Amateur Poker Association & Tour

Poker Forum => General Discussion => Topic started by: 2make1whole on February 03, 2009, 16:12:54 PM

Title: would you call this hand
Post by: 2make1whole on February 03, 2009, 16:12:54 PM
16 players starting chip stack 5000 £12 entry 1st place £150 2nd £10 down to 9 players im sat on 4 handed table on the button

my hand js jc i raise to 1800 with a 13000 chip stack

the sb goes all in 8k

the bb instantly calls 8k with 4k left behind him which is around what i have aswell


WHAT IS UR PLAY?

I GET TO SEE THE FLOP AND THEIR CARDS AS 1 MAN ALL IN AND CALLER SO I`LL POST THEIR HANDS AFTER GET VIEWS

i have only played about 8 hands on this table as recently got moved to it,knocked 1 player out with 44 i called a low stacks all in.
so have no real reads on these players at all only the sb has supposedly won $60k online once.in mtt
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: rubertoe on February 03, 2009, 16:23:04 PM
I"d Imagine that you have to fold this here -

Small Blind has quite big range - So if it was Heads up against them - you"d have to call - but as the BB calls the all in he prob has a pair or Big Cards AJ+ poss big Pair! so you cant call - that is too weak - you move in and your JJ shrinks in value against two other players as the BB has to call (pot committed) - so I would fold - Hope the BB Hand Holds up to knock out the SB

live to fight with a larger stack at what now i presume is the Final Table - I assume the BB is about 600 as you raised to 1800 - still plenty of play with a 13k stack at an 8 handed table! a better spot will come!
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: Chipaccrual on February 03, 2009, 16:45:05 PM
FOLD

Simple.
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: bigredders on February 03, 2009, 16:51:24 PM

FOLD

Simple.


exactly what i was going to put.
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: HaworthBantam on February 03, 2009, 16:54:37 PM

I"d be folding as well, plenty of chips left behind.
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: Roscopiko on February 03, 2009, 16:57:24 PM
obvious shove here, they both turn over AK and you would have won.

in reality....fold
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: 2fiddy on February 03, 2009, 16:58:03 PM
get away from JJ relatively unscathed --- FOLD
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: WarBwastardo on February 03, 2009, 17:03:32 PM
What are the blinds, 300/600?  Is it £100 for 2nd?  Your OP says £10.
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: rubertoe on February 03, 2009, 17:23:53 PM

the sb has supposedly won $60k online once.in mtt


this should have no bearing on the hand!!
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: kinboshi on February 03, 2009, 17:25:45 PM

What are the blinds, 300/600?  Is it £100 for 2nd?  Your OP says £10.


This.
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: teaulc on February 03, 2009, 17:30:20 PM
instant fold for me,,as stated earlier,,against 1 player i am calling,against 2,no way
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: Palosha on February 03, 2009, 18:43:02 PM
agree fold
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: mwforre on February 03, 2009, 20:49:36 PM
I agree with everyone else who said fold! Same reasons Big Blind insta-call representing a big hand! Live to fight another day and you haven"t really lost that many chips.
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: WarBwastardo on February 04, 2009, 01:19:51 AM
I"d probably shove it all-in to be honest.  Essentially this is going to be your remaining 11,200 (13,000- 1,800) to win 21,800 (SB"s 8,000, BB"s 12,000 assume he"s pot committed - and your initial raise of 1,800) so nearly a 2/1.  There"s only QQ, KK, AA that beat you, anything else you"re in great shape.  Even if they HAVE one of those three over-pairs you"ll suck out on them 20% of the time anyhoo.

Granted I"m factoring into this decision that"s it"s a £12 buy-in and only two places get paid.  I assume the blinds are 15-20 minutes?  If you win this pot you knock two players out plus the chips you have now will give you license to steal anything not tied down...so indirectly it"s a potential pot of even more than 21,800.  You only live once man, shove it in... BANZAI DANIEL SAN!!!
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: 2make1whole on February 04, 2009, 01:45:17 AM

What are the blinds, 300/600?  Is it £100 for 2nd?  Your OP says £10.



no its £10 for 2nd 1st place is a ticket into another round worth £150 so its all top heavy on prizes
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: 2make1whole on February 04, 2009, 01:48:11 AM
ty for all ur comments i folded

the sb showed :as: td

the instant call bb showed qc ks  ???

the flop  ad1 jd 8c nooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

i would have won

thank you for all ur comments
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: WarBwastardo on February 04, 2009, 03:58:29 AM

I"d probably shove it all-in to be honest.  Essentially this is going to be your remaining 11,200 (13,000- 1,800) to win 21,800 (SB"s 8,000, BB"s 12,000 assume he"s pot committed - and your initial raise of 1,800) so nearly a 2/1.  There"s only QQ, KK, AA that beat you, anything else you"re in great shape.  Even if they HAVE one of those three over-pairs you"ll suck out on them 20% of the time anyhoo.

Granted I"m factoring into this decision that"s it"s a £12 buy-in and only two places get paid.  I assume the blinds are 15-20 minutes?  If you win this pot you knock two players out plus the chips you have now will give you license to steal anything not tied down...so indirectly it"s a potential pot of even more than 21,800.  You only live once man, shove it in... BANZAI DANIEL SAN!!!


Woooo hooo me.  I"m best.
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: rubertoe on February 04, 2009, 10:23:52 AM
Againts two players with these specific hands the JJ will only win <40% regardless of the Flop!

So IMO Fold for reasons stated earlier!

