB blind bet this makes roughly the pot, which would hopefully reduce the field to at the very most 3.  then pushthe flop, unless very scary.


A pot sized bet is actually 600 here.



what did i miss?


Pot = 3x last bet + all previous bets therefore

3 x 80 (ClaSsSiCk)
+ 80 (ysh3z)
+ 80 (Sari77999)
+ 80 (manuherra)
+ 80 (massu111)
+ 40 (dadlavlund)

= 600
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: Waz1892 on January 05, 2010, 23:32:05 PM




380.  because with your BB blind bet this makes roughly the pot, which would hopefully reduce the field to at the very most 3.  then pushthe flop, unless very scary.


A pot sized bet is actually 600 here.



what did i miss?


Pot = 3x last bet + all previous bets therefore

3 x 80 (ClaSsSiCk)
+ 80 (ysh3z)
+ 80 (Sari77999)
+ 80 (manuherra)
+ 80 (massu111)
+ 40 (dadlavlund)

= 600


3 x time the last bet...........i"m lost?.. ??? .why is this.   Even AMRN agreed 420.. and he miles better than me   :)
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: JamieCarra on January 05, 2010, 23:46:01 PM





380.  because with your BB blind bet this makes roughly the pot, which would hopefully reduce the field to at the very most 3.  then pushthe flop, unless very scary.


A pot sized bet is actually 600 here.



what did i miss?


Pot = 3x last bet + all previous bets therefore

3 x 80 (ClaSsSiCk)
+ 80 (ysh3z)
+ 80 (Sari77999)
+ 80 (manuherra)
+ 80 (massu111)
+ 40 (dadlavlund)

= 600


3 x time the last bet...........i"m lost?.. ??? .why is this.   Even AMRN agreed 420.. and he miles better than me   :)


Because you are raising by the amount that is in the pot and this includes the 80 that Rob would need to put in to call

so imagine that rob put in the extra 40 to call, then add up whats in the middle, and he can raise BY this amount ie by 520 to make the total bet 600.

Go to any Pot limit table online and the max opening raise you can make will be 3.5X
Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: Swinebag on January 06, 2010, 00:38:21 AM
I like the way this has become "what is the pot bet?" as opposed to "what would you raise to?"

FYI the correct "pot" bet would be 600. (though I couldn"t figure it out at the time)

I actually raised to 900, for no reason other than I couldn"t figure out what a decent raise was (hence posting it on this board) and that 900 was about a third of my stack, commiting myself to the hand.

I was happy to take this down preflop (it was a satty that paid 1 in 4) rather than betting too little and getting multiple callers OOP, which given the play I had seen so far, was extremely likely.

I think the superior bet in most situations, is what eck suggested (pot minus a bit).

Thanks for the replies

The result is irrelevant but I"ll tell you because it was funny.

I raise to 900, limper folds, original min raiser calls, then it went fold, CALL (now I was worried) but then fold fold fold.

flop came down 8 10 10.

I shoved

original raiser folded and the other guy called with 55 because I obviously had AK. No help for him, I double up (+ some) and went on to win a seat (where I then played pants and came nowhere!!)




Title: Re: roll up, roll up, pick a number, any number!!
Post by: Claw75 on January 06, 2010, 02:03:26 AM



ahhhh ok didnt realise we were guessing your raise value...... i change my guess to 2880


sorry, didn"t mean to make it a comp. I didn"t shove.

I genuinely want to know what people think is a good bet size here
Why do you pick 500 steve?


I"m figuring the pot is 420. Over-betting the pot might look weak to some who may see it as a squeeze and think their big ace or mid pair is good for a shove. Raising any less than pot is dangerous as an early caller after you will give everyone else the correct odds to call - not what you want.... and overbet is more likely to scare most off, and keep few in.  If they all fold, c"est la vie - AA is always a hand to win small or lose big with.




My "answer" after reading OP and before looking at what anyone else said was also 500, for pretty much same reasons as above.