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Non Poker Forum => Sports Betting & Discussion => Topic started by: noble1 on August 07, 2010, 07:05:48 AM

Title: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 07, 2010, 07:05:48 AM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 07, 2010, 12:38:18 PM
Don't k now about today's racing but SAGAMORE runs on Tuesday at Lingfield. 2 furlongs extra should suit him and with Buick on board. Don't know much about the rest off the field, will look closer once the declaration as been made.    

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 07, 2010, 13:02:48 PM
2.35 Newmarket
Khor Sheed
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 07, 2010, 14:37:51 PM
well this could be an expensive day nos, the ground at haydock is like treacle lol, ahhhh well i"ll settle for break even after a poor start with the early races lol lol...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 07, 2010, 14:42:31 PM

2.35 Newmarket
Khor Sheed


ul sir , White Moonstone picked up well , perhaps the fillies mile will be Moonstones next target...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 07, 2010, 15:30:05 PM
i surrender lol lol , may as well set fire to the money , never bet when the going gets iffy ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 07, 2010, 18:11:27 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 07, 2010, 18:25:57 PM
SAGAMORE SAGAMORE SAGAMORE SAGAMORE SAGAMORE
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 10, 2010, 14:26:00 PM

Don't k now about today's racing but SAGAMORE runs on Tuesday at Lingfield. 2 furlongs extra should suit him and with Buick on board. Don't know much about the rest off the field, will look closer once the declaration as been made.    





watching with interest nos :) , 4/6 as i write  hmmmm no ta , i"d have Pilote Celebre as the danger...

gl if u have bet it sir...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 10, 2010, 14:40:59 PM
how did it run?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 10, 2010, 14:55:19 PM

how did it run?


u know how it ran lol , ok...  1st 8/13
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 10, 2010, 15:17:21 PM
I am at work so do not see the race, what I meant was did it win easy, from the front, from behind, did it look like it had more to give?

It's got a good future,  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 10, 2010, 15:52:22 PM

I am at work so do not see the race, what I meant was did it win easy, from the front, from behind, did it look like it had more to give?

It's got a good future,  



Gosden tends to plot potential hotpots , so future entries giveaway his opinion usually.. If it gets entered into a valuable hc or jumps into pattern company then it may pay to follow nos imho...

http://www.attheraces.com/VideoConsole/?va=LIN_2010_08_10_01_1430
here is the race nos , free to watch if u register with ATR [free] Baldings horse gets squeezed on the turn but its meh , he loses momentum and 5 lengths , Fortune doesn"t over exert on the run in so the 2 to keep an eye on would be Sagamore and Pilote Celerbre imho .. :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 16, 2010, 10:37:56 AM
Zuider Zee, running at York on Friday
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 04, 2010, 00:23:51 AM
2:30 Haydock - Favourite Girl
2:45 Kempton - Man Of Iron
3:05 Haydock - Woolfall Treasure
3:35 Haydock -  Prime Defender [each way]
4:10 Haydock - Hammer Home

back or lay them all if u wish lol lol.......
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: bigredders on September 04, 2010, 12:43:33 PM
courageous and kansai spirit @haydock. Plus music show @ leopardstown. Gl all!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 18, 2010, 02:25:50 AM
well i"ve got to have a punt at the silver and gold cups at Ayr and have my shortlist down to a few ;D , so if you fancy laying them lol lol so be it..

AYR 2:15 - William Hill (Ayr) Silver Cup Handicap

Tiddliwinks - if he reproduces his steward sprint form he has a great shout from a high draw with Pavershooz and Joseph Henry setting the pace they may well set it up for a hold up type like tiddles...
Lowther - very lightly raced 5 year old, he finished 2nd in this race last year off a 3lbs higher mark, following the same pre race prep at donnie route as last year..
Something - Dandy Nicholls say no more, 5lbs claimed by Billy Cray.. Finished 2nd on Courageous for Dandy yesterday in the bronze cup, also on evens and odds when winning the stewards cup also for Dandy, this is just the type of horse that Mr Nicholls having had him for a year or so now may well pull something out of the bag with..
Joseph Henry - could well lead all the way..
Misplaced Fortune - has a great shout if he reproduces his recent York and Ripon form, interesting jockey booking of Dale Swift claiming 5lbs, he won the bronze cup on Cheveton yesterday...

AYR 3:20 - William Hill (Ayr) Gold Cup

one stat that holds up well in the gold cup is avoid the first three in the betting like the plague, especially the favourite.. so my shortlist looks like this -
Damien - given that he ran well [especially early part] at times this season when the stable have been under a cloud/in out form may bode well. Just have this feeling that Mr Hills had this race in mind as a target all along..
Redford - Dandy Nicholls and Frankie Dettori say no more..
Noverre To Go - nearly horse last twice, mothballed since the stewards cup with Ross Atkinson claiming 5lbs this may well be enough to sneek a win...
Knot In Wood - this race has been the target since last years 3rd, previous year runners have a good record in the gold cup, the odds compilers have the price way wrong for this one imho , trading at 37"s on betfair as i write this..
Evens And Odds - no surprise if he completes a stewards/ayr gold cup double, if anyone knows who buys the horses for dab hand racing then get them to find one for you, whoever does it has a good eye..

good luck all.........
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on September 18, 2010, 08:59:12 AM
I"ve just studied the Ayr gold cup (3.20).High draws prevailed in the sprints on the first 2 days of the meeting. Jonny Mudball is drawn 25 and likes to blaze a trail from the front and could be hard to peg back.Redford is interesting now being trained by the king of sprinters Dandy Nicholls,he"s been running over further and tumbling down the weights he has  the added bonus of Frankie on board.Finally being a scotsman i cant leave out Hawkeyethenoo,looking to give scotlands its first win in the race for 35 years.A rapidly improving horse.Drawn in 16 might not help this hold up performer but heart rules the head here.Most firms going 5 places ,so plenty of value to be had.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Honeybadg on September 18, 2010, 11:17:25 AM

I"ve just studied the Ayr gold cup (3.20).High draws prevailed in the sprints on the first 2 days of the meeting. Jonny Mudball is drawn 25 and likes to blaze a trail from the front and could be hard to peg back.Redford is interesting now being trained by the king of sprinters Dandy Nicholls,he"s been running over further and tumbling down the weights he has  the added bonus of Frankie on board.Finally being a scotsman i cant leave out Hawkeyethenoo,looking to give scotlands its first win in the race for 35 years.A rapidly improving horse.Drawn in 16 might not help this hold up performer but heart rules the head here.Most firms going 5 places ,so plenty of value to be had.


I am on the Mudball ... TID
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 25, 2010, 12:45:48 PM
ASCOT 3:40 - totesport.com Challenge Cup

having gone to ascot yesterday i was intending to keep my dosh firmly in my wallet and just watched the 1st race. The 2nd race cumani had rock n roll ransom, i could not resist and lumped on at 2/1 and he duly obliged. The drinks were on me, and by heck my lass doesn"t half neck em when they are free and her girlfriends were more than willing to help spend my winnings.
the 3rd race i foolishly announced that if little garcon won i"d treat everyone to a day out at newmarket, williaim buick tucked in about last till 1 and a half out and asked garcon to go, he must of had a nitro oxide kit installed as the horse left everything standing to win with a head to spare.
pollys mark was in the 4th and i thought he was almost a shoo in, mr cox having had a winner in the 1st all added upto lump on BIG, so off i toddled to the same bookie who i had backed little garcon with, i could see the fear in his eyes lol lol he had just lengthened polly out to 5/2.. well the race certainly got my adrenaline going as the favourite ferdoos got to the finish line along with pollys mark, i was convinced ferdoos had snatched it and then they announced the photo in pollys favour and off i trotted with a broad grin to my mate the bookie, i could see he was thrilled for me LMAO... anyhooos that close call persuaded me that was enough for the day..
Right onto todays challenge cup and i love trying to solve these cavalry charges, this race has had its fair share of big priced winners over the years so its always worth a tickle imho. Got my shortlist down to some obvious and some not so obvious, i like to back the not so obvious in this race so avoid these if u wish :)

Light From Mars
Gallagher
Imperial Guest
Kyllachy Star
Sarasota Sunshine

i fancy Kyllachy Star to win it and i"ve had some savers on the rest :)
GLA
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: bigalhx3 on September 25, 2010, 15:21:06 PM
anything blue with a jockey called frankie on it
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: bigalhx3 on September 25, 2010, 16:23:07 PM

anything blue with a jockey called frankie on it


;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 02, 2010, 01:13:52 AM
well i was at Newmarket today [friday] and having seen dream ahead i must say wowser, he made the others look very ordinary.. one for the 2000 guineas if it is soft going without a doubt imho , good ground plus then the obvious frankel but patchfork may well spring a surprise..
well for the saturday donkey lets have a go at 3 of the toughest big field races at newmarket :)

1:55 - £300,000 Tattersalls Millions [only 21 runners]
Together - the favourite for good reason, its got a touch of class and she is quick ;D

2:25 - £500,000 Tattersalls Millions [only 27 runners]
State Opera - a Mr Johnston late 2yo debutant , just the one run a couple of weeks ago at hamilton , worth a punt imho , Mr Haggas has a once raced horse called Fury with fallon aboard which maybe a danger..

3:40 - Cambridgeshire [only 35 runners]
Taqleed - errr well handicapped imho should have at least another 10lbs... got 12"s today , its getting backed down so maybe shorter yet...
Emirates Dream - can frankie make it a hat-trick of saturday big handicaps , good chance to do so on this.. i"ve took/snapped up 20"s on betfair....


gla , may the punting gods be with you....


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on October 02, 2010, 09:20:44 AM
Big pot in the scoop 6 today ,anyone having a go. Will post my picks later.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Honeybadg on October 02, 2010, 12:28:08 PM

well i was at Newmarket today [friday] and having seen dream ahead i must say wowser, he made the others look very ordinary.. one for the 2000 guineas if it is soft going without a doubt imho , good ground plus then the obvious frankel but patchfork may well spring a surprise..
well for the saturday donkey lets have a go at 3 of the toughest big field races at newmarket :)

1:55 - £300,000 Tattersalls Millions [only 21 runners]
Together - the favourite for good reason, its got a touch of class and she is quick ;D

2:25 - £500,000 Tattersalls Millions [only 27 runners]
State Opera - a Mr Johnston late 2yo debutant , just the one run a couple of weeks ago at hamilton , worth a punt imho , Mr Haggas has a once raced horse called Fury with fallon aboard which maybe a danger..

3:40 - Cambridgeshire [only 35 runners]
Taqleed - errr well handicapped imho should have at least another 10lbs... got 12"s today , its getting backed down so maybe shorter yet...
Emirates Dream - can frankie make it a hat-trick of saturday big handicaps , good chance to do so on this.. i"ve took/snapped up 20"s on betfair....


gla , may the punting gods be with you....





Were you still there for the end to watch Scottish Boogie stroll home in the last?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 02, 2010, 12:29:59 PM

Big pot in the scoop 6 today ,anyone having a go. Will post my picks later.


ok combine a virtual perm jack :)

1.55 nmk - Together , Masaya
2.25 nmk - State Opera , Formosina
2.45 red -  Charlie Cool ,  Kiwi Bay , Daaweitza
3.00 nmk - Music Show , Rainfall , Sent From Heaven
3.20 red -  Morache Music , Ballista , Ladies Are Forever
3.40 nmk - Taqleed , Emirates Dream , Credit Swap , Nationalism
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 02, 2010, 12:33:22 PM


Were you still there for the end to watch Scottish Boogie stroll home in the last?


Richard Hughes had the biggest grin ever :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Honeybadg on October 02, 2010, 16:03:16 PM



Were you still there for the end to watch Scottish Boogie stroll home in the last?


Richard Hughes had the biggest grin ever :)


Pleasing to win a coin flip by 19 lengths ...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 02, 2010, 16:22:46 PM


Big pot in the scoop 6 today ,anyone having a go. Will post my picks later.


ok combine a virtual perm jack :)

1.55 nmk - Together 3rd 13/8, Masaya 1st 20/1
2.25 nmk - State Opera , Formosina 3rd 7/1
2.45 red -  Charlie Cool 2nd 10/1 ,  Kiwi Bay 1st 5/1 , Daaweitza
3.00 nmk - Music Show , Rainfall 3rd 6/1 , Sent From Heaven
3.20 red -  Morache Music , Ballista 3rd 33/1, Ladies Are Forever 1st 3/1
3.40 nmk - Taqleed , Emirates Dream , Credit Swap 1st 14/1, Nationalism



meh got the place pot up for the scoop 6 with this lot , throw in Fury and if jack had plumped for Sahpresa in the 3 o"clock then then the scoop6 woulda been won :) [in virtual reality land :)] where were your selections jack?? it coulda of been a virtual jackpot :o
apat scoop6 syndicate?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 02, 2010, 16:26:32 PM




Were you still there for the end to watch Scottish Boogie stroll home in the last?


Richard Hughes had the biggest grin ever :)


Pleasing to win a coin flip by 19 lengths ...


eased down 1/2 a furlong out ... (http://www.freesmileys.org/smileys/smiley-shocked016.gif) (http://www.freesmileys.org/smileys.php)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on October 02, 2010, 17:51:22 PM


Big pot in the scoop 6 today ,anyone having a go. Will post my picks later.


ok combine a virtual perm jack :)

1.55 nmk - Together , Masaya
2.25 nmk - State Opera , Formosina
2.45 red -  Charlie Cool ,  Kiwi Bay , Daaweitza
3.00 nmk - Music Show , Rainfall , Sent From Heaven
3.20 red -  Morache Music , Ballista , Ladies Are Forever
3.40 nmk - Taqleed , Emirates Dream , Credit Swap , Nationalism

Did"nt get mine on got dragged to the pub to watch the rangers game.Its a hard life
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Honeybadg on October 03, 2010, 11:59:03 AM
Longchamps ...

Going to have a lump at Nakayama Festa in the big one ... 29/1

Gentoo in the first could lump the bet up in size!

L
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Honeybadg on October 03, 2010, 12:15:00 PM
Gentoo duly obliges ... nice run on tacky ground ...

Marchand D"Or obvious value shot in the next ...

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on October 03, 2010, 13:04:52 PM
I"m on Fame and Glory in the arc,misty for me in the 1.10
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Honeybadg on October 03, 2010, 13:07:18 PM

I"m on Fame and Glory in the arc,misty for me in the 1.10


I am Misty for Me on Betfair ... 4.6/1 pretty pleasing ... vs 11/4 ...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Honeybadg on October 03, 2010, 13:42:32 PM

I"m on Fame and Glory in the arc,misty for me in the 1.10


Have to say drifting a little towards Fame and Glory too ...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 03, 2010, 13:44:50 PM
nice to see some selections winning , misty for me ran nicely.
not going wild today just Utley in the 1.45 ,  Regal Parade and Joanna in the 2.20 just 2 smallish win bets..
for the biggie i"ve backed 2 , did Fabres Lope De Vega ante-post and i"ve backed Workforce today...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Honeybadg on October 03, 2010, 13:49:03 PM
Great run from Wootton Bassett ... so three wins from 4 ...

I do like Regal Parade as a value shot ...

My initial plan was lump all profits on the big one ... mmm ... £130 up ... is that really all going on the Festa???

L
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on October 03, 2010, 13:54:35 PM
Trying to get my head round the Kelso card.It has the going as good to firm, i"m 10 miles away and its been chucking down for about the last 10 hours.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 03, 2010, 13:59:00 PM
tbh Nakayama Festa getting beat by Duncan wouldn"t fill me with confidence.. none of the arc field have strong claims though :) pretty open this year..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Honeybadg on October 03, 2010, 14:00:17 PM

Trying to get my head round the Kelso card.It has the going as good to firm, i"m 10 miles away and its been chucking down for about the last 10 hours.


Looked in great condition on the TV ...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Honeybadg on October 03, 2010, 14:04:35 PM

tbh Nakayama Festa getting beat by Duncan wouldn"t fill me with confidence.. none of the arc field have strong claims though :) pretty open this year..


The race vs Duncan was oddly run it looked like Festa had a lot to spare but Duncan came again ... I am far from totally convinced ... but that goes for the rest of the field too ... the more you look at it ...the bigger the puzzle ...

L
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Honeybadg on October 03, 2010, 14:27:30 PM
Bit of money on the Exchanges for Festa ... into 25/1

Have bet on Planteur too ...

Good Luck all.

L
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 03, 2010, 14:38:55 PM
fabre supplemented Lope De Vega tuesday , i couldn"t ignore that , fabre is a class act and wont supplement lightly plus at the start of the season Workforce and Lope De Vega looked really nice prospects, hiccups since , workforce may of bounced lto , de vega"s last 2 were odd runs over 8f , but for those de vega would be favourite imho..
Youmzain ?? maybe 2nd again lol , poor ole channon , such a great horse yet so unlucky meeting up with sea the stars,dylan thomas and zarkova , will he meet another of this class today? potentially with a little hope that they spring back to form i think it maybe workforce or lope de vega... meh u gotta luv it...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Honeybadg on October 03, 2010, 14:55:08 PM

fabre supplemented Lope De Vega tuesday , i couldn"t ignore that , fabre is a class act and wont supplement lightly plus at the start of the season Workforce and Lope De Vega looked really nice prospects, hiccups since , workforce may of bounced lto , de vega"s last 2 were odd runs over 8f , but for those de vega would be favourite imho..
Youmzain ?? maybe 2nd again lol , poor ole channon , such a great horse yet so unlucky meeting up with sea the stars,dylan thomas and zarkova , will he meet another of this class today? potentially with a little hope that they spring back to form i think it maybe workforce or lope de vega... meh u gotta luv it...


Lope de Vega defo good value ...

One of my friends hoovered up loads of 50/60s on Youmzain a few months ago ... he is there today to cheer it home ... 2nd would kill him ...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 03, 2010, 15:09:57 PM
unlucky louis , we should of done a forecast...   good race
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Honeybadg on October 03, 2010, 15:15:26 PM

unlucky louis , we should of done a forecast...   good race


Amazingly you can still back workforce at 1/10 - due to the stewards ... surely the crazy stewards cannot intervene ...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 03, 2010, 15:21:11 PM
naaaa lol u gotta laugh , those froggies luvvv a stewards inquiry , but i"ll be surprised if workforce is involved..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 03, 2010, 15:32:10 PM
confirmed result now louis , cesarewitch , racing post trophy , breeders cup etc to come yet   yippe :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Honeybadg on October 03, 2010, 15:36:50 PM

naaaa lol u gotta laugh , those froggies luvvv a stewards inquiry , but i"ll be surprised if workforce is involved..


... yeah I am going to walk ... a neck away from £1690 profit ... gutted but no complaints as to the race ... once it went to the Stewards I could have locked out a minor profit but you have to fear that the stewards have been on the sauce all night ... there have been some crazy enquiries in France.

Right poker head together for tonight"s $500k g"tee ...

Good luck with the rest ...

L
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: bigredders on October 03, 2010, 18:33:29 PM
i had sarafina ante-post. Gutted it got murdered on the top bend, would have been the winner with more luck in running. Wd on getting winner and 2nd boys
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 09, 2010, 14:05:25 PM
2:15   YOR Extraterrestrial, Medici Pearl, Autumn Riches
2:30   ASC Electric Waves, Darajaat
2:45   YOR Head Hunted, Dubara Reef
3:05   ASC Genki, Bewitched, Royal Rock
3:20   YOR Carrignavar, Barefoot Lady
3:40   ASC Icon Dream, Prompter, Hunterview   
3:55   YOR Rileyskeepingfaith, Signor Peltro, Quest For Success

and thats the shortlist for today :)  GLA may the punting Gods have pity on us....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on January 08, 2011, 12:25:52 PM
Right i"ve had my break from the GG"s and now its time to get back in the groove and prepare for Cheltenham.. Oh joy, i love that meeting, so its time to really get the nose into the form book and to be prepared :) [for the losers lol and the odd winner hopefully]...
So its a magical day today, the welsh national and FA cup weekend, time for some 3rd round shockers, maybe Liverpool can actually beat Utd, who knows, afterall its the FA cup, miracles do happen LMAO...
Chepstow 13.45pm Welsh National..
I have my shortlist down to -
Ballyfoy
Maktu
Dance Island
I"moncloudnine
Ballyfitz
Theatre Dance
Giles Cross

I"m not a fan of backing of 4-6/1 shots in a slog like this so Maktu gets crossed off.. Recent form makes me prefer Ballyfitz, he"s getting on but Nigel TD has had a good season upto now so its worth a each way dabble imho and win bet on Dance Island who finished behind a well handicapped King Fontaine at haydock reads better than it looks imo...

Good luck if your having a punt today [come on you toffees ;D]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on January 08, 2011, 14:51:46 PM


I have my shortlist down to -
Ballyfoy
Maktu
Dance Island
I"moncloudnine - 3rd 16/1
Ballyfitz - 4th 8/1
Theatre Dance
Giles Cross - 2nd 12/1

I"m not a fan of backing of 4-6/1 shots in a slog like this so Maktu gets crossed off.. Recent form makes me prefer Ballyfitz, he"s getting on but Nigel TD has had a good season upto now so its worth a each way dabble imho and win bet on Dance Island who finished behind a well handicapped King Fontaine at haydock reads better than it looks imo...

Good luck if your having a punt today [come on you toffees ;D]


a wee profit for the day :) ballyfitz had quite a bit of money coming in for him late on, i managed to get 16"s today so i"m happy with that....
The gooooners celebrate a draw lol lol , some cracking games to come yet and the odd shock i"m sure....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on January 15, 2011, 14:35:29 PM
just the one race again, i"ve had a fine comb through the 3.35 at Kempton and i"ve backed 2 each way, i"m not going mad but i quietly fancy a weeee profit.. [cross the fingers]
First Point
Hills Of Aran

The King George goes off shortly at 3pm, can Kauto do it again? meh Hendersons pair Long Run and Riverside Theatre look like the improvers....
Riverside is interesting as he won cosily lto, he has grown a bit since his fifth in the Arkle the other year, he caught my eye that day, 2 miles never looked his trip, so with the upping in distance this racing season and his spurt of growth i met have a little tickle :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on January 15, 2011, 14:48:47 PM
On Nacarat and Planet of Sound, just for an interest.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on January 15, 2011, 14:50:33 PM
Kauto Star for my treble.   ;D

I"m on Like Minded in the 15:35
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on January 15, 2011, 15:18:59 PM
Having a nightmare, Bygones of Brid and Drill Seargeant in the 3.35.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on January 15, 2011, 16:01:21 PM
a weeeeee profit today Long point ew,Riverside ew and a small win bet on Long Run,Hills of Aran ran ok"ish it was maybe a tad too soft for him, keep an eye out for him if the going approaches the good side.. all in all its that type of season where its tough to strongly fancy anything atm with the recent bad weather putting training programs in a mix... hopefully things will settle down now and the trainers will get there cheltenham horses spot on for the day..


just the one race again, i"ve had a fine comb through the 3.35 at Kempton and i"ve backed 2 each way, i"m not going mad but i quietly fancy a weeee profit.. [cross the fingers]
First Point 4th 14/1
Hills Of Aran

The King George goes off shortly at 3pm, can Kauto do it again? meh Hendersons pair Long Run 1st 9/2 and Riverside Theatre 2nd 10/1 look like the improvers....
Riverside is interesting as he won cosily lto, he has grown a bit since his fifth in the Arkle the other year, he caught my eye that day, 2 miles never looked his trip, so with the upping in distance this racing season and his spurt of growth i met have a little tickle :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on January 22, 2011, 12:55:15 PM
just the odd dabble here and there today :)
ASCOT 2:55
Frascati Park - won a novice hurdle at ascot last year which caught the eye... a wee wager e/w
Sophies Trophy - off a weight of 10-5 it has a squeak , 20/1 hmmm worth a e/w punt imho.....

WINCANTON 2:50
Requin - a small win bet
Maraafeq - a tempting e/w who met spring a surpise...

ASCOT 3:30
Piraya - a small win bet
Mahogany Blaze - i got 14"s with 365, solid each way claims imho....

good luck in the punting.... :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on January 22, 2011, 17:41:51 PM

just the odd dabble here and there today :)
ASCOT 2:55
Frascati Park - won a novice hurdle at ascot last year which caught the eye... a wee wager e/w
Sophies Trophy - off a weight of 10-5 it has a squeak , 20/1 hmmm worth a e/w punt imho.....

WINCANTON 2:50
Requin - a small win bet
Maraafeq - a tempting e/w who met spring a surpise...

ASCOT 3:30
Piraya - a small win bet
Mahogany Blaze - i got 14"s with 365, solid each way claims imho....

good luck in the punting.... :)


poor. very poor... meh...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on January 23, 2011, 08:57:30 AM
Not had a bet now for about 3 month, waiting for the flat season  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 05, 2011, 11:41:44 AM
SANDOWN 3:00 - totescoop6 Heroes Handicap Hurdle
i"m going to avoid the obvious form horses for this in my shortlist -
Kilcrea Kim
Mister Hyde
Like A Hurricane

and back 2 each way outsiders
Numide
County Zen

SANDOWN 3:35 -
Eric"s Charm

LINGFIELD 3:25
Distinctive Image

LINGFIELD 4:30
Mafeking
Audemar
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 05, 2011, 16:43:39 PM

SANDOWN 3:00 - totescoop6 Heroes Handicap Hurdle
i"m going to avoid the obvious form horses for this in my shortlist -
Kilcrea Kim 1st 11/2
Mister Hyde
Like A Hurricane

and back 2 each way outsiders
Numide 7th 33/1
County Zen 4th 25/1

SANDOWN 3:35 -
Eric"s Charm 1st 20/1

LINGFIELD 3:25
Distinctive Image

LINGFIELD 4:30
Mafeking
Audemar 2nd 6/1


in profit , eric"s charm ran a cracker... audemar will win soon but i doubt he"ll be any value in his next race..

SAHA is going beeeeeZerk , what a game... MOTD and pizza+a cold beer is in order tonight :) :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on February 05, 2011, 16:52:26 PM
Crazy football day.

Lump on Wolves 0 Man U 0 I reckon  :D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 05, 2011, 17:03:31 PM

Crazy football day.

Lump on Wolves 0 Man U 0 I reckon  :D


hmmmm surely not, lol lol but u never know , Wolves 9.17 on betfair to win ::)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 05, 2011, 18:18:47 PM
laying wolves at 2.4 for a nice profit , tyty  :-*
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on February 05, 2011, 18:42:35 PM

laying wolves at 2.4 for a nice profit , tyty  :-*


lol, I took 7.2 in running and layed at 2.4 during half time
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Waz1892 on February 05, 2011, 18:56:05 PM


laying wolves at 2.4 for a nice profit , tyty  :-*


lol, I took 7.2 in running and layed at 2.4 during half time


was trying to gert some adivse on blonde..only to get more confused by this laying lark!

If man u win i win £50 from a outlay of £10...trying to work out what to do now as they are losing....well confusing
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on February 05, 2011, 19:04:19 PM



laying wolves at 2.4 for a nice profit , tyty  :-*


lol, I took 7.2 in running and layed at 2.4 during half time


was trying to gert some adivse on blonde..only to get more confused by this laying lark!

If man u win i win £50 from a outlay of £10...trying to work out what to do now as they are losing....well confusing


Bit late now, but when Utd went 1-0 up, I"d have put the lay bet in then.  Small amount, to ensure you a profit.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Waz1892 on February 05, 2011, 19:11:42 PM




laying wolves at 2.4 for a nice profit , tyty  :-*


lol, I took 7.2 in running and layed at 2.4 during half time


was trying to gert some adivse on blonde..only to get more confused by this laying lark!

If man u win i win £50 from a outlay of £10...trying to work out what to do now as they are losing....well confusing


Bit late now, but when Utd went 1-0 up, I"d have put the lay bet in then.  Small amount, to ensure you a profit.


yeah, just dont understand it enough.  Typical mancs..hate them and when i want them to win, they lose to flipping bottom of table!

::)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 05, 2011, 19:27:15 PM
http://www.scalpulator.com/?
or
http://www.betcalc.com/backlaycalc.php

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 05, 2011, 22:05:38 PM
sorry waz i was getting distracted earlier with the pokers :) , i"ve finished now so i"ll attempt to explain laying off to you as best as i can...

right basics -
the back column has an amount in it with the decimal odds..
example - 2.6 with an amount of money below, £500 for instance... this means you can back at 2.6 upto £500, if you back for more, say £600, then £500 will be matched and then what happens is that the request to back the horse is left as an open order on the exchanges and is available for anyone to lay, hopefully this will get matched :)

the lay column works like the back column, odds and the cash amount that you can lay upto...
thus if the odds to lay were 3.4 with £1000 below it, then if you lay at £300 this means your liability is £300 x 2.4=£720 if your selection wins, if it loses then you win £300...

if a back is unmatched it will be displayed across everyone"s display in the lay section.. this is done because it"s now available for someone to come along and to lay the horse at this price to the amount which you requested...
you can change the odds that you requested if u wish as long as its still unmatched..
you can also select bigger odds to back at or lay at if u wish, but depending on how the market is going, the bigger odds that u select may not get matched...

see if this helps also Waz - http://help.betfair.com/contents/itemId/i65767325/index.en.html
and - http://promo.betfair.com/learnbetfair/
and - http://help.betfair.com/contents/itemId/i65767325/index.en.html
and - http://betting.betfair.com/education/-generic-betting-principles/11-other-strategies/

if none of the above helps then i"m sure there are quite a few betfair punters within APAT that will help out if u start a thread :)


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Waz1892 on February 05, 2011, 22:24:28 PM
TY.    :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 12, 2011, 02:25:25 AM
WARWICK 2:10 - Bet On totepool At totesport.com Handicap Chase
Chance Du Roy

NEWBURY 3:35 - totesport Trophy Hurdle
Rebel Dancer  e/w
Tarkari  e/w
Get Me Out Of Here
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on February 12, 2011, 09:23:45 AM

WARWICK 2:10 - Bet On totepool At totesport.com Handicap Chase
Chance Du Roy

NEWBURY 3:35 - totesport Trophy Hurdle
Rebel Dancer  e/w
Tarkari  e/w
Get Me Out Of Here


Good pick, imo
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 12, 2011, 12:46:40 PM


WARWICK 2:10 - Bet On totepool At totesport.com Handicap Chase
Chance Du Roy

NEWBURY 3:35 - totesport Trophy Hurdle
Rebel Dancer  e/w
Tarkari  e/w
Get Me Out Of Here


Good pick, imo


shame Tarkari has withdrawn, yep yep Rebel"s 2nd to TOCCA FERRO [keep a eye out for this one :)] was good form imho plus the race was over 2.5secs ish quicker than the fighting fifth won earlier by Peddlers Cross... tough race today but if Rebel reproduces this form he"ll have a great chance...
Get Me Out Of Here if Jonjo has him right could run this field ragged, big IF but Jonjo has a habit of picking up valuable handicaps :) and 12"s is rather juicy for a repeat of last year :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 12, 2011, 13:44:34 PM
bizarre, what on earth is happening at Newbury with 2 horses dying within yards of each other in the paddock, they suspect electrocution?  just bizarre comes to mind..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Waz1892 on February 12, 2011, 19:00:28 PM
Manu
Arsenal
Cardiff
Orient

Back of the net!... ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 16, 2011, 10:05:02 AM
I helped out a friend over the weekend at his pokers whilst our loved ones had a girls spa weekend break.
He has been playing on off for the last 4 years and in that time he has never progressed beyond 25nl.
Anyhows here is a few things i picked up in his game which someone might think will help them.

He was playing 25nl 6max..

UTG he opened his usual range 22+ AJo+ all his suited Broadways KQo  78s+ so about a 13 to 14% range no problem there.
The table was playing quite tight but he never changed his range, he just tightened up?
At the time there was little 3betting so the first adjustment i made to his game was to drop the small pairs 22 - 55 and add some suited connecters and 1gappers in 65s - 67s, 57s - T8s
His std plan of tightening his range was the wrong way of adjusting to the players behind him, rather than changing his frequency i suggested that he change his opening range so that it played better against the tighties ranges behind. The problem with small pairs is that oop its very hard to get them paid off, normally on dry boards oop its difficult to get 3 streets of value out of a tighty and when you do get action from the tighty on wet flops and you hit a set then the hands they mostly play back or on with have good equity with combo draws of some sort. If it had been a fishy loose table then drop the SC"s and replace with the small pairs..
He asked quite rightly WHY? he had the initiative even with the small PP"s but when cbetting if he got called he had little equity, at least with the SC"s he had more chance of hitting the flop plus if his cbet was called on the flop this meant more ways to improve..
Here is an example of how he played 55 -
the usual raise pre and 1 caller on the button, flop -  jd  8h  7s in which he cbets his std amount. The tightish villain was a fairly straight forward honest fit or fold type who called the cbet with AJ for top pair so at best 55 had 12% equity and little chance of improving, even if Mr fit or fold had called TT-99,AJs,KJs,QJs,AJo then 55"s equity is slightly worse.
If he had  9s  8s in this spot then his equity on the flop would of been 31% and far more ways of improving, any 8 any 9 any spade any 10 any 6 and plenty of options in how to continue with the hand if any of these cards came on the turn...

Other things cropped up about his game such as how he adjusted to 3bets, his cbetting and well hmmmm pretty much alot actually lol, post-flop he missed alot of spots to take advantage of because he didn"t adjust to the villains tendencies and so forth..
I"ll post those up later time permitting, hopefully the above might help someone review how they think and adjust there ranges to players plus it can get you thinking on what/when to cbet on whatever flop texture..

[mods - please leave post in Saturday Donkey]

tyty
noble
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 18, 2011, 07:41:40 AM
Quote
post-flop he missed alot of spots to take advantage of because he didn"t adjust to the villains tendencies and so forth..


just on the above if your hand reading skills are a tad murky then obvious you"ll find the above tricky...

below are some notes i had tucked away on the psychology of hand reading that causes inaccurate reads -

Optimism - some players like to/prefer to believe or convince themselves that they are winning the hand rather than losing it :) this leads you to craft ranges for your opponent to ones more weighted to those that you are beating..

Freudian projection - thinking why we would do something and then applying it to our opponent, the problem is players can vary a lot in how they think..

In the present/recent moment - letting the last few hands seen over influence our decisions on putting players on ranges, this leads to problems when playing opponents who adjust/deviate from how they play the same type of hands/situations :)

Being negative - playing in fear which causes the player to see monsters, most cards on the flop.turn and river will be scare cards :) thus this player will weigh ranges more to what is beating him..

Conflicting thoughts - we make a decision then even though you get further info later in the hand that implies you may of made the wrong choice, you still stubbornly stick to your original conclusion...

Not forgetting your own hand - when trying to put yourself in your opponents position and trying to see the hand from there perspective, sometimes our hand can still overly influence us because its tough to totally forget what we actually have, to truly look it from the opponents perspective we have to try and view it like he does, afterall he doesn"t know what cards we have ! ! ....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 18, 2011, 08:42:13 AM



WARWICK 2:10 - Bet On totepool At totesport.com Handicap Chase
Chance Du Roy

NEWBURY 3:35 - totesport Trophy Hurdle
Rebel Dancer  e/w
Tarkari  e/w
Get Me Out Of Here


Good pick, imo


shame Tarkari has withdrawn, yep yep Rebel"s 2nd to TOCCA FERRO [keep a eye out for this one :)] was good form imho plus the race was over 2.5secs ish quicker than the fighting fifth won earlier by Peddlers Cross... tough race today but if Rebel reproduces this form he"ll have a great chance...
Get Me Out Of Here if Jonjo has him right could run this field ragged, big IF but Jonjo has a habit of picking up valuable handicaps :) and 12"s is rather juicy for a repeat of last year :)


right fingers crossed, i"m off to watch it, i"m hoping there"s no repeat of Saturday...
glgl if you are punting today..............
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 26, 2011, 11:09:50 AM
 KEMPTON 3:00 - Racing Post Chase Handicap

3 of interest at rather juicy long odds...
Polyfast
Free World
Fistral Beach

i"m going to back all 3 as i fancy a upset today, fingers crossed it"ll be one of these 3...

good luck all whomever is punting today...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 05, 2011, 10:03:32 AM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on March 05, 2011, 10:38:38 AM
Any fancies for Kelso ,noble heading off there in an hour.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 05, 2011, 11:34:40 AM

Any fancies for Kelso ,noble heading off there in an hour.


haven.t looked at that card, hope u have some good punting sir...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 08, 2011, 18:08:08 PM
after the world cup it was hard to see where the next crop of England players were coming from...
now things are beginning to look a tad more rosy, Wilshire,Rodwell,Henderson,Hart,Cleverly,Sturridge plus and it pains me say it Raheem Sterling of Liverpool...

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=or43glYksL4[/youtube]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 12, 2011, 09:45:00 AM
Right gloves off, time to try and get in gear for Cheltenham and get winning.. :)
I have been looking through the videos of the Imperial Cup Handicap contenders looking for the improvers, Team Pipe are the buggers that tilt the trend for improvers.. [having targeted this race over the years]
The only trend i tend to take stock in for the Imperial Cup is 9 of 10 winners had their last run between 21 and 55 days ago..
So i am putting a line through -
Arctic Wings
Points Of View
Alpine Eagle
Numide
Via Galilei
Old Way
Pateese
Drill Sergeant
Cheshire Prince
Fiulin
Kangaroo Court

of the rest the ones that caught my eye were -
Ultimate
Screaming Brave
Tito Bustillo
Alarazi
Ronaldo Des Mottes
Arrayan
Dona


So surprise surprise Arrayan for the win and some each way action on Ultimate and Tito Bustillo.....

Good luck if you are punting today, save some powder for Cheltenham...........

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: duke3016 on March 12, 2011, 09:51:37 AM
Happy punting today people, off to look at the odds of Chezger taking down the BCPC team game today.  ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on March 12, 2011, 10:41:31 AM
I like FIULIN in the imperial cup.Looks on a decent mark to me ,will like the drier ground .Paddy Brennan a plus in the saddle, im on e/w at 20/1.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 12, 2011, 11:04:34 AM

Happy punting today people, off to look at the odds of Chezger taking down the BCPC team game today.  ;D


+1 for the post count duke ;D


I like FIULIN in the imperial cup.Looks on a decent mark to me ,will like the drier ground .Paddy Brennan a plus in the saddle, im on e/w at 20/1.


good luck sir, Fiulin met give you a good run, Evan Williams yard is going well at the moment...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on March 19, 2011, 10:28:25 AM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 19, 2011, 13:35:48 PM
lingfield
1.50 - tight and very little between these, so on recent form i"ll plump for Onceaponatime
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on March 19, 2011, 13:41:47 PM
dont you think his track form is very bad.Lingfield for me is very much a track that suits or dosen"t.Same as wolverhampton and southwell.Not many horses win on all 2 let alone all 3.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 19, 2011, 13:59:33 PM

dont you think his track form is very bad.Lingfield for me is very much a track that suits or dosen"t.Same as wolverhampton and southwell.Not many horses win on all 2 let alone all 3.


4 runs in career at Lingfield all 3 @class4 1@class 5  , class 6 and poor sorts today, worth a punt at 15/2...
Frequency won but it wouldn"t of been a betting proposition for me.  Pipers Piping took them along from draw7 , 1st and 2nd drawn 5+6  , heyho :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on March 19, 2011, 14:07:49 PM
class only comes into the race if the race is ran quickly.Thats why in the states class droppers win many races cause they are all ran fast.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 19, 2011, 14:14:08 PM
Lingfield 2.20
Uncle Dermot- nearly a bet with Lucky Meadows making season debut, nothing special at Newmarket lto her only run.. priced up at 11/10 now odds on 10/11, maybe worth taking on if Dermot drifts anymore to something like 5"s...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 19, 2011, 14:28:49 PM

class only comes into the race if the race is ran quickly.Thats why in the states class droppers win many races cause they are all ran fast.


what really constitutes a good class drop? situations like when a horse is dropping into the claiming ranks for the first time for instance.. Pace will depend on what tactics dependent on draws or opposition etc , not a theory to get into now lol , a book can be written :)
uk racing a class 4 raced unsuccessfully horse now dropped into class 6 to me either it will meet its true level or not, plus his speed figures were ok " ish... other factors like well being, past injuries or current niggles count but without being there to see"em in the flesh, tough to factor etc etc

meh all opinions :)

had to edit scott, i"m playing the pokers :)

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 19, 2011, 14:50:52 PM
I"m not betting today but i would not put anyone off Le Beau Bai in the Midlands grand national...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on March 19, 2011, 14:58:27 PM
multi still very much on 2 races left.:)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 19, 2011, 15:12:10 PM
Minella Four Star 25/1 nice run indeed..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 19, 2011, 15:25:04 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on March 19, 2011, 15:28:42 PM
cheers .
estonia is a horse very close to my heart after getting a 4 timers up on new years eve(last flat race of the year) but today I hope it loses.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on March 19, 2011, 16:11:20 PM
oh well end of the acca.catch you later in the online champs I guess.But the way things have gone today Id better stay down the pub.I had defoe to score the first goal as well today.Spurs had 24 shots on goal missed the lot......
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 19, 2011, 16:13:05 PM
4.05 - Fanditha @12/1 [this is why i steered clear of having any bets today, lost 2 small win bets   :( time to shut down]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 19, 2011, 16:16:14 PM

oh well end of the acca.catch you later in the online champs I guess.But the way things have gone today Id better stay down the pub.I had defoe to score the first goal as well today.Spurs had 24 shots on goal missed the lot......


meh, poor racing today, wait for some std weak races during the week imho :)

ul sir, spurs to finish 5th ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on March 19, 2011, 18:39:15 PM
glad it went down in race 3 race 4 went to plan bar bad luck .
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on March 20, 2011, 11:50:40 AM
the wolves 520 monday is a cracker and the kind of race I like to bet in. You say you look at pace? Lets see what we both come up with.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 20, 2011, 19:38:44 PM

the wolves 520 monday is a cracker and the kind of race I like to bet in. You say you look at pace? Lets see what we both come up with.


i said i was experimenting with pace, but approaching it differently, it is i suppose called "Efficiency Handicapping"..
atm i am trying to record bits of data about how each horse runs a race and these build up into a record for each horse that can be compared to how well it performed... the data i get i also use to analyse on a course by race distance basis to develop a picture of what ways of running a race are most efficient and which also produce a good strike rate...
really geeky stuff that i"m just experimenting with, the way i approach horse racing is simple, hard study and watching plenty of races noting horses that appear to me to be better than what the bare form suggests.. when i analyse a race i make sure that i have watched the horses involved previous runs, i do this cos i try to find a angle that the betting market may of missed, this could be track bias, pace, the going was imo different to what was reported by the race analysts or just a simple thing like a certain trainer having a good record with certain horse types etc etc... in a nutshell i try to know as much as i can about the horses in the hope that i find something that the betting market may of missed....
the successful bettors, in my opinion, have the best intuition, and with experience somehow develop a gut feeling for when to take the risk and when not to :)  i"m not a fan of mathematical approaches to betting, can the horse win or not :) whats the price, 25/1 bloody hell, its a bet.. ;D

class 6 5f aw sprints at wolverhampton aren"t ideal to bet in imho, the horses are so poor and inconsistent, but i"ll have a look through and see if i can come up with anything...
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=523984&r_date=2011-03-02&popup=yes
http://www.attheraces.com/VideoConsole/?va=WOL_2011_03_02_06_1700

Sally"s Swansong looks to have the beating of Steel City Boy imo, The Tatling looks like he needs 6f but would still find something to beat him[retire the poor old boy], Rio"s Girl will improve for her seasonal debut run but a 4lbs pull still would not convince me.. Straboe has never won off a mark of 64 which doesn"t bode well either.. I would not bet in this scott, but if pushed i"d favour Sally"s Swansong but at very small stakes :) the nag is 1/16, consistency does not seem to be her thing :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on March 20, 2011, 22:18:34 PM
you really need to look at pace.IMO after 25 years of betting on horses - pace is everything.The weight"s mean very little bar going up in grade which is important.Going up in grade though is all about pace.Each horse is handicapped by thinking time out of the gates and pack instinct and in most cases horses cant be trained to go against what they do in the wild.Most tracks are ran at a different speeds and most horses can run fast times if given the opportunity.The opportunity isn"t there often and thats our job to find out when.

what I do is :-

make sure the pace suits the horse and is in a grade it can win at.
make sure the horse suits the track.
make sure the horse likes the going.
on turf time the first race to get a going figure.
can the jockey pull it off?
is the trainer doing ok ?

I use times of each track for stiffness and speed.Many horses cant run at 45hph at Goodwood for instance but run well at wolves going 33ph.Its all in the form.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 21, 2011, 04:16:18 AM

you really need to look at pace.IMO after 25 years of betting on horses - pace is everything.The weight"s mean very little bar going up in grade which is important.Going up in grade though is all about pace.Each horse is handicapped by thinking time out of the gates and pack instinct and in most cases horses cant be trained to go against what they do in the wild.Most tracks are ran at a different speeds and most horses can run fast times if given the opportunity.The opportunity isn"t there often and thats our job to find out when.

what I do is :-

make sure the pace suits the horse and is in a grade it can win at.
make sure the horse suits the track.
make sure the horse likes the going.
on turf time the first race to get a going figure.
can the jockey pull it off?
is the trainer doing ok ?

I use times of each track for stiffness and speed.Many horses cant run at 45hph at Goodwood for instance but run well at wolves going 33ph.Its all in the form.


yes speed is important, of course we want to back the fastest horse... Andrew Beyer is credited for pioneering the approach of speed to horse betting in the usa... the problem we have in the uk is that to accurately assess speed/pace is that you need sectional timing, trying to base figures on just the raw overall finishing time is flawed..
only basing pace/speed to a finish time does not take into account the time the horse ran on the outside of the track, which is the longest distance around, or was boxed in or was blocked by other horses during the first 2furlongs of the race but then overcame these problems and still came in fourth... what if a horse gains a easy lead but stronger horses behind get blocked by weaker horses.. u only get the answers by watching the races, relying on some lone race analyst who has to write up every race on the day is not the best approach.. the speed/pace figures start to go squee whiff don"t u think? add other factors such as wind direction not being available, unless of course u are there or can ring up a buddy at the track to let u know... and so on and so on....
the betting markets ever since Beyer made public his approach have factored this into there odds, likewise draw bias when punters became more aware of it, the bookies incorporated it into the odds....
as a horse race bettor we have to figure out the true odds of a horse and identity horses that are undervalued in the posted odds, so the only way to win money is to predict the outcome better than the odds makers [who use all the methods like speed ratings etc etc] and better than most of the betting public...
the variables can vary from a horse's past performance (wins vs. losses), to its pedigree, its class, its adjusted speed in previous races, its temperament, its breeder, its trainer, the track conditions, the weather and the mix of other horses in the field, all factored in by the odds compilers... the one edge we still have is that we can watch and re-watch any race we choose, looking out for the factors that have been missed, hmmm hard study, something which a lot of punters are not prepared to do....
the posted odds usually overestimate a horses chances of winning, which results in the payout odds being less than the true odds against a horse winning. by overestimating every horses chance of winning, the bookie underpays the bettor for a win, dont play into there hands by assessing races using methods they have factored in, simples....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on March 21, 2011, 16:42:00 PM
There was sectional timing in the uk but it was sold badly and soon died due to costs.Also the racing in this country is back in the dark ages. Sectional timing is also flawed though.What the clock doesn"t do is work out how much more energy a horse uses while being taken on.Low grade races are great for getting front runner beat.What ever happens to steel city boy today means nada as one race means nothing but will be interesting to see what you come up with Noble1 :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 21, 2011, 18:20:17 PM
some food for thought etc... sectional timing isn"t flawed scott, bettors in austraila, hong kong and the usa have utilised it for some time now... you have your views but for others reading the thread i"ll add some links on the subject...

http://betting.betfair.com/horse-racing/general/sectional-timings-a-handy-skill-to-add-to-your-betting-060208.html
http://betting.betfair.com/horse-racing/events/epsom-derby-betting/epsom-derby-betting-sectional-times-are-your-friend-but-020608.html
http://www.drawbias.com/paceanalysis.html
http://www.sectionaltimes.com.au/betting_strategies.php
http://www.mirror.co.uk/sport/racing-betting/racing-news/2010/10/09/better-betting-clock-watchers-i-ve-got-no-time-for-any-of-them-115875-22620389/
http://www.turftrax.com/microsite/ascot/timingfaq.asp [dont do it anymore, handy for wind speeds still though :)]

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 21, 2011, 18:45:07 PM
just to add to the above, a link explaining how horses breath, there strides and blood flow etc   geeky ish but heyho :)
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2006/05/060501232456.htm
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on March 21, 2011, 19:00:22 PM
Dont get me wrong. sectional timing does work I was one of the few turftrax subscribers.Im saying its not the be all and end all. A trip to Vegas 15 years ago is what got me on the track of pace.I was always a time form person but couldnt work out why fast timers were losing.Turns out it was gate speed and EARLY PACE.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 22, 2011, 12:21:54 PM
Here is a good read about one of the biggest punters ever till is death about 3 years ago - Alan Woods.. He teamed up with a guy called Bill Benter and together formed one of the biggest betting syndicates ever in Hong Kong, later on after splitting up the partnership Woods carried on and set up an even bigger betting operation..

http://www.tonywilson.com.au/writing/alanwoods.php
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 26, 2011, 12:59:20 PM
MEYDAN (UAE) 1:15 - Al Quoz Sprint

J J The Jet Plane has to be taken on here, i am not convinced 5f is ideal for him from the races i"ve watched..
Happy Dubai and Quick Enough have both been backed to win...

gl today if you are punting...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 26, 2011, 13:21:10 PM
J J The Jet Plane won boooo :), hard to see what happened early on as it is rather misty there....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 26, 2011, 13:48:30 PM
backing a few at Meydan so avoid these as i have given them the kiss of death :)

MEYDAN (UAE) 1:50 - Godolphin Mile
Red Jazz
Hearts Of Fire

MEYDAN (UAE) 2:25 - UAE Derby
Khawlah

MEYDAN (UAE) 3:05 - Dubai Golden Shaheen
Rocket Man

MEYDAN (UAE) 3:45 - Dubai Duty Free
Strawberrydaiquiri

MEYDAN (UAE) 4:50 - Dubai Sheema Classic
Rulership

MEYDAN (UAE) 5:35 - Dubai World Cup
Gio Ponti
Twice Over
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 26, 2011, 14:12:16 PM
NEWBURY 2:15
Magical Legend [ground and distance no problem,far to big of a price imo]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 26, 2011, 14:51:07 PM
NEWBURY 2:50
Definitley Lovely - she could be in off a good mark [ew]
Aneyeforaneye - [ew] again as above
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 26, 2011, 15:07:50 PM
LINGFIELD  3:10
Suits Me - place bet imo , only finished once out of the places in class1 10f races at Lingfield in 9 attempts...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 26, 2011, 15:24:47 PM
NEWBURY 3:25
last of the uk racing bets for today...
2 win bets on - Scots Dragoon and Rey Nacarado
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 02, 2011, 00:58:33 AM
2011-04-02 DONCASTER

let the the good times begin, flat season starts a proper.. lots of big price opportunity in the first two months, so get the pins out and cross the fingers....
i have my shortlist sorted so fwiw here they are, cross off your shortlists if you dare ;)

2:05 - William Hill Spring Mile [a tough one to begin with :)]
Pintura - x
Charlie Cool - x
Justonefortheroad - x
Smarty Socks - x

2:35 - williamhill.com Cammidge Trophy [cox and nicholls, do not ignore :)]
Lovelace - x
Jimmy Styles - 1st 22/1
Tajneed - x

3:10 - William Hill Lincoln [got it down to six  :)]
Gunner Lindley- x
Taqleed - n/r
Eton Rifles- x
Docofthebay- x
Irish Heartbeat- x
Light From Mars- x


KEMPTON
2:20 - williamhill.com Magnolia Stakes
Penitent - x
Shamali - 1st 12/1

3:25 - williamhill.com Rosebery Handicap
Captain John Nixon - x
Averroes - x
Lunar Victory - 3rd 13/2
Cosmic Sun - 1st 14/1




Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on April 02, 2011, 11:32:46 AM
 i got a tip yesterday for Light from mars, decent contact. The way im running just now ,wont be going in for much,plus its too early in the flat season for me.Thought i"d pass it on anyway
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 02, 2011, 14:05:00 PM

i got a tip yesterday for Light from mars, decent contact. The way im running just now ,wont be going in for much,plus its too early in the flat season for me.Thought i"d pass it on anyway


yep he has chances for certain, the spring mile - Charlie Cool at 60"s on BF , hmmmm  :)
Linnens Star [pricewise] beat kalk bay at NM well and truly and can"t see either winning :) but Lin Star is better value by far imho of the the 2...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 03, 2011, 00:48:18 AM
Sunday - DONCASTER 3:55 - williamhill.com Handicap

i luvvv my sprints and its worth watching to see how the 4yo"s do, had my shortlist down to -
Quest For Success
Parisian Pyramid
Kellys Eye
Flipando
Medicean Man
Colonel Mak

decided on backing the two below -

http://www.attheraces.com/VideoConsole/?va=DON_2010_10_22_04_1555
Kellys Eye - still on a good mark imho, a hold up performer who may need the gaps to open but at around 20/1 is well worth backing, especially with Dale Swift taking off a handy 5lbs... - x

http://www.attheraces.com/VideoConsole/?va=ASC_2010_05_08_06_1710
Medicean Man - has his quirks, another hold up/mid div type who has his best ground conditions and a big field to set up a nice pace who mostly are making there seasonal debuts... his debut run at Wolverhampton gives him a great chance here imo [Jimmy Styles franking the form yesterday] 9/1 8/1 is a fair price... - x
http://www.attheraces.com/VideoConsole/?va=WOL_2011_03_12_05_1625
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 03, 2011, 17:47:48 PM
Florida Derby Day at Gulfstream Park

here is a link if u fancy watching some US horse racing... http://www.drf.com/news/florida-derby-day-gulfstream-park/#live-video
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: bigredders on April 03, 2011, 18:16:06 PM
Backed just 2 this weekend, King of Eden at a nice price (look out for this one throughtout the season, Eric Alston thinks a bit of this one, was always going to improve this year) and took a chance on Nasri to no avail.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 03, 2011, 23:22:29 PM

Backed just 2 this weekend, King of Eden at a nice price (look out for this one throughtout the season, Eric Alston thinks a bit of this one, was always going to improve this year) and took a chance on Nasri to no avail.


traded at 10.00 to 13.00 on Betfair, great value KoE, good pick redders...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: bigredders on April 03, 2011, 23:30:58 PM


Backed just 2 this weekend, King of Eden at a nice price (look out for this one throughtout the season, Eric Alston thinks a bit of this one, was always going to improve this year) and took a chance on Nasri to no avail.


traded at 10.00 to 13.00 on Betfair, great value KoE, good pick redders...


Yeah, got 12.75....definately one to watch.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 04, 2011, 00:18:16 AM



Backed just 2 this weekend, King of Eden at a nice price (look out for this one throughtout the season, Eric Alston thinks a bit of this one, was always going to improve this year) and took a chance on Nasri to no avail.


traded at 10.00 to 13.00 on Betfair, great value KoE, good pick redders...


Yeah, got 12.75....definately one to watch.


http://thefiguresneverlie.blogspot.com/2011/03/tom-segal-and-intuition.html

a bit of interesting reading for u redders [and any1 else into the GG"s] , Prof_Hindsight makes for good reading imho, does james over-think? meh who cares :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 04, 2011, 14:49:42 PM
Silverheels in the 2.40 at windsor is one for the notebook, looks a well above avg 2yo imho...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 09, 2011, 02:07:19 AM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Honeybadg on April 09, 2011, 08:22:41 AM
I have taken a pop at Silver by Nature.

Would have got 11lbs more if handicap had taken into account latest win.

Not jumped the fences before - (obvious negative)
Ground (?)

But 17.5/1 on Betfair seems reasonable to me ...

Saver on Quinz

L
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Denis67 on April 09, 2011, 11:17:25 AM
Four more to avoid;

Bluesea Cracker (win)
Oscar Time (win)
Skippers Brig (e/w) and
West End Rocker (e/w)

KJ Choi (at 66/1) giving me a run for my money in The Masters  :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 09, 2011, 11:36:15 AM
Another 4 more to levee alone

1st Silver By Nature
2nd Backstage
3rd Arbor Supreme
4th Chief Dan George  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on April 09, 2011, 11:44:57 AM

I have taken a pop at Silver by Nature.

Would have got 11lbs more if handicap had taken into account latest win.

Not jumped the fences before - (obvious negative)
Ground (?)

But 17.5/1 on Betfair seems reasonable to me ...

Saver on Quinz

L


Noooooooooooooooorrrrrrrr

Silver By Nature was an Ante Post pick of mine at 100/1

Now look what you"ve gone and done.   ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: samuel_9 on April 09, 2011, 15:04:44 PM
surley been all apaters you must back....... big fella thanks.......after all those updates he must be worth a wager
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 09, 2011, 17:15:10 PM
great race today, anyone on Ballabriggs ?

luvved the way the bald1-ng nipped away quick from ginger when he uttered ""bugger""   lmao
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Waz1892 on April 09, 2011, 17:16:37 PM

great race today, anyone on Ballabriggs ?

luvved the way the bald1-ng nipped away quick from ginger when he uttered ""bugger""   lmao


£10 @ 16-1 with laddies, and $10 @ 14 with 888 through APAT.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Swinebag on April 09, 2011, 17:17:21 PM

great race today, anyone on Ballabriggs ?
luvved the way the bald1-ng nipped away quick from ginger when he uttered ""bugger""   lmao


20 EW - tipped it for a few others too
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on April 09, 2011, 17:21:47 PM
Well done to all with winning bets.

Some early nasty falls, with the worst possible outcomes.  I didn"t really enjoy watching the race, especially when they raced past the two fences on the second circuit.

Not sure why, but very weird to watch.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Honeybadg on April 09, 2011, 20:24:31 PM


I have taken a pop at Silver by Nature.

Would have got 11lbs more if handicap had taken into account latest win.

Not jumped the fences before - (obvious negative)
Ground (?)

But 17.5/1 on Betfair seems reasonable to me ...

Saver on Quinz

L


Noooooooooooooooorrrrrrrr

Silver By Nature was an Ante Post pick of mine at 100/1

Now look what you"ve gone and done.   ;)


Hard to believe it got back into 11/1 ... had I been home I would of chopped part of my bet ... obviously 100/1 a great price!

L
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Ant1966 on April 09, 2011, 21:13:58 PM

Some early nasty falls, with the worst possible outcomes.  I didn"t really enjoy watching the race, especially when they raced past the two fences on the second circuit.

Not sure why, but very weird to watch.


I agree Leigh,love my horse racing but this was sad to see.

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 16, 2011, 07:10:25 AM
Another National today, its time for the Scots to hold theres and with Neptune Collonges racing, over half the field are out of the weights... Still i"ve got to have a small bet in it for interests sake, Frankel runs in the Greenham, if he puts in a impressive display i can see the 2000 Guineas cutting up.. The Spring Mile cavalry charge also takes place and will the 4year and 5year olds still keep on winning it?

Anyhows here are a few to avoid today lol  :)

AYR 3:25 - Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap
Always Right - 3rd 15/2
Poker De Sivola - x
Regal Heights - each-way - x

NEWBURY 3:45 - totescoop6 Spring Cup
Greyfriarschorista - x
Night Lily and  Suited And Booted - 2 small saver bets [i hope ;D] - x

RIPON 2:30
Mandurah - 1st 15/2

RIPON 3:00
Montaff - 1st 8/1

HAYDOCK 6:00
Boundless Spirit - x



The scoop6 races today are -
Race 1 : 2.05 Newbury - Verdant and Halicarnassus
Race 2 : 2.20 Ayr - Premier Sagas and Gilbarry
Race 3 : 2.40 Newbury - Cape Dollar, Rimth and Pontenuovo
Race 4 : 2.50 Ayr - Overturn and Hunterview
Race 5 : 3.25 Ayr - Always Right, Poker De Sivola and Regal Heights
Race 6 : 3.45 Newbury - Greyfriarschorista, Night Lily and Suited And Booted
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: MAIR on April 16, 2011, 12:10:25 PM
Got a wee flutter on the Scottish Grand National.


$5 ew on Neptune Collonges @ 26/1 :D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 16, 2011, 14:53:34 PM

Got a wee flutter on the Scottish Grand National.


$5 ew on Neptune Collonges @ 26/1 :D



glgl mair, gr8 price..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on April 16, 2011, 15:06:44 PM
Always Right,Merigo for me in the Scottish national
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on April 16, 2011, 15:37:02 PM
FML
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 16, 2011, 16:28:31 PM

FML


ul................  ew?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on April 16, 2011, 16:57:24 PM


FML


ul................  ew?
Nope and mrs backed the winner  :(
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 23, 2011, 00:53:54 AM
For a Saturday there is some pretty poor racing across the cards today imho...

SANDOWN 3:10 - bet365 Gold Cup Chase Handicap
Faasel - 2nd 14/1
Aimigayle - x

SANDOWN 4:50 - Poker At bet365.com Handicap
Guest Book - 2nd 16/1
Benandonner - x


good luck all whatever you are punting on today....

Always try to follow this golden rule and u wont go far wrong - if u spot a horse/s which in your opinion is/are likely to win and whose true odds [in your opinion] are less than the odds available with bookmakers/betfair etc, then u have found yourself a profitable betting opportunity........ :)  eazzzzy peeezzy  :)

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on April 24, 2011, 14:42:34 PM
the only problem !! what should a horse price be? opinions differ and some have an idea and some don"t. Surely a horse thats going to win should be short.So if it a good price back it !!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 24, 2011, 22:19:02 PM

the only problem !! what should a horse price be? opinions differ and some have an idea and some don"t. Surely a horse thats going to win should be short.So if it a good price back it !!


i said above in brackets [in your opinion]... horse race odds are indefinite, after all absolute odds reflect the exact chances of any eventuality like a flip of a coin for example.. the odds compilers price up prior [in there opinion], the tipsters put out there tips, punters with there own opinions also react, the betting market takes shape.. indefinite odds opinion versus opinion, overrounds to take into account etc etc.. indefinite odds are just that.... they are someone's interpretation of the possibilities that exist... therefore, in any sporting event you are pitching yourself against the odds setter.... it therefore follows that the odds offered on a horserace are not necessarily correct... put bluntly they are largely a guess....  we as the punter make a educated guess using whatever info we have at hand, we should ideally be pricing up each race ourselves looking for what we consider horses that are over priced/under rated by the betting market for whatever reason etc etc, then we make our bet or pass the race over because we cant get a decent price... do we not??  but we dont pass everytime, or else we are allowing the odds makers to dictate our betting patterns, so even when we cant get the price we"d like, we take the shorter because we think we"ll win... but not to often huh :)  its the road to the poor house if we do it one to many times ;D
Quote
Surely a horse thats going to win should be short.So if it a good price back it !!

i"ve read the above but cant quite fathom the point, so forgive my thickness if i am totally off with what you are trying to point out... a horse that in our opinion can win won"t always be short, our selection method may be different to the majority of the market....

the indefinite proposition, oh what joy it is :) there are random factors to be considered in every horse race and those random factors will kick in from time to time, well lol lol sometimes more than from time to time.... :)


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on April 25, 2011, 09:57:39 AM
think about Noble you might get it ???

We could go on and on - but betting on horses is like playing poker.Loads of incomplete information but above all the team holding the aces "the odds makers" can be cracked by using their misconceptions against them.Thats why I bet in Handicaps.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 25, 2011, 13:19:10 PM

think about Noble you might get it ???

We could go on and on - but betting on horses is like playing poker.Loads of incomplete information but above all the team holding the aces "the odds makers" can be cracked by using their misconceptions against them.Thats why I bet in Handicaps.


again the above is errrrrr ?
poker is absolute odds...
the odds compilers are very bright, the bookmaker firms wont employ any old herbert, believe it or not... there misconceptions?
the punters are the ones with the misconceptions !!  :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on April 25, 2011, 13:41:37 PM
lol poker is luck and to call it  is absolute odds is more than incorrect.In any one hand even if you have the " so called odds to call "you might be dead due to the fact of the cards already being out.So in any one hand you never know.

The bookies make a favorite in every race.Less than 40% of favorites win.The bookies win because they take bets on every horse and balance the books.Many punters are skint but by the same token many bookies have gone bust. We will never agree but hey its only my opinion but im trying to say is that the mainstream opinion of what it takes to win a race in the country is totally wrong or more favorites would win and less punters would be skint.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 25, 2011, 14:01:09 PM
all i can say is sigh....

you have your outs,your opponent/s have theres, there are only so many cards left possibly in the deck, absolute odds.....  poker is not indefinite, after all we dont get say random cards suddenly being added to the deck do we, well u might in the odd home game if there is a cheating so+so in it lol  :)

there are over-rounds, 1 to 2% per horse, thats how long term works, the rest is common sense, laying off bets or shortening or lengthening other horses odds etc etc... 
30% ish favourites win long term is a bit closer to the actual amount of times that they win.....


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on April 26, 2011, 09:26:29 AM
http://www.racing-index.com/tipsters/tipster-performance.php?tipster=PACEFORMFREETIPS&backlay=back&sdate=01%2F04%2F2011&edate=25%2F04%2F2011&advised=No

You seem to be very arrogant Noble1 but I let the results speak form them self.Thank good the flat season is underway. ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 26, 2011, 14:14:38 PM
not arrogant, just dont agree with u  :)   tried to point it out... sorry u took it that way..

small sample, but well done sir , keep it up...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on April 27, 2011, 09:13:27 AM
all i can say is sigh....

comes across as arrogant. edit ..........
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 27, 2011, 19:51:48 PM

all i can say is sigh....

comes across as arrogant.


maybe one day [if ever] u will come back and edit the above.. :) edit BIG BABY ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 29, 2011, 21:51:47 PM
here are some donks to avoid [bar FRANKEL :)]  i"m there tomorrow, hopefully to see Frankel win :)
good luck all whatever you are punt on tomorrow....


NEWMARKET 2:00 -
Brick Red - x
Breakheart - 3rd 7/1

NEWMARKET 2:30 -
Dandino - 1st 7/4

NEWMARKET 3:10 -
Frankel  :) :) :) - 1st 1/2
Casamento EW - x

NEWMARKET 3:45 -
Borderlescott - x
Tangerine Trees - 1st 18/1

NEWMARKET 4:20 -
Coeus - 2nd 6/1
Regal Approval - x

NEWMARKET 4:55 -
Cai Shen - 2nd 4/1
Namibian - x

NEWMARKET 5:25 -
Twice Bitten - x
Zain Shamardal - 3rd 3/1

DONCASTER 7:45 -
We Have A Dream - x

THIRSK 4:45 -
Amazing Star - 3rd 12/1

THIRSK 5:15 -
Blaze Of Thunder - x

THIRSK 5:45 -
Mey Blossom - x
Tillys Tale - x

GOODWOOD 2:15 -
Gallic Star - EW - x

GOODWOOD 4:00 -
Humidor - 1st 15/2
Judge n" Jury - x

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: hollaboo on April 29, 2011, 22:41:55 PM
small punt on roderic o connor for a bit of interest, got a bit to find with frankl but i might get a run for my money
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ronaldo07 on April 30, 2011, 11:24:47 AM

small punt on roderic o connor for a bit of interest, got a bit to find with frankl but i might get a run for my money


+1

GLGL
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on April 30, 2011, 12:22:03 PM
Native Khan e/w in the guineas for me. Dandino and Jonny Mudball have also been jinxed.  :D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: mousebob on April 30, 2011, 21:58:20 PM
FRANKEL..Awesome.
Wish I"d been there.
Report please Noble.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Swinebag on May 01, 2011, 00:46:45 AM

FRANKEL..Awesome.
Wish I"d been there.
Report please Noble.


saw he had a pacesetter, but that plan went out the window the moment he shot out of the stalls.

The only thing to compare it to would be watching Usain Bolt at his school sports day.

Awesome!!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: bigredders on May 01, 2011, 01:02:43 AM
Awesome performance couldn"t believe the pacesetter couldnt keep up! I had Dubawi Gold at 85-1 on betfair so a little gutted that a wonder horse was in the race!

As for tommoro, its all about MEMORY....lump lump lump! I love me is a lively outsider.

Good luck all
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 01, 2011, 09:47:59 AM
well apart from the going reports prior to goodwood and thirsk being totally out i had a ok day yesterday :)
Frankel :) hmmm took the breath away, what more can u say, he went for a stroll and the others could not match his cruise speed.. i"ve been looking at the race times and doing the going allowance etc and Frankels figures are way ahead of anything in recent years.. i"ve re-checked 4 times  :) lol lol , he idled towards the end but still looked as if he"d pick up again if asked hence i"m still scratching my head wondering what sort of figure he"d do if he went flat out :)
having been down newmarket watching him on the wet gallop prior to this and seeing TQ having a job to ease him up at the end, in theory he"ll be better over longer... he is in good hands with Henry C [none better imho] so no doubt he"ll have some training regime sorted for the monster...
i"m off again today, hoping Maqaasid wins the 1000-G, lumped on antepost so i"m biased  :) Clear Praise and Jack My Boy in the 3.50 i"ve backed plus a tad bit more on course is the plan....

good luck if you are punting today....

for those interested here is a link on Frankels dosage figure - http://www.chef-de-race.com/dosage/classics/2011/2011_2000_guineas_preview.htm

timeform ratings, Frankel has been given 142 for now - http://www.chef-de-race.com/articles/timeform_highweights.htm

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on May 01, 2011, 11:50:53 AM
Misty for me in the guineas. Contredanse in the 2.35
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: bigredders on May 04, 2011, 00:36:10 AM
Not strictly a Saturday but what are everyones bets for Chester/Punchestown?

Have to be on Fadhaa in the last IMO....will improve for the step up in trip and Hills loves a winner at Chester. Also on Blue Jack in the handicap sprint, i have heard a good word that he will not be out of the first 3...he has also won a listed race at the track last year.

As for the Chester cup, i think Mount Athos would be massively interesting if he had a better draw...also Red Cadeuax, although i don"t like backing hold up horses at Chester.

Oh and one more...El wasaami in the maiden EW...love backing Clive Brittains on their 2nd start...although has a live one to beat in Columbian.

Good luck everyone!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 04, 2011, 04:15:36 AM

Not strictly a Saturday but what are everyones bets for Chester/Punchestown?

Have to be on Fadhaa in the last IMO....will improve for the step up in trip and Hills loves a winner at Chester. Also on Blue Jack in the handicap sprint, i have heard a good word that he will not be out of the first 3...he has also won a listed race at the track last year.

As for the Chester cup, i think Mount Athos would be massively interesting if he had a better draw...also Red Cadeuax, although i don"t like backing hold up horses at Chester.

Oh and one more...El wasaami in the maiden EW...love backing Clive Brittains on their 2nd start...although has a live one to beat in Columbian.

Good luck everyone!


for me Kauto for the gold cup- x, hurrican run saturday, at chester swingkeel ew- x  , in the sprint doctor parkes - 1st 10/1, a funny bugger who lost his way last year and ran well on his seasonal debut under top weight in a competitive class4 hc over 6f, drop back shouldn"t be a prob, ok draw bottom weight, hanagan on board, speculative :)

glgl redders
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 04, 2011, 21:15:50 PM
http://www.apat.com/forum/index.php?topic=6616.msg137063#msg137063

got into a discussion about pace, can it be applied to uk racing? meh the lack of info is a stumbling block imho.. or should i say the lack of freely available info??
when u visit the BHA site - http://britishhorseracing.org/resources/media/ratings.asp , for newcomers to horse racing is there enough info for a beginner ??
other sites offering form etc are just lengths beaten, a poor analysis sometimes, dodgy ratings? and not much else..

now compare to say Hong Kong - http://www.hkjc.com/home/english/index.asp
there free user guide - http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/userguide.asp?FrmRaceNum=01
there race cards - http://www.hkjc.com/english/racing/startersR1_e.asp
there form guides - http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/formguide.asp?FrmRaceNum=01#
there tv coverage - http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/showcase.asp - is it better [as in analysis?]

horse weights. sectional times and speed figures, press for a pace map etc etc stats galore, trainer, jockey and draws etc etc fitness ratings etc...

what to make of the BHA site , is it good enough?


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thacker on May 06, 2011, 21:05:07 PM
There is plenty info and thats why I win "the pace"
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 07, 2011, 04:18:43 AM
Couple of donks for the Victoria Cup calvary charge at Ascot...

ASCOT 3:25
Gouray Girl - x
Brae Hill - 4th 9/1


brae hill 2 good recent runs in the lincoln and the spring cup, dropping back a furlong wont be a problem and lee topliss claims a handy 5lbs.. gouray girl a lightly raced 4 year old who looked in need of a run on her debut at yarmouth, stepped up from 6f to 7f at the end of the 2010 season for the 1st time winning cosily at newbury, may have a tad more in hand...

glgl whatever u punt on today................
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: bigredders on May 07, 2011, 10:35:37 AM

Couple of donks for the Victoria Cup calvary charge at Ascot...

ASCOT 3:25
Gouray Girl
Brae Hill


brae hill 2 good recent runs in the lincoln and the spring cup, dropping back a furlong wont be a problem and lee topliss claims a handy 5lbs.. gouray girl a lightly raced 4 year old who looked in need of a run on her debut at yarmouth, stepped up from 6f to 7f at the end of the 2010 season for the 1st time winning cosily at newbury, may have a tad more in hand...

glgl whatever u punt on today................



Im on Noble Citizen....beeen aimed for this race, loves the course...worth a go at 40-1. Also Shammadar....this is a group horse in a handicap, has won at the course before. just hope its good enough to do itself justice first time up.

Also look out for Kingsgate Native in the last at Ascot. They firmly believe that this could be a very good 4yr old...might need a run first time out but still worth backing at 25-1 even so.

GL everyone.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 14, 2011, 02:18:54 AM
FA cup day, sorry Rob :) ""come on STOKE"" , now that city have there millions and have secured 4th spot i think its only fair that Stoke win today, plus what with all that money your boys have, now i"m green with envy being a toffee man and strangely i just luvvvv it when City get beat.. lol  :)
Scratched my head tbh with the media tripe about the FA cup not being at its usual date, with the champions league final only in 2 weeks it would make sense to move it forward would it not? Again next year with the Euro champs surely again it makes sense to give our precious England 4 weeks rest before destroying all before them lol lol... Then all back to normal for 2013, whats all the fuss?

So onto some Saturday donking with the usual tough competitive races to sort out, avoid these if you dare !!! lol  :o


NEWMARKET 1:45 - Benandonner - 1st 16/1
NEWBURY 2:35 - Novellen Lad - 1st 16/1  
NEWMARKET 2:50 - Chiberta King - x
NEWMARKET 3:25 - Glencadam Gold - 1st 2/1
NEWMARKET 5:10 - Sumbe - x
THIRSK 3:50 - Advanced - 2nd 13/2
THIRSK 5:00 - Strike Up The Band - 2nd 12/1


Scoop 6
NEWBURY 2:00 - Akmal & Polly"s Mark
NEWBURY 2:35 - Novellen Lad , R Woody & Addictive Dream
NEWMARKET 2:50 - Chiberta King , Trovare & Nanton
NEWBURY 3:10 - Labarinto & Dominant
NEWMARKET 3:25 - Glencadam Gold & Parlour Games
NEWBURY 3:45 - Dick Turpin & Canford Cliffs
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 14, 2011, 10:17:54 AM
1.45 Newmarket Con Artist
4.00 Newmarket Tell Dad

2.00 Newbury Polly"s Mark
3.45 Newbury Dick Turpin

8.40 Doncaster Falmouth Bay
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: bigredders on May 14, 2011, 13:55:16 PM
2.35 Newbury - Kingsgate Native
2.15 Newmarket  -I Love Me
3.50 Thirsk  -Advanced

GL
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 21, 2011, 02:45:51 AM
GOODWOOD 2:15 - Everymanforhimself - x
HAYDOCK 2:30 - Winter"s Night EW - 3rd 9/1
YORK 3:40 -  Masamah - 1st 8/1 , Hotham EW - x


SCOOP 6
HAYDOCK 2:00 - Reflect , Wayward Glance
GOODWOOD 2:15 - Everymanforhimself , Fathsta , Parisian Pyramid
HAYDOCK 2:30 - Winter"s Night
GOODWOOD 2:45 - Harlestone Times
HAYDOCK 3:00 - Borderlescott , Kingsgate Native
YORK 3:40 - Hotham , Masamah , Kaldoun Kingdom , Humidor NR , Barney Mcgrew
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Scousebill on May 21, 2011, 12:59:25 PM
HAYDOCK 2:00 Brown Panther

;D

Good start

Followed with Parisian Pyramid EW and now done Tangerine Trees....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on May 21, 2011, 13:45:52 PM
Haydock:  Cry Fury, Sagramor & Kingsgate Native
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on May 21, 2011, 13:47:21 PM
Goodwood:  Take Ten, Chock A Block & Al Zir (Dettori treble)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on May 21, 2011, 13:49:23 PM
York:  Oasis Knight & Masamah
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 21, 2011, 14:00:50 PM
GLGLGLGLGLGL
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 21, 2011, 15:07:04 PM
Theology 3.10 York
Forte Dei Marmi 3.20 Goodwood
Bowdler"s Magic 4.35 Chester
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 28, 2011, 01:27:24 AM
JUST THE 3 DONKS TODAY :)

BEVERLEY 2:15 - Bop It - x
HAYDOCK 2:35 - Show Rainbow - 1st 5/2
HAYDOCK 3:05 - Crystal Capella - x

Derby next week, Recital for the win :-X
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 04, 2011, 03:53:54 AM
EPSOM 1:40 - Sergeant Ablett - x
EPSOM 2:10 - Caspar Netscher - x
EPSOM 3:15 - La Fortunata - 3rd 16/1
EPSOM 4:00 - Recital  :) :) :) :) :) - x

good luck all, hope u all have a great weekend....  toodle pip.........
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 04, 2011, 11:58:26 AM
Epsom

1.40 Charles Camoin
2.10 On The Dark Side
2.40 Fanunalter
3.15 Bertoliver
4.00 Vadamar
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 04, 2011, 11:59:22 AM
Doncaster

2.20 Byrony
2.50 My Kingdom
3.25 Alkimos
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 04, 2011, 12:01:01 PM
Musselburgh

2.05 Bold Bidder
2.35 Pony Acclaim
3.10 Mica Mika
3.40 Verinco
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 04, 2011, 16:36:07 PM

Epsom

1.40 Charles Camoin
2.10 On The Dark Side
2.40 Fanunalter
3.15 Bertoliver
4.00 Vadamar


186 to 1 double GOOD TIMES!!!

Had in a yankee with Mica Mika at musselburgh (beaten a length in 2nd); would have been a 2,430 to 1 treble SICK!!!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 04, 2011, 16:36:46 PM


Epsom

1.40 Charles Camoin
2.10 On The Dark Side
2.40 Fanunalter
3.15 Bertoliver
4.00 Vadamar


186 to 1 double GOOD TIMES!!!

Had in a yankee with Mica Mika at musselburgh (beaten a length in 2nd); would have been a 2,430 to 1 treble SICK!!!


even used my ONE TIME...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 04, 2011, 16:39:01 PM

Musselburgh

2.05 Bold Bidder
2.35 Pony Acclaim
3.10 Mica Mika
3.40 Verinco


case of seconditus at musselburgh...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 06, 2011, 00:48:56 AM


Epsom

1.40 Charles Camoin
2.10 On The Dark Side
2.40 Fanunalter
3.15 Bertoliver
4.00 Vadamar


186 to 1 double GOOD TIMES!!!

Had in a yankee with Mica Mika at musselburgh (beaten a length in 2nd); would have been a 2,430 to 1 treble SICK!!!


kerrr - ching...  n1  :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 11, 2011, 02:54:55 AM
YORK 2:40 - Balcarce Nov - x
YORK 3:15 - Elusive Prince - x
CHESTER 3:55 - Tartan Gunna - x

Got 9/1 for Deacon Blues in the Wokingham at Ascot next week WON..... Cannot wait for Tuesday to see how Frankel WON fares or rather how the others fare with him lol lol...  Goldikova v Canford Cliffs , Lay Oxerdose LOST like there is no tomorrow in the Kings Stand. it doesn"t stand a earthly , and the Coventry to sort out as well although i do like Mezmaar"s run at Haydock, it oooozed a bit of class... ROLL ON TUESDAY  :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 11, 2011, 11:16:33 AM
3.50 York, Sea Moon

Sandown, placepot
1.55 3 Mashaaref
2.25 4 Anoint
2.55 1 Our Jonathan
3.30 9 Night Carnation
4.05 4 Wooden King
4.40 10 Polperro
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 11, 2011, 13:29:28 PM
York

2.10 Bowdler"s Magic
2.40 Balcarce Nov
3.15 Majestic Myles
3.50 Flag Officer
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 11, 2011, 13:30:07 PM
Sandown

2.25 Wiqaaya
2.55 Law Of The Range
3.30 Margot Did
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 13, 2011, 19:11:30 PM
Royal Ascot Day 1

2.30 Canford Cliffs
3.05 Kingsgate Native
3.45 Frankel
4.25 Mezmaar
5.00 Australia Day
5.35 Bayleyf

GL all
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: bigredders on June 13, 2011, 23:56:40 PM
Royal Ascot - Day 1

2.30 - Canford Cliffs
3.05 - Overdose
3.40 - Dream Ahead (EW)
4.25 - St Barths
5.00 - Austrailia Day
5.35 - Magic City

Good luck all
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 14, 2011, 17:50:14 PM
Not a great day 1 with only the 2 short prices winning; hoping day 2 is better although the card looks tough.

Royal Ascot Day 2

2.30 Western Aristocrat
3.05 I"m A Dreamer
3.45 So You Think
4.25 Eton Forever
5.00 Best Terms
5.35 Traffic Sister

GL all
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: bigredders on June 15, 2011, 01:15:27 AM
A case of so near yet so far today (whether St Barths would have got there is debatable though)

Very much a tough one today, could well be a day for shorties again.

2.30 Codemaster
3.05 Sajahaa, Shamadar (EW)
3.45 A race to leave alone, i do like the look of Rewilding at a price though
4.25 stuck inbetween Soorah and Mont Agel though worried about the draw for both
5.00 Gypsy Robin
5.35 Secret Love and Sonning Rose


Good luck everyone.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 15, 2011, 03:18:47 AM
ASCOT 2:30 - Jersey Stakes
Havane Smoker - x
Oracle - x

ASCOT 3:05 - Windsor Forest Stakes
Music Show - x
Jacqueline Quest - x

ASCOT 3:45 - Prince of Wales"s Stakes
Planteur - x
Twice Over - x

ASCOT 4:25 - Royal Hunt Cup
Bronze Prince - x
Brick Red - x
Point North - x

ASCOT 5:00 - Queen Mary Stakes
Shumoos - 2nd 6/4
Vocational
Dozy

ASCOT 5:35 - Sandringham Handicap
Winter"s Night - 3rd 11/2
Dubai Queen - 2nd 9/2
Humdrum
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 15, 2011, 22:14:53 PM
One winner from a tough day 2 card, day 3 might just be harder.

Royal Ascot Day 3

2.30 Pyman"s Theory
3.05 Highest
3.45 Manighar
4.25 Tropical Beat
5.00 Alkimos
5.35 Sud Pacifique

GL all
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: bigredders on June 16, 2011, 00:23:59 AM

A case of so near yet so far today (whether St Barths would have got there is debatable though)

Very much a tough one today, could well be a day for shorties again.

2.30 Codemaster
3.05 Sajahaa, Shamadar (EW)
3.45 A race to leave alone, i do like the look of Rewilding at a price though
4.25 stuck inbetween Soorah and Mont Agel though worried about the draw for both
5.00 Gypsy Robin
5.35 Secret Love and Sonning Rose


Good luck everyone.



blerrgh! left alone because it was only 7 runners...was 19-1 on betfair last night!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 16, 2011, 02:29:08 AM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 16, 2011, 18:12:26 PM
Royal Ascot Day 4

2.30 Illaunglass
3.05 World Domination
3.45 Together
4.25 Green Destiny
5.00 Ittirad
5.35 No Hubris
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 17, 2011, 03:37:13 AM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 18, 2011, 03:47:05 AM
A wee crack at the scoop6..

NEWMARKET (JULY) 2:05 -
Johnny Castle - 1st 9/4
Admirable Spirit
Bassett Road
City Legend - n/r

NEWMARKET (JULY) 2:35 -
Bunce
Ivory Silk - 1st 8/1
Dancing Maite

AYR 2:50 -
Calypso Magic - x
Honeymead - x

AYR 3:25 -
The Nifty Fox - x
Beat The Bell - x

ASCOT 3:45 -
Hooray - x
Bewitched - x
Dalghar - x

ASCOT 4:25 -
Deacon Blues - 1st 15/2
Fathsta
Hoof It


Good steady form + class + capability + hard graft + probability + temperament + cold logic = WINNERS
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 18, 2011, 12:20:25 PM
Last day of Royal Ascot

2.30 Fort Bastion
3.05 Campanologist
3.45 Kingsgate Native
4.25 Mac"s Power
5.00 Rock A Doodle Doo
5.35 Not Till Monday
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 18, 2011, 13:16:31 PM
Ayr

2.20 Celerina
2.50 Calypso Magic
3.25 Quest For Success
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 18, 2011, 13:17:07 PM
Redcar

3.20 Koo And The Gang
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 18, 2011, 13:18:41 PM
Newmarket

2.05 Admirable Spirit
2.35 Ivory Silk
3.10 Tameen
3.40 Quality Art
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 18, 2011, 14:20:11 PM
ASCOT 2:30 - Chesham Stakes - shortlist
Maybe - 1st 5/2
Falls Of Lora
Fort Bastion - 2nd 9/2
Polydamos


ASCOT 3:05 - Hardwicke Stakes - shortlist
Poet - WIN - x
Passion For Gold
Laaheb


ASCOT 3:45 - Golden Jubilee Stakes - shortlist
Star Witness
Hooray - WIN - x
Bewitched
Dalghar


ASCOT 4:25 - Wokingham Stakes - shortlist
Prime Defender
Deacon Blues - WIN - 1st 15/2
Colonel Mak
Imperial Guest
Fathsta
Hoof It


ASCOT 5:00 - Duke of Edinburgh Stakes - shortlist
Life And Soul
Prompter - EW - - x
Averroes - 3rd 11/1
Sharaayeen
Modun


ASCOT 5:35 - Queen Alexandra Stakes - shortlist
Degas Art - EW - x
Halla San
Not Til Monday
Elyaadi - 2nd 4/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 19, 2011, 12:44:34 PM
Was struggling at Royal Ascot all week but was able to get out in profit for the week with a 337/1 double on the final day (Society Rock & Fox Hunt).

Great racing all week and set up some cracking clashes for the rest of the season (canford vs. frankel, await the dawn vs. workforce et al...)

Bring on the July meeting at Newmarket!!!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 25, 2011, 13:16:29 PM
Just the one bet for me today - NEWCASTLE 3:05 - La Vecchia Scuola.... - x
out of form is the negative, a single figure draw on ground he prefers today is a positive though, plus he has a trainer with a habit of picking up the odd big handicap with big price outsiders [Nanton in the zetland cup @25/1 back in May].. La Vecchia Scuola runs off 94 today, same as when he came 2nd in the ceasarewitch last year.. all in all seems worth a speculative punt imho..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 25, 2011, 13:38:06 PM
Newcastle

2.00 Waffle
2.30 Marvellous Value
3.05 English Summer
3.40 Xilerator
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 25, 2011, 13:38:53 PM
Newmarket

2.15 Hawfinch
2.45 Verdant
3.20 Beacon Lodge
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 26, 2011, 13:31:24 PM
Irish Derby day at the Curragh

1.40 After
2.10 Choir
3.10 Inxile
3.50 Seville
5.00 Pirateer
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 26, 2011, 13:56:57 PM
Curragh

2.40 Glor Na Mara, Queenie Keen
4.30 Casbah Rock, Gimli"s Rock
5.30 Estithmaar, Bold Thady Quill
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 02, 2011, 13:38:33 PM
Eclipse day at Sandown;

Should be a top Group 1 contest, Workforce is very good but love the trends in this race for beaten horses in the prince of wales at royal ascot.  So You Think finished 2nd well clear of Sri Putan and has to be the selection.  Fillies have a bad record in the race so cant have Snow Fairy after a long layoff.  Not much of a price at 10/11 but will be including in the saturday yankee.

2.00 Margot Did
2.35 Toolan
3.10 So You Think
3.40 Chiberta King



Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 02, 2011, 13:39:26 PM
Haydock

2.15 Swift Alhaarth
2.50 Gertrude Bell
3.25 Bourne
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 02, 2011, 13:56:12 PM
SANDOWN 2:00 - Pastoral Player - x
SANDOWN 2:35 - Harrison George ew - x
SANDOWN 3:40 - Ship"s Biscuit - x
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 02, 2011, 13:59:06 PM
HAYDOCK 2:15 - Swift Alhaarth ew - 2nd 9/2
HAYDOCK 2:50 - Dorcas Lane ew - 3rd 13/2
HAYDOCK 3:25 - Classic Vintage - x
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 02, 2011, 14:37:38 PM
just a double today

2.50 Hay
Vita Nova

4.15 Sand
Nahrain

If i was to have a bet in the 3.10 it would be on Workforce
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 02, 2011, 15:50:33 PM
Great race for the Coral Eclipse, 2 great champions.  Workforce loses nothing in defeat and Sri Putan runs another cracker to confirm the form of the Prince Of Wales at Royal Ascot.  So You Think an outstanding winner - how good is Rewilding now???
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 02, 2011, 15:54:47 PM

just a double today

2.50 Hay
Vita Nova

4.15 Sand
Nahrain

If i was to have a bet in the 3.10 it would be on Workforce


You were very unlucky with Vita Nova.  Saddle slipped and would surely have won otherwise.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 03, 2011, 19:43:21 PM


just a double today

2.50 Hay
Vita Nova

4.15 Sand
Nahrain

If i was to have a bet in the 3.10 it would be on Workforce


You were very unlucky with Vita Nova.  Saddle slipped and would surely have won otherwise.

That"s how I"m running at the moment "Should have won but didn"t"

Queally did well to hang on

Made up for it today with a double in Rugby League
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 06, 2011, 21:21:16 PM
1st day of Newmarket July meeting tomorrow;

1.20 Masked Marvel
1.50 Church Music
2.25 Tullius
3.00 Dordogne
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 07, 2011, 13:10:18 PM
1.20 favourite - 1st 2/1
1.50 favourite - 2nd 6/4
2.25 Malthouse - 4th 16/1& Labarinto - 3rd 11/1
3.00 Crystal Capella - 1st 4/1 & Redwood - 2nd 2/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 07, 2011, 19:19:02 PM
Friday

Newmarket

1.20 Tuscania
1.50 Desert Law
2.25 Shumoos
3.00 Memory

York

2.35 Rose Blossom
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: bigredders on July 07, 2011, 22:24:51 PM
Hi guys.... first of all i agree entirely with James think Rose Blossom has a massive chance at york, it has been underperforming in group 1"s, but they still think a lot of him.

2nd of all i have a huge fancy for Kingsgate Choice Ascot 4pm....been following this horse ever since it was been talked up as a group horse...it has been running over an inadequate 5f last twice, running on strongly both times. It is the first time Robert Winston has been jocked up since last year (he knows the horse so well.) There are progressive types in the line-up, but at 12-1 its well worth a shot! Get on early, John Best is a well known gambling stable.

3rd of all, if it keeps raining Dream Ahead will win the July cup...that is all!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 08, 2011, 13:19:26 PM
NEWMARKET
1:20 - Hezmah - x
1:50 - Ballista - x  & Desert Law - 4th 12/1
2:25 - Inetrobil - - x
3:00 - Sahpresa - 2nd 13/8

YORK
2:35 - Ladies Are Forever - 1st 9/2 [good luck with Rose Blossom]

ASCOT
4:00 - Elna Bright ew - - x [Reposer from the same stable looks interesting too Redders]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 09, 2011, 12:46:07 PM
York
2.05 Masamah
2.40 Eternal Heart
3.15 Tepmokea
3.55 Snow Bay

Newmarket
2.20 Fort Bastion
2.55 Manassas
3.35 Amico Fritz

Ascot
3.45 Side Glance
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 09, 2011, 14:03:18 PM
YORK 2:05 - Masamah - 1st 9/2
YORK 2:40 -  Eternal Heart - x
YORK 3:15 - Pintura ew - x
YORK 3:55 - Captain Bertie ew - x
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 09, 2011, 14:09:20 PM
NEWMARKET 2:20 - Fort Bastion - x
NEWMARKET 2:55 - King Of Jazz ew - x
NEWMARKET 3:35 - Elzaam - x

good pick in the 2.05 JE
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 09, 2011, 14:12:04 PM
ASCOT 3:45 - Side Glance 3rd 6/4 - Red Jazz nb - x


there u go, a pick for each race on ch4... if pushed i"d nap Pintura ew and have Elzaam nb, 3rd pick is Captain Bertie ew
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: bigredders on July 09, 2011, 22:01:22 PM
yessssss!!! Dream ahead landed a huge punt...i think i love hayley turner even more now!!!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: thegeezer2k on July 10, 2011, 13:34:08 PM
Redders, were you mentioning it in the 888.com Racing Syndicate game?  If so I took your advice and backed it ew for a tasty profit, thanks

iliketrips
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 16, 2011, 11:23:21 AM
the quest to find the winner of each CH4 race today continues, easy peezy, gr8 weather like today makes it a doddle.. :)

MARKET RASEN 2:05 - Gloucester
MARKET RASEN 3:45 - Classic Swain

NEWBURY 2:20 - Pastoral Player
NEWBURY 2:55 - Byrony
NEWBURY 3:30 - Lily"s Angel - 2nd 4/1

NEWMARKET 2:35 - Wild Coco - 1st 4/5
NEWMARKET 3:10 -  Namecheck - 1st 20/1

gla trying to find a winner today....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 16, 2011, 13:34:38 PM
Market Rasen

2.05 Viva Colonia
3.45 North Island

Newbury

2.20 Pastoral Player
2.55 Heavenly Dawn
3.30 Mention

Newmarket

2.35 Imperial Pippin
3.10 Snow Bay
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 23, 2011, 13:10:49 PM
Another top weekend of racing, King George should be an epic and lots of big handicaps to get stuck into;

Ascot

2.40 Russelliana
3.15 Albaasil
3.50 Excellent Guest
4.30 Workforce
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 23, 2011, 13:11:44 PM
Newmarket

2.15 Club Oceanic
2.45 Ishbelle
3.20 Cinderkamp

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 23, 2011, 13:12:56 PM
York

2.00 Last Bid
2.30 Elmaam
3.05 Class Is Class
3.40 Irish Heartbeat

Glorious Goodwood next week...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 23, 2011, 16:57:14 PM
King George turned into a horror show.  Such a shame after all the hype surrounding the race.  Onto Glorious Goodwood to get positive racing headlines going again.  Frankel vs Canford Cliffs on Wednesday - clash of the season so far...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 25, 2011, 19:27:13 PM
Glorious Goodwood Day 1

2.00 Forte Dei Marmi
2.35 Fiorente
3.10 Delegator
3.45 Crown Dependency
4.20 Sequoia
4.50 Don"t Call Me
5.25 Fathom Five
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 25, 2011, 23:33:16 PM

Glorious Goodwood Day 1

2.00 Forte Dei Marmi
2.35 Fiorente
3.10 Delegator
3.45 Crown Dependency
4.20 Sequoia
4.50 Don"t Call Me
5.25 Fathom Five


GOODWOOD 2:00 - Arlequin - ew - 1st 20/1
GOODWOOD 2:35 - Fiorente - 2nd 11/10
GOODWOOD 3:10 - Libranno - x
GOODWOOD 3:45 - Requinto - 1st 6/1
GOODWOOD 4:20 - Menelik - x
GOODWOOD 4:50 - Charlie Cool - ew - x
GOODWOOD 5:25 - Arganil [worth a chance for this AW specialist having dropped to a winnable mark] - x
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 26, 2011, 23:53:07 PM
Blank on day 1, hoping for much better on day 2.

Glorious Goodwood

2.00 Cosimo De Medici
2.35 Chandlery
3.10 Canford Cliffs
3.45 Four Nations
4.20 Deduction
4.55 Zenella
5.30 Apache Glory

Especially looking forward to the Sussex stakes; fancy Frankel will blast from the front again but Canford will pick him up on the line
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 27, 2011, 05:00:29 AM

Blank on day 1, hoping for much better on day 2.

Glorious Goodwood

2.00 Cosimo De Medici
2.35 Chandlery
3.10 Canford Cliffs
3.45 Four Nations
4.20 Deduction
4.55 Zenella
5.30 Apache Glory

Especially looking forward to the Sussex stakes; fancy Frankel will blast from the front again but Canford will pick him up on the line


I"m in the opposite camp, Frankel to be ridden with a little more restraint and then to be unleashed at around 3furlongs out using that speed to full effect... [i hope :)]

meh change of strategy to my usual picks that i put up in the thread i"ll put up my shortlist as i tend to back more than one anyway in these tough competitive races...

GOODWOOD 2:00 -
Spirit Of Adjisa - x
Liberate - x
Dazinski - x
Trovare - x

GOODWOOD 2:35 -
Chandlery - 1st 5/2
Red Duke - 3rd 11/4

GOODWOOD 3:10 -
Frankel - 1st 8/13

GOODWOOD 3:45 - [toughest race today to sort out, these 3 at small stakes for me]
Tanfeeth - x
Watercourse - x
Arch Fire - 2nd 9/2

GOODWOOD 4:20 -
Diamond Finesse - x
My Queenie - 3rd 8/1

GOODWOOD 4:55 -
Common Touch - 2nd 100/30
Smarty Socks - 3rd 15/2
Webbow - 1st 9/1
Zenella - x

GOODWOOD 5:30 -
Imaginary World - 3rd 22/1
Musharakaat - x
Miss Aix - x
Totheendoftheearth - 2nd 7/1

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 27, 2011, 08:39:09 AM
Just the one today

2.35 Red Duke

3.10 Not had a bet on this but if I was,  then I would be on Frankel    
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: PantsMan on July 27, 2011, 13:12:08 PM
Amazing offer in my local bookies. If neither Canford or Frankel win they"ll return your bet. And who said you never get a generous bookie!  ::)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Swinebag on July 27, 2011, 14:28:12 PM
Going to have a little punt today


2.35 lethal force
3.10 Frankel (though will just be on a watching brief here)
3.45 four Nations
4.20 Sunday Times, Ice Missile EW
4.55 Smarty Socks
5.30 Askaud
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 27, 2011, 18:52:40 PM
Nice run by Frankel, he made the other group1 opponents look ordinary again.. It was good to see no idling this time, whatever his next target, be it over 8f or further, i can only see him improving.. [awesome prospect :)]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 27, 2011, 19:10:24 PM


GOODWOOD 4:55 -
Common Touch
Smarty Socks
Webbow

Zenella





Nice Tricast
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 27, 2011, 19:11:03 PM

Just the one today

2.35 Red Duke

3.10 Not had a bet on this but if I was,  then I would be on Frankel    



Red Duke got a shocking run - very unlucky
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 27, 2011, 19:14:39 PM

Nice run by Frankel, he made the other group1 opponents look ordinary again.. It was good to see no idling this time, whatever his next target, be it over 8f or further, i can only see him improving.. [awesome prospect :)]


Very impressive and given a much better ride.  Saw out the mile really well and will be very interesting over 10f (although he would win a group 1 over 6f easily).  Canford ran no sort of race - however he is top class which makes Frankel even better.  Would like to see them meet again over a mile at ascot, maybe in the QE2.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: mousebob on July 27, 2011, 23:05:49 PM
Fantastic to see Frankel do it so easily,
surely Canford had some sot of problem??
The betting seemed to tell the story.
Not often the crowd cheer horses GOING to the start !!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 28, 2011, 00:48:08 AM
Day 3 and I need some winners...

2.15 Tropical Beat
2.45 Amour Propre
3.15 Opinion Poll
3.45 Field Of Miracles
4.20 Amber Silk
4.55 Dimension
5.25 Action Front
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 28, 2011, 02:06:38 AM

Day 3 and I need some winners...

2.15 Tropical Beat
2.45 Amour Propre
3.15 Opinion Poll
3.45 Field Of Miracles
4.20 Amber Silk
4.55 Dimension
5.25 Action Front


you"ll bang them in left, right and centre when it happens...


ok so my short list today is -
GOODWOOD 2:15 -
Ashva - x
Oceanway - x
Chain Lightning - 2nd 8/1

GOODWOOD 2:45 -
Masamah - 1st 4/1
Stone Of Folca - - x
Amour Propre - 2nd 6/1

GOODWOOD 3:15 -
Opinion Poll - 1st 9/2
Montaff - - x
Chiberta King - - x
Tastahil - - x

GOODWOOD 3:45 -
Wild Coco - - x
Field Of Miracles - - x

GOODWOOD 4:20 -
Gifted Girl - 1st 4/1
Estedaama - - x
Swingland - - x

GOODWOOD 4:55 -
Tuscania - - x
Sinfonico - - x
Shropshire - - x
Bertiewhittle - - x

GOODWOOD 5:25 -
Good Boy Jackson - - x
Mica Mika - - x
Reflect - - x
Kinyras - 1st 4/1


looks tough today, so plenty ducking "n" diving on betfair with place bets, win bets and trading in running.. plus the odd lay bet is planned today here and there :)
glglgl today all......................
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 28, 2011, 11:35:14 AM
2.15 Tropical Beat
2.45 Noble Storm
3.15 Fox Hunt
3.45 Field Of Miracles
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 28, 2011, 18:31:31 PM
Glorious Goodwood Day 4

2.00 Jukebox Jury
2.35 Neebras
3.10 Sagramor
3.45 Harbour Watch
4.20 Glee
4.50 Rhythum Of Light
5.25 Quality Art
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 29, 2011, 03:32:06 AM

Glorious Goodwood Day 4

2.00 Jukebox Jury
2.35 Neebras
3.10 Sagramor
3.45 Harbour Watch
4.20 Glee
4.50 Rhythum Of Light
5.25 Quality Art


my short list of angles :)

GOODWOOD 2:00 -
Redwood - x
Indian Days - x

GOODWOOD 2:35 -
Western Aristocrat - 3rd 11/8
Neebras - 1st 4/1

GOODWOOD 3:10 -
Pintura - 3rd 18/1
Proponent - 2nd 14/1
Green Destiny - - x
Sooraah - 4th 14/1

GOODWOOD 3:45 -
Harbour Watch - 1st evs
Bannock - 2nd 13/2

GOODWOOD 4:20 -
Glee - - x
Royal Blush - - x

GOODWOOD 4:50 -
Maqaasid - - x
Sharnberry - x
Khor Sheed - x
Rhythm Of Light - x

GOODWOOD 5:25 -
Even Stevens - x
Quality Art - x
Catfish - 1st 8/1
Jamesway - x
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 30, 2011, 03:39:05 AM
last day of glorious GW.. :"(

and the short list of angles today are -

GOODWOOD 2:05 -
Oldjoesaid
Valery Borzov - 3rd 20/1
Mac Gille Eoin
Seek The Fair Land
Thunderball

GOODWOOD 2:35 -
Sharaayeen
Investissement - 3rd 14/1
Sirvino

GOODWOOD 3:10 -
Midday - 1st 6/4

GOODWOOD 3:45 -
Tax Free - 2nd 33/1
Lui Rei
Mac"s Power - 3rd 13/2
Colonel Mak
Tajneed

GOODWOOD 4:20 -
Sports Section - x
Mickdaam - x

GOODWOOD 4:55 -
Multi Blessing - n/r
Amis Reunis - x
Travis County - x

GOODWOOD 5:35 -
Night Lily - 2nd 14/1
Audemar
Guest Book


GLGL today with your punting...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Swinebag on July 30, 2011, 12:45:05 PM
My pin has landed in the following

2.05 - Mymumsaysimthebest
2.35 - Harlestone times
3.10 - Midday
3.45 - tiddlewinks EW
4.20 - niceofyoutotellme
4.55 - Es Que Love
5.35 - Moynahan

gl everyone
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on July 30, 2011, 13:46:30 PM
Glorious Goodwood

2.05 Saucy Brown
2.35 Activate
3.10 Snow Fairy
3.45 Nasri

Newmarket

2.20 Lay Time
2.50 Mention
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on August 06, 2011, 13:11:27 PM
Quite Saturday today, small stakes for interest only;

Ascot

2.00 Duchess Dora
2.30 Pivotman
3.00 Zuider Zee
3.35 Julius Geezer

Haydock

2.15 Naqshabban
2.45 Class Is Class

Newmarket

3.15 Desert Gazelle
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 07, 2011, 03:54:21 AM

Quite Saturday today, small stakes for interest only;

Ascot

2.00 Duchess Dora
2.30 Pivotman
3.00 Zuider Zee
3.35 Julius Geezer

Haydock

2.15 Naqshabban
2.45 Class Is Class

Newmarket

3.15 Desert Gazelle


due to Rob swinebag pressure for once i"ll give my tips after the event :)
i went to ascot etc etc and had 6 winners lol lol ... naaaa i wish ;D
basically my betting antics for the day -
had a combi straight forecast on 3/4/6 got 1st 2nd and 4th in the 1st race
2nd race - had a win bet on Woolfall Treasure who finished well but never quite looked like winning...
3rd race - fancied Dungannon but effing pricewise had tipped it up, i convinced myself that all the value was gone, so had a win bet on Shoshoni Wind instead.. Dungannon won lol...
4th race - Parlour Games looked gr8 in parade, best price i could get was 8/1 and he won...
5th race - went with Chock A Block in this one [win bet again] , i might as well just gave my money away :)
6th race - in profit for the day and i didn"t really fancy anything, the 3 market leaders looked the way to go, so i had a small combi straight forecast on em, they finished 1.2+3 and the 1,2 paid ok as the fav was the 3rd :)

so ok wise in profit terms, i didn"t go mad as nothing stood out... but it was a nice day out.. The York Ebor next and i hope the weather improves or its going to be tough punting...

unlucky with Duchess Dora Tje, just ran out of gas.. Z.zEE unfortunately had Jim Crowley on-board [he didn"t have the best of days] Pivotman hmmm say no more huh :) if u had seen him in the flesh beforehand u may of swerved that 1..
Julius Geezer looks badly handicapped, keep a eye out for him though when he drops a bit more in the weights, he"s a nice looking sort with a bit of filling out left to do, he may make a nice 4yo...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 13, 2011, 00:24:27 AM
NEWBURY 2:00 - Rigolleto - - x
NEWMARKET 2:15 - Mention - - x
NEWBURY 2:30 - Leqqaa - 3rd 13/2
NEWMARKET 2:45 - Berbice - - x
NEWBURY 3:05 - Meeznah - - x
NEWMARKET 3:20 - Lexi"s Hero - - x
RIPON 3:30 - Pepper Lane - 1st 11/1
NEWBURY 3:40 - Excelebration - 1st 5/4

1 for each tv race to keep one interested seeming that football wise the toffee"s have a day off :(

also had a small acca on QPR, Fulham and Wigan to all draw today...........

good luck with whatever your punts are today..

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on August 13, 2011, 12:20:50 PM
Newbury

2.00 Rigolleto
2.30 Rougemont
3.05 Times Up
3.40 Musir

Newmarket

2.15 Mention
2.45 Witchry
3.20 Elusive Prince

Ripon

Colonel Mak

Also hoping Adam Scott shoots low in the 3rd round of the USPGA so I can trade out a position.

Odds against home wins in the premiership have been very good to me in the past - QPR, Wigan & Blackburn is a nice little treble

GL all
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on August 13, 2011, 15:36:17 PM


RIPON 3:30 - Pepper Lane



Nice pick noble - I was on the other side of the track, but he won very easily
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 13, 2011, 16:50:26 PM



RIPON 3:30 - Pepper Lane



Nice pick noble - I was on the other side of the track, but he won very easily


thought i was going to draw a blank today but the last 2 donkeys won nicely... my acca looked promising before kick off but QPR are woeful in defence, not a very good pointer for when they play away :) [mr warnock to be the 1st premier manager to get sacked this season maybe a good punt :-X]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 14, 2011, 12:19:56 PM
just made me diddley ooodely liddley lol... ;D

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u_26S3KBE04&NR=1[/youtube]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on August 16, 2011, 16:53:27 PM
Ebor meeting day 1 at York

2.00 Rain Delayed
2.30 Archbishop
3.05 Seville
3.40 Await The Dawn
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 16, 2011, 20:28:54 PM
YORK
2:00 - Ancient Cross - - x
2:30 - Entifaadha - 1st 7/2
3:05 - Sea Moon - 1st 11/2
3:40 - Twice Over - 1st 11/2


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 17, 2011, 08:40:02 AM
2.00 Face The Problem
2.30 Entifaadha
3.05 Namibian
3.40 Midday
4.15 On The Hoof
4.50 Club Oceanic
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on August 17, 2011, 21:51:53 PM

YORK
2:00 - Ancient Cross
2:30 - Entifaadha
3:05 - Sea Moon
3:40 - Twice Over






Very nice treble!!!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on August 17, 2011, 22:17:34 PM
Ebor meeting day 2 at York;

2.00 Gerfalcon
2.30 Angels Will Fall
3.05 Markazzi
3.40 Blue Bunting
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 18, 2011, 00:46:39 AM
YORK 2:00 - Hestian - - x
YORK 2:30 - Angels Will Fall - - x
YORK 3:05 - Pintura - 3rd 6/1
YORK 3:40 - Banimpire - - x

crikey my shortlists were pretty big for today, there is some tough open racing today with nothing standing out to myself in the tv races.. anyhoooos Tje, good luck one and all...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on August 18, 2011, 17:10:07 PM
Ebor meeting day 3;

2.00 Bowdler"s Magic
2.30 Justineo
3.05 Nationalism
3.40 Prohibit
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 19, 2011, 08:39:52 AM
YORK 2:00 - Life And Soul - - x
YORK 2:30 - B Fifty Two - - x
YORK 3:05 - Dux Scholar - 3rd 11/4
YORK 3:40 - Requinto - http://horses.sportinglife.com/Video/Racing/0,27770,448604_3,00.html
really impressive in the molecomb,draw14 starts on the stand rail, lost 3lengths easily by switching to the center 2.5f out, really good time on the ground and imho is far quicker than what Kingsgate Native was as a 2yo[who finished 2nd in the molecomb prior to winning the nunthorpe].. gr8 chance with the wfaa and the price is fair... - x
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on August 20, 2011, 00:14:38 AM
Terrible week at York so far with Blue Bunting the only winner.  Hopefully picking the Ebor winner can save it;

York

2.00 Dafeef
2.30 Masaraat
3.05 Dandino
3.40 Nehaam

Sandown

2.15 Circumvent

Can"t watch live as out on a leo for a mate"s stag do - sky box set although may nip to bookies to watch the ebor live...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 20, 2011, 02:26:16 AM
just the ebor with 3 selections..

YORK 3:40
Blissful Moment - goes on all types of ground and is rather over looked because of Modun [seems odd to me how Modun is favoured, SMS tried him over 1m4f then dropped him to 1m2f, now at 1m6f ? not a usual SMS tactic]
A win bet is in order for the supposed 2nd string... - - x

Moyenne Corniche - each way - ran well in the Northumberland, just ran out of gas 1.5f out.. LTO was over 10f so put a line through that, has Dale Swift riding claiming a handy 3lbs.. - 1st 25/1

Sirvino - each way punt - quirky so+so with bits and bobs of form that gives him a shout and because he his the complete outsider, i just cannot resist :) - - x


meh and in the 2.30 Lyric Street [son of Hurricane Run] he looks like the type with stamina in abundance, very lightly raced as per the Cumani way.. Entered up in the St. Ledger ? Luca is careful with his entries, so take the 6 or 7 to 1 where you can imo... - x
Good chance with Masaraat TJE imho along with Kinyras and Parlour Games 1st 9/1 [who i saw and backed at Ascot] look to be the possible winners...

glgl one and all......

weekend football punt - trixie [3 dbles 1 treb]

Ar5enal v Liverpool - away win
Aston Villa v Blackburn - draw
Swansea v Wigan - away win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on August 21, 2011, 19:13:13 PM

Moyenne Corniche - each way - ran well in the Northumberland, just ran out of gas 1.5f out.. LTO was over 10f so put a line through that, has Dale Swift riding claiming a handy 3lbs..


Great pick again noble
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 22, 2011, 02:08:09 AM


Moyenne Corniche - each way - ran well in the Northumberland, just ran out of gas 1.5f out.. LTO was over 10f so put a line through that, has Dale Swift riding claiming a handy 3lbs..


Great pick again noble


tyty TJE, the blind squirrel sometimes finds the nut :)

hope the stag do went ok, recovery can be a bitch ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 03, 2011, 09:45:42 AM
HAYDOCK 2:30
English Summer - ew punt with a slim chance of a upset at a big price, ran better than it looked lto, not a good price for Tominator today imo and the market fancies are pretty much priced up ok.. n/r

HAYDOCK 3:35 - Betfred Sprint Cup
Elzaam - he caught my eye at Newbury, he ran well at Ascot on unsuitable ground, lto i"ll forgive his run at Newmarket, he just doesn"t seem to act there the 3 times he"s tried.. worth a little win bet... - x

i"m not going over board today with the gg betting today, tough racing with many a contender having chances in most races...

Workforce for the Arc is my ante post fancy, ignore all his runs in small fields as this tricky bugger needs cover or he pulls and hangs left [as per lto in the king george].. Ground wise should be ok unless it gets really unusually dry in France, he has a sound chance of achieving a Arc double imho... - x

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on September 03, 2011, 13:28:19 PM
Haydock

2.00 Navajo Chief
2.30 Shernando
3.00 Medici Time
3.35 Bated Breath

Kempton

2.15 Simon De Montfort
2.45 Layline

Ascot

3.15 Brae Hill
3.45 Halfsin
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on September 03, 2011, 17:35:41 PM

Haydock

2.00 Navajo Chief
2.30 Shernando
3.00 Medici Time
3.35 Bated Breath

Kempton

2.15 Simon De Montfort
2.45 Layline

Ascot

3.15 Brae Hill
3.45 Halfsin


shocking afternoon...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 04, 2011, 15:06:21 PM
[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a_tbrUtZF0M[/youtube]

a gr8 std of goalkeepers in NI i see ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on September 07, 2011, 21:17:55 PM
Doncaster - Thursday

1.25 Vassaria
1.55 Alanza
2.25 Mehdi
3.00 Set To Music
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 08, 2011, 11:45:52 AM
Quote
Running Good

I play about 16 MTTS in a month (500 + runners) I cash about 4 times of them and run deep twice (out of the 4) and FT once (out of the 4) and for every 4 times I FT I will be in the top 3 once. So on that basis I run good once every four month or every 64 games, is that good or bad? On those stats if I was to play 16 MTTS a day I will run good every 4 days. You see players on TV who always seem to be running deep in tournaments but how many tournaments have they entered? For me "running good" is in the short term or another word for "got lucky more than once in a week"


Wayne imo the strike rate in donkaments depends on buy in, number of runners and that little bit of luck in whichever seat u are assigned.. Hitting the top3 spot percentage wise in say 800+ fields is at most over a decent sample no more than 3% imho. To see how often/tough mtts can be then just look at OPR and check out moorman, Deeb or Bax etc who have consistently won there fair share over the years. ITM finishes range from only in the 15 to 17% area, the top3 % is only in the 2% ballpark [all dependent on buy in and field size]... Interesting stuff variance in mtts, but to win or finish top3 if say players are ITM any higher than 18%+ over a decent sample then they are probably playing a little to tight.. My thoughts on the luck element in a donkament is that if u are constantly/near enough getting your chips in ahead then u are wayyyy to tight, in order to finish in the elusive top3 spot u need to have a wee bit of sub-optimal play in your armoury.. [just not to much :)] i can think of a few hands when i have won or finished deep in big field mtts where going with my reads/stack size and whatever stage/level i"ve been at that i ended up getting in a spot totally dominated pre or post and binking a 3outer etc ;D.. BUT if that wasn"t within me to put my chips/stack at risk in certain situations then i"m pretty sure i"d never of gone deep or won etc..

nice blog post to read btw sir...

I was doing my usual lurking across the forums and i came across this - http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=54944.0
it reminded me of the time i wrote about deciding if the villain was betting for value or bluffing on the river when hero is oop on tricky textures [when hero has a strong"ish but not nutted hand]
i put here in the donkey thread but the mods re-titled and moved it, the responses disappointed me as i thought it was worth a wee bit of discussion :( .. in the above thread depending on what level of thought the players are at, even if u thought at say ""what hand/s is villain putting me on"" ... villains bet sizing etc plus heroes reads then if say hero thought about initially is villain bluffing or betting for value then considered villains bluff range, the board texture and his reads/thoughts throughout as the hand played out then i found it intriguing that no mentioned that villain used his 4x hand as a blocker, especially so since when hero led into 5 players that villain using his blocker would of helped him pinpoint heroes possible hand [then add in the board texture etc] it just shows imo at how whatever level u think at then it can be crucial to not just instantly think about the villains range but judge what level they are on thought wise and what they perceive heroes range as... hard for me to put in writing, but i hope u get the jist of what i"m saying regarding thought level etc...

On to the racing and good luck with your picks Tje, i spent a few hours going through the card at Donny and its a no bet but watch day for me..
Sorry for last Saturday as i had a punt on Bauer, i should of done my usual 2 or 3 picks and put it up, especially so after English Summer got pulled out.. Meh but i was busy etc so apologies to anyone who met back some of the donks i put up.. A friend of mine who has a couple of horses with Cumani had told me about Bauer and that on a recent visit how well the horse looked and that the tendon injury which had held him back since well u have to go back to his 2nd in the melbourne cup was finally sorted... Big big price on the day and virtually over looked by the punters, no doubt he will be going into quarantine soon and heading out to Australia once again, keep a eye out on the prices as he may well go one better...

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rYLTzXFVcb0[/youtube]

my short list for todays tv races, i could not pin point anything at a price i was happy with so sods law they"ll most likely all romp home :)

DONCASTER 1:25 -
Royal Blush
Amis Reunis
Poetic Dancer - 2nd 13/2

DONCASTER 1:55 -
Alanza - 1st 11/4
Chachamaidee [the top 2 are priced up about right imo] - 3rd 5/2
Dever Dream [finished behind Chachamaidee at Goodwood, todays ground and galloping track maybe enough to reverse placings] - 2nd 13/2

DONCASTER 2:25 -
Factory Time - 2nd 33/1
Betty Fontaine
West Leake Diman
plus add the obvious - Bogart [but not worth it at the price he is]
all picks but Bogart are rather big prices, tough race to sort out and nothing leaps out as being in the same league as last years winner Wootton Bassett, slim hopes for a big price shocker :o

DONCASTER 3:00 -
Meeznah - 1st 5/2
Goldplated [interesting]
Sense Of Purpose

good luck all, lets hope our donks sprout wings today....

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on September 08, 2011, 17:01:54 PM
2.25 Opinion Poll
3.00 Fallen For You
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on September 08, 2011, 21:20:34 PM
1,25 Angels Will Fall
1.55 Eternal Heart
2.25 Opinion Poll
3.00 Regal Realm
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 09, 2011, 07:12:54 AM
DONCASTER 1:25 -
Requinto - 1st 100/30
My Propeller - x

DONCASTER 1:55 -
Hawk Mountain - x
Old Hundred - 1st 16/1

DONCASTER 2:25 -
Motrice - 3rd 9/2

DONCASTER 3:00 -
Regal Realm - - x


get on Blue Bunting imho for the big one tomorrow.. - x
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 10, 2011, 06:29:19 AM
DONCASTER 2:35 - Portland Handicap
Addictive Dream - 3rd 14/1
Secret Witness - - x
Lui Rei - - x

DONCASTER 3:10 -
Blue Bunting - as above
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Santino67 on September 11, 2011, 08:46:55 AM
Haven"t really bothered with the gee-gee"s this year tbh but was desperate for the loo on Thursday, while unfortunately getting a new bathroom fitted. Nipped down my local Coral shop and decided to make a donation as I was feeling guilty about using their convenience. Stuck a fiver E/W on Close To The Edge at Wolverhampton and it finished strongly as expected to win at 12/1  ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: pables on September 11, 2011, 11:52:12 AM

Haven"t really bothered with the gee-gee"s this year tbh but was desperate for the loo on Thursday, while unfortunately getting a new bathroom fitted. Nipped down my local Coral shop and decided to make a donation as I was feeling guilty about using their convenience. Stuck a fiver E/W on Close To The Edge at Wolverhampton and it finished strongly as expected to win at 12/1  ;D


MBFN
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Santino67 on September 11, 2011, 11:56:13 AM


Haven"t really bothered with the gee-gee"s this year tbh but was desperate for the loo on Thursday, while unfortunately getting a new bathroom fitted. Nipped down my local Coral shop and decided to make a donation as I was feeling guilty about using their convenience. Stuck a fiver E/W on Close To The Edge at Wolverhampton and it finished strongly as expected to win at 12/1  ;D


MBFN


Yeah mate it was FN, but only pays for the new towels for the new bathroom. I really need to stop telling Anne about these things  :D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: pables on September 11, 2011, 11:57:00 AM



Haven"t really bothered with the gee-gee"s this year tbh but was desperate for the loo on Thursday, while unfortunately getting a new bathroom fitted. Nipped down my local Coral shop and decided to make a donation as I was feeling guilty about using their convenience. Stuck a fiver E/W on Close To The Edge at Wolverhampton and it finished strongly as expected to win at 12/1  ;D


MBFN


Yeah mate it was FN, but only pays for the new towels for the new bathroom. I really need to stop telling Anne about these things  :D


LIKE
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 17, 2011, 11:32:05 AM
ok i"ll take on the two big sprints, in the Ayr gold cup Mac"s Power put up by pricewise stands out but isn"t for me at the prices offered.
Eton Rifles is a bit skinny odds wise and i"d question him having the raw speed needed to win this... of the other fancied runners i have put a line through Hawkeyethenoo and Pepper Lane, wrong ground for the former and wrong type of track for the flying filly...

AYR 3:20 - William Hill Ayr Gold Cup
Croisultan - ground no problem.. win - x
High Standing - hc has tumbled down the weights and his lto at Goodwood behind Libranno gives him a great chance today if he re-produces that... ew - x
Brave Prospector - another who has come down markedly in the weights, if he shows his 09 form plus the drop in weights and change of yard then Fahey may of got this plotted up just right... ew - x

AYR 2:15 - William Hill Ayr Silver Cup
Elusive Prince - x
Edinburgh Knight - x
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 24, 2011, 12:23:22 PM
NEWMARKET 3:50 Cambridgeshire
Circumvent - x
Pintura - x

NEWMARKET 2:35
Shumoos - x

NEWMARKET 3:10
Together - x
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: pables on September 24, 2011, 14:14:42 PM
Newmarket:-

14.35 Best Terms

15.50 Questioning

17.00 Asraab

17.35 Tmaam

Happy punting  :-\
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 30, 2011, 23:12:13 PM
ASCOT 3:50 -
Pastoral Player - 1st 8/1
Parisian Pyramid
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on October 05, 2011, 20:51:09 PM
Going to York on Saturday, any pointers will be gratefully received  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Santino67 on October 05, 2011, 21:43:21 PM

Going to York on Saturday, any pointers will be gratefully received  ;)


TBH Wayne I"d be eyeing up any of last year"s C/D winners if ground is running fairly similar and not too much disadvantage in the weights. York for me is one of those "Horses for Courses" tracks........same can be said about any horse that wins races at the likes of Pontefract or Hamilton, both having a stamina busting uphill finish. I"m sure Noble and a few others will be more helpful naming specific horses (I can"t access race cards on my work"s PCs but will have a look at home nearer the time)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on October 05, 2011, 22:27:16 PM
Been busy the last few Saturday"s but will be back this weekend with one of my favourite races of the year - the Cesarewitch
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 05, 2011, 23:33:33 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on October 06, 2011, 17:07:51 PM
Looking at 2 at the moment, in the 2.50 Dick Doughtywylie and in the 3.25 Roger Sez can you give me a good reason why not to back them?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 06, 2011, 17:57:38 PM

Looking at 2 at the moment, in the 2.50 Dick Doughtywylie and in the 3.25 Roger Sez can you give me a good reason why not to back them?


3.25 - ground to quick, what dya reckon? ayr was pretty soft....
2.50 - not had a good look, looks trappy, good punting proposition @3/1 approx?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on October 06, 2011, 20:45:06 PM


Looking at 2 at the moment, in the 2.50 Dick Doughtywylie and in the 3.25 Roger Sez can you give me a good reason why not to back them?


3.25 - ground to quick, what dya reckon? ayr was pretty soft....
2.50 - not had a good look, looks trappy, good punting proposition @3/1 approx?


we have had alot of rain over the past 24h but going to be a dry day on Friday
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 07, 2011, 01:40:00 AM
http://www.turftrax.co.uk/going_maps.html
http://maps.turftrax.co.uk/iframe/showgoing.asp?mapid=97866

my rough short-list of the possibles for York Friday, see if we can get a feel for Saturday :) if all these lose Wayne u know u can avoid all my picks for Saturday [should at least narrow the field for you ;D]

YORK 2:00 -
Deepsand - 3rd 8/1
Nameitwhatyoulike
Key Ambition
On The Hoof
Rent Free

YORK 2:30 -
Treasury Devil
Jet Away - 1st 9/4

YORK 3:05 -
Mr Rainbow - n/r
Barren Brook
Extraterrestrial - 2nd 14/1
Dubai Dynamo

YORK 3:40 - [basically the top3 in the betting, it will be interesting if Forget Me Not Lane gets any major market support]
Byronic Hero
Lisiere
Lupo D"oro - 2nd 6/1 9/2jf won

YORK 4:15 - [wide open looking race, 4 of interest to me at big"ish odds] family fortunes burrp burrrrrp X
King Of The Celts
Buzz Law
Abdicate
Highlife Dancer

YORK 4:50 - [should be between the top3 in the market]
Haymarket
Linkable
El Lail - 1st 5/1

YORK 5:20 - [apprentice get the pin out job]
Arizona John
Epic
Trip The Light - 1st 9/1
Kings Troop


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 07, 2011, 16:04:49 PM
3.50 - Ceasarwitch Saturday
Ermyn Lodge 2nd 16/1
Bernie The Bolt ew X
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 07, 2011, 20:43:28 PM
York suggestions for wayne to cross off his list :)

YORK 1:50
Brockwell X

YORK 2:20
Taurus Twins X

YORK 2:50
Electra Star X

YORK 3:25
Bannock 1st 5/2

YORK 4:05
Son Of The Cat X

YORK 4:40
Astromagick X

YORK 5:15
Antigua Sunrise


2-1 England ;D competitive NOT :-[  as i write it they score... tossers lol lol...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on October 07, 2011, 21:47:30 PM
Thanks

Have already picked two of them
Son Of The Cat
Bannock

So with you tipping them aswell, i defiantly will be putting a line through them  :D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Santino67 on October 08, 2011, 00:00:02 AM
Cesarewitch - Ermyn Lodge and Becausewecan E/W

York
1.50 Mickdamm

2.20 Haajes

2.50 Electra Star

3.25 Desert Gazelle

4.05 Addictive Dream

4.40 French Hollow

5.15 On Her Way


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 08, 2011, 01:18:07 AM

Thanks

Have already picked two of them
Son Of The Cat
Bannock

So with you tipping them aswell, i defiantly will be putting a line through them  :D


lmao - remember donny mr-P :)

so for York tomorrow avoid the picks below -  :o

YORK 1:50
Brockwell , Mickdamm 1st 9/4

YORK 2:20
Taurus Twins , Haajes X

YORK 2:50
Electra Star x2 picks X

YORK 3:25
Bannock , Desert Gazelle 1st 5/2


YORK 4:05
Son Of The Cat , Addictive Dream X

YORK 4:40
Astromagick , French Hollow X

YORK 5:15
Antigua Sunrise , On Her Way X


Newmarket 3.50 Cesarewitch
Ermyn Lodge x2 picks 2nd 16/1
Bernie The Bolt ew
Becausewecan E/W


2 scenarios - either the bookies will wet themselves with FEAR or LAUGHTER

For those that wish to know the difference between a horse and a duck, one goes quick and the other goes quack..

i had a near death experience when i was 4years old which changed me forever... in the long dim distant past i went horsesback riding... everything was going fine until the horse started bouncing out of control.. i tried with all my might to hang on..  just when things could not possibly get worse, my foot gets caught in the stirrup... as this happened, i fell head first to the ground... my head continued to bounce harder as the horse did not stop or even slow down... just as i was giving up all hope and losing consciousness, the tesco"s manager came out and unplugged it. thank goodness for heroes... [true story :-*]

my grand daddy once told me -
""the secret to making a small fortune in the horse industry is to start with a large fortune""...

gla today...........
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Santino67 on October 08, 2011, 02:57:25 AM
Just reminded me of a wee dilemma there Noble  ;D

Your on a horse galloping away at speed. On your right is a sharp dropoff and....on your left is an elephant travelling at the same speed as you. Directly in front of you is a kangaroo and your horse is unable to overtake it. Behind you is a lion chasing you.... What must you do to safely get out of the situation????
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on October 08, 2011, 09:07:49 AM
York

1.50
Mickdaam
Marching On
Choisan

2.20
Haajes
Flash City
Eland Ally

2.50
Electra Star
Sadeeks Song
Oceanway

3.25
Bannock
Roger Sez
Miss Lahar

4.05
Son Of The Cat
Racy
Colonel Mak

4.40
Astromagick
Los Nadis
Valid Reason

5.15
Will be too P****D to care
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 08, 2011, 09:16:08 AM

Just reminded me of a wee dilemma there Noble  ;D

Your on a horse galloping away at speed. On your right is a sharp dropoff and....on your left is an elephant travelling at the same speed as you. Directly in front of you is a kangaroo and your horse is unable to overtake it. Behind you is a lion chasing you.... What must you do to safely get out of the situation????


i"d run away like a little girl, very very scary those merry go-rounds....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 08, 2011, 09:19:45 AM

York 5.15
Will be too P****D to care


i suspect u"ll have a good day :)  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 08, 2011, 12:13:42 PM
Sales & Racing Meeting Baden-Baden/Germany

Race 4, 17 runners, ground GS, but I guess more soft. Really a riddle of race.

# 5 (WIN FOR GOLD) looks still as a good value e/w bet 9/2.

Like very much the longshot KINRARA 15/1 and will also bet the filly. 

Race 6, 7 runners, Grade 3, BW Trophy

SALTAS, seems there is no opportunity to this colt
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on October 08, 2011, 13:51:05 PM
Tough races today, going for some EW selections at bigger prices;

Newmarket
2.05 Across The Rhine
2.35 Bapak Chinta
3.10 Parish Hall
3.50 Sentry Duty

York
2.20 Bronze Beau
2.50 Weapon Of Choice
3.25 Desert Gazelle
4.05 Sioux Rising

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 08, 2011, 14:34:30 PM

Sales & Racing Meeting Baden-Baden/Germany

Race 4, 17 runners, ground GS, but I guess more soft. Really a riddle of race.

# 5 (WIN FOR GOLD) looks still as a good value e/w bet 9/2.

Like very much the longshot KINRARA 15/1 and will also bet the filly.
 

Winner prepared and outperformed, trainer/owner wellknown for betting, won by 9 length. (Trio 135000!)
Had to know that..pfffffffff  >:(
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 08, 2011, 14:49:09 PM
nice to see some euro picks Achim, can"t win them all.. i think your Arc tip will cover most losses for a long time to come.. :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 08, 2011, 15:19:27 PM

Tough races today, going for some EW selections at bigger prices;

Newmarket
2.05 Across The Rhine
2.35 Bapak Chinta
3.10 Parish Hall 1st 20/1
3.50 Sentry Duty

York
2.20 Bronze Beau
2.50 Weapon Of Choice
3.25 Desert Gazelle
4.05 Sioux Rising




nice1 Tje, mr bolger comes up trumps again...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on October 13, 2011, 21:46:45 PM
Big PR disaster to Racing on the eve of a fantastic champions day this weekend - Richard Hughes quits in protest to new whip rules

This needs sorting out quickly
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 14, 2011, 08:32:59 AM
It"s always difficult to change your habits.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 14, 2011, 23:47:31 PM
Ascot
1:50 - nothing of interest betting wise for myself, looks like these 3 will be the possible winner...
Opinion Poll
Times Up
Colour Vision

2:25 - cannot see beyond the Fanshawe duo, again at the prices its a swerving merv for me..
Deacon Blues
Society Rock

ASCOT 3:00 - nothing stands out as outstanding value...

ASCOT 3:35 - hmmmm easy money?
Frankel

ASCOT 4:10 - anything above 2/1 is a steal imho....
So You Think
Twice Over & Snow Fairy - maybe to cause an upset, wont be far behind..

ASCOT 4:45 - apprentice"s hmmmm, new whip law to take into account, not for me ty...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on October 15, 2011, 13:34:14 PM
Great racing today

Ascot
1.50 Times Up
2.25 Ladies Are Forever
3.00 Dancing Rain
3.35 Frankel
4.10 Twice Over

Cheltenham
2.05 Round Tom
2.40 Buck Mulligan
3.15 Plan A
3.50 Ethiopia

Catterick
2.20 Alabanda
2.55 Pelmanism

Kelso
3.25 Hennessy
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 15, 2011, 15:31:56 PM
It"s hard to bet against FRANKEL, but I try it with a E/W on IMMORTAL VERSE.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 15, 2011, 15:47:12 PM
FRANKEL, 5 Grade 1 in a row.....looks great and T.P. Queally made his job like anybody guess. Superb horse.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on October 15, 2011, 16:11:25 PM
FRANKEL - STUNNING!!!!!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: mousebob on October 15, 2011, 21:51:36 PM
Best I"ve seen (& I"m old).
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: hollaboo on October 16, 2011, 02:05:37 AM
unbelivable performance to have a filly as good as immortal verse 7 and a half length behind. gotta feel sorry for excelebration he would surely have been champion miler most years
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Santino67 on October 16, 2011, 08:21:31 AM
Noble mentioned Secretariat on a thread here a while back, famed winner of America"s Trpile Crown and obviously a very elite horse. I vaguely recall reading an article about it winning the Belmont ( think it was around 19 lengths) by "a couple of New York city blocks and a few tourist attractions"  :D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 16, 2011, 10:31:48 AM
First investment ;)
http://www.pedigreequery.com/raffaele
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 19, 2011, 20:04:03 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 22, 2011, 00:54:22 AM
DONCASTER 2:00 - could be a 2 horse race between - worth a tickle on both.....
Marine Commando
Racy


DONCASTER 3:00 -
http://horses.sportinglife.com/Video/Racing/0,27770,460498_4,00.html

Zip Top - way to big of a price, watch 2 out as he hits the dip, gets all out of sorts but 1 out hitting the rise he finishes very well.. Crius won nicely and is one to look out for next year, in the mean time Crusade [4th] and Letsgoroundagain [5th] have gone on to win nicely.. Bolger has supplemented Zip Top, his 1st ever runner in the Racing Post Trophy so at around 8/1 as i write he is rather good value imho given his lto and his maiden win 1st time out beating Tenth Star... plenty others have tipped up Zip Top so take a price, i"ll be stunned if he remains this big of a price...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on October 22, 2011, 13:57:31 PM
Doncaster

2.00 Singeur
2.30 Ballesteros
3.00 Zip Top
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on October 22, 2011, 13:58:37 PM
Newbury

2.15 Nawaar
2.45 Al Kazeem
3.15 Way Too Hot
3.45 Oceanway
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on October 22, 2011, 13:59:14 PM
Aintree

3.30 Master Minded
4.05 Pension Plan
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 29, 2011, 10:59:27 AM
NEWMARKET 3:15 - Roayh ew and Robemaker small win bet

NEWMARKET 3:55 - Tactfully win [easily i hope :)]

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 30, 2011, 14:35:18 PM
Hopefull for SOMMERABEND now in Saint Cloud Gr2. CITYSCAPE looks pretty tough competitor.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 30, 2011, 14:55:03 PM
Quote
CITYSCAPE looks pretty tough competitor.


ul achim....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 30, 2011, 15:04:10 PM
SOMMERABEND good 2nd though, i hope u had a saver on cityscape...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 30, 2011, 15:09:13 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 03, 2011, 17:46:44 PM
Breeders Cup starts tomorrow night - one of my favourite racing weekends of the year

Live on ATR and worth a look at their microsite - full of stats and information

http://www.attheraces.com/breederscup/ (http://www.attheraces.com/breederscup/)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 04, 2011, 15:40:46 PM
DAY ONE - my mix of rogues that i"ll be looking to dabble on :)

Juvenile Sprint
Secret Circle
Trinniberg
Jake Mo - as the possible big price upset

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=ycv9GW26DpI[/youtube]

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=REh5W9mvdkw[/youtube]



Juvenile Fillies Turf
Stephanie"s Kitten
Somali Lemonade
Dayatthespa

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=1-Qe-_zEt7k[/youtube]

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=WZai9q2XxPw[/youtube]



Filly & Mare Sprint
Turbulent Descent
Pomeroys Pistol
Switch

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=oqSpjCm4Nxg[/youtube]

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=RUEPwmMzF_I[/youtube]

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_t_JfqMUgxw&feature=player_embedded[/youtube]

Juvenile Fillies
My Miss Aurelia
Grace Hall
Weemissfrankie

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=7x7xSs-6INM[/youtube]

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=oiB3uAEh5gs[/youtube]

Filly & Mare Turf
Stacelita
Dubawi Heights
Aruna

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=QQuhgJNM9Uc[/youtube]

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=WQ61aEQ0SAM[/youtube]



Ladies Classic
Royal Delta
Pachattack
Ultra Blend

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=HYZMb6OSuBU[/youtube]

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=q-xx82lFv6w#![/youtube]

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=lBYST2AbupY[/youtube]

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 04, 2011, 19:31:31 PM
Juvenile Sprint

Secret Circle was very impressive last time out and could be very good - no bet at odds on though

Looking for some EW value with Shumoos & Holdin Bullets
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 04, 2011, 19:54:05 PM
Juvenile Fillies Turf

Somali Lemonade fits the profile of previous winners with Pure Gossip & Dayatthespa at bigger prices
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 04, 2011, 19:58:34 PM
Filly & Mares Turf Sprint

Switch is a strong selection for me in this race against the 3yos who have a terrible record in this race.  Tamarind Hall & Shotgun Gulch at bigger prices
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 04, 2011, 20:00:43 PM
Juvenile Sprint

1. Seeker W/P/S Bet
2. Secret Circle
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 04, 2011, 20:16:34 PM

Juvenile Sprint

Secret Circle was very impressive last time out and could be very good - no bet at odds on though

Looking for some EW value with Shumoos & Holdin Bullets


Damm - should have boxed the trifecta
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 04, 2011, 20:18:19 PM


Juvenile Sprint

Secret Circle was very impressive last time out and could be very good - no bet at odds on though

Looking for some EW value with Shumoos & Holdin Bullets


Damm - should have boxed the trifecta


Good Pick !
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 04, 2011, 20:24:43 PM
Juvenile Fillies

Great race for favourites and I think My Miss Aurelia should take all the beating.  Weemissfrankie & Northern Passion to fill the places
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 04, 2011, 20:41:07 PM
Filly & Mare Turf

Good record for Europeans in this race so going for Announce to beat Misty For Me with last years winner Shared Account to place for the septics
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 04, 2011, 20:49:36 PM
Juvenile Fillies

1. Dear Lavinia Bet W/P/S
2. Pure Gossip
3. Elusive Kate
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 04, 2011, 20:55:02 PM
Impressive winner :o Nice pick, noble1!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 04, 2011, 20:56:02 PM

DAY ONE - my mix of rogues that i"ll be looking to dabble on :)

Juvenile Sprint
Secret Circle

Juvenile Fillies Turf
Stephanie"s Kitten




Great start noble - 2 for 2
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 04, 2011, 21:20:15 PM
Ladies Classic

Should go to a 3yo but finding it tough to split Royal Delta, Its Tricky & Plum Pretty
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 04, 2011, 21:29:40 PM

Ladies Classic

Should go to a 3yo but finding it tough to split Royal Delta, Its Tricky & Plum Pretty


i hope u are enjoying it, tough racing compounded with the ground due to the recent downpours, tricky now with it drying out now lol plus they have gr8 drainage at CHD"s... i prefer Royal Delta with the going but i can find some logic for Ultra Blend to run a big race...
Tough 1 to pick apart, good luck with your picks TJe...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 04, 2011, 21:32:48 PM
1. Her Smile WPS
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 04, 2011, 21:48:42 PM
There was a bit of disagreement about Keeneland changing to polytrack with some trainers choosing to avoid it yet the last 2 race winners tonight Stephanie"s Kitten + Musical Romance both had there LTO prep runs there!!! met not be quite as bad as they thought :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 04, 2011, 22:05:26 PM
1. Northern Passion WPS
2. My Miss Aurelia
3. Miss Netta
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 04, 2011, 22:09:38 PM
good luck achim + TJe... cross those fingers :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 04, 2011, 22:16:50 PM
My Miss Aurelia puts in a very impressive performance
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 04, 2011, 22:20:49 PM
Thanks noble, seems not my day .:-) Hopefully next race the european horses will dominate.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 04, 2011, 22:22:32 PM

1. Her Smile WPS



did u get around 12"s for the show achim?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 04, 2011, 22:23:48 PM

My Miss Aurelia puts in a very impressive performance


next year oaks winner...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 04, 2011, 22:52:11 PM
Announce scratched late from Filly & Mare Turf
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 04, 2011, 22:53:24 PM
Fillie&Mare Turf

WPS # 10...small bet

Trio with Nahrain 1-2 / 2,7,9,10,12
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 04, 2011, 22:59:40 PM
Filly and Mare Turf
wow what a odd tactical race lol , one or two trainers maybe having words with there jockeys  lmao....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 04, 2011, 23:31:43 PM
Last chance tonight.

ULTRA BEND WPS

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 04, 2011, 23:38:24 PM
Im the man for 4th tonight.  ???
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 04, 2011, 23:43:32 PM
good racing tonight, can"t wait for tomorrow.... will the europeans have a winner?    
night all...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 04, 2011, 23:44:55 PM

good racing tonight, can"t wait for tomorrow.... will the europeans have a winner?    
night all...


Will surely win the turf but will struggle on the dirt
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 09:54:50 AM
DONCASTER 3:10 November Handicap
Zuider Zee
Status Symbol
Crackentorp

i"ve whittled the field of 23 runners down to 3 possible winners, so a win bet on the top 2 and a each way punt on Crackentorp is in order :)

good luck with the punting today, the breeders cup looks tough tonight  [can"t wait :)]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 11:02:30 AM
Marathon
Meeznah
Brigantin
A. U. Miner

Juvenile Turf
Farraaj
State Of Play
Animal Spirits

Dirt Sprint
Euroears
Force Freeze
Amazombie

Turf Sprint
Regally Ready
Grand Adventure
California Flag

Dirt Mile
Shackleford
Wilburn
Caleb"s Posse

Breeders Cup Turf just watching this one
Midday
Sarafina
Brilliant Speed

Breeders Cup Juvenile
Creative Cause
Union Rags
Hansen

Breeders Cup Mile
Gio Ponti
Goldikova
Courageous Cat

Breeders Cup Classic
Havre De Grace
Flat Out
Game On Dude


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 05, 2011, 12:50:09 PM
Doncaster

2.00 Clockmaker
2.35 Mirror Lake
3.10 Zuider Zee
3.40 Sirius Prospect

Down Royal

2.20 The Nightingale

Wincanton

2.45 Celestial Halo
3,20 The Minack
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 05, 2011, 15:14:46 PM

DONCASTER 3:10 November Handicap
Zuider Zee
Status Symbol
Crackentorp

i"ve whittled the field of 23 runners down to 3 possible winners, so a win bet on the top 2 and a each way punt on Crackentorp is in order :)

good luck with the punting today, the breeders cup looks tough tonight  [can"t wait :)]



Absolutely destroyed the field - Happy Days
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 05, 2011, 15:16:21 PM

Doncaster

3.10 Zuider Zee



Managed to get on at 14/1 - returned 8/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on November 05, 2011, 15:22:25 PM


Doncaster

3.10 Zuider Zee



Managed to get on at 14/1 - returned 8/1


I love Zuider Zee made me alot of money last year at Doncaster

I got 14/1 as well wwweeeeeeeeeeeeeee
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 15:29:47 PM

Doncaster

2.00 Clockmaker
2.35 Mirror Lake
3.10 Zuider Zee
3.40 Sirius Prospect

Down Royal

2.20 The Nightingale

Wincanton

2.45 Celestial Halo
3,20 The Minack


well done TJe, a good days punting sir....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 05, 2011, 15:31:09 PM


Doncaster

2.00 Clockmaker
2.35 Mirror Lake
3.10 Zuider Zee
3.40 Sirius Prospect

Down Royal

2.20 The Nightingale

Wincanton

2.45 Celestial Halo
3,20 The Minack


well done TJe, a good days punting sir....


cheers noble - hoping to keep it going for the breeders cup tonight
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 05, 2011, 16:02:24 PM
Marathon

Cease
Eldaafer
Pleasant Prince

Juvenile Turf

Farraaj

Sprint

Amazombie
Aikenite

Turf Sprint

Regally Ready
Hoofit
Holiday For Kitten

Dirt Mile

Wilburn
Jersey Town

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 05, 2011, 16:42:21 PM
Turf

Sarafina
Brilliant Speed

Juvenile

Union Rags
Crusade
Alpha

Mile

Goldikova
Turallure

Classic

To Honour And Serve
Game On Dude
Ruler On Ice
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 05, 2011, 17:35:22 PM
Marathon won by 41/1 outsider of the entire field - bonkers
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 18:22:56 PM

Marathon won by 41/1 outsider of the entire field - bonkers


it met be a blood bath for some punters tonight lol , i"m busy laying off in running tonight, its a case of i have to [so far]
meh small loss for the first 2 races, could of been worse though ;D
those were 2 mucky looking races though lol , btw i am laying Hoofit something chronic , it will be a miracle if he wins..
that last quote i am hoping will not come back to haunt me :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 18:33:32 PM
here is some easy viewing between races :o

http://i.imgur.com/ZYyBq.gif (http://i.imgur.com/ZYyBq.gif) NSFW link

Mod edit: as much as I like it and it is mesmerising, I have to take it off.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 18:35:48 PM
not been deleted yet, transfixed?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 18:44:26 PM
hip hip hooray :)

Amazombie, Mike Smith is a gr8 jock...

rocking now TJe
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Cyntaf on November 05, 2011, 18:45:09 PM
Stunning, literally. :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 19:29:16 PM


Mod edit: as much as I like it and it is mesmerising, I have to take it off.


to much info ;D

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 20:25:37 PM
 1st    Caleb"s Posse    7-1
2nd    Shackleford    7-1
3rd    Tres Borrachos    33-1
Win $15.60
Pl $7.00, $6.40,
Show $4.80, $4.80, $10.80
Exacta $112.80
Trifecta $2220.80
Winning Trainer Donnie Von Hemel
Winning Jockey Rajiv Maragh
Distances  
Unpl. Fav Trappe Shot 5-2 fav
Runners 9 ran

1 titbit of info for any1 interested for next years Breeders Cup Dirt mile - look out for horses in which trainers gave them their final prep run over 9 furlongs and at 10 furlongs.
Only 4 were prepped this way - Wilburn , Shackleford , Caleb"s Posse and Tres Borrachos
then think about the exoitics :)
no more info :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 05, 2011, 20:44:51 PM
MIDDAY BC Turf
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 05, 2011, 20:55:46 PM
Ballydoyle gets one of the best jocks in the US, sticks him on Await The Dawn and make him a pacemaker for St Nicholas Abbey - AOB is a genius
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 05, 2011, 20:58:13 PM
Never saw AoB laughin like tonight ;) Great family success, well done.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 21:12:53 PM
ok the Juvenile is looming, any1 fancy taking on the favourite?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 05, 2011, 21:22:08 PM

ok the Juvenile is looming, any1 fancy taking on the favourite?


Momentum with AOB - Crusade & Daddy Long Legs in this
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 05, 2011, 21:22:42 PM
Hansen and Dullahan could be an alternate but I dont bet the 2/1 favourite.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 21:26:48 PM
Hansen is the dark horse but untested versus good horses, Union Rags could be a freak.. C.Cause isn"t far behind..
AoB met of bit off more than he can chew here. we"ll find out?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 05, 2011, 21:34:03 PM

Hansen is the dark horse but untested versus good horses, Union Rags could be a freak.. C.Cause isn"t far behind..
AoB met of bit off more than he can chew here. we"ll find out?


No European horse will win on the dirt - not good for So You Think in the classic
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 05, 2011, 21:37:10 PM
Dullahan made a great run from last to finish 4th.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 05, 2011, 21:41:12 PM


Hansen is the dark horse but untested versus good horses, Union Rags could be a freak.. C.Cause isn"t far behind..
AoB met of bit off more than he can chew here. we"ll find out?


No European horse will win on the dirt - not good for So You Think in the classic


Im optimistic for SYT. Hopefully not beaten by a neck like Giant"s Causeway years ago.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 21:54:02 PM


Hansen is the dark horse but untested versus good horses, Union Rags could be a freak.. C.Cause isn"t far behind..
AoB met of bit off more than he can chew here. we"ll find out?


No European horse will win on the dirt - not good for So You Think in the classic


When the BC is not at Santa Anita, 9 of the past 10 winners have had at least one of their final two preps in New York.
Havre De Grace, Stay Thirsty + Flat Out fit that best out of this years race line up imho.. 2 horses haven"t prepped at NY -
Game On Dude + So You Think
Rattlesnake Bridge met be worth a punt to add to a superfecta, thats if u are into the ex-oitics :)

Uncle Mo - to far?

meh can"t wait :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 05, 2011, 22:06:09 PM
Strong Suit is my bet !
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 22:08:28 PM

Strong Suit is my bet !


good luck achim...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 22:13:02 PM

Turf



Mile

Goldikova
Turallure




this is close TJe, hope u got it

edit - objections to sort, Court Vision hasn"t got it yet [massive price]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 05, 2011, 22:20:13 PM
LOL...in europe any horse would be disqualified.;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 22:26:54 PM

LOL...in europe any horse would be disqualified.;)


how on earth Goldikova did not get disqualified is bizarre...

time to crack a beer achim, nice build up for the biggie now :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 05, 2011, 22:29:53 PM
Yes, cheers noble, after a couple of efforts its time for Ballydoyle. Common SYT ...tonight its yours !
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 05, 2011, 22:52:07 PM


Turf



Mile

Goldikova
Turallure




Managed to lay it off on the run in to ensure green screen profit

this is close TJe, hope u got it

edit - objections to sort, Court Vision hasn"t got it yet [massive price]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 05, 2011, 22:54:58 PM
Anyone else picture the legend below whenever ESPN hand over to Janine Edwards?

(http://www.sabotagetimes.com/wp-content/uploads/frank-butcher.jpeg)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 05, 2011, 22:59:23 PM
Game On Dude

(http://img.poptower.com/pic-43392/chantal-sutherland.jpg?d=600)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 23:02:44 PM
delete?  :)
[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i_8q4D-DKK4[/youtube]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 05, 2011, 23:03:33 PM
Sweet Chantall, not without a little chance...long stretch.!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 05, 2011, 23:12:05 PM
what a race, Drosselmeyer reverses lto with Flat Out... only 4 lengths at most between the first 7 home, dodgy race...
oh well profits for the weekend, hope u guys did ok...
stroll on Cheltenham :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 05, 2011, 23:14:12 PM
Top weekend - roll on Cheltenham for the open meeting next week
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 05, 2011, 23:20:36 PM
Congrat, wasnt my BC Meeting this year, maybe in reason of less analysis like other years. Was my pleasure with you. CU

Now Ive to keep fingers cross for our November nine Pius Heinz !
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 10, 2011, 17:46:42 PM
Cheltenham open meeting starts tomorrow;

1.10 Time For Spring
1.45 Tanks For That
2.20 Garde Champetre
2.55 Steps To Freedom
3.30 Kells Belle
4.05 Champion Court
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 11, 2011, 05:22:36 AM
CHELTENHAM
1:10 - Masked Man ew
1:45 - I"msingingtheblues ew
2:20 - Uncle Junior
2:55 - Ericht
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 12, 2011, 08:08:26 AM
CHELTENHAM 2:35 - the gold cup [only 20 runners in a top class handicap :)]
Billie Magern
Loosen My Load
Divers

got it down to these 3, prices from 14"s to 20"s...........

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 12, 2011, 11:11:11 AM

CHELTENHAM 2:35 - the gold cup [only 20 runners in a top class handicap :)]
Billie Magern
Loosen My Load
Divers

got it down to these 3, prices from 14"s to 20"s...........




Agree with all 3 noble but would add Great Endeavour to the shortlist too - tough race
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 12, 2011, 11:13:01 AM
Cheltenham

1.55 Chicago Grey
2.35 Great Endeavour
3.10 My Shamwari
3.40 Walden Prince

Lingfield

2.15 Maali
2.50 Elshabakiya

Wetherby

3.25 Ubi Ace
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Santino67 on November 12, 2011, 14:35:21 PM

Cheltenham open meeting starts tomorrow;

3.30 Kells Belle



Did you get it E/W James? I had a fiver EW on Suburban Bay and took 33"s, looking very good in 2nd till it thumped the 2nd last and almost came to a stop lol FML
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 12, 2011, 14:58:48 PM


Cheltenham open meeting starts tomorrow;

3.30 Kells Belle



Did you get it E/W James? I had a fiver EW on Suburban Bay and took 33"s, looking very good in 2nd till it thumped the 2nd last and almost came to a stop lol FML


UL Grant - was on EW and had an EW double with Tanks For That, also backed semi colon in 2nd (loved the Henderson runners yesterday)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 12, 2011, 15:01:20 PM


CHELTENHAM 2:35 - the gold cup [only 20 runners in a top class handicap :)]
Billie Magern
Loosen My Load
Divers

got it down to these 3, prices from 14"s to 20"s...........




Agree with all 3 noble but would add Great Endeavour to the shortlist too - tough race


BOOM!!! Skybet paid 5 places on Billie Magern too - disappointed not to get the forecast though with Divers 3rd
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 13, 2011, 11:31:30 AM
CHELTENHAM 2:20 - Greatwood Handicap
Sanctuaire
Nearby

doesn"t look the strongest Greatwood, the top 2 in the betting are worth taking on imho... Nearby is worth a ew tickle..

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 13, 2011, 13:09:17 PM
Going to be the Nicholls Walsh show at Cheltenham today

1.10 Al Ferof
1.45 Woolcombe Folly
2.20 Sanctuaire
2.55 Rangitoto

Fontwell

3.15 Aldertune
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 13, 2011, 13:11:35 PM

CHELTENHAM 2:20 - Greatwood Handicap
Sanctuaire
Nearby

doesn"t look the strongest Greatwood, the top 2 in the betting are worth taking on imho... Nearby is worth a ew tickle..




Agreed - looking to take on the top 2 in the betting

I like Sanctuaire who has potential to be top class and this is normally won by champion hurdlers contenders - others at bigger prices are Topolski, Ultimate & Alazan

Skybet paying 5 places
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 13, 2011, 13:15:12 PM
it will be interesting to see how Al Ferof gets on, Chaninbar in the 13.45 met run well.... big met :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 13, 2011, 13:30:55 PM

it will be interesting to see how Al Ferof gets on, Chaninbar in the 13.45 met run well.... big met :)


Al Ferof impressive on debut - tough novice chase division this year with Peddlers Cross & Menorah

Chaninbar backed this morning - may go close if he jumps off but that is no certainty, he has previous of planting at the start
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 13, 2011, 13:48:37 PM


it will be interesting to see how Al Ferof gets on, Chaninbar in the 13.45 met run well.... big met :)


Al Ferof impressive on debut - tough novice chase division this year with Peddlers Cross & Menorah

Chaninbar backed this morning - may go close if he jumps off but that is no certainty, he has previous of planting at the start


i didn"t back it, i could see some logic at 20"s why some had a dabble, just started and lmao @ Chaninbar :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 13, 2011, 14:13:51 PM
CHELTENHAM 2:55 -
Legion D"honneur
Mannlichen

just having a small wager on these 2 for interests sake....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Santino67 on November 13, 2011, 16:19:26 PM



Cheltenham open meeting starts tomorrow;

3.30 Kells Belle



Did you get it E/W James? I had a fiver EW on Suburban Bay and took 33"s, looking very good in 2nd till it thumped the 2nd last and almost came to a stop lol FML


UL Grant - was on EW and had an EW double with Tanks For That, also backed semi colon in 2nd (loved the Henderson runners yesterday)


Very nice James just a shame it didn"t follow TFT into the winners enclosure, that would"ve been a lovely double.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 27, 2011, 13:40:15 PM
sad news about Gary Speed, watching him on football focus and he seemed fine, it seems bizarre he killed himself..
A great Everton captain and a great footballer...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-15909277
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 27, 2011, 16:29:42 PM
Sad story from France where Pascal Bary"s talented stable jockey Benjamin Boutin age 21 died after a horrible purler with four horses.

R.I.P.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 27, 2011, 18:31:09 PM

Sad story from France where Pascal Bary"s talented stable jockey Benjamin Boutin age 21 died after a horrible purler with four horses.

R.I.P.


Correction !

Sorry, the news Id read were a bit overhasty with his death. B. Boutin is in a artificial coma but he"s in a criticaly condition. Hope the best for him.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 28, 2011, 13:23:05 PM
Today morning Benjamin Boutin died. R.I.P.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on November 29, 2011, 23:21:09 PM
Just catching up after being away in Vegas

Emotional win for Kauto Star but would not be too worried about Long Run - still fancy him to win the King George again

Master Minded workmanlike and I am not sure will get the 3 miles at Kempton

Overturn is in cracking form and a real trier - not sure he is top class though and may have picked up some easy hurdle wins (his rating has gone through the roof so will be difficult to place now)

Dynaste for Pipe looks a real star in the making winning the fixed brush hurdle at Haydock (won by Diamond Harry & Grand Cruis in the past)

Rock On Ruby also very impressive off topweight in the limited handicap - surely graded races are in his future

Finally Carruthers winning the hennessy when totally exposed can only mean it was an average renewal in my opinion

Roll on Sandown & Aintree on Saturday
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on December 02, 2011, 22:25:07 PM
Saturday

Sandown

1.55 Al Ferof
2.30 Rajdhani Express
3.05 Kauto Stone
3.40 Any Currency

Aintree

2.10 Rare Bob
3.20 Buffalo Bob
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on December 08, 2011, 18:04:52 PM
Cheltenham Friday

1.10 Matako
1.45 Mostly Bob
2.20 Garde Champetre
2.55 Di Kaprio
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on December 09, 2011, 19:49:03 PM

2.20 Garde Champetre


Sickest winner ever!!!  Left in front after the leading 7 (!!!) horses take the wrong course
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Laxie on December 09, 2011, 21:06:26 PM


2.20 Garde Champetre


Sickest winner ever!!!  Left in front after the leading 7 (!!!) horses take the wrong course


Just watched the replay.  Insane!  WD on yer "win"  lol
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on December 09, 2011, 23:17:01 PM
[youtube=425,350]http://m.youtube.com/index?desktop_uri=%2F&gl=GB#/watch?v=fIQTzaCWnmA[/youtube]

The tank - Denman"s finest hour

Happy retirement - racing legend
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Santino67 on December 09, 2011, 23:48:34 PM


2.20 Garde Champetre


Sickest winner ever!!!  Left in front after the leading 7 (!!!) horses take the wrong course


Cheltenham cross country course with the stooopid hedge markers? Didn"t GC benefit from something similar in the past at Chelters?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: TheSnapper on December 09, 2011, 23:57:16 PM
That Denman clip reminded me of this fella

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UhoUMfC2s-U&feature=related[/youtube]

Never had much interest in horse racing but a friend was a huge SeaTheStars fan and backed him every single outing. He sat me thru various youtube clips and you could"nt but be impressed.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: hollaboo on December 10, 2011, 00:08:30 AM
See The Stars was awesome, rarely spectacular but always got the job done,brilliant
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: TheSnapper on December 10, 2011, 00:37:26 AM

See The Stars was awesome, rarely spectacular but always got the job done,brilliant


His Arc win was pretty spectacular given the hole he had to punch out of?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: hollaboo on December 10, 2011, 00:52:23 AM
yeah his arc win was brilliant , showed guts, courage, determination and a will to win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on December 10, 2011, 12:20:22 PM
Cracking card at Cheltenham this afternoon

1.55 Halley
2.30 Great Endeavour
3.05 Brampour
3.35 Any Given Day

Doncaster

2.45 Kie
3.20 Qianshan Leader
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on December 10, 2011, 12:26:30 PM

That Denman clip reminded me of this fella

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UhoUMfC2s-U&feature=related[/youtube]

Never had much interest in horse racing but a friend was a huge SeaTheStars fan and backed him every single outing. He sat me thru various youtube clips and you could"nt but be impressed.


One in a lifetime racehorse - just look at the quality types he beat in his races who went on to win multiple group 1"s all over the world
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on December 17, 2011, 12:15:10 PM
Thankfully the racing has survived the weather


Ascot

1.55 Aerial
2.30 Big Bucks
3.05 The Minack
3.35 Gibb River

Haydock

2.10 Gambo
2.45 Pearlysteps
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on December 26, 2011, 01:02:30 AM
Boxing Day

Family plans so cannot watch live - sky plus set for some high quality racing

Kempton

1.25 Bless The Wings
2.00 Bobs Worth
2.35 Rock On Ruby
3.10 Long Run

Wetherby

1.45 Neptune Equester

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on December 26, 2011, 12:18:51 PM
Would be great to see KAUTO STAR as the winner but my bet will go with MASTER MINDED this time.l
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Swinebag on December 26, 2011, 13:46:22 PM
1.25 bless the wings
2.00 silviniaco conti
2.35 rock on ruby
3.10 kauto star
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Santino67 on December 26, 2011, 13:48:09 PM
I"m sure Would also love to see Kauto is an absolute certainty to take his 5th King George but has to be Long Run again, even after their Haydock reversal.  ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on December 26, 2011, 15:19:57 PM
KautoStar did it again, amazing !
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on December 26, 2011, 20:39:38 PM
Just one of those moments , in racing , you have to sit back and admire.What a prformance Kauto.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Swinebag on December 26, 2011, 21:06:00 PM
Was convinced I was getting 4/4 2nd places. But what a run from kauto with an exhibition of jumping. Great ride from Ruby too, who just kept the pressure on SWC.

Would rate that as one of my favourite racing moments (top 5 easily)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on December 27, 2011, 12:14:25 PM
Chepstow

1.00 Monsieur Cadou
1.30 Take The Breeze
2.10 Galaxy Rock
2.45 Secret Edge

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on December 28, 2011, 22:48:05 PM

KautoStar did it again, amazing !


Just catching up with this - outstanding performance took them on early jumped like a stag and stayed on up the run in

Won on merit - perhaps the best of his 5 victories
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on December 28, 2011, 23:00:08 PM
Binocular and rock on ruby were both tough in the Christmas hurdle - overturn got them at it early and they both finished the race well

However not sure if it was champion hurdle form - hurricane fly misses the istabraq hurdle tomorrow and surely must be doubtful to make it to Cheltenham in march

On the look out for a bigger priced outsider...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on December 28, 2011, 23:03:55 PM
Grands cruis looked very classy in the feltham - accurate jumping and a great engine he will be a gold cup contender next year, don"t think the RSA will suit though.  I would be tempted to go for the 2m 4f novice event at the festival.

Silviano conti and bobs worth ran great races too - there are so many good novice chasers this year

RSA should suit bobs worth the stiffer track at Cheltenham will bring his stamina play
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: hollaboo on December 29, 2011, 13:05:30 PM
I"d be tempted to go for the Gold Cup even though he is only a novice that was a very classy performance in the Feltham in a time 3 seconds faster than Kauto Star
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: mousebob on January 07, 2012, 10:52:48 AM
HENRY HOOK 3.25 wincanton....just a whisper  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on January 07, 2012, 12:11:36 PM
Sandown

2.05 Hold Fast
2.35 Prospect Wells
3.10 Exmoor Ranger
3.45 Higgy"s Ragazzo

Wincanton

2.50 Paco
3.25 Chain Of Command
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on January 14, 2012, 13:56:15 PM
Warwick

2.00 Roi De Rose
2.30 Water Garden
3.05 Highland Lodge
3.40 Blazing Bailey

Kempton

2.15 Like A Hurricane
2.50 Act Of Kalanisi
3.20 Soixante
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on January 19, 2012, 18:15:27 PM
[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=srslKMT1k2k[/youtube]

listen to the commentary , i had to lol..... sid waddell ??
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Santino67 on January 20, 2012, 02:47:44 AM
 :D  :D Superb

10:30 "It"s absolutely magisterial"  ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on January 20, 2012, 08:31:42 AM

:D  :D Superb

10:30 "It"s absolutely magisterial"  ;D


11.00 ""on to this like Dracula onto a plate of liver""  ;D ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Santino67 on January 23, 2012, 21:19:54 PM


:D  :D Superb

10:30 "It"s absolutely magisterial"  ;D


11.00 ""on to this like Dracula onto a plate of liver""  ;D ;D


Was discussing this video with someone in Brighton at the weekend. Typical of an American commentator as well, describing Alltintop as a rookie full-back  :D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on January 28, 2012, 13:25:01 PM
Top racing at Cheltenham & Doncaster today - watch out for plenty of festival clues...

Cheltenham

2.05 Chance Du Roy
2.35 Little Josh
3.10 Knight Pass
3.40 Big Buck"s (Five Dream for the f/c)

Doncaster

2.50 Wymott
3.25 African Broadway
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Swinebag on January 28, 2012, 14:58:56 PM
top run from calgary bay - Henrietta Knight is bang in form!!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on February 03, 2012, 17:43:50 PM
Not looking good for racing this weekend - small stakes on the all weather for interest only (ie I can"t NOT have a bet on a Saturday afternoon)...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on February 04, 2012, 13:09:32 PM
This weather sucks...

Small stakes for fun only on the all weather

Lingfield

2.00 Efistorm
2.30 Chjimes
3.00 Shifting Star
3.35 Brunston

Wolverhampton

2.40 Piscean
3.15 Opus Maximus
3.45 Mount Abora
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 04, 2012, 13:58:12 PM

This weather sucks...

Small stakes for fun only on the all weather

Lingfield

2.00 Efistorm [Captain Dimitrios]
2.30 Chjimes
3.00 Shifting Star
3.35 Brunston

Wolverhampton

2.40 Piscean
3.15 Opus Maximus
3.45 Mount Abora


good luck ;) i had quick peruse , no bet, one donkey that may run ok...

edit - just watched it . i"m keeping the powder dry today :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 08, 2012, 23:35:20 PM
thinkerJE from Chelters thread...
Quote
If super Saturday goes ahead keep any eye on the betfair hurdle - 3 coral cup winners and 4 county hurdle winners have run in it in the last 8 years...


just some quick recent stats that might help some1 plant the lucky pin in the right place for the betfair hurdle formerly the totesport trophy and in the age of the abacus it was once upon a time called the schweppes... 50/50 to be ran so they forecast, crossing my fingers :)


5 to 7 yo"s have taken 9 of the last 10....
the last 5 winners have all been aged 5 or 6.....
6 of the last 7 winners carried 10-9 or less...
of the 3 horses that carried 10-10+ since 2000 to win in this race, all 3 had finished 1st or 2nd in either the Boylesports.com H'cap Hurdle or had finished 1st or 2nd in this race the previous year....
8 out of 10 winners finished in the first 3 last time out [5 of them had finished 1st lto]
8 out of 10 winners ran in a class 2 or better handicap hurdle lto [the other 2 had only ran over hurdles 3 times in there career]
10 out of 10 winners had run no more than 6 times since August...
9 out of 10 winners had run in 6 or fewer handicap hurdles....
10 out of 10 winners had won no more than 2 handicap hurdles in there career...
10 out of 10 winners had won a hurdles race with 11+ runners.....
7 of the 10 winners had finished in the first 3 in a hurdles race worth 16K+, the other 3 had won lto and had ran no more than 3 hurdle races in there careers....
out of the races that trainers will plan out a route for there horses, the recent prep races they target is the Bavaria Imported Premium Lager H"cap Hurdle 4 out of the last 10 winners ran in that... and in the Stellar Football End of Transfer Window H"cap Hurdle 3 out of the last 10 winners ran in that one.....


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on February 11, 2012, 13:36:13 PM
Musselburgh

2.05 Creekside
2.35 Dizzy River
3.10 Ultimate
3.45 Stormy Weather

Lingfield

2.15 Roman Strait
2.45 Palace Moon
3.20 Nubar Boy
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Santino67 on February 11, 2012, 14:37:20 PM
Unlucky with Roman Strait James, i have More Equity in this Musselburgh race  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on February 11, 2012, 15:53:20 PM

Musselburgh

2.05 Creekside
2.35 Dizzy River
3.10 Ultimate
3.45 Stormy Weather

Lingfield

2.15 Roman Strait
2.45 Palace Moon
3.20 Nubar Boy


Not a bad afternoon - 3 winners and also backed Tara Royal at 10/1 (returned 11/2)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on February 16, 2012, 21:47:22 PM
Super Friday at Newbury and a top class card;

Be interesting to see what Sprinter Sacre and Long Run do - really tempted to take them on with Nicholls and Wlash (great record in the races) but the odds on jollies may bolt up (so a watching brief)

Therefore will be getting stuck into the handicap hurdles;

1.15 Sire De Grugy
2.25 Global Power
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 17, 2012, 02:13:21 AM

Super Friday at Newbury and a top class card;

Be interesting to see what Sprinter Sacre and Long Run do - really tempted to take them on with Nicholls and Wlash (great record in the races) but the odds on jollies may bolt up (so a watching brief)

Therefore will be getting stuck into the handicap hurdles;

1.15 Sire De Grugy
2.25 Global Power


12.40 - Tidal Bay - a small win bet, he had a breathing operation before this season and PN has a knack/good record with horses he has done this with before in the past, as long as the early pace isn"t to slow then this old boy may cause a upset plus i fancy taking long run on :)
13.15 - Desert Cry ew , Third Intention & Empire Levant - 2 small win bets

Sprinter Sacre looked frightfully top class Tje when he won the Wayward Lad Novices Chase at Kempton, he should and can totally pi#s it [sorry] win today with ease, not a tempting price today for me though...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 17, 2012, 14:13:20 PM
hmmm drawing blanks today, onwards to chelters, bang on form :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on February 18, 2012, 10:35:06 AM
This afternoon"s selections for your approval  ;D


Haydock 18th Feb - 14:10 Backing: Thehillofuisneach
Ascot 18th Feb - 14:25 Backing: Penny Max
Haydock 18th Feb - 14:45 Backing: Featherbed Lane
Ascot 18th Feb - 15:00 Backing: Kauto Stone
Haydock 18th Feb - 15:20 Backing: Some Target
Ascot 18th Feb - 15:35 Backing: Eastlake
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on February 18, 2012, 11:33:45 AM

Sprinter Sacre looked frightfully top class Tje when he won the Wayward Lad Novices Chase at Kempton, he should and can totally pi#s it [sorry] win today with ease, not a tempting price today for me though...


Very very very impressive - outstanding jumper.  One of the best displays by a novice chaser in years.  Looks a shoe in for the arkle but they may be tempted to go for the Champion Chase - he would surely go close
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on February 18, 2012, 11:35:59 AM
Long run was workmanlike but still a good prep for the Gold Cup - he will appreciate the extra 2f at Cheltenham and the stiffer finish

Great run by Burton Port in 2nd - staying on all the way to the line.  If connections can get him to Aintree for the Grand National he will be a major player
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on February 18, 2012, 11:41:03 AM

Super Friday at Newbury and a top class card;

Therefore will be getting stuck into the handicap hurdles;

1.15 Sire De Grugy


This was a strange race.  No pace early on so they quickened dramatically from 6f out but in the end Zarkander out stayed them at the finish.  Like many triumph hurdle winners looks like he needs further than 2 miles to show his best - however still a great performance to win first time out and still unexposed and should come on for the run.  Can"t have him for the champion hurdle though as the record of 5yos is dreadful (even if last years juvenile crop look very good) - Aintree hurdle would be the natural race for him this year
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on February 18, 2012, 13:51:53 PM
Ascot

2.25 Cappa Bleu
3.00 I"msingingtheblues
3.35 Art Professor

Haydock
2.10 Meister Eckhart
3.20 Neptune Collonges
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 18, 2012, 15:45:54 PM

This afternoon"s selections for your approval  ;D


Haydock 18th Feb - 14:10 Backing: Thehillofuisneach
Ascot 18th Feb - 14:25 Backing: Penny Max
Haydock 18th Feb - 14:45 Backing: Featherbed Lane
Ascot 18th Feb - 15:00 Backing: Kauto Stone
Haydock 18th Feb - 15:20 Backing: Some Target
Ascot 18th Feb - 15:35 Backing: Eastlake



ul fella, save the form for chelters....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on February 18, 2012, 15:59:05 PM


This afternoon"s selections for your approval  ;D


Haydock 18th Feb - 14:10 Backing: Thehillofuisneach
Ascot 18th Feb - 14:25 Backing: Penny Max
Haydock 18th Feb - 14:45 Backing: Featherbed Lane
Ascot 18th Feb - 15:00 Backing: Kauto Stone
Haydock 18th Feb - 15:20 Backing: Some Target
Ascot 18th Feb - 15:35 Backing: Eastlake



ul fella, save the form for chelters....


LOL, the accumulator was a disaster, but had a few other winners this afternoon, so all"s good.

Need to properly have a look at Cheltenham cards.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on February 25, 2012, 12:48:42 PM
Cheltenham clues are plenty at Kempton this afternoon

Kempton

2.00 Une Artiste
2.30 Hunt Ball
3.05 Planet Of Sound
3.40 Dodging Bullets

Newcastle

3.25 Mister Marker

Lingfield

2.15 Sulis Minerva
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on February 25, 2012, 13:08:13 PM
Bring on the flat season  :D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 25, 2012, 13:20:19 PM

Cheltenham clues are plenty at Kempton this afternoon

Kempton

2.00 Une Artiste
2.30 Hunt Ball
3.05 Planet Of Sound
3.40 Dodging Bullets

Newcastle

3.25 Mister Marker

Lingfield

2.15 Sulis Minerva


no bets for me today, i"ll keep my fingers crossed for you fella....

Bring on the flat season  :D
and chelters :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: jacklevel06 on February 25, 2012, 18:12:44 PM

Bring on the flat season  :D
Stuff the boring flat season wayne, Cheltenham , best week of the year.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on March 02, 2012, 17:29:06 PM
Charles Town - bad race accident

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B-rQofsWM9Q
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on March 03, 2012, 13:16:36 PM
Not great racing this afternoon but it is Saturday and I cannot NOT have a bet (small stakes for interest only)

Newbury

2.05 Buck Magic
2.40 Marufo
3.10 Araldur
3.45 Balgarry

Doncaster

2.20 Corkage
3.25 Benny Be Good

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 03, 2012, 14:54:31 PM

Charles Town - bad race accident

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B-rQofsWM9Q


not often u see that Achim...



Not great racing this afternoon but it is Saturday and I cannot NOT have a bet (small stakes for interest only)

Newbury

2.05 Buck Magic
2.40 Marufo
3.10 Araldur
3.45 Balgarry

Doncaster

2.20 Corkage
3.25 Benny Be Good




good luck....
Chelters is looming large :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on March 06, 2012, 08:42:21 AM
Bet some Euros today on Chantilly"s card:

Earl of Fire    13.50    Chantilly       
Wellmond    
Le Big (Ex)    14.20    Chantilly       
Orcus            15.20    Chantilly    

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on March 06, 2012, 10:55:06 AM

Bet some Euros today on Chantilly"s card:

Earl of Fire    13.50    Chantilly    (160/10)   
Wellmond    (96/10)
Le Big (Ex)    14.20    Chantilly    (330/10, wrong analysis by me?)   
Orcus            15.20    Chantilly    (14/10)


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 06, 2012, 16:53:27 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on March 06, 2012, 19:54:20 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on March 10, 2012, 14:31:57 PM
Sandown

2.05 Carrigmorna King (2nd)
2.40 Marty"s Mission
3.15 Ile De Re
3.50 Taradrewe

Wolverhampton

2.20 Clockmaker (3rd)
3.30 Loyalty
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Santino67 on March 12, 2012, 20:48:22 PM
Cheltenham Gold Cup day on Friday to look forward to and the drunken mess that is a day out with my mates, so i"m looking for a bit of help to cover the majority of races. I always do a yankee from 4 horses through the day, this year of course will be no exception, but the first 4 Friday tips on this page will decide where my money goes for a change, and believe me this couldn"t possibly be any worse than my own previous attempts over the years so you"re all doing me a favour!

So basically I"m looking for 4 individuals to give me a tip each and that"s it  :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Swinebag on March 12, 2012, 22:31:08 PM
Tip 1: use this thread http://www.apat.com/forum/index.php?topic=7853.90

Tip 2: ignore my tips:)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on March 17, 2012, 13:05:54 PM
On a major down low after Cheltenham - only 4 weeks till Aintree...

Uttoxeter

2.10 Wily Fox
2.45 Volador
3.20 Another Palm
3.55 Bruslini

Ffos Las

2.25 Lava Lamp
3.35 Jaunty Journey

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 17, 2012, 15:10:11 PM

On a major down low after Cheltenham - only 4 weeks till Aintree...

Uttoxeter

2.10 Wily Fox
2.45 Volador  9/2 sp
3.20 Another Palm
3.55 Bruslini

Ffos Las

2.25 Lava Lamp 10/1 sp
3.35 Jaunty Journey




Keep calm, trust your own opinion, don't get to excited about picking winners or to downcast when on a losing streak, just like poker :) remember you are never crap just because u picked a few losing selections and on the flip side u aren"t the dogs do-dahs when u win... Keep making good selections and u"ll start banging in some winners Tje...
and as i write u get your 2nd winner of the day - Volador.....  weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee [opps calm down calm down ;D]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on March 17, 2012, 15:52:16 PM


On a major down low after Cheltenham - only 4 weeks till Aintree...

Uttoxeter

2.10 Wily Fox
2.45 Volador  9/2 sp
3.20 Another Palm
3.55 Bruslini

Ffos Las

2.25 Lava Lamp 10/1 sp
3.35 Jaunty Journey




Keep calm, trust your own opinion, don't get to excited about picking winners or to downcast when on a losing streak, just like poker :) remember you are never crap just because u picked a few losing selections and on the flip side u aren"t the dogs do-dahs when u win... Keep making good selections and u"ll start banging in some winners Tje...
and as i write u get your 2nd winner of the day - Volador.....  weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee [opps calm down calm down ;D]



Cheers noble - did not go well at Cheltenham punting wise (although attaglance got me slighty out of the brown stuff on Friday), however more down after the excitement of the week, was finding it difficult to get up for the uttoxeter card.  Until that is the winners started (2nd choice in the midlands national was Master Overseer and also landed a couple of rugby bets).

I have backed more winners in the last 2 hours than I did at Cheltenham all last week - funny old game this punting lark...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 24, 2012, 01:03:53 AM
the flat season nears so to get warmed up i"m having a dabble on the AW donks @ Lingfield today...

2:25 - Gusto
3:25 - Junoob
4:00 - Reve De Nuit [ew if 14/1 plus]

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 28, 2012, 16:46:29 PM
[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_iFHjj3ruIA[/youtube]

in the notes it states that ""this video contains alpha brainwaves in Isochronic tones along with the sound of rain and piano music. Listen to it with or without headphones to relieve stress instantly.""

25secs the water noise begins, 12 secs after i"m off to the toilet, gr8 stress relief :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Santino67 on March 31, 2012, 17:51:24 PM
Dagnammit had Mull of Killough in The Lincoln, Kelly gave it a fantastic (too) late run  ::)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 11, 2012, 11:45:28 AM

Dagnammit had Mull of Killough in The Lincoln, Kelly gave it a fantastic (too) late run  ::)


i was on the winner but couldn"t get on to post...

poker wise here is something that might interest some1 - http://web.mit.edu/willma/www/lec7.pdf

MIT held a ""for credits poker class"" and the above PDF minutes were from a guest lecture by Mike McDonald..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 12, 2012, 12:29:53 PM
some dabbles for the tv races @ Aintree today :)

2:00 - a little str8 fc on Big Bucks to beat Smad Place
2:30 - Hinterland ew @ 1/4 8/1+
3:05 - Nacarat ew @ 1/4 12/1+ with 3 or 4 firms atm
3:40 - Bow School & Eleazar
4:15 - Tara Royal @ 16/1+
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 13, 2012, 09:20:40 AM

some dabbles for the tv races @ Aintree today :)

2:00 - a little str8 fc on Big Bucks to beat Smad Place - fell
2:30 - Hinterland ew @ 1/4 8/1+ - fell
3:05 - Nacarat ew @ 1/4 12/1+ with 3 or 4 firms atm - ok but no cigar
3:40 - Bow School & Eleazar - they both finished :)
4:15 - Tara Royal @ 16/1+ - it finished


gr8 day yesterday :)

i hope to get one in the top3 today :)  

2:00 - Right Step ew
2:30 - Champion Court
3:05 - Finian"s Rainbow
3:40 - Fistral Beach ew
4:15 - Nagpur ew & Tap Night
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 14, 2012, 10:09:03 AM
a bit better yesterday.. :)

my Grand National 3 -
Synchronised
Sunnyhillboy
Killyglen


1:45 - Molotof ew
2:50 - Rock On Ruby
3:25 - The Hollinwell ew


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 14, 2012, 12:15:06 PM
Treacle
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 14, 2012, 12:20:20 PM

Treacle


good luck fella... PW or the pin?  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 20, 2012, 20:16:29 PM
04-21-2012
NEWBURY 3:45 - Spring Cup
Two at big prices for todays big 1mile handicap..
The Tichborne @50/1
Cruiser @40/1

ew or win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 21, 2012, 01:08:07 AM
04-21-2012
AYR 3:25 - Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap
King Fontaine @33to40"s /1
Ikorodu Road @12to14"s /1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on April 21, 2012, 13:59:06 PM
Newbury

2.00 Bridge Of Gold
2.35 Fillionaire
3.10 Bronterre
3.45 Highland Knight

Ayr

2.15 Lancetto
2.50 Red Merlin
3.25 Ikorodu Road
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 28, 2012, 03:51:39 AM
SANDOWN 3:45 - Gordon Richards Stakes

the ground met cause a upset or two today, Twice Over is by far the class horse, Poet will be popular because he loves the mud but at the prices isn"t for me.. Retrieve ew @ 14/1+ is underrated, he loves the ground and if he reproduces the sort of form when behind My Kingdom Of Fife at Randwick last year he could cause a minor shock...

i had a good look at the Gold Cup Chase and i couldn"t find anything that took my fancy so i"ll swerve that one this year...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 28, 2012, 13:56:18 PM
non runner now, so its a sit back and watch day for me now :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 28, 2012, 13:59:40 PM
Hellfire Club EW would be a suggestion in the 2pm :)

edit - i"ll keep watching :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 28, 2012, 14:21:01 PM
Moheebb in the 2.20 @ ripon EW is a suggestion :)

3rd @12/1 , opened 16/1 --- thats enough for the suggestions, finish on a high :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 05, 2012, 00:59:13 AM
2000 Guineas 5/5/2012

Talwar - ew

he has cost £40,000 to supplement, will get the ground and judging by his Lingfield lto run he has really come on physically from 2 to 3... the market is pretty much well priced up and Talwar has been underestimated imho, so if u fancy a punt then get a big as a price as u can...

ps - i"m not expecting a Frankel in this race this year :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: hollaboo on May 05, 2012, 01:29:24 AM
Power EW
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 05, 2012, 07:49:41 AM
NEWMARKET
2:00 - Circumvent
2:30 - Meandre
3:45 - Caledonia Lady
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 05, 2012, 09:37:33 AM
2.00 Newmarket
11 Dick Doughtywylie EW

4.20 Newmarket
7 Al Khan EW

5.05 Thirsk
2 Haman

7.25 Doncaster
7 Layla"s Hero EW
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 05, 2012, 11:29:02 AM
Newmarket 1000 Guineas - Born To Sea

Exacta: Camelot- Born To Sea - French Fifteen - Power
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 06, 2012, 07:13:37 AM
well it seems £40,000 was blown on supplementing Talwar :)   good run by Camelot but no way in Frankels league...

NEWMARKET 3:15  1000 Guineas

Lyric Of Light
Homecoming Queen - ew

good luck if u are having a punt today.....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 06, 2012, 11:05:12 AM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 06, 2012, 15:06:07 PM
loads of sporting action today, Ali Carter has the best seat today, watching the Rocket :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 06, 2012, 15:09:59 PM
1000 Guineas, seems more people in the paddock than at airport Heathrow. ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 06, 2012, 15:23:50 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 06, 2012, 15:50:05 PM

well it seems £40,000 was blown on supplementing Talwar :)   good run by Camelot but no way in Frankels league...

NEWMARKET 3:15  1000 Guineas

Lyric Of Light
Homecoming Queen - ew

good luck if u are having a punt today.....


Hope you hit something withyour bet around Homecoming Queen. Great pick, also a clever move to run in front. Totally disappointment about both Godolphin runners.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 06, 2012, 16:17:39 PM
Fortunately Novallist wins the derby prep-race very easy and compensate my bets.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 06, 2012, 17:04:17 PM


Hope you hit something withyour bet around Homecoming Queen. Great pick, also a clever move to run in front. Totally disappointment about both Godolphin runners.


tyvm sir,

the ground played its part Achim, i probably put more work into assessing the 1000 Guineas than the 2000 tbh, Lyric was my ante post pick and HQ was the pick after all the rain... A big price and a healthy profit for the weekend :)

very sad seeing Gray Pearl in such a pickle, i feel for owner Raymond Mould, he has invested a lot of money in racing over the years, he has supported both codes flat and jumps, even managing to win the Grand National with Bindaree... Ransom Note has been his best flat performer up to now, hopefully he"ll find one real hotpot in the not to distant future...

the Chester May festival starts Wednesday, with all this rain i anticipate the odd shock may happen :)  u gotta love your punting in this sort of weather ;)

hopefully Achim we"ll pick out the odd winner this season...

regards
noble

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 06, 2012, 20:29:58 PM
Todays winner Novallist is now bookmakers favourite 6/1 for german derby.

My best pick was at the Kentucky Oaks 2006. Switched on the livestream and saw the parade of the Oaks and saw this filly. First thought WOW. What"s the name of this filly? A field of 16 runners and she was the longshot 62/1. Against all odds I"d bet her WPS and in a exacta and she won the Oaks for 47/1. Her name was Lemons Forever !

(http://chronicle.augusta.com/sites/default/files/editorial/images/spotted/9/97081.jpg)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 08, 2012, 19:41:44 PM
CHESTER 2:35 Chester Cup 9/5/2012
Dazinski @20/1+
Ile De Re @14/1+


[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AhoQ89IYY9Y[/youtube]

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 09, 2012, 00:10:10 AM
CHESTER
1:35 - Baddilini @7/1+
3:05 - Arctic Feeling @14/1+

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 09, 2012, 14:51:59 PM

CHESTER 2:35 Chester Cup 9/5/2012
Dazinski @20/1+
Ile De Re @14/1+


[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AhoQ89IYY9Y[/youtube]




good runs from both, Dazinski will pick up a nice race on better ground, put it in the notebook :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 09, 2012, 16:34:45 PM
CHESTER 13:35  10/5/2012
Oceanway - EW @16/1+
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 10, 2012, 12:19:18 PM
CHESTER 15:05  10/5/2012
Switzerland @10/1+
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 11, 2012, 00:57:38 AM
CHESTER 3:05  11/5/2012
Powerful Wind @16/1+
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on May 11, 2012, 10:45:30 AM

CHESTER 3:05  11/5/2012
Powerful Wind @16/1+


2 out of 2 places so far, let"s see if the third one can go that bit further.

Thanks for the profit anyway   ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 11, 2012, 11:19:35 AM


CHESTER 3:05  11/5/2012
Powerful Wind @16/1+


2 out of 2 places so far, let"s see if the third one can go that bit further.

Thanks for the profit anyway   ;)


he is speculative, although in the mirror they have him priced up at 5"s in there tissue :o  and newsboy has tipped it, so thats the kiss of death ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 12, 2012, 02:51:01 AM
ASCOT 3:25 - Victoria Cup  12/5/2012
Cool Marble @33/1+ [Ladbrokes have him shortest at 20"s, other firms 33"s and some 25"s, 40"s on betfair as i write]

ASCOT 2:50 -
Certral @7/1+

LINGFIELD 2:10 -
Perfect Tribute @16/1+
Libys Dream @16/1+
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on May 12, 2012, 13:55:25 PM
Haydock

2.00 Nagpur
3.40 Conquisto

Lingfield

2.10 Fallen For You
2.40 Dinvar Diva
3.10 Shantaram

Ascot

2.20 Aiken
2.50 Fork Handles
3.25 King Of Jazz
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 13, 2012, 10:12:00 AM
Lady of Budysin 7/2 - Cologne (Schwarzgold-Rennen)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 13, 2012, 16:31:28 PM

Lady of Budysin 7/2 - Cologne (Schwarzgold-Rennen)


Off as the tote favourite, jockeyship looks a bit like a morning work out.*chuckle*
Guess well see another horse at 1000 Guineas in 3 weeks.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 13, 2012, 17:47:38 PM
Very sad end of after a fantastic fight in french 2000 Guineas of o"Briens Furner"s Green. Colt collapsed and died after crossing the line as 3rd.

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vyMTHdokgvw&feature=relmfu[/youtube]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 15, 2012, 23:25:52 PM
16/5/2012

YORK 1:30 -
Right Step @8/1+
Labarinto @15/2+

YORK 2:00 -
Shropshire @6/1+
Victoire De Lyphar @25/1+

YORK 3:00 -
Tiddliwinks @25/1+
Libranno @16/1+

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 16, 2012, 16:10:58 PM

16/5/2012

YORK 1:30 -
Right Step @8/1+ xx
Labarinto @15/2+ xx

YORK 2:00 -
Shropshire @6/1+ xx
Victoire De Lyphar @25/1+ NR

YORK 3:00 -
Tiddliwinks @25/1+  1st  - 40/1+ early , opened 33/1 , won @25/1
Libranno @16/1+ xx




well done Noble :(
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 16, 2012, 19:35:57 PM
17/5/2012

YORK 1:30 -
Judge n" Jury @10/1+
Hazelrigg @16/1+

YORK 2:00 -
Izzi Top @7/2+

YORK 2:30 -
Fencing @6/1+

YORK 3:00 -
Fury @11/2+
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 17, 2012, 13:30:32 PM
Baden Baden Spring Meeting

Nice races, hope for a bit money today.

Win/Place-Bet

1. -----
2. Compact Storm
3. Love is Red
4. Fairhope
5. Felician
6. Palomita
7. Next Dancer
8. Worthadd
9. El Okawango
10.Anna Bellamy
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 17, 2012, 14:00:36 PM
Buick/Gosden have some good rides today (York/Newmarket)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 17, 2012, 14:18:39 PM

Baden Baden Spring Meeting

Nice races, hope for a bit money today.

Win/Place-Bet

1. -----
2. Compact Storm
3. Love is Red
4. Fairhope
5. Felician
6. Palomita
7. Next Dancer
8. Worthadd
9. El Okawango
10.Anna Bellamy


good luck Achim


Buick/Gosden have some good rides today (York/Newmarket)


agreed ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 17, 2012, 14:28:17 PM

17/5/2012

YORK 1:30 -
Judge n" Jury @10/1+
Hazelrigg @16/1+

YORK 2:00 -
Izzi Top @7/2+


YORK 2:30 -
Fencing @6/1+

YORK 3:00 -
Fury @11/2+



It's a shame that i have stopped gambling  ::)

nice pick
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 17, 2012, 15:15:31 PM


17/5/2012

YORK 1:30 -
Judge n" Jury @10/1+
Hazelrigg @16/1+

YORK 2:00 -
Izzi Top @7/2+


YORK 2:30 -
Fencing @6/1+

YORK 3:00 -
Fury @11/2+



It's a shame that i have stopped gambling  ::)

nice pick



thank you sir
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 17, 2012, 17:39:20 PM
Epsom is nearly here, the Oaks and the Derby look like they met produce some useful sorts this year.. Camelot is a obvious possible but the price isn"t very tempting :).. Could Bonfire win it? it looks like it was decent Dante this year, will an extra 2furlongs suit though being a son of Manduro?, [are you backing it Achim?] considering this was his debut run Bonfire could be a lot closer ability wise to Camelot than what the market suggests.. Bonfire to my eye looks like a top 10f performer but the extra 2furlongs maybe just stretching it so from a value angle i"ve had a wee sized win bet on Parish Hall, Bolger has PH in the Irish 2000 Guineas, basically following the same prep routine as he did with New Approach, 21+ is a good win punt on betfair imho and a place bet as well :)
Astrology is well worth a place bet, he moved well despite the bog at Chester so to my eye he will handle quicker ground.. As a 2year old he was entered in the Futurity Stakes and moved better than all the rest [Parish Hall included] but when McCabe asked him to pick up his tail waved around and he swerved left to the rail finishing up 3rd.. Astrology"s last race as a 2year old, O"Brien entered him in the Autumn Stakes at Newmarket and again he showed similar traits swerving to the rail...I"d put that down to the big wide open space of Newmarket and the Curragh and greenness, none of that was shown at Chester on his seasonal re-appearance in the Dee Stakes, Epsom"s tight turns and far less open track will suit him so i"ve had a small win bet and had a bit bigger place bet :)

so without the waffle...

Epsom Derby 2/6/2012
Astrology - win and place
Parish Hall - win and a place
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 17, 2012, 19:29:23 PM

Baden Baden Spring Meeting

Nice races, hope for a bit money today.

Win/Place-Bet

1. -----
2. Compact Storm
3. Love is Red
4. Fairhope
5. Felician
6. Palomita
7. Next Dancer
8. Worthadd
9. El Okawango
10.Anna Bellamy


a couple of winners Achim and some close ones... What did u think of Sir Mark Prescott"s hot pot? thats 9 wins out of 14 starts now,  good placing by the genius SMP....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 17, 2012, 20:29:58 PM

Baden Baden Spring Meeting

Nice races, hope for a bit money today.

Win/Place-Bet

1. -----
2. Compact Storm 2./7 hd
3. Love is Red (Favourite, discontinued injury)
4. Fairhope unplaced 6./9*
5. Felician unplaced 5./15*
6. Palomita 1./12
7. Next Dancer 2./12 hd*
8. Worthadd 1./8
9. El Okawango unplaced 10./10
10.Anna Bellamy 2. 3/4*


Al in all ok, but sadly I"d bet 4 races* with a weight reduced Jockey who won yesterday his 50th race. Guess he  lost his weight allowance since today. Especially race 7.(73/10) and 10 (38/10) the horses needed a bit more jockeyship, bad luck. ( will show you both replays later if available)

BONFIRE seems to be a good horse but Im a bit doubtful about how to appraise the performances. If I try to compare BONFIRE performances with german horses I think it"s not enough for Epson Derby. But the past shows us more than one time that 3y old horses are able to boost their performance during months in massiv way. Maybe BONFIRE prefer a distance like today and also good ground. If there is no other pre-derby race it"s difficult to bet BONFIRE with trust.
 
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 17, 2012, 20:43:19 PM
Quote

What did u think of Sir Mark Prescott"s hot pot? thats 9 wins out of 14 starts now,  good placing by the genius SMP....


Easy money and an impressive performance today.Commentator said that SMP has a very good opinion about WORTHADD. Nice 2012 debut but how good is this colt really?

Best german mile horse beat two of the runners end of april. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1oD-jf8D4Fw
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 17, 2012, 21:04:41 PM
@noble

Don"t forget, your Kentucky Derby horse Went The Day Well will run in the Preakness Stakes this weekend. Another exciting race with Bodemeister, Creative Cause and I"ll Will Have Another.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 17, 2012, 22:12:04 PM

Quote

What did u think of Sir Mark Prescott"s hot pot? thats 9 wins out of 14 starts now,  good placing by the genius SMP....


Easy money and an impressive performance today.Commentator said that SMP has a very good opinion about WORTHADD. Nice 2012 debut but how good is this colt really?

Best german mile horse beat two of the runners end of april. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1oD-jf8D4Fw


that was his first run for SMP since moving from Vittorio Caruso, our handicapper has him about right at or 116 ish based on his 2nd in the Lockinge last year and the year before in his 3yo season a 3rd to Rio de la Plata.. A solid group2 group3 winner but not quite good enough for the best group1"s over a mile...
Alianthus i"d have just slightly behind Worthadd, after he won at Dusseldorf last time out i think they had the badener meile as his next race in mind, perhaps they thought swerving Worthadd was best? Italy maybe his next port of call for the Premio Carlo Vittadini which Worthadd won last year... Looks like they have done a swap Achim :) he might be worth a punt in Italy if we can get a nice price..
Worthadd is entered up for 3 10f group1"s and 1 8f group1 [the queen anne @ ascot] , i cant see SMP taking Frankel and co on so it would seem a upping trip is the plan... [wrong plan imo :)]

looks like this could be a good season Achim with so many good horses remaining in training...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 17, 2012, 22:37:03 PM
After I saw and bet CALIFORNIA MEMORY in Audemars Piguet QEII Cup/Sha Tin 3 weeks ago, I"m sure that on sunday my bet will bring me a payout at  Singapore Airlines International Cup.  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 17, 2012, 23:00:47 PM

After I saw and bet CALIFORNIA MEMORY in BMW Champions Mile/Sha Tin 2 weeks ago, I"m sure that on sunday my bet will bring me a payout at  Singapore Airlines International Cup.  ;)


good luck Achim

http://www.hkjc.com/english/racing/declaration_os_next.asp?RaceNo=5
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 18, 2012, 03:43:36 AM
18/5/2012

YORK 2:00 -
Caucus @11/2+
War Poet @9/1+

YORK 2:30 -
Arctic Cosmos @9/2+

YORK 3:00 -
Lily"s Angel  @7/2+

YORK 4:45 -
Estedaama @9/2+
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 18, 2012, 18:51:34 PM


Baden Baden Spring Meeting

Nice races, hope for a bit money today.

Win/Place-Bet

1. -----
2. Compact Storm 2./7 hd
3. Love is Red (Favourite, discontinued injury) added info: euthanized fracture
4. Fairhope unplaced 6./9*
5. Felician unplaced 5./15*  
6. Palomita 1./12
7. Next Dancer 2./12 hd*
8. Worthadd 1./8
9. El Okawango unplaced 10./10
10.Anna Bellamy 2. 3/4*


Al in all ok, but sadly I"d bet 4 races* with a weight reduced Jockey who won yesterday his 50th race. Guess he  lost his weight allowance since today. Especially race 7.(73/10) and 10 (38/10) the horses needed a bit more jockeyship, bad luck. ( will show you both replays later if available)


@noble Race Replays, enjoy it  ;D

Race 5 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Em7ylNPB4AE&feature=youtu.be (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Em7ylNPB4AE&feature=youtu.be) (2 white dress, red cap)

Race 7 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Em7ylNPB4AE&feature=youtu.be (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Em7ylNPB4AE&feature=youtu.be) (5 orange dress, black stripe)

Race 10 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Em7ylNPB4AE&feature=youtu.be (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Em7ylNPB4AE&feature=youtu.be) (7 orange dress, cap)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 19, 2012, 04:19:21 AM
thanks for the above Achim...

19/5/2012

NEWMARKET 2:15 -
Noble Mission @2/1

NEWBURY 2:30 -
Lutine Bell @16/1+
Bertiewhittle @7/1+

NEWMARKET 2:45 -
Mince @11/2+
Bartolomeu @9/1+

NEWBURY 3:05 -
Almuftarris @10/1+

Quote
16/5/2012

YORK 1:30 -
Right Step @8/1+  xx
Labarinto @15/2+  xx

YORK 2:00 -
Shropshire @6/1+  xx
Victoire De Lyphar @25/1+  n/r

YORK 3:00 -
Tiddliwinks @25/1+  1st  - 40/1+ early , opened 33/1 , won @25/1
Libranno @16/1+  xx


17/5/2012

YORK 1:30 -
Judge n" Jury @10/1+  1st 10/1
Hazelrigg @16/1+  xx

YORK 2:00 -
Izzi Top @7/2+  1st 7/2

YORK 2:30 -
Fencing @6/1+  xx

YORK 3:00 -
Fury @11/2+  1st 3/1  - 7/1 and 6/1 to be had early backed down to 3/1


18/5/2012

YORK 2:00 -
Caucus @11/2+  xx
War Poet @9/1+  nr

YORK 2:30 -
Arctic Cosmos @9/2+  xx

YORK 3:00 -
Lily"s Angel  @7/2+  xx

YORK 4:45 -
Estedaama @9/2+  1st 6/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 19, 2012, 13:16:48 PM
Baden Baden Spring Meeting May 19th

Race 2: #1 Blazing Star (4th)
Race 3: # 1 Avanti (2nd)
Race 4: # 12 Titania (7th)
Race 5: # 2 Andolini (2nd)
Race 6: # 3 Parlos (9th)
Race 7: # So Smart (3rd)
Race 8: # Tembo (11th)
Race 9: # Acidici (5th)

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 19, 2012, 15:03:00 PM
i had to laugh when Jim McGrath said Lutine Bell would never get the ground, he got off to a bad start and Hughes pressed the button to late to finish 4th.. Admittedly he had traffic problems lol but Palace Moon won @25/1 and all his form is on good to firm, 2nd place Pabusar"s best form all on good , Macs Power goes on anything but never gets there :-X... Race ended Mr McGrath stays stum on the perceived ground conditions. hmmmmm straight different to the round maybe Jim?...  ;D

Mince hosed up in the Coral Sprint, Bartolomeu looked like the winner till the line, i"d preferred him to win tbh :)

I hope you are enjoying your punting today Achim, Frankel coming up soon, should be good :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 19, 2012, 15:22:28 PM

i had to laugh when Jim McGrath said Lutine Bell would never get the ground, he got off to a bad start and Hughes pressed the button to late to finish 4th.. Admittedly he had traffic problems lol but Palace Moon won @25/1 and all his form is on good to firm, 2nd place Pabusar"s best form all on good , Macs Power goes on anything but never gets there :-X... Race ended Mr McGrath stays stum on the perceived ground conditions. hmmmmm straight different to the round maybe Jim?...  ;D

Mince hosed up in the Coral Sprint, Bartolomeu looked like the winner till the line, i"d preferred him to win tbh :)

I hope you are enjoying your punting today Achim, Frankel coming up soon, should be good :)


Still waiting for a winner. ;D but my value bets will come race 6-9. Im on Racing UK so I hope for another exciting performance of Frankel. Good luck for your picks today.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 19, 2012, 15:45:04 PM
Another great FRANKEL performance. Simply superb !
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 19, 2012, 15:48:52 PM

Another great FRANKEL performance. Simply superb !


he made another group1 race look like a maiden :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 19, 2012, 18:06:43 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 19, 2012, 19:01:19 PM


Another great FRANKEL performance. Simply superb !


he made another group1 race look like a maiden :)


What a horse, my Gramps who has seen a horse or two ever since it would seem from the dawn of time came round to watch the race.. Two furlongs out he sat in the comfy chair clapping with a massive grin, up to now he always made sure to tell me [more than once over the years] about Brigadier Gerard. the greatest horse he has ever seen. After the Lockinge he told me he has now changed his mind, ""bloody good horse that"" he said, i just burst out laughing, ""i never thought i"d see a horse get anywhere near as good as the Brigiadier, but i think i"ve just seen something better""..
Gramps knows a thing or two about the GG"s, believe me thats high praise from the old codger...

Quote
Hope now for CALIFORNIA MEMORY in tomorows Singapore Airlines International Cup.

Baden Baden will see tomorow Arc-Winner DANEDREAM"s 2012 debut.


good luck Achim, such good racing to watch plus the Preakness tonight as well :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 19, 2012, 20:28:29 PM



Another great FRANKEL performance. Simply superb !


he made another group1 race look like a maiden :)


What a horse, my Gramps who has seen a horse or two ever since it would seem from the dawn of time came round to watch the race.. Two furlongs out he sat in the comfy chair clapping with a massive grin, up to now he always made sure to tell me [more than once over the years] about Brigadier Gerard. the greatest horse he has ever seen. After the Lockinge he told me he has now changed his mind, ""bloody good horse that"" he said, i just burst out laughing, ""i never thought i"d see a horse get anywhere near as good as the Brigiadier, but i think i"ve just seen something better""..
Gramps knows a thing or two about the GG"s, believe me thats high praise from the old codger...

Quote
Hope now for CALIFORNIA MEMORY in tomorows Singapore Airlines International Cup.

Baden Baden will see tomorow Arc-Winner DANEDREAM"s 2012 debut.


good luck Achim, such good racing to watch plus the Preakness tonight as well :)

Bodemeister will run like ever on the top of the field. Not impossible that he will win it, but imo Ill have Another or Creative Cause will be the winner. Bet Kentucky Derby winner again.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 19, 2012, 23:24:12 PM
Boooooom ! I"ll Have Another did it again.

Option Triple Crown !
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 20, 2012, 09:25:21 AM
2012 Preakness Stakes

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N38YBIpt7ik&feature=youtu.be (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N38YBIpt7ik&feature=youtu.be)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 20, 2012, 12:37:10 PM
Baden Baden Spring Meeting

R1: Nardo (7th)
R2: Red Lips (4th) *grrrr* first thought wins :(
R.3 Thullit (now non-runner) Andreas (1st)
R.4 Salve Haya (8th)
R.5 Exciting Life (4th)
R.6 Russian Tango (not Danedream) (5th)
R.7 Wilma Louise (8th)
R.8 Ever Song
R.8 Foreign Hill (2th)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 20, 2012, 13:50:30 PM
Big disappointment, California Memory unplaced, missed totally the power of his final speed this time. Maybe I"d better heard to commentary. Said that CM dislike this race course.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 20, 2012, 15:58:06 PM
DANEDREAM wins her 2012 debut , hopefully a start for another successful season.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 20, 2012, 17:27:19 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 20, 2012, 18:19:37 PM

Big disappointment, California Memory unplaced, missed totally the power of his final speed this time. Maybe I"d better heard to commentary. Said that CM dislike this race course.


soft ground Achim was his undoing, the course is fair tbh it suits front runners and hold up types as per Chinchon who luckily for him had the inside draws set up a nice pace for him to pick them off in the home stretch.. most of the others wider didn"t act on the ground... Chinchon did well tbh as the inside draws have a good advantage there when its soft because its such a short run [200m] to the 1st turn, he still had a fair bit to make up in the home straight, the front runner runner set a fair pace...

http://www.turfclub.com.sg/Racing/Pages/ViewRaceResult/1633/10
they have the replay in divX... plus some downloads on t-chart to see aeiral views etc using the trakus stuff which should be used here in europe imho  :) plus u can mess about and look at sectionals if want ;)

http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/video/play.asp?type=replay-full&date=20120520&no=s0205&lang=eng
another replay if u haven"t seen it Achim...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 25, 2012, 06:41:14 AM
3.45 Goodwood
No. 3 Michelangelo
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 25, 2012, 15:30:10 PM

3.45 Goodwood
No. 3 Michelangelo


good luck wayne, i"m taking a chance with Expense Claim, he ran the London Gold Cup in a near group2 pace, Balding could of gone the logical route and aimed EC at the King George V handicap, but he"s diverted him for a crack at the Cocked Hat? Balding doesn"t often over estimate a horses ability so at 2/1+ its worth a punt....

it will be interesting to see if Gosden has another Masked Marvel on his hands...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 25, 2012, 15:58:24 PM
Fortune nearly nicked that with a superb ride, Michelangelo met well be a proper group1 horse, he did well to make up 5or6 lengths to win narrowly, that hint of being able to quicken giving Expense Claim that much rope who i think is a good group2,3 sort of std makes Michelangelo look rather good [plus he"ll be better over flatter and more experience]

a interesting Gosden hotpot [again :)]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 25, 2012, 16:37:49 PM

Fortune nearly nicked that with a superb ride, Michelangelo met well be a proper group1 horse, he did well to make up 5or6 lengths to win narrowly, that hint of being able to quicken giving Expense Claim that much rope who i think is a good group2,3 sort of std makes Michelangelo look rather good [plus he"ll be better over flatter and more experience]

a interesting Gosden hotpot [again :)]


Was not impressed with the start but the final 2f was impressive, got 6/4 this morning   ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 26, 2012, 03:02:44 AM
some picks for the TV racing today :)


HAYDOCK
2:00 -
Last Shadow @7/2+

2:30 -
Frog Hollow @6/1+
Archbishop @9/2+

3:00 -
Sole Power @7/2+

GOODWOOD
2:45 -
Fiorente @6/4+

3:20 -
Romeo Montague @8/1+

YORK
3:10 -
Mystery Star @25/1+
Barbican @9/2+

3:45 -
Bathwick Bear @33/1+
Fratellino @20/1+

CURRAGH
3:15 -
Parish Hall @7/2+
Power @4/1+

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 26, 2012, 08:47:25 AM
Allot of racing today

The good thing of the day is Hill Street in the 8.10 Lingfield but you won"t get a good price

Castleford looks good against Wakefield (Rugby League)  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 26, 2012, 09:51:47 AM
Had 3 bets today

3.00 Haydock
Bated Breath 4/1

5.15 Haydock
Afaal 3/1

Double
2.35 York
Saamidd 10/11
+
8.10 Lingfield
Hill Street 4/5
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 26, 2012, 17:19:25 PM
German 2000 Guineas, May 28th. Red Duke and Caspar Netscher want to challenge german horses.
Very competitive and interesting race.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 27, 2012, 23:46:30 PM

German 2000 Guineas, May 28th. Red Duke and Caspar Netscher want to challenge german horses.
Very competitive and interesting race.


i"d favour Caspar Netscher just, but anything less than 4/1 i"ll swerve betting, looks as if Tai Chi has a chance though Achim, his mixture High Chaparral and Big Shuffle, quote me if i"m wrong Achim [its late :)] but Precious Boy was out of Big Shuffle, his speed should be in Tai Chi"s genetics but why drop him in distance after a good run in the Criterium de saint-cloud?  now 1st time out as 3year old, its a odd route to take plus he"ll be running on quicker ground for the 1st time... meh :) if he drifts on betfair across here, i"ll back 7/1+ and i"ll probably lay for now [but for not to much :)]
if Amarillo has trained on then he"s in the mix, hard to know what to make of that lto run beating a decent filly [Survey] at Dusseldorf on soft ground but his run behind Amaron last year on good met bode well... Red Duke should improve for the better ground, so thats another fly in the ointment :)
hmmmm i think i be happy playing the layer on this one Achim :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 28, 2012, 10:33:58 AM
@noble Thanks for analysis.;)

IMO we"ll see one of the most thrilling German 2000 Guineas over the past years.

I"m totally sure that one of the german horses will win it. It"s not patriotism why I think so. Can"t believe that the performance of both british horses are good enough this time to to take it down.

Tai Chi was an excellent 2y and the aim was to prepare him for the french and maybe german derby. Now they scratched him and drop him in distance, which will give him a top chance, if he is at 100%. Trainer is a great guy, whole family are horsemen, had a lot of fun with him but sadly he"s seriously ill ( lung cancer) and wish with all of my heart that Tai Chi will win it. Fingers cross for you Werner!

Amarillo and Energizer are two top horses and imo both are in the finish. One dark horse I have pick up, it"s Pastorius. This horse scared me a bit and nobody should underestimate him. Result of last race didnt show his class because he didnt found a passage last furlong. This horse is really interesting and gain any attention for all your bets.

Good luck for your picks today.

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 28, 2012, 15:42:37 PM
BLACK ARROW, no doubts that he"ll be the winner of Bavarian Classic Gr3. at Munich-Riem race course. He"s one of the top German Derby favourites. W. Buick booked as his jockey again. Owners are german Bundesliga football players Claudio Pizzaro (Bayern Munich) and Tim Borowski (Werder Bremen).
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 28, 2012, 16:28:12 PM
What a disappointment. What should I say, congrat to british connections of Caspar Netscher. Red Duke as 3rd runs also very well. Tai Chi never in the race and other real beaten.

Black Arrow finished 2nd. in Bavarian Classic very close to longshot Pakal.

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 29, 2012, 17:49:05 PM

Epsom is nearly here, the Oaks and the Derby look like they met produce some useful sorts this year.. Camelot is a obvious possible but the price isn"t very tempting :).. Could Bonfire win it? it looks like it was decent Dante this year, will an extra 2furlongs suit though being a son of Manduro?, [are you backing it Achim?] considering this was his debut run Bonfire could be a lot closer ability wise to Camelot than what the market suggests.. Bonfire to my eye looks like a top 10f performer but the extra 2furlongs maybe just stretching it so from a value angle i"ve had a wee sized win bet on Parish Hall, Bolger has PH in the Irish 2000 Guineas, basically following the same prep routine as he did with New Approach, 21+ is a good win punt on betfair imho and a place bet as well :)
Astrology is well worth a place bet, he moved well despite the bog at Chester so to my eye he will handle quicker ground.. As a 2year old he was entered in the Futurity Stakes and moved better than all the rest [Parish Hall included] but when McCabe asked him to pick up his tail waved around and he swerved left to the rail finishing up 3rd.. Astrology"s last race as a 2year old, O"Brien entered him in the Autumn Stakes at Newmarket and again he showed similar traits swerving to the rail...I"d put that down to the big wide open space of Newmarket and the Curragh and greenness, none of that was shown at Chester on his seasonal re-appearance in the Dee Stakes, Epsom"s tight turns and far less open track will suit him so i"ve had a small win bet and had a bit bigger place bet :)

so without the waffle...

Epsom Derby 2/6/2012
Astrology - win and place
Parish Hall - win and a place shame, this horse is seriously good


Some great racing at Epsom is approaching and i"m still backing Astrology for the Derby :)
The Oaks looks as if its between the Fugue, Maybe and Kissed, the Fugue is obvious and has been priced up about right, Maybe the same, Kissed on the other hand at best price 11"s on betfair is more of a betting proposition imho, only raced on soft so going questions to answer but looking at how she moves then the better going met/will bring about more improvement, her run in the Salsabil Stakes at Navan was impressive, both visually and by the stopwatch over the last 3furlongs winning by over eight lengths with hardly any pushing, three parts sister to Pour Moi [dam - Gwynn] adds a bit optimism that she"ll handle good to firm.. Build wise like Pour Moi she has that athletic horse look which ticks the box could she handle Epsom, so i"m having nibbles on betfair as she drifts currently :)
Of the rest -
Vow - long striding, still running green, deep chested suggests 1m4f no problem but maybe will prove to be better over further.. With that long stride plus how she went wide at the bend at Lingfield lto is what puts me off her, not only is the price off putting but how on earth will she handle running downhill around Tattenham Corner plus the camber too is rather stretching chancing odds of 5to6/1..
Outsiders -
Shirocco Star - obvious, sticks out like a sore thumb and the market has reacted, still worth a small dabble though..
Betterbetterbetter - not so obvious, 2nd to Good Morning Star in the bog at Chester who will win again if she ever gets conditions like that again so Betterbetterbetter wasn"t disgraced, she looked the winner coming into the home straight, a touch of the idles plus the soft ground got her beaten narrowly.. She gave the impression to me that better ground will suit and is worth a each way punt @33/40/1+ and a place bet on betfair.....

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 30, 2012, 12:02:04 PM

@noble Thanks for analysis.;)

IMO we"ll see one of the most thrilling German 2000 Guineas over the past years.

I"m totally sure that one of the german horses will win it. It"s not patriotism why I think so. Can"t believe that the performance of both british horses are good enough this time to to take it down.

Tai Chi was an excellent 2y and the aim was to prepare him for the french and maybe german derby. Now they scratched him and drop him in distance, which will give him a top chance, if he is at 100%. Trainer is a great guy, whole family are horsemen, had a lot of fun with him but sadly he"s seriously ill ( lung cancer) and wish with all of my heart that Tai Chi will win it. Fingers cross for you Werner!

Amarillo and Energizer are two top horses and imo both are in the finish. One dark horse I have pick up, it"s Pastorius. This horse scared me a bit and nobody should underestimate him. Result of last race didnt show his class because he didnt found a passage last furlong. This horse is really interesting and gain any attention for all your bets.

Good luck for your picks today.




Werner Baltromei, age 49, passed away this morning. Great guy and horseman is gone. Can"t believe it. R.I.P.
He was the first german horse trainer who focused french horse racing continiously.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 30, 2012, 13:44:12 PM
sad and tragic to die so young Achim...

as for Kissed in the Oaks Anne-Marie OB tweeted she will only run if there is ease in the ground, my limited understanding is that they are happy to run on the current ground, odd to tweet about preferred ground 2days before the race? the rest is up to Andy Cooper and how much watering is done between now and Friday.. The Oaks ante post is suspended now so its a sweat now as to the going.................... :-X
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 30, 2012, 19:30:13 PM
Electrelane / Trainer Ralph Beckett will run on sundays German 1000 Guineas.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 31, 2012, 14:54:10 PM
Epsom Dash 3.15pm Saturday June 2nd 2012

Jamesway @14/1

to big imo to resist...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 01, 2012, 04:17:33 AM
JUNE 1st
EPSOM 2:15 -
Haylaman EW @20/1+

EPSOM 3:25 -
Roayh @14/1+

EPSOM 4:05 - [ante post picks]
Kissed
Betterbetterbetter EW

good luck with your punts today.........
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 01, 2012, 07:00:07 AM
4.05 Epsom
Maybe 7/2

4.50 Epsom
Fallen For You 15/8
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 01, 2012, 07:05:42 AM
Watched a race on Wednesday, Maxentius looked like a class 2yr old
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 01, 2012, 16:14:15 PM
Great race, WAS made it, grrrrrr put "The Dazzler" on Shirocco Star on 2nd but the wrong horses at 1st in my Exacta.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 01, 2012, 16:48:47 PM

Great race, WAS made it, grrrrrr put "The Dazzler" on Shirocco Star on 2nd but the wrong horses at 1st in my Exacta.


i was gutted because Kissed was pulled out lol, Was ran well but look at this Achim - http://horses.sportinglife.com/Arch_Race_Pup/0,13215,497907,00.html
Aaraas and Cleofila finished 2nd and 4th with Was in 3rd in the Blue Wind Stakes... Aaraas and Cleofila both got totally out classed by Kissed and lost by 8.5 lengths + .............. SIGH  :)  
Shirocco Star ran well and The Fugue will be my Ribblesdale pick if she runs at Ascot, the Irish Oaks has to be in Gosden"s thoughts now i would guess come July....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 01, 2012, 18:11:51 PM
One to keep an out for tonight at Haydock in the 8pm Achilles Stakes -
Noble Storm @13/2+

i"m on ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 01, 2012, 19:40:55 PM


Lady of Budysin 7/2 - Cologne (Schwarzgold-Rennen)


Off as the tote favourite, jockeyship looks a bit like a morning work out.*chuckle*
Guess well see another horse at 1000 Guineas in 3 weeks.


German 1000 Guineas next sunday and Lady of Budysin will be the longshot of the race. 18/1!?! It"s exactly that what you wrote above. Compare performances and imo odds are unreal. Guess it"s a good pick for fixed odds W/P. More than Money back if she runs 3rd. British Electrelane is favourite.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 01, 2012, 20:34:09 PM

One to keep an out for tonight at Haydock in the 8pm Achilles Stakes -
Noble Storm @13/2+

i"m on ;)


3rd , not today........... A Bryan Smart 3year old Excelette wins at 12/1 [nice if i had foreseen it :)]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 01, 2012, 21:11:50 PM



Lady of Budysin 7/2 - Cologne (Schwarzgold-Rennen)


Off as the tote favourite, jockeyship looks a bit like a morning work out.*chuckle*
Guess well see another horse at 1000 Guineas in 3 weeks.


German 1000 Guineas next sunday and Lady of Budysin will be the longshot of the race. 18/1!?! It"s exactly that what you wrote above. Compare performances and imo odds are unreal. Guess it"s a good pick for fixed odds W/P. More than Money back if she runs 3rd. British Electrelane is favourite.


Survey not the favourite there Achim?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 01, 2012, 22:07:15 PM
German press media like RP in UK recommend Dessau (5/1), Survey (4/1) is 2nd favourite behind Electrelane (13/5). *()fixed odds today
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 02, 2012, 02:20:55 AM

German press media like RP in UK recommend Dessau (5/1), Survey (4/1) is 2nd favourite behind Electrelane (13/5). *()fixed odds today


Survey is a nice price, i don"t think form wise there is to much of a gap between her and  Electrelane :) looking through the card Cherry Danon looks interesting to out of Rock of Gibraltar, right distance, his off spring progress well, tackling good ground for the 1st time i"d guess he"ll improve past Dessau...
Good luck with your punt Achim , ill have my fingers crossed for you sir.......



Epsom Dash 3.15pm Saturday June 2nd 2012

Jamesway @14/1

to big imo to resist...


has been backed down now to around the 7/1 8/1 area...

another for the Dash from a low draw - Taajub @25/1+


and ill stick with my ante post pick for the Derby - Astrology

EPSOM 1:35 -
Fennell Bay @9/1+
The Giving Tree @12/1+

EPSOM 5:25 -
Swilly Ferry @16/1+
Fireback @14/1+

MUSSELBURGH 2:55 -
Rothesay Chancer @20/1+
Excel Bolt @18/1+

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 02, 2012, 14:34:34 PM


German press media like RP in UK recommend Dessau (5/1), Survey (4/1) is 2nd favourite behind Electrelane (13/5). *()fixed odds today


Survey is a nice price, i don"t think form wise there is to much of a gap between her and  Electrelane :) looking through the card Cherry Danon looks interesting to out of Rock of Gibraltar, right distance, his off spring progress well, tackling good ground for the 1st time i"d guess he"ll improve past Dessau...
Good luck with your punt Achim , ill have my fingers crossed for you sir.......



Thanks.;) Weather forecast interesting, expect rain, if to much and soft to heavy ground all is possible.
Any bet is very speculative today and Im unsure that Lady of Budysin prefer soft ground but it"s still the horse with the best value.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 02, 2012, 16:13:15 PM
CAMELOT, another superstar. What a dominance in classical races from O"Brien stable.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 03, 2012, 12:07:23 PM
GERMAN 1000 Guineas - Ground will be more soft than good, make a note. It"s raining since early morning.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 03, 2012, 12:45:38 PM
German AMARON will run in today french derby. Last performance was more than acceptable. Good enough not to neglect him in any combined bets I guess. Tote (400/10)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 03, 2012, 15:35:57 PM

German AMARON will run in today french derby. Last performance was more than acceptable. Good enough not to neglect him in any combined bets I guess. Tote (400/10)


All chances robbed by an massiv annoyance by Maxim Guyon on #6 Saint Baudolino. That wasnt the result what AMARON"S connections had expected.  Unlucky. :(
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 03, 2012, 16:45:02 PM
Ground preferences made the difference today. ELECTRELANE wins the german 1000 Guineas sh to Cherry Danon and 5 to 3rd Waldtraut. 4th Lady of Budysin. Survey 5th.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 04, 2012, 17:09:41 PM

Ground preferences made the difference today. ELECTRELANE wins the german 1000 Guineas sh to Cherry Danon and 5 to 3rd Waldtraut. 4th Lady of Budysin. Survey 5th.


the final race time on a turning mile was 1m 40.40s , tbh i can"t make head nor tail of the race times at Dusseldorf they are all over the place for various ground descriptions Achim...  :)
the IFHA had Alianthus on a rating of 117 so using him as the Mr consistent yardstick for Dusseldorf doesn"t make this guineas look all that strong yet Laugh out loud wins a 3yo group2 fillies race in Chantilly worth 63k to the winner, i"m left scratching my head as to how good this generation actually are tbh ???
good race to watch though Achim, i"m very surprised that the race wasn"t awarded to Cherry Danon tbh , in the end only a short head separated the 2 horses at the finish line plus considering after the stewards enquiry they decided on banning Crowley for over use of the whip.......

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=01MHip_XVEg&feature=related[/youtube]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 06, 2012, 16:06:15 PM
Cologne R3: Ninas Rainbow (can"t resist fixed odds 50/10)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 06, 2012, 18:01:23 PM

Cologne R3: Ninas Rainbow (can"t resist fixed odds 50/10)


3rd. Place paid, ok.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 06, 2012, 22:08:30 PM
i"m having a early punt on the St Ledger with Michelangelo @20"s with Laddies and WH with a view to a bit of trading on Betfair in the future.. he won the Cocked Hat Stakes beating Expense Claim giving him maybe to much rope in the run in but his class got him out of trouble, MA is entered up for the King Edward VII Stakes, the same route Gosden took with Arctic Cosmos, speculative but potentially profitable angles...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 07, 2012, 18:35:29 PM
Most important german derby trial Union Race will held sunday on Cologne race course. NOVELLIST wil be short fav but keep an eye on ANDREAS.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 07, 2012, 18:48:12 PM
20:10 MEZ 8.Race Saint Cloud OPERA MOON my bet. Sun of my ex-filly.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 07, 2012, 19:16:22 PM

20:10 MEZ 8.Race Saint Cloud OPERA MOON my bet. Sun of my ex-filly.


Still wondering about this appearance.  ???
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 08, 2012, 20:21:25 PM
What a pity, I"LL HAVE ANOTHER scratched fom Belmont Stakes. No chance to win the Triple Crown after more than 30 years. Retired with a tendon injury. Great horse ! :"(
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 09, 2012, 01:03:48 AM

What a pity, I"LL HAVE ANOTHER scratched fom Belmont Stakes. No chance to win the Triple Crown after more than 30 years. Retired with a tendon injury. Great horse ! :"(


its disappointing Achim, i"d loved to seen him get the triple...


NEWMARKET
2:55 -
Shropshire @10"s+
El Viento @25"s+

DONCASTER
3:45 -
Prime Exhibit @10"s+
Bay Knight @16"s+

CHESTER
3:10 -
Licence To Till @11"s+
Tres Coronas @11"s+


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 09, 2012, 13:28:31 PM
Important german derby trial UNION RACE will held on sunday at Cologne Race Course. Hot fav willl be NOVELLIST, but keep an eye on ANDREAS! At the moment best fixed odds for ANDREAS are 250/10 Win and 58/10 Place. If he"ll run a good race the odds crash down. Since 2010 it"s possible to make a post-nomination for german derby. So I"m unsure that there will be a international crack like Buzzworld 2010. To bet a horse at this early stage it"s always monopoly. ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 09, 2012, 16:32:09 PM


What a pity, I"LL HAVE ANOTHER scratched fom Belmont Stakes. No chance to win the Triple Crown after more than 30 years. Retired with a tendon injury. Great horse ! :"(


its disappointing Achim, i"d loved to seen him get the triple...


NEWMARKET
2:55 -
Shropshire @10"s+
El Viento @25"s+

DONCASTER
3:45 -
Prime Exhibit @10"s+
Bay Knight @16"s+

CHESTER
3:10 -
Licence To Till @11"s+
Tres Coronas @11"s+



L to Till wins at 16/1 for a nice 11 point profit.... tyvm............
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 14, 2012, 18:40:25 PM
Haydock 2.R. Mowhoob

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 14, 2012, 19:28:38 PM

Haydock 2.R. Mowhoob


Disturbed by favourite, 51/1 GLORY AWAITS wins it. Big surprise at Haydock.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 15, 2012, 04:15:48 AM
YORK 4:10 -
Le Toreador  14/1+
Haajes  20/1+





Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 16, 2012, 02:15:34 AM
YORK 2:05 -
Hanoverian Baron  @11/1+
Ascalon @22/1+

YORK 2:35 -
Halfsin @15/2+

YORK 3:10 -
Lily"s Angel @20/1+
Nameitwhatyoulike @14/1+

YORK 5:15 -
Green Park @7/1+
Go Go Green @16/1+

SANDOWN 2:20 -
Ventura Spirit @10/1+

SANDOWN 2:50 -
Karaka Jack @11/1+

SANDOWN 3:25 -
Ballesteros @3/1+

SANDOWN 4:00 -
Captain Scooby @9/1+
Bouncy Bouncy @6/1+


my approach is not for the selective punter who wants sure things :) but there is logic to my picks and its profitable, i just cannot be bothered to write a load of drivel justifying my selections ;)
although in the 3:10 at York if anyone fancies the hot favourite Priceless Jewel at around 5/1 in a competitive sprint with 20runners, take a look at Roger"s comments -
(http://www.thesportofkings.co.uk/rogercms/userfiles/Priceless%20Jewel(3).jpg)
RC"s quote before the race at Kempton which she won cosily on the AW during all the rain way back in early May [has it stopped yet?]
Quote
There are a few interesting runners in todays race but I am expecting her to run well as her work has been encouraging, but I would have preferred to have run her on the turf but unfortunately there are no suitable races which aren"t being run on soft or heavy ground.

soft at York today....... her action suggests it would be suited to better ground so don"t go bezerk if you are backing her today..... [now watch her hose up lol]
so ends the drivel for today ;D
good luck whatever you punt on today, may the gambling gods bestow great luck upon you..........
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 16, 2012, 13:42:42 PM
York

2.05 Itlaaq
2.35 Classic Colori
3.10 Pea Shooter
3.45 Tullius

Sandown

2.20 Takeitfromalady
2.50 Weapon Of Choice
3.25 Free Zone

Royal Ascot next week...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 16, 2012, 16:48:00 PM

York

2.05 Itlaaq
2.35 Classic Colori
3.10 Pea Shooter
3.45 Tullius

Sandown

2.20 Takeitfromalady
2.50 Weapon Of Choice
3.25 Free Zone

Royal Ascot next week...


hooray :)  tough enjoyable punting with more rain to come lol lol .....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 18, 2012, 15:34:17 PM
Queen Anne Stakes ASCOT 2:30 -
Frankel
Red Jazz [place bet - around 9.2 on BF atm]

King"s Stand Stakes ASCOT 3:05 -
Wizz Kid
Ortensia

St James"s Palace StakesASCOT 3:45 -
Lucayan
Power

Coventry Stakes ASCOT 4:25 -
Dawn Approach [currently 5"s on BF]

Ascot Stakes ASCOT 5:00 -
Fiulin ew
Ashbrittle

Windsor Castle Stakes ASCOT 5:35 -
Smoothtalkinrascal


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 18, 2012, 20:24:17 PM
Royal Ascot Day 1

2.30 Frankel

3.05 Joy And Fun (ew)
      Stepper Point (ew)

3.45 Power

4.25 Sir Prancealot

5.00 Cosimo De Medici (nap)
      Twin Soul (ew)

5.35 Cosmic Chatter (ew)
      Trinityelitedotcom (ew)

Gutted I am working all week so won"t be able to catch any live action until Saturday - Frankel the star in the Queen Anne, simply a phenom!!!

GL all
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 19, 2012, 07:25:56 AM
unlucky James, u could lump a large sum on Frankel and then have a sickie for the rest of the week :)

the races i"m looking forward to are obvious the 1st, to see how Frankel is progressing, in the 2nd Ortensia has improved so much since Paul Messara took over the training of her.. Yet to lose for Paul in 3 races, the last 2 being group1"s, her run in meydan in the Al Quoz sprint was exceptional. Messara is a great young trainer and the last horse that he ran over here in the July Cup Alverta finished 3rd to Starspangledbanner and he rates this mare Ortensia much higher, she"s been here training at Newmarket since early April so it will be interesting to see how his judgement of bringing over this speedy mare turns out.
the 3rd race the St James"s i"m more intrigued to see how Lucayan gets on, his sire Turtle Bowl finished second on the freshmen sire's list last year in France, French Fifteen [by Turtle Bowl] won the group1 Criterium as a 2yo and then ran well in our 2000 Guineas and then Lucayan won the French version, Turtle Bowl stands for a fee of 6,000 Euros atm, somehow i think that fee maybe rising in the near future :) Lucayan was considered a shock winner in the French 2000 but i"ve watched it over and over and i can"t see any reasons as to why he can"t reproduce that form, in fact all the french horses have a decent shout, with the prize money in France now being the best in europe and generally the whole race structuring getting better and better, in future we met in the UK have to get used to the idea of more winners of our top races coming over from France, maybe it will start this year, who knows :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 19, 2012, 22:50:20 PM
Tough first day punting wise - but Frankel was simply outstanding, a true wonder horse.

Nice pick with Dawn Approach Noble - looks likely to train on next year also

Royal Ascot Day 2

2.30 Valbchek & Telwaar (ew)
3.05 Chachamaidee & Captivator (ew)
3.45 Reliable Man (ew)
4.25 Belgian Bill, Trade Storm & Capail Liath (all ew)
5.00 Projectisle & Satsuma (both ew)
5.35 Switcher & Hello Glory
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 20, 2012, 04:55:04 AM
Meh its just variance and the law of randomness James :) we"ll slot one in at a big price at some point, maybe it wont be at Ascot :) but at another meet, we"ll play the long run....
Agreed on Frankel, another slaughter that some sceptics are playing down, i did a little maths on the speed ratings and looking at the turftrax feed, they clocked Frankel in his race in a furlong 0.2 secs faster than Little Bridge"s fastest in the King"s Stand....... in the 3f to the 2f mark Frankel ran it in 10.58 secs , Little Bridge from the 4f to 3f marker ran his fastest furlong clocking 10.78 secs... thats just phenomenal fast for a miler, it will interesting to see what Black Caviar clocks :) will it shut the Aussies up? naaaaaa :o

ASCOT 2:30 -
Bannock
Producer

ASCOT 3:05 -
Emulous
Nahrain

ASCOT 3:45 -
Farhh

ASCOT 4:25 -
Prince Of Johanne
Dimension
Don"t Call Me

ASCOT 5:00 -
Hairy Rocket
Upward Spiral

ASCOT 5:35 -
Devotion
Duntle
 
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 20, 2012, 18:31:11 PM
ok not a bad day picks wise,the hunt cup was profitable i had 18"s on Prince Of Johanne, 10"s on Dimension and Don"t Call Me i had managed to get on ew at 66"s - Prince of Johanne won and Don"t Call Me finished 3rd..
Farhh was 3rd but if u are into your racing then watch the replay and watch the home straight, they highlighted it on the BBC as it was fairly obvious but Farhh got hampered a couple of times by the big American lump, in my view if getting a clear run Frankie met of got up, but thats racing..
Hairy Rocket and Upward Spiral came home 3rd and 4th in the Queen Mary, both are worth following again in similar conditions, HR i think will improve a tad more on good to firm going, Upward Spiral will improve no matter what, she"s a lovely big thing who will only get better as she grows...
Duntle won the last nicely and will get better as the season goes, i"m not convinced she"s a top class group1 type but she"ll hold her own and i"ll follow her but i won"t go crazy backing her with large sums.. Devotion ran a shocker but i"ll keep an eye out to see what route AOB takes with her...
of the horses that ran in the opening two races the 2 to take from them was Producer and Emulous, it shouldn"t be to hard to find a race for those two... Bannock hmmm met be of interest if he turns up at the Glorious Goodwood meet, Nahrain i"ll avoid for now in future...

Day 3 tomorrow and as ever it will be tough, my shortlists aren"t very short :) so i"ll while the night away going back through video replays with a beer or 2 :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 20, 2012, 21:55:11 PM
DAY 3
ASCOT 2:30 -
Cay Verde
Reckless Abandon

ASCOT 3:05 -
The Fugue

ASCOT 3:45 -
Colour Vision
Saddler"s Rock

ASCOT 4:25 -
Lord Ofthe Shadows
Prince Alzain
Leqqaa

ASCOT 5:00 -
Stipulate
Cavaleiro

ASCOT 5:35 -
Nicholascopernicus
Rocktherunway
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 20, 2012, 23:39:12 PM
Another tricky punting day at Royal Ascot tomorrow

2.30 Morawij
3.05 Pink Damsel
3.45 Opinion Poll
4.25 Nawwaar, Prince Alzain & Compton
5.00 Tales Of Grimm
5.35 Sparkling Portrait & Samba King
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 21, 2012, 19:22:09 PM
Still waiting the first winner of the week...

Royal Ascot (Friday)

2.30 Sandreamer (ew)
3.05 Shantaram
3.45 Starscope
4.25 Gatewood
5.00 Athens
5.35 Jamesie, Imperial Guest & Rakaan (all ew)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 21, 2012, 23:40:52 PM
Great result for ENERGIZER and Adrie and Jens. Great guys, know both of them well.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 22, 2012, 00:14:49 AM

Great result for ENERGIZER and Adrie and Jens. Great guys, know both of them well.


i hope u had a euro or two on it Achim, Energizer ran really well, a well deserved win for connections taking a chance across here imho...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 22, 2012, 01:54:02 AM
DAY 4
ASCOT 2:30 -
Newfangled
Agent Allison

ASCOT 3:05 -
Astrology

ASCOT 3:45 -
Homecoming Queen

ASCOT 4:25 -
French Navy
Opera Gal
Retrieve

ASCOT 5:00 -
Athens

ASCOT 5:35 -
Global Village
Noble Citizen
Lightning Cloud

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 22, 2012, 22:38:28 PM


Great result for ENERGIZER and Adrie and Jens. Great guys, know both of them well.


i hope u had a euro or two on it Achim, Energizer ran really well, a well deserved win for connections taking a chance across here imho...


Sadly no,:) but Im happy to see a jockey who took his chance very late of his careeer here in germany and a trainer who took his chance out of the shadow of former and now in HongKong based trainer Andreas Schutz. Both deserve a winning like that and Im very happy about that. Great guys !!!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 22, 2012, 23:09:52 PM
Read that a 35" GBP bet on Energize was the highest single bet. Guess odds 10/1 made some one happy.;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 23, 2012, 02:44:25 AM
ASCOT 2:30 -
Move To Strike

ASCOT 3:05 -
Aiken
Sea Moon

ASCOT 3:45 -
Pastoral Player - ew
Bogart - ew

ASCOT 4:25 -
Medicean Man
Desert Law
Waffle

ASCOT 5:00 -
Camborne

ASCOT 5:35 -
Overturn
Simenon
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Waz1892 on June 23, 2012, 02:49:10 AM
good luck with the selections
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on June 23, 2012, 13:13:40 PM
Final day at Royal Ascot

2.30 Jalaa
3.05 Memphis Tennessee
3.45 Society Rock (ew)
4.25 Desert Law
5.00 License To Till
5.35 American Trilogy
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 23, 2012, 20:12:16 PM
Imo Black Caviar looks a bit "on heat" today and maybe that"s the reason why her trainer saw not 100% of her.
Nevertheless 22th victory in a row. Great filly.

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=46wsKyp-NWk[/youtube]

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 26, 2012, 16:21:20 PM
R.I.P. young talented jockey Campbell Gillies. Lost his life on holiday in Kavos, Greece. (swimming pool incident) Biggest win of his racing career was on Brindisi Breeze at Cheltenham Festival.

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-jn8gC0LF2U[/youtube]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 29, 2012, 23:20:50 PM
First day of german derby week.
Race 5
1. ( 9 ) Goldhexe
2. (2) Nice Nelly
3. (10) Zaubergirl
4. ( 3 ) Leoderprofi
Win: 231:10
Place:
Goldhexe 46:10
2. Nice Nelly 19: 10
3. Zaubergirl 44:10
Ex:857:10
Trifecta:18.591:10
Super:39.552:10

Happy to hit the trifecta !
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 30, 2012, 03:55:40 AM

First day of german derby week.
Race 5
1. ( 9 ) Goldhexe
2. (2) Nice Nelly
3. (10) Zaubergirl
4. ( 3 ) Leoderprofi
Win: 231:10
Place:
Goldhexe 46:10
2. Nice Nelly 19: 10
3. Zaubergirl 44:10
Ex:857:10
Trifecta:18.591:10
Super:39.552:10

Happy to hit the trifecta !



good luck with the punts Achim :)


a good Saturday card today with a lot of competitive races, yum yum ;D

DONCASTER - lets have a crack at the sprints this evening...
6:40 -
Alive And Kicking

7:15 -
Whisky Bravo

NEWCASTLE
2:45 -
Fast Shot

3:20 -
Palazzo Bianco
Halla San

3:55 -
Fieldgunner Kirkup

NEWMARKET
2:30 -
Tipping Over

3:00 -
Barbican

3:35 -
Majestic Myles

WINDSOR
4:35 -
Kakatosi
Nasri

CHESTER
4:15 -
Diman Waters








Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 30, 2012, 12:15:12 PM
Good luck too, noble.

Try some W/P bets today:

Hamburg:

R 1 - #1 Zwegat 34/10
R 3 - #4 Piccadilly Circus 39/10
R 7 - #1 Temida 23/10
R 8 - #4 Drax 185/10
R 9 - #7 Cherry Danon 40/10
R10- #8 Ingo Elusiv 61/10
R11- #13 Next Dancer 74/10
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: pables on June 30, 2012, 14:11:20 PM
Having a bit of a giigle today  ;D  ;D  ;D

5p E/W Goliath £22.60

Alive and Kicking
Whisky Bravo
Fast Shot
Halla San
Fieldgunner Kirkup
Tipping Over
Barbican
Majestic Myles

Just basically robbed your fancies Noble to get rid of the odd in Betfair
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 30, 2012, 17:15:07 PM

Having a bit of a giigle today  ;D  ;D  ;D

5p E/W Goliath £22.60

Alive and Kicking
Whisky Bravo
Fast Shot
Halla San
Fieldgunner Kirkup
Tipping Over
Barbican
Majestic Myles

Just basically robbed your fancies Noble to get rid of the odd in Betfair


well u have won around £2.85 so far with two to go, u need those last 2 tonight to place to get in profit, u r laughing if they both win :)
Fast Shot was 16/1 this morning then a fair bit of money throughout the day added with Mr TE"s money on , he opened 12"s on course and was duly cut down to 8"s, i hope u took a price..
good luck Pables, if u ever fancy a flutter on the exotics and u go with my picks :o , gives us a heads up on here or pm and i"ll give it some thought angle wise for a Goliath[i tend to work well under pressure if i know some1"s money is on], i usually  put up picks from a singles view, u"d be in profit today if backing in singles... if i"d known earlier i"d suggested EW Polygon and Luhaif , i"d dabbled on them with a bit of hope nothing more and both won ok [lucky]........
anyhooos i shall watch Donny tonight with my fingers crossed for u sir, hoping the punting gods will be kind :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 30, 2012, 17:52:37 PM

Good luck too, noble.

Try some W/P bets today:

Hamburg:

R 1 - #1 Zwegat 34/10 (1)
R 3 - #4 Piccadilly Circus 39/10 (3)
R 7 - #1 Temida 23/10 (1)
R 8 - #4 Drax 185/10
R 9 - #7 Cherry Danon 40/10 (1)
R10- #8 Ingo Elusiv 61/10
R11- #13 Next Dancer 74/10

Tomorow big Derby Day.

If you like to see it live click on: http://adamski.tv/ => SPORT1(17-18MEZ)

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 30, 2012, 18:33:59 PM


Good luck too, noble.

Try some W/P bets today:

Hamburg:

R 1 - #1 Zwegat 34/10 (1)
R 3 - #4 Piccadilly Circus 39/10 (3)
R 7 - #1 Temida 23/10 (1)
R 8 - #4 Drax 185/10
R 9 - #7 Cherry Danon 40/10 (1)
R10- #8 Ingo Elusiv 61/10
R11- #13 Next Dancer 74/10

Tomorow big Derby Day.

If you like to see it live click on: http://adamski.tv/ => SPORT1(17-18MEZ)




very handy , thanks Achim....  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 01, 2012, 11:59:50 AM
Derby Day Hamburg

R2 Maximool
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 01, 2012, 12:24:58 PM
Derby Day Hamburg

R3 Hondo
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 01, 2012, 13:05:42 PM
Derby Day Hamburg

R4 Foreign Hil
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 01, 2012, 13:22:41 PM
Derby Day Hamburg

R5 Welanus (Dettori)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 01, 2012, 14:09:27 PM
Derby Day Hamburg
R 6 - Clever Man
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 01, 2012, 14:27:33 PM
Derby Day Hamburg

R7 - Ever Song
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 01, 2012, 15:02:29 PM
Derby Day Hamburg

R8 - Narrow Hill
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 01, 2012, 15:38:36 PM
Derby Day Hamburg

R9 - Wonderful Pearl
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 01, 2012, 16:03:58 PM
Derby Day Hamburg

Gr1 German Derby

One of the hottest favourites since years NOVELLIST will be the horse to beat. Always impressive winner but never runs over 2400m. So this race ask for stamina and thats always the key for success. 14 runners and it would be no surprise when a dark horse will run on to the top. Made a combined trifecta with a couple of horses. To pick a winner is a pure riddle and to bet Novellist no motivation.

Had always an eye to Andolini, but Girolamo and Black Arrow could be a strong competitor.

Live on stream now: adamski.tv (click on sport1) Starting time: 17:40 MEZ
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 01, 2012, 17:16:11 PM

@noble Thanks for analysis.;)

IMO we"ll see one of the most thrilling German 2000 Guineas over the past years.

I"m totally sure that one of the german horses will win it. It"s not patriotism why I think so. Can"t believe that the performance of both british horses are good enough this time to to take it down.

Tai Chi was an excellent 2y and the aim was to prepare him for the french and maybe german derby. Now they scratched him and drop him in distance, which will give him a top chance, if he is at 100%. Trainer is a great guy, whole family are horsemen, had a lot of fun with him but sadly he"s seriously ill ( lung cancer) and wish with all of my heart that Tai Chi will win it. Fingers cross for you Werner!

Amarillo and Energizer are two top horses and imo both are in the finish. One dark horse I have pick up, it"s Pastorius. This horse scared me a bit and nobody should underestimate him. Result of last race didnt show his class because he didnt found a passage last furlong. This horse is really interesting and gain any attention for all your bets.



What an amazing finish and Terry Hellier made it with a great jockeyship. He deserve it absolutely. Top jockey in germany for so many years, also trainer Mario Hofer. Both wins the derby first time.

Derby winner PASTORIUS 321/10 winnner was still in thoughts. So I hit the trifecta and exacta, sadly GIRALOMO finished by a noose 3rd. Guess both bets had paid much more more Im still happy about the result.

1. 5 Pastorius    
2. 1 Novellist          
3. 7 Girolamo    

Win: 321/10
Place: 49-16-25/10
Ex: 726/10
Tri: 6716/10      



Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 01, 2012, 17:25:44 PM
Derby Day Hamburg

R 11 - Kidman
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 01, 2012, 17:52:59 PM


@noble Thanks for analysis.;)

IMO we"ll see one of the most thrilling German 2000 Guineas over the past years.

I"m totally sure that one of the german horses will win it. It"s not patriotism why I think so. Can"t believe that the performance of both british horses are good enough this time to to take it down.

Tai Chi was an excellent 2y and the aim was to prepare him for the french and maybe german derby. Now they scratched him and drop him in distance, which will give him a top chance, if he is at 100%. Trainer is a great guy, whole family are horsemen, had a lot of fun with him but sadly he"s seriously ill ( lung cancer) and wish with all of my heart that Tai Chi will win it. Fingers cross for you Werner!

Amarillo and Energizer are two top horses and imo both are in the finish. One dark horse I have pick up, it"s Pastorius. This horse scared me a bit and nobody should underestimate him. Result of last race didnt show his class because he didnt found a passage last furlong. This horse is really interesting and gain any attention for all your bets.



What an amazing finish and Terry Hellier made it with a great jockeyship. He deserve it absolutely. Top jockey in germany for so many years, also trainer Mario Hofer. Both wins the derby first time.

Derby winner PASTORIUS 321/10 winnner was still in thoughts. So I hit the trifecta and exacta, sadly GIRALOMO finished by a noose 3rd. Guess both bets had paid much more more Im still happy about the result.

1. 5 Pastorius    
2. 1 Novellist          
3. 7 Girolamo    

Win: 321/10
Place: 49-16-25/10
Ex: 726/10
Tri: 6716/10      


yep good spot Achim , i was on with a couple of singles with Pastorius and Black Arrow, the price discrepancy between the two was rather odd taking into account when they faced each other at Cologne and Krefeld, Pastorius was full of running when 4th over 9f at Krefeld behind Amaron.. amazing price....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 01, 2012, 18:04:15 PM
Hope you had also some good payouts noble.;) Derby Meeting will continue now tuesday to thursday.

Derby - full result:

1. Pastorius 321/10
2. Novellist 17/10
3. Girolamo 115/10
4. Baltic Rock 118/10
5. Black Arrow 59/10
6. Andolini 303/10
7. Salon Soldier 287/10
8. Nostro Amico 547/10
9. Anakin Skywalker 509/10
10.Feuerblitz 83/10
11.Macao 755/10
12.Milord 227/10
13.Russian Song 329/10
14.Mano Diao 237/10

1/2-kK-1-1 1/4-3 1/2-K-H-1/2-K-8-3-20-10

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m_ryf7yiu5s&list=UUc41_Zgh2E7znIMR8sVTTWw&index=1&feature=plcp (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m_ryf7yiu5s&list=UUc41_Zgh2E7znIMR8sVTTWw&index=1&feature=plcp)

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 01, 2012, 18:41:31 PM

Hope you had also some good payouts noble.;) Derby Meeting will continue now tuesday to thursday.


not had a bad day at the Curragh today, started off slow for the 1st four races then bagged the next 4 winners 8)
busy busy atm with the US racing about to start at Woodbine, Belmont and Monmouth, well its started already, i can"t write quick enough replies, to much to do :) Silent Star has got me off to winning start, just got to lay a few more tonight and keep my eyes peeled on the markets for any angles...
If you fancy anything strongly at Hamburg put it up here Achim.. Right i have to log off now, my multi-tasking gets slower as i get older ;D

mucho regards
noble
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 02, 2012, 10:42:44 AM
Nantes - Race 2 - 17:10 MEZ

DERBY DE L"OUEST - GRAND PRIX DE L"ASSELCO (Listed)

# 5 Gentle Storm
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 03, 2012, 15:30:16 PM

Nantes - Race 2 - 17:10 MEZ

DERBY DE L"OUEST - GRAND PRIX DE L"ASSELCO (Listed)

# 5 Gentle Storm


Didnt saw the race, heard an unlucky jockeyship. No passage hard at the rails so 5th a big disappointment for whole connection.

Derby Meeting Hamburg

1R - Elaysa
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 03, 2012, 16:30:16 PM
Derby Meeting Hamburg

1R - Elaysa
2R. - (Trotter)
3R - Sinaola
4R - Irving
5R -    Black Cool Cat
6R - Atempo
7R - (Trotter)

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 03, 2012, 16:45:07 PM

Derby Meeting Hamburg

1R - Elaysa  :(
2R. - (Trotter)
3R - Sinaola  :(
4R - Irving 2.
5R -    Black Cool Cat 3.
6R - Atempo 3.
7R - (Trotter)



8R -    Soudabeh 3.
9R - Batya  :( (hurdle)
10R-Big Red Dragon  :(
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 04, 2012, 13:03:09 PM
Derby Meeting Hamburg

1.Key of Love
2.Slight Advantage
3.Christoph Columbus
4.Inside Heart
5.Gelon (hurdle)
6.Zarras
7.Mudschahid
8.Fresh Lady
9.Lampio
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 04, 2012, 18:09:45 PM
Pietsch is riding well today Achim with Key Of Love, Tres Rock Danon and Austin Powers..

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 04, 2012, 21:13:42 PM

Derby Meeting Hamburg

1.Key of Love 1.
2.Slight Advantage  :(
3.Christoph Columbus 3.
4.Inside Heart :(
5.Gelon (hurdle) 1.
6.Zarras 2.
7.Mudschahid  :(
8.Fresh Lady  :(
9.Lampio  :(
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 04, 2012, 21:18:53 PM

Pietsch is riding well today Achim with Key Of Love, Tres Rock Danon and Austin Powers..



Yes, but I dont like him. Engaged him two times as a jockey and imo he fools me both times. Ignore the order. Both times favourite or co favourite. *grrrrrr*

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 05, 2012, 11:23:13 AM
Derby Meeting Hamburg (final day)

1. Aosta Spring 2.
2. Durban Thunder(non-runner) Point Blank 1.
3. Pongal 2.
4. Kimbra 2.
5. Lady of Budysin :(
6. Sternenwind(non-runner) Ron  :(
7. Golden Tough  :(
8. Nice Nelly :(
9. Giant Step  :(
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 07, 2012, 07:15:21 AM
SANDOWN
2:05 -
Elusivity - 8/1
Medicean Man - 10/1

take bog if using a bookie...

3:45 -
Farhh - win get 9/4 or bigger if you can [2/1 ok]
Twice Over - e/w @ 14/1+ [you can get 16"s if you hunt about]

4:20 -
Askar Tau - 6/1 available as i write [take BOG]


HAYDOCK
2:55 -
Salford Art - 10/1 with WH as i write @ BOG

3:25 -
Tmaam - 10/1
Number Theory - 8/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 10, 2012, 02:31:35 AM
made a small profit of 4.2 points Saturday following the week before with a 5 point gain, slowly but surely :) Number Theory won and Twice Over placed.
all in all the thread is approx +91 points up since the flat season started just doing Saturdays, the Newmarket Guineas, York and Ascot meetings.. Nothing spectacular but i"ll strive to improve upon that as the season goes, i"ve been experimenting with a long shot scatter gun approach that is +340 points up on betfair since i started that on May 8th, as i refine my logic i"ll start to put up some picks on here, but its not for the faint hearted :) although this being a poker community will mean most will understand the variance involved, the little dips, the big dips ;D, the big and small gains and the long break-even stretches :)

below is a good short video about Secretariat, that long stride is so much similar to that of Frankel"s don"t you think?

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QtuEoiYiqZw&feature=g-vrec[/youtube]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 12, 2012, 04:24:28 AM
right lets have a crack at the Newmarket July meet, with all the rain the odd surprise met happen :)

1:20 - Bahrain Trophy
i"m not a fan of betting short prices and i want to take on Gosden"s entry - Shantaram, i prefer to back 1m4f winners in this race and as Valiant and Rewarded haven"t raced further than 10f then at the prices i prefer Yazdi should handle ground conditions plus the drop back to 13f should be more suitable after his lto at Ascot in the Queens Vase and it won"t be surprising if he causes a minor shock at odds of 6/1 atm with the street bookies, trading around the 8.4 mark on BF as i write...

1:50 - TNT July Stakes
Gale Force Ten @3/1 as i write
Alhebayeb @11/2 as i write, you might get 8"s on BF if you get on early, i"ll be surprised if his price gets any bigger..

the ground sways me towards these two, Sir Prancealot"s action puts me off him, Ahern met improve but at the prices i"d favour Gale Force Ten to be the better of the two from the Norfolk Stakes..
the Windsor Castle Stakes was a pretty decent race again this year and the obvious one is Alhebayeb, Smoothtalkinrascal didn"t get the best of runs and it won"t surprise me one jot if he improves for the step up in trip, i met be tempted with a each way punt if his price keeps drifting..

2:25 - Goldsmiths Handicap
Silver Blaze @16/1
Zaina @16/1

both can be backed at bigger on BF at 19"s and 24"s currently... Nabucco and Hajras have solid claims but in such a open looking race on paper they are way to short for me to back...

3:00 - Princess of Wales"s Goldsmiths Stakes
Quest For Peace
Fiorente - both trading at 14"s in the main, better prices to be had on BF for both [especially Q.for.P]

both ran in the Hardwicke but should come on from that as both didn"t get the race ran to suit, i"ve picked the winner for this race for the last two runnings - Crystal Capella and Sans Frontieres, Leigh met remember the latter who won at 14/1 because he couldn"t see why i had picked it out that year, well the Hardwicke was a rather good race that year with Harbinger winning rather nicely.. This years renewal was rather decent and Sea Moon will be hard to beat if he goes for the King George next [just like Harbinger] so keep that in mind... Red Cadeaux should win if he re-produce his Hardwicke run but i have niggling doubts as to whether he is truly suited to Newmarket, so at the prices Quest For Peace and Fiorente appeal, Q.for.P likes Newmarket and the ground is no problem, if he re-produces his form as when behind Al Kazeem then he could cause a shock.. Fiorente should be backed just for Stoutes record in this, plus with Ryan Moore back aboard today that should bring about some more improvement... so to keep my Princess of Wales"s record intact remember i did fancy Red Cadeaux [but not at 5/2 :)]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 12, 2012, 15:24:44 PM
well done noble with the 2 winners for a +12.5 point profit [after deductions]

i"m overwhelmed by all the response, nearly time to call it a day...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 12, 2012, 15:45:09 PM
Melancholy sums it all up....

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=04mfKJWDSzI&feature=player_embedded#![/youtube]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 12, 2012, 22:42:14 PM
profit so far = +103.5 points

NEWMARKET 13th July
1:20 - Piper-Heidsieck Handicap
Illaunglass 16/1
Hello Glory 16/1

both could be well handicapped for 7 furlongs, i don"t like a overly exposed sort over the trip in this race so they both fit the bill.. Both have course experience and can act on the forecast ground... Hunt around for the best price as they vary from firm to firm, some are only offering 12"s about the pair....

1:50 - The Bonus King Stakes Handicap
Muaamara 20/1
Bayleyf 20/1

both are on decent marks and could spring a surprise, Muaamara won cosily at Goodwood and maybe progressive, Bayleyf"s ran ok lto at Sandown behind Pearl Secret and looks a tad under estimated in the market..


i"ll edit post tomorrow morning with the other two televised races...


2:25 - Cherry Hinton Stakes
Premier Steps 6/1

i"ll stick with the Albany being the better race rather than the Queen Mary this year, Sendmylovetorose is an obvious, Jadanna ran well in the Queen Mary and might go well.. Of the others at bigger prices Fantacise may run a big race, first time blinkers lto at Pontefract did the trick on boggy ground and at 33/1 maybe worth a each way bet...

3:00 - Falmouth Stakes
Barefoot Lady ew 66"s
Lay Time ew 14"s


i want to take on Golden Lilac :) just purely because she has never tackled Newmarket before [i"d make her around a 7/4 shot to win this]
Maybe has chances but the odds are off putting, Elusive Kate the other 3yo would of been on my radar if she would of had a run this season. Of the rest Barefoot Lady can handle the ground and Newmarket and ran well lto at Ascot behind Joviality, likewise the lightly raced Laytime handles Newmarket and looks like she"ll be progressive on this type of ground.. If it had been better ground today Joviality would of been my only bet in this race, the ground should scupper her chance...

the best of good luck with your picks today Achim...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 13, 2012, 09:46:21 AM
Newmarket: Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Cherry Hinton Stakes - Maureen

Guess no chance for any horse to beat Golden Lilac and Rhamnus today.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 13, 2012, 14:56:59 PM
Made a bet around Trueman and Little Power at Race 5 Maisson Laffitte today. Odds 34/1 to good to neglect.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 13, 2012, 16:05:52 PM
Wow, both hot favourites (Golden Lilac, Rhamnus)failed.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 14, 2012, 00:26:59 AM
profit so far = +96.5 points

NEWMARKET  14th July
1:40 - Casino Handicap
Fire Ship 14/1

2:10 - Superlative Stakes
Operation Chariot 11/1

2:40 - Bunbury Cup
Bonnie Brae 8/1
Mawaakef 14/1

3:20 - Darley July Cup
Sepoy 8/1
Society Rock 9/2

YORK
1:55 - Racing Stakes
Silvery Moon 7/1

3:00 - John Smith"s Cup
Kirthill 10/1

3:35 - City Walls Stakes
Magical Macey 20/1
Prohibit 10/1

NEWBURY
3:50 - Weatherbys Super Sprint
Lyric Ace 10/1

-1.8 point loss today after deductions and a non runner for a running total so far of -  +94.7 points
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 14, 2012, 11:40:38 AM
Missed GRACIA DIRECTA yesterday (15/1 :(). Wins the York Gr3. Biggest success for Dominik Moser. Know him too, together with his father Rolf he worked for years at family owned Stud Trona and since 1-2 years he got the license to train horses. Congrat !
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 14, 2012, 11:54:13 AM

Missed GRACIA DIRECTA yesterday (15/1 :(). Wins the York Gr3. Biggest success for Dominik Moser. Know him too, together with his father Rolf he worked for years at family owned Stud Trona and since 1-2 years he got the license to train horses. Congrat !


@noble

Keep an eye to JOSEPHINE BLANCHE at John Smith"s City Walls Stakes/York today. Last time the filly runs 3rd to GRACIA DIRECTA, 6f, good ground and 2 1/2 l behind. Stallion Tannenkoenig was able to cope soft ground, not sure what the damn"s gene. ??? Imo the 5f will be much better for her. Would be no surprise if she try to run the race from the top of the field.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 21, 2012, 04:39:53 AM
profit so far = +94.7 points

21st July
NEWMARKET
2:00 - Camache Queen 12/1 n/r  nb - Coolminx 7/1
2:35 - R Woody 14/1

ASCOT
3:55 - Bronze Prince 33/1
        Hawkeyethenoo 10/1

4:35 - Sea Moon 3/1


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 21, 2012, 12:07:44 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 21, 2012, 16:45:43 PM
Booooom, DANEDREAM. Trainer has his reasons to go to Ascot and cancel plans for Berlin tomorow. What a great filly.

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GrmrdPkwfio[/youtube]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 22, 2012, 07:19:47 AM
complete blank for my picks, wish i was on Danedream, she ran really well Achim, i really wanted to go again this year to Ascot to watch the King George but the Open golf is on  :)
myself and Grandpa [who has a habit of visiting when i have some cigars :)] are watching the golf every day start to finish along with bacon butties and egg banjo"s in the morning.. I then break out the Reservadas Tequila in the afternoon which has to be enjoyed with a good Tequila snifter so u can catch all those lovely aromas and accordingly have a quality cigar..
cannot think why Gramps keeps popping around :)

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 22, 2012, 12:03:26 PM
unlucky noble, hope your enjoy the golf open. Played it as a kid just for fun without any teaching lessons. My golf clubs are still in my cellar.  ;D

MEANDRE hot fav for Gr. Preis von Berlin today. (18/10)

NAVARRA QUEEN at Maisson Laffitte 6. race today should be a value bet. 68/10 at the moment.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 26, 2012, 11:02:00 AM
Hi noble1 and CincinnatiKid

I am off to the Ebor in August (Saturday) so any Anti Post tips would be appreciated  ;)

Off to Doncaster next Saturday so I will be asking for tips next Friday  :D

I may not post much on this thread but I do read it so please dont stop noble1

I have cut my betting down considerably so stopped putting my bets up

Wayne  

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 27, 2012, 10:14:46 AM
Munich, July 29th, Gr.1 Grosser Dallmayr Preis

Normally ZAZOU should be the fav in the race. No doubts about his class and 2000m are the best distance.Guess he likes any ground so imo he should be the horse to beat.

PASTORIUS wins the german derby July 1st. Great horse but a bit doubts about his condition after an exertive race. Lot of the derby winners struggles and need their time to compensate it. Think 2000m are not perfect, better to see him on 2400m.

WALDPARK, last years derby winner, is also a candidate to win this race. Prefer to see him at 2400m but he"s in a good shape and any rain should improve his chances. He was beaten by Ovambo Queen this month ( finished close as 4th last sunday in Gr.1 behind Meandre and Earl of Tinsdale)  

PAKAL, Gr.2 winner at the Munich race course in May ( beat derby co-fav Black Arrow) is a dark horse in this race. Scratched from derby this race was focused after his biggest success. Not to underestimate with a 3y weight allowance of 4,5kg.

FEUERBLITZ, 2012 Derby Italiano winner (2200m) could find a perfect distance. There were no disappointments after his 10th place in german derby. As a son of top stallion Big Shuffle he should prefer this distance than 2200-2400m, indipendent of his great success in Italy this May.

DURBAN THUNDER came without any reference since he wins this race last year (runner-up Famous Name/D.Weld). Struggles as a 11/10 fav at his first 2012 start in lower class 2 weeks ago.

THEO DANON and KING"s HALL should be not the horses to finish at the top. I dislike to bet any of the 3y derby horses because in the past a lot of them couldnt compensate this race for month.

My pick: ZAZOU 28/10 - PAKAL - 100/10 - WALDPARK 42/10
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 28, 2012, 12:02:49 PM
28th July

ASCOT
2:55 - Fratellino 11/1
        Fitz Flyer 22/1

YORK
3:45 - Misplaced Fortune 14/1
        Tax Free 18/1

NEWMARKET
4:00 - Bartolomeu 12/1
        Top Cop 16/1

some tough sprints to ponder over but hopefully at least one of the above will have a spring in there step today.. take a BOG price if not using BF... [Fitz Flyer @ 60"s on BF]
Quote
I am off to the Ebor in August (Saturday) so any Anti Post tips would be appreciated  
Off to Doncaster next Saturday so I will be asking for tips next Friday

i"ll have some Donny picks up by early Saturday morning, i"ll put up my short list as well Wayne [might help you or not lol]
The Ebor i like to look at late, forgive my brag but i"ve put up the winner for the Ebor the last two years at double figures so sods law it will end this year :)  but hopefully my logic for this race will hold up again Wayne... Win or lose i"m sure you will a great day out at both courses, hopefully the better weather will hold up now...

also good luck for tomorrow Achim.. [i"ve had a little flutter on Zazou]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 29, 2012, 17:44:06 PM
Hat"s off, PASTORIUS ! 2012 derby winner wins the Grosser Dallmayr Preis in an impressive style by 8 lengths ! 2nd DURBAN THUNDER and 1/2l to 3rd ZAZOU and another 1/2l to 4th WALDPARK.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TStafgpEU5Y&list=UUc41_Zgh2E7znIMR8sVTTWw&index=2&feature=plcp (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TStafgpEU5Y&list=UUc41_Zgh2E7znIMR8sVTTWw&index=2&feature=plcp)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 30, 2012, 18:17:59 PM
Goodwood July 31th,Gr.3 The Gordon Stakes

GIROLAMO, Derby 3rd to yesterdays impressive Gr.1 winner Pastorius, will run tomorow at Goodwood.

Another good chance to capture a british grade race.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 31, 2012, 04:59:57 AM
Glorious Goodwood 31/7/12

and so it begins, good luck all with your punts...

2:00 -
Pivotman 33/1ew

2:35 -
Noble Mission & Girolamo
a no bet race for me at the prices, both horses are open to further progress then throw in Michelangelo and Farhaan then the prices don"t seem quite so appealing..

3:10 -
Chachamaidee, Majestic Myles & Libranno
its between these three imo with a slight preference for Libranno @ 4/1

3:45 -
Dylanbaru 9/1

swerve the 4:15

4:50 -
Colour Guard 20/1

5:25 -
Fitz Flyer 14/1
The Thrill Is Gone 28/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 01, 2012, 04:23:17 AM
day one drew a blank, lets see what day 2 has in store...

Glorious Goodwood 1/8/12

2:00 -
Defence Of Duress 14/1

3:45 -
Goodwood Atlantis 16/1


Frankel might win today :)

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 02, 2012, 07:54:46 AM
close but no cigar yesterday, 2nd 25/1 and a 4th with GA backed down to 8/1.. MJ has got off to a good start and Frankel just looked like he was strolling again, if he goes to York and tackles 2f further imo he will only get better, a flat track with his style will seem like heaven to him...

Glorious Goodwood 2/8/12

2:15 -
Prussian 8/1
Blue Surf 12/1

3:15 -
Lost In The Moment 15/2

3:45 -
Midnight Soprano 13/2
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 02, 2012, 15:57:06 PM
I don"t bet her but keep my finger cross for neighbours WILD COCO in The Lillie Langtry Stakes. Have my doubts about the distance and prefer much more 2200-2400m.

Keep my eye more to HAZEL LAVERY today.

Wow, great performance and victory for my neighbours.;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 03, 2012, 06:02:16 AM
Glorious Goodwood 3/8/12

2:35 -
Gregorian 10/3

3:10 -
Vainglory 16/1
Swiftly Done 12/1

3:45 -
Masamah 11/1
Amour Propre 14/1


DONCASTER 4/8/12 short-list of possibles for Wayne to ignore :)  lots of horrible trappy stuff :o  good luck fella, go for value and cross your fingers ;)

1:40 -
Big Johnny D
Infinite Hope

2:15 - [on known form]
Lady Vermeer
Lady Marmelo
Blue Nova

2:50 -
Drift And Dream
Willbeme
Meandmyshadow

3:20 -
Jimmy Styles
Bogart

4:00 -
Tinshu
Cool Macavity
Art Scholar

4:35 -
Al Saham
Ex Oriente

5:10 -
Ruwaiyan
Checkpoint
Blazing Speed
Port Charlotte

5:45 -
Just Like Heaven
Roy"s Legacy
Love Island


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 03, 2012, 10:09:26 AM
Bogart looks to be the bet of the day

I see you have not picked Conduct in the 4.00, do you think with the long layoff he needs the run?

Will look later and will post me picks
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 03, 2012, 10:22:29 AM
i just don"t think the bookies will take any chances with Conduct and will price him up accordingly plus add in the market which will probably back him.. if he is 9/1+ he will be worth a punt.. [on my book that is :)] i can"t see him getting that big though.. best guess he"ll open no bigger 9/2...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 03, 2012, 10:28:05 AM
Goodwood Oak Tree Stakes

Guess that GAMILATI is the logical favourite. German GRACIA DIRECTA surprisingly wins Summer Stakes / York but I"m more interested to combine some bets around SURVEY. Like the distance and if ground will be not to soft/heavy Tom Queally could have a nice ride. APPEALING is another horse in my bets.

Good luck noble and nosey-p !;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 03, 2012, 10:46:01 AM
GL to u as well Achim..

This is the race i fancied Tepmokea a couple a years back i think Wayne? it was you who went that year wasn"t it? my logic is along similar lines as then - in form ish rated low to mid 80"s - preference in order Tinshu, Art Scholar [tied] and Cool Macavity...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 03, 2012, 10:50:34 AM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 03, 2012, 17:00:11 PM

Goodwood Oak Tree Stakes

Guess that GAMILATI is the logical favourite. German GRACIA DIRECTA surprisingly wins Summer Stakes / York but I"m more interested to combine some bets around SURVEY. Like the distance and if ground will be not to soft/heavy Tom Queally could have a nice ride. APPEALING is another horse in my bets.

Good luck noble and nosey-p !;)


SURVEY runs well, GRACIA DIRECTA finished at the end of the field. Expected that the distance is not perfect, prefer 1200m but also the favourite GAMILATI struggeled. APPEALING finished 3rd runs very well and paid 42/10, sadly no single bet on her.

Hope some of you pick some winners today.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 03, 2012, 17:06:46 PM
My picks for Doncaster, will probably change my mind tomorrow

1.40 Big Johnny, Wannabe Loved, Infinite Hope
2.15 Lady Marmelo, Blue Nova, National Demand
2.50 Art Form, Demora, Willbeme
3.20 Bogart, Jimmy Styles, Boomerang Bob
4.00 Conduct, Unex Michelangeo, Calaf
4.35 Ex Oriente, Al Saham, Require
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 04, 2012, 03:35:20 AM
good luck Wayne, have a great day....

Glorious Goodwood 4/8/12

2:05 -
Piscean 28/1
Louis The Pious 25/1

3:55 -
Whaileyy 14/1
Lexi"s Hero 33/1
Victoire De Lyphar 10/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 04, 2012, 18:30:00 PM



DONCASTER 4/8/12 short-list of possibles for Wayne to ignore :)  lots of horrible trappy stuff :o  good luck fella, go for value and cross your fingers ;)

1:40 -
Big Johnny D n/r
Infinite Hope 3rd

2:15 - [on known form]
Lady Vermeer 5th
Lady Marmelo 4th
Blue Nova  2nd

2:50 -
Drift And Dream 2nd
Willbeme 1st 7/1
Meandmyshadow 4th

3:20 -
Jimmy Styles 5th
Bogart 4th

4:00 -
Tinshu 10th
Cool Macavity 4th
Art Scholar 6th

4:35 -
Al Saham 1st 7/2
Ex Oriente 4th

5:10 -
Ruwaiyan 5th
Checkpoint 9th
Blazing Speed 1st 12/1
Port Charlotte 6th

5:45 -
Just Like Heaven 3rd
Roy"s Legacy 1st 8/1
Love Island 4th



back them all @sp u luckbox a +13.5 point profit ;)
lousy day for Sat Donk, another 2nd to add to the list :"(
on the plus side i had a couple of double figure crackers at Newmarket and a 20/1 shot which just lasted by a squeak to get home at Thirsk...
Greyhounds tonight followed by a chinese meal, i"m anticipating the dogs might make a dent in the profits today :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 05, 2012, 16:19:27 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 22, 2012, 00:21:54 AM
YORK 22nd August

2:00 - Dickie"s Lad 18/1
        Hazelrigg 20/1

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 22, 2012, 15:50:40 PM
Will we ever see another horse like Frankel
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: mousebob on August 22, 2012, 21:38:47 PM
No.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 23, 2012, 02:21:15 AM

Will we ever see another horse like Frankel


we might , yes :)  my Gramps never thought he would see any better horse than Brigadier Gerard and he"s survived long enough ;D

YORK 23rd August [there is a few today that i fancy which are imho under rated today, so fingers crossed :)]

2:00 - Hototo
        Indian Jade
        Baddilini

2:30 - Baileys Jubilee

3:05 - Prince Of Johanne
        Lady Macduff

3:40 - Was
        Shirocco Star

4:50 - Riot Of Colour
        Honeymead
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 23, 2012, 13:44:15 PM

Will we ever see another horse like Frankel


Yes we"ll. But Frankel is an outstanding horse like it was Secretariat in the nineteen seventies and Phar Lap in the nineteen twenties.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 23, 2012, 15:34:23 PM
Darley Yorkshire Oaks

#2 SHARETA
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 23, 2012, 17:10:22 PM


Will we ever see another horse like Frankel


we might , yes :)  my Gramps never thought he would see any better horse than Brigadier Gerard and he"s survived long enough ;D

YORK 23rd August [there is a few today that i fancy which are imho under rated today, so fingers crossed :)]

2:00 - Hototo
        Indian Jade
        Baddilini

2:30 - Baileys Jubilee

3:05 - Prince Of Johanne
        Lady Macduff

3:40 - Was
        Shirocco Star

4:50 - Riot Of Colour
        Honeymead


just the one winner today - profit so far +62.7 points
down a bit from a high of 100 and a bit points, a couple of 25/1 shots being nabbed on the line in photo finishes has hurt lol but thats racing :)



Will we ever see another horse like Frankel


Yes we"ll. But Frankel is an outstanding horse like it was Secretariat in the nineteen seventies and Phar Lap in the nineteen twenties.


can you remember Phar Lap? Achim ;)
i hope you lumped on Shareta, nice pick sir......

lets enjoy Frankel again going for a stroll ;D

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mr_ChX6Jv4s[/youtube]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 23, 2012, 18:00:19 PM


Will we ever see another horse like Frankel


Yes we"ll. But Frankel is an outstanding horse like it was Secretariat in the nineteen seventies and Phar Lap in the nineteen twenties.


can you remember Phar Lap? Achim ;)
i hope you lumped on Shareta, nice pick sir......




A star down under and when I stay at Crown Melbourne there were some pics in memorys of Phar Lap.
Secretariat was "grandpa" of my first own horse. His father was General Assembly.

Bet SHARETA win and exacta. ;) Heard that german derby winner PASTORIUS will run in UK soon.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: MintTrav on August 23, 2012, 19:59:01 PM
Oh I see, it won a race. When I read this I assumed it had died:


Will we ever see another horse like Frankel

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 24, 2012, 02:06:29 AM
YORK 24th August

2:00 - Rio"s Rosanna 20/1
        Tropical Beat 16/1

2:30 - Heavy Metal 7/1

3:05 - Fury 9/1

3:40 - Monsieur Joe 28/1
        Angels Will Fall 28/1

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 25, 2012, 03:31:41 AM
YORK 25th August

a competitive Ebor handicap with the obvious contenders like Motivado and Qahriman way to short to back for myself.. there are 3 that i like though that might cause a upset at good odds...

3:40 -
Hurricane Higgins 22/1
Alkimos 28/1
Blue Bajan 28/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 25, 2012, 07:18:51 AM
York

2.00 6 Gordon Lord Byron
2.30 5 Gabbrial The Great
3.05 2 Cavlryman
3.40 2 Camborne
       5 Willing Foe
4.15 3 Lucky Beggar
4.50 9 Salutation
5.20 8 Sir Maximilian
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 25, 2012, 10:05:18 AM
3:05 York Weatherbys Insurance Lonsdale Cup Gr.2

CAVALRYMAN 4/1 seems the horse to beat in this race, but really interesting odds are on LOST IN THE MOMENT 25/1. Seems to be a bit underestimated today. Would be perfect to see a bit rain for IBICENCO 8/1 to have soft ground.

CAVALRYMAN - LOST IN THE MOMENT - SADLER"S ROCK
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 25, 2012, 15:15:04 PM

3:05 York Weatherbys Insurance Lonsdale Cup Gr.2

CAVALRYMAN 4/1 seems the horse to beat in this race, but really interesting odds are on LOST IN THE MOMENT 25/1. Seems to be a bit underestimated today. Would be perfect to see a bit rain for IBICENCO 8/1 to have soft ground.

CAVALRYMAN - LOST IN THE MOMENT - SADLER"S ROCK


Thought for a moment both Goldolphin"s could take it down. Great performance of LOST IN THE MOMENT. Guess we"ll see the horse again at Flemington and Melbourne Cup.

Result: (11-4-6) TIMES UP - HIGH JINX - LOST IN THE MOMENT
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 26, 2012, 13:53:31 PM
Baden Baden
R3: El Okawango 98/10, old fighter, 12 runners, try it for odds.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 26, 2012, 14:05:32 PM

Baden Baden
R3: El Okawango 98/10, old fighter, 12 runners, try it for odds.


4th  :(
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 31, 2012, 18:33:41 PM
Baden Baden Sept 1st

R9: LARIC 180/10 win / 44/10 place (fixed odds)

Sunday Sept 2nd  Gr.1 Grosser Preis von Baden.

DANEDREAM"S last appearance on german ground before she"ll run at Prix l"Arc de Triomphe again. After her last race in Asia later this year she will move into stud to start a new career. Derby winner PASTORIUS and runner up NOVELLIST are the favourites in a very competive 8 runner field.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on September 02, 2012, 12:25:53 PM
Baden Baden Meeting Sept 2nd

1R - Mertesacker
2R - Waldpark
3R - Hassuna
4R - Rock my Heart
5R - Collodi
6R - Santayana
7R - Novellist
8R - Godot
9R - Late Mute
10R-Modina
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on September 03, 2012, 14:52:46 PM
Bad day for my picks, but nevertheless an exciting raceday yesterday. Very emotional when DANEDREAM came back to the winner circle and everybody know that it was her good bye from german ground. Jockey Andrasch did it well and gave her an easy race. All our attention now to Paris and the Prix l"Arc de Triomphe. Im sure she"ll run a great race again.

Grosser Preis von Baden

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xOCrkUhzJf0[/youtube]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on September 08, 2012, 13:14:42 PM
Finally virgin media have sorted out my broadband (only took the 10 weeks!!!) so I am back online.

Haydock

2.15 Master Rooney
2.50 Chil The Kite
3.25 Wizz Kid
4.00 Moon Trip

Kempton

2.30 Haya Landa
3.05 Weapon Of Choice, Cruiser

Ascot

3.45 Atlantic Sport, Excellent Guest
4.15 Blue Surf, Fennell Bay
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on September 08, 2012, 16:22:05 PM

Finally virgin media have sorted out my broadband (only took the 10 weeks!!!) so I am back online.

Haydock

2.15 Master Rooney
2.50 Chil The Kite
3.25 Wizz Kid
4.00 Moon Trip

Kempton

2.30 Haya Landa
3.05 Weapon Of Choice, Cruiser

Ascot

3.45 Atlantic Sport, Excellent Guest
4.15 Blue Surf, Fennell Bay


Wish virgin had taken 10 weeks and a day now - shocking, nothing better than 4th
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on September 15, 2012, 13:48:10 PM
Chester

2.10 Rigolleto
2.40 Goldoni

Doncaster

2.25 Toronado
3.00 Doc Hay
3.40 Thought Worthy (without Camelot)
4.15 Strong Suit

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on September 15, 2012, 15:59:33 PM
Guess there is a bit discord tonight at O"Brien table. This race and missed Triple Crown for CAMELOT is carelessness of young rider Joseph O"Brien. Second best horse wins the St. Leger at Doncaster. Great victory for Godolphin and also a great jockeyship of M. Barzelona with ENCKE.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on September 15, 2012, 18:22:19 PM

Guess there is a bit discord tonight at O"Brien table. This race and missed Triple Crown for CAMELOT is carelessness of young rider Joseph O"Brien. Second best horse wins the St. Leger at Doncaster. Great victory for Godolphin and also a great jockeyship of M. Barzelona with ENCKE.


Completely agree - I really like JOB as a jockey but he totally messed this one up, big time
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on September 15, 2012, 18:23:43 PM

Chester

2.10 Rigolleto
2.40 Goldoni

Doncaster

2.25 Toronado
3.00 Doc Hay
3.40 Thought Worthy (without Camelot)
4.15 Strong Suit




Better punting today with 3 winners - felt very depressed after the Leger, total anti climax after all the hype and build up
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on September 15, 2012, 19:54:33 PM
Big disappointment for all who were excited about a Triple Crown horse after so many years. Looking forward and the good news are that Camelot is not longer Arc-Favourite. German Danedream new odd favourite. Imo Camelot will win the Arc and the odds are much better than today.;) Def we"ll see one of the best Arc"s since years. Snow Fairy, Meandre, Nathaniel, Danedream, Camelot, Shareta, St. Nicholas Abbey and japanese Orfevre. Hope for fair conditions for all at oct 7th.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on September 16, 2012, 12:44:37 PM
Dortmund  Sept 16th - St. Leger Day

R 3 #1 TURFJAEGER
R 7 # WILDDROSSEL (128. German St.Leger)
R 8 # 9 KINRARA


Longchamp Qatar Prix Vermeille

German bred SALOMINA will run for new connections. Keep an eye on her.

#1 SHARETA is my bet, try an exacta with #4 GALIKOVA, #7 ROMANTICA and #13 SALOMINA.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on September 16, 2012, 17:28:39 PM

Dortmund  Sept 16th - St. Leger Day

R 3 #1 TURFJAEGER  >:(
R 7 # WILDDROSSEL (128. German St.Leger) 3.
R 8 # 9 KINRARA 2.


Longchamp Qatar Prix Vermeille

German bred SALOMINA will run for new connections. Keep an eye on her.

#1 SHARETA 1. is my bet, try an exacta with #4 GALIKOVA, #7 ROMANTICA and #13 SALOMINA.


Shareta wins in a nice style and seems to be in a good shape for the Arc.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 21, 2012, 22:32:10 PM
Ayr Bronze Cup
1:45 - Green Park 25/1+
         Tajneed 22/1+

Ayr Silver Cup
2:20 - Thunderball 33/1+
         Fast Shot 20/1+

Ayr Gold Cup
3:30 - Boastful 25/1+
        Our Jonathan 10/1+
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on September 22, 2012, 12:49:04 PM
Newbury

2.05 Laytime
2.35 Heavy Metal
3.10 Kirthill
3.45 My Girl Anna

Newmarket

3.55 Eagle Rock

Ayr

1.45 Artic Feeling
2.20 El Viento
2.50 Lasilia
3.30 The Cheka
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on September 22, 2012, 18:07:56 PM
Sunday Sept- 23th, Cologne

Gr.1 "Preis von Europa"

EARL OF TINSDAL - Ovambo Queen - Girolamo


It"s really a bit eerie. Team Schiergen / Starke wins again. This time derby 3rd Girolamo wins Gr. Preis von Europa after another great jockeyship from jockey Andrasch Starke, who seems to be spured by his fatherhood.

Hope their performance will be conserved til the Arc.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: ThinkerJE on September 29, 2012, 13:15:31 PM
Newmarket

1.55 Fantastic Moon
2.25 Winning Express
3.00 Elusive Kate
3.40 Jack"s Revenge

Haydock

3.15 Steps

Market Rasen

2.10 Kayaan
2.40 Quite The Man
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on September 29, 2012, 20:53:25 PM
As a fair sportsmen I have say that"s really pity. SNOW FAIRY improved so well last weeks but now she is out after an injury! No appearance at Pricl"Arc the Triomphe this year. Guess other connections are happy about that news.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 07, 2012, 01:03:51 AM
Prix l"Arc de Triomphe, Longchamp

Will combine in Exacta and Trifecta

CAMELOT-SHARETA-ORFEVRE-MEANDRE-MASTERSTROKE-ST.NICHOLAS ABBEY

Keep my fingers cross for my friend and trainer who has two runners at Arc-Day. Hopefully both will run into pricemoney, but it seems to be a tough challenge.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 07, 2012, 15:41:34 PM
Worldclass jockeyship by Olivier Peslier on SOLEMIA. French filly wins the Prix l"Arc de Triomphe in dramatical finish against japanese favourite Orfevre. Disappointing result for Ballydoyle. Masterstroke 3rd completed a totally french success.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on December 23, 2012, 17:39:55 PM
Kempton King George VI Chase, 26th Dec.

I"ll try a bet on RIVERSIDE THEATRE 5/1. Looks very interesting for me.

Good luckfor your bets.

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on December 30, 2012, 10:10:11 AM
Last race card of german season 2012 at Dortmund race course. (Dirt)

Hope to see my colours in front after race 6.

A good turn of the year for all APAT"ers and see you in 2013 !
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 12, 2013, 00:02:00 AM
CHELTENHAM
William Hill Supreme Novices Hurdle
1.30 - Cheltenian @32"s on bf
        Puffin Billy @18"s on bf

Racing Post Arkle
2.05 - Arvika Ligeonniere @10"s on bf

JLT Specialty Handicap Chase
2.40 - Nuts N Bolts @40"s on bf
        Monkerty Tunkerty @18"s on bf

Glenfarclas Handicap Chase
4.00 - Leac An Scail 30"s on bf

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 12, 2013, 02:34:31 AM
Novices Handicap Chase
5.15 - Arthur"s Pass @22"s
        The Druids Nephew @8"s
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 13, 2013, 05:52:01 AM
Neptune Novices
2:05 - The New One

RSA Chase
2:40 - Unioniste

Coral Cup
4:00 - Orsippus
        Cash And Go

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on March 13, 2013, 11:31:00 AM
Hows the betting going -/+ ?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 13, 2013, 12:59:21 PM

Hows the betting going -/+ ?


:) not the greatest day yesterday , lifetime its a plus :)

had a read of TKays thread on the free bet thing, if anyone has a free bet in hand then u have to take into account the over round, believe it or not the race betting markets are pretty efficient, so without writing a thesis study on market efficiency just look for a race/event with semi to strong market info with as low of a over round as u can find and it doesn"t matter long term what odds u take..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 13, 2013, 16:37:39 PM
Fred Winter Juvenile
4:40 - Zamdy Man - got some 30"s on bf
        Ruacana - had some 22"s on bf
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 14, 2013, 11:11:40 AM
CHELTENHAM
2.05 - Junior
        Berties Dream

3:20 - Smad Place

4:00 - Divers
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 15, 2013, 11:40:49 AM
CHELTENHAM
2:05 - Princeton Plains
        Il Fenomeno

3:20 - Silviniaco Conti

4:00 - Cottage Oak

4:40 - Ma Filleule

5:15 - Renard
        Anquetta
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 16, 2013, 12:11:15 PM
ok the Lincoln meeting starts next week so its time to get warmed up for the flat season [hooray :)]

LINGFIELD
2:20 - Fratellino
        Woolfall Sovereign

both generally 12"s and 14"s with the bookies, 15"s and 16"s as i write on BF.

3:30 - Cai Shen

5.9 on BF as i write and 9/2 with most of the bookmakers.


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 23, 2013, 00:03:14 AM
DONCASTER

2:40 - Extraterrestrial 30"s bf
        Ocean Tempest 16"s bf
        Chosen Character 18"s bf

3:50 - Swiftly Done 27"s bf
        Memory Cloth 28"s bf
        Chapter Seven 15"s bf

course inspection at 6am...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 30, 2013, 07:40:43 AM
DONCASTER - sat 30/3/13

spring mile
1.55 - Mr Spiggott 24"s bf
        Gaul Wood  11.5"s bf
        Garde Cotiere 18.5"s bf

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on March 30, 2013, 07:59:21 AM
1.55 Educate, not an original pick but an easy ew bet
3.05 Strictly Silver
      one to watch for the future" Hit The Jackpot"  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 30, 2013, 09:12:54 AM

1.55 Educate, not an original pick but an easy ew bet
3.05 Strictly Silver
      one to watch for the future" Hit The Jackpot"  




DONCASTER - sat 30/3/13

lincoln
3.05 - Chapter Seven 15"s bf [hoping pace wise that Chosen Character or Gladys Gal sets it up for him as he"s drawn between the pair and i"m hoping he will just track in behind]

Anderiego might be a interesting each way shot , another O"Meara horse to watch out for Wayne....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 30, 2013, 10:05:27 AM
Dubai World Cup

18.05 - Dullahan 14"s+ for a decent value bet
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 04, 2013, 12:40:15 PM
Aintree

2.00 - Flaxen Flare
2.30 - Cape Tribulation - ew
3.00 - The New One
Tough race to sort, Grandouet and Countrywide Flame are unproven, Zarkandar fell last year at the sixth and most probably would need the ground softer today to be in the mix. Which leaves only 3 other realistic contenders, Oscar Whisky 7/8 over 20f and 21f, Thousand Stars who keeps chasing OW home in the last 2 runnings of this race, then we have the The New One who reminds me of Solwhit when he won at 5 years old in this race back in 2009. Hmmm i should just watch but i need some invested interest :) so i"ll side with The New One having managed to get 4/1 with WH this morning. I"ll watch OW in running and may have a saver, strange that Geraghty has jumped off but it wouldn"t be the first time he"s made the wrong call.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 05, 2013, 11:55:57 AM
AINTREE

3:05 - Cue Card - ew
3:40 - Sizing Santiago - ew
        There"s No Panic
4:15 - Master Of The Sea
4:50 - Prima Porta - edit n/r
        Salubrious

edit - with Prima Porta pulling out, i"ve gone for There"s No Panic in the Topham on the nose
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 05, 2013, 12:48:33 PM
AINTREE

my Grand National 3 for tomorrow

Saint Are
Join Together
Balthazar King
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 05, 2013, 23:23:59 PM
AINTREE Grand National Day

see above for my 3 donks for the big"un - edit Rare Bob is also interesting, well supported, decent form at fairyhouse last 2 runs and ok"ish aintree record..

3:25 - Duke Of Lucca
        Ballyoliver

5:10 - First In The Queue
        Ranjaan

all on the nose, can"t wait for the flat season to get into full flow :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 06, 2013, 08:26:03 AM

AINTREE Grand National Day

see above for my 3 donks for the big"un - edit Rare Bob is also interesting, well supported, decent form at fairyhouse last 2 runs and ok"ish aintree record..

3:25 - Duke Of Lucca
        Ballyoliver

5:10 - First In The Queue
        Ranjaan

all on the nose, can"t wait for the flat season to get into full flow :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 13, 2013, 10:44:40 AM
1.50 Doncaster
Donny Rover 11/8, 6th to Mick"s Yer Man C&D last time out who went on to win next time out. NAP

2.20 Doncaster
Chandlery 11/2, long layoff with injury but a class horse at a good price (has long as he is back to his best) slight negative about the ground. If this was a 8 runner race then I would be piling on EW.    

3.30 Doncaster
York Of Glory 16/1 EW

 
2.40 Kempton
One Word More 5/1 was 3/1, drifting in the market which is a worry, maybe just one to watch

3.15 Kempton
Burkes Rock 13/2  EW

3.50 Kempton
Solar Deity 7/4

4.25
Zurigha 5/6

5.00 Kempton
If you like a gamble how about Thology 25/1 EW
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 18, 2013, 14:14:16 PM
couple of winners at Kempton Wayne [nice pick with One Word More]

On the turf its yet to get going for me to get involved with serious stakes but after being at the races yesterday [bloody windy] i"ve lumped a bit on Hot Snap for the 1000 Guineas, its hard to see anything thats far superior at this stage, Certify was a proper Group1 2yo which was backed up by the times she recorded plus she has a good turn of foot [sign of class imho]

I"ve had a speculative punt on Tawhid for the 2000 Guineas who i hope will shorten today after the Craven prep, his run in the Horris Hill last year makes him a contender imo.
I"ve also had a dabble on George Vancouver in the 2000 Guineas market, he looked the type physically who would train on from 2 to 3 and Dawn Approach is way to short for the 2000G, he had way to many races as a 2yo plus Bolger has constantly been quoted how lazy he is at home, so my theory is that Dawn Approach will be a bugger to get fit.. [plus i like opposing Dewhurst winners, apart from the year Frankel won it of course :)]

Derby wise Telescope might shorten even more if Stoute aims him at the Dante, but at a price i"ve had a dabble on Trading Leather who Bolger has entered for the Derrinstown Stud Derby Trial [plus entries for the 2000G and the Dante] I"m hoping he takes the Derby route as he looked the type to improve, especially if he gets to run on good or faster ground..

Today at Ripon in the 3.20 6f sprint i"ve had a couple of small win bets on Swilly Ferry and Chunky Diamond in a very wide open race on paper [Baldemar was of interest but at single figures its a swerve unless he drifts]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 20, 2013, 00:10:21 AM
Scottish Grand National @ Ayr 3:50

the short list -
Rigadin De Beauchene
Bradley
Auroras Encore
Neptune Equester
Rebeccas Choice
Lively Baron

so my magic pin plumps on -
Rigadin De Beauchene @20"s
Bradley @16"s
Rebeccas Choice @20"s

reserve - Neptune Equester @14"s


Tawhid ran a duffer, likely he needs soft ground so if it rains come 2000 Guineas day it might not be such a bad bet :)
Others to note from the craven meeting - the obvious Hot Snap and the first two home in 10f h/c Soviet Rock and Hillstar trained by Balding and Stoute. Hillstar is entered for the Dante and the Derby and the race time suggests he"s up to that sort of level. These two maybe on the same sort of ability level as Main Sequence and Wigmore Hall who have won this race in the past. [so i"ve had a little nibble at 105"s for Hillstar on betfair with the view to some possible trading if he turns out as good as what the time figures suggest]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 20, 2013, 06:48:28 AM
The John Porter Stakes @ Newbury 1:50
Noble Mission

Spring Cup @ Newbury 2:20
Educate
Haaf A Sixpence

The Fred Darling Stakes @ Newbury 2:55
Desert Image

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 20, 2013, 10:19:48 AM
2.20 Newbury
Global Village

2.55 Newbury
The Gold Cheongsam

3.50 Ayr
Our Mick  ;)
Nuts N Bolts
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 23, 2013, 04:24:14 AM

On the turf its yet to get going for me to get involved with serious stakes but after being at the races yesterday [bloody windy] i"ve lumped a bit on Hot Snap for the 1000 Guineas, its hard to see anything thats far superior at this stage, Certify was a proper Group1 2yo which was backed up by the times she recorded plus she has a good turn of foot [sign of class imho]


http://www.racingpost.com/news/live.sd?event_id=1054047

hmmm was she on them last year? crikey its a good job its Sheikh Mohammed"s own little training operation plaything, the going rate of £75 a day per horse with a decent top trainer at Newmarket and your horse couldn"t race cos the trainer has been a tad underhand, i"d do my nut >:(

2000 Guineas - i"ve had some each way money on Fort Knox at 33"s and 25"s, again soft going won"t be a problem, Dubawi his sire gets all types of ground, so at a decent price i think its worth a punt that even if come the day the ground is good or better at Newmarket that Fort Knox might even improve [like Makfi]...
A horse he beat last year at Newbury Sea Shanty hosed up at Windsor last night off a very generous h/c mark :)
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=575724&r_date=2013-04-22&popup=yes#results_top_tabs=re_&results_bottom_tabs=ANALYSIS
if you get a chance watch the race, me thinks Sea Shanty might be worth following for the next few races...

Fort Knox meanwhile has won the Leopardstown 2000 Guineas trial stakes this year back on the 14th rather cosily in a oddly paced race, maybe going too quick early for the ground conditions BUT Knox hosed up the home straight beating a decent runner up... http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/results/14-04-2013/leopardstown/result/555689/leopardstown-2-000-guineas-trial-stakes-listed/video
Thats my 2000G antepost book sorted , one duffer [it seems] who will relish soft going, a typical A P O"Brien type in George Vancouver who will love quick conditions and a dark horse type in Fort Knox..
Hot Snap for the 1000G and come closer to race day i might back something else if it stands out....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 24, 2013, 13:37:01 PM
EPSOM
2:20 - West Coast Dream 20/1
        Taurus Twins 14/1

2:50 - Scatter Dice 10/1

3:55 - John Biscuit 10/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 27, 2013, 00:02:54 AM
LEICESTER 3:55 - Chandlery - ew 10/1+ bog
                        Producer - 4/1+ bog

SANDOWN 3:15 - Ektihaam - 3/1+ bog
                        Burano - ew 20/1+ bog
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 27, 2013, 13:29:29 PM
K Fallon got one ride at Doncaster in the 8.15 Estemaala
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 27, 2013, 14:02:02 PM
The Gold Cup at Sandown - Away We Go has a great chance on his Irish National 2nd, how on earth he opened up at 25"s is bizarre and surprise surprise he got steamed into.. A sneeky punt might be Becauseicouldntsee but at small stakes..

The 2.20 at Ripon soon gets under way and i"ve backed two - Desert Creek and Lord Aeryn , i"ve not gone bonkers :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 27, 2013, 14:41:03 PM

K Fallon got one ride at Doncaster in the 8.15 Estemaala


and look out for Oddysey in the 19.15, beat Two For Two at Redcar by a head, both clear of the field by 6L, Two For Two just demolished a decent cl3 h/c at Ripon... 3/1 for Oddysey looks fair...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 04, 2013, 00:16:28 AM
Some of my 2000 Guineas ante post picks have fallen by the wayside just leaving George Vancouver.. 1000 Guineas i"m only interested in the Sir HC filly :) Hot Snap, i"m happy with the 5/1 i got, that"s looking value to me...

Van der Neer is my only other pick for the 2000G, i"ve got on at 25/1, his price has since been cut to 20"s in general.....


Reasons to oppose the front 2 in the 2000G [apart from the obvious cos of the short prices about the pair :)]

Dawn Approach
He has the right blend of speed and stamina for this race with a dosage of 1.67 and a CD of 0.38.. He was the Champion 2 year old last season and never got beat, so i should be lumping on right? hmmm the odds are rather skinny ;D
Plus if you look at the records of how the 2 year old champions fared as 3 year olds it makes 7/4 15/8 look off putting, 14 of the last 25 2yo champs failed to win in group1 company over a mile plus, if you look even deeper into the stats the early debut and the amount of runs as a juvenile Dawn Approach had count as negatives against him [plus did i mention the short odds :) and he"s no Frankel imho]
In the Dewhurst he was nearly two lengths behind his pacemaker Leitir Mor and Manning had to get rowing before he picked up, on soft"ish going that day thats ok but if he repeats that on quicker ground [plus 1st race of the season] i can see him getting beat by one or two...
Quite rightly he is the favourite to win but he isn"t for me at the odds.....

Toronado
Unbeaten, Mr Hughes is saying all the right things and so the media band wagon gets rolling.. What have i seen? there"s no doubting he"s group class, but group 1 class over a mile? hmmm from what i gather from his past form is that up to now he hasn"t beaten any real decent horse yet, in the two pattern class races he won as a 2yo the horses he beat they went on to run 30 times, not one of them has won a race.. hmmmm 2/1  :)
Add in the stats for Craven winners, only 1 has gone on to win the 2000G out of the last 21 to try that particular double..
Ok ok the media pundits point out how impressive he was in winning the Craven, yes it was a quick time BUT the one advantage i had of being there to see it rather than watch it on the TV is that i know it was bloody windy that day, Toronado just about had a tail wind which aided his front running tactics [possibly :)] , in fact that day there was 4 front running winners which kind of makes me think that the tail wind was definitely helping that day, PLUS Soviet Rock ran the 2nd fastest 10f ever at Newmarket that day [from the front].. So if anyone mentions what a great speed rating Toronado produced that day, please be sure to ask them what adjustments they made for the wind ;)
Is he on the likely winner list? of course he is, BUT the odds are way to short ;) plus his dosage index is 0.89 which suggests the Derby the better target of the 2 classics.. In recent times the DI for the 2000G winners has been a avg of 1.73 although the last 2 Frankel and Camelot were both 0.94, is there any logic to believe Toronado is in that sphere of ability?

Any outsiders?
Only 2 realistic ones imho - George Vancouver and Van Der Neer
The DI for this years 2000G ranges from 0.89 Toronado to 2.43 Glory Awaits @ 200/1 , the sweet spot from a DI point of view plus what form there is to go by points at GV and VdN as