Of course you could shove and then flop a set as you would have - but you made the right decison at this time! (preflop)
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: WarBwastardo on February 04, 2009, 15:37:52 PM

Againts two players with these specific hands the JJ will only win <40% regardless of the Flop!

So IMO Fold for reasons stated earlier!

Of course you could shove and then flop a set as you would have - but you made the right decison at this time! (preflop)


There"s more to a hand of poker than just that one probability calculation though isn"t there. Reducing poker to a few calculations is quite depressing really.  It"s a good guide but it doesn"t mean it"s the only piece of information you should base your decision on. 

I think there"s an over reliance on the mathematics of poker hands. Probably a consequence of playing online too much.  Sometimes it"s worth gambling even when the odds don"t appear to be in your favour if other factors compensate for the unfavourable odds.

You"ve got to add a bit sauce to your game is what I"m syaing, that"s what my gran always used to tell me when I"d sit by the fire place on a cold winters evening.  We won the war cause we had more sauce than Hitler she"d tell me.  Of course she had dementia and was kept chained to a radiator at the home they kept her in for her sake as well as ours, but I still agree with her.
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: Mikeyboy9361 on February 04, 2009, 15:45:14 PM
LOL :D. I agree! Good luck tonight, but I think the mighty Blues will prevail.
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: WarBwastardo on February 04, 2009, 16:42:42 PM

LOL :D. I agree! Good luck tonight, but I think the mighty Blues will prevail.


Was that aimed at me or a previous poster?  I"m a Gooner.
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: Mikeyboy9361 on February 04, 2009, 17:14:47 PM
Oh sorry I thought you were a koppite. :-\
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: rubertoe on February 04, 2009, 17:50:34 PM


LOL :D. I agree! Good luck tonight, but I think the mighty Blues will prevail.


Was that aimed at me or a previous poster?  I"m a Gooner.


I"m a gooner too!!!

I understand that there is a need to gamble - but I would find a better spot!!

Arshavin?? he better be worth the Aggro!
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: WarBwastardo on February 04, 2009, 18:05:53 PM



LOL :D. I agree! Good luck tonight, but I think the mighty Blues will prevail.


Was that aimed at me or a previous poster?  I"m a Gooner.


I"m a gooner too!!!

I understand that there is a need to gamble - but I would find a better spot!!

Arshavin?? he better be worth the Aggro!


A 28 year old who hasn"t played for 2 months wasn"t the answer I"d have come up with for this season"s problems, but I still trust Arsene Wenger.  Reminds me a bit of Tomas Rosicky though; promising player, bit of a mess trying to get him over here,  played a couple of games then disappeared off the face of the Earth.  
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: bigredders on February 05, 2009, 00:24:18 AM




LOL :D. I agree! Good luck tonight, but I think the mighty Blues will prevail.


Was that aimed at me or a previous poster?  I"m a Gooner.


I"m a gooner too!!!

I understand that there is a need to gamble - but I would find a better spot!!

Arshavin?? he better be worth the Aggro!


A 28 year old who hasn"t played for 2 months wasn"t the answer I"d have come up with for this season"s problems, but I still trust Arsene Wenger.  Reminds me a bit of Tomas Rosicky though; promising player, bit of a mess trying to get him over here,  played a couple of games then disappeared off the face of the Earth. 


i think wenger has lost the plot imo. van persie plays in arshavins position...where is  your centre mid that can dominate and tackle, your defenders that can, well, defend!

back on the subject in hand, i think it depends on how you feel at the table, if you feel you can outplay the players then that and the math ( i think it is closer to 35%) then fold. if not then it is a good spot to get lucky, as the prizes were top heavy
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: tonyj444 on February 06, 2009, 17:28:37 PM
With such a top-heavy payout you very much have to play for 1st and this is a very good spot to more than double up.  Yes, there"s a decent chance you bust here but it terms of equity it is almost definitely a +EV shove since you"re miles ahead of SBs range and probably slightly ahead of BBs range also (I think 88+, AT+, KQ is not unreasonable).
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: Santino67 on February 06, 2009, 22:29:30 PM
So.........who won?

JJ hate it, the hand that"s got me busted more often than any other 2 starting cards. Good fold IMO
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: WarBwastardo on February 06, 2009, 22:42:00 PM

So.........who won?

JJ hate it, the hand that"s got me busted more often than any other 2 starting cards. Good fold IMO


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Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: Santino67 on February 06, 2009, 22:56:36 PM


So.........who won?

JJ hate it, the hand that"s got me busted more often than any other 2 starting cards. Good fold IMO


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Yeah but did QK improve to beat the ace that paired? Guess not, but it is poker so anything"s possible  ;D
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: Trademans on February 09, 2009, 15:03:50 PM


fold all day long..  if it were one person I may think about the call but not 2!
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: Trademans on February 09, 2009, 15:06:07 PM

ty for all ur comments i folded

the sb showed :as: td

the instant call bb showed qc ks  ???

the flop  ad1 jd 8c nooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo

i would have won

thank you for all ur comments


You may have won on that occasion, but usually you will be against 4 over cards at best, not to mention an overpair...  How many times do you see flops and go I would have won that with the 7 3 os I folded.  Poker is about decisions and u made the right one imo....
Title: Re: would you call this hand
Post by: Santino67 on February 10, 2009, 01:58:26 AM
Ouch  :D Just busted a guys aces with my 2 red jacks on a Betfair cash table. Serial raiser raises my BB I re-riase he reraises again & i call (know should folded but hey, it worked  :-[ ) Flop came Qh 6h 3h, me to bet out, all in and instacalled. He has the aces and has my heart covered to boot. blank on turn, Jc on river.  ;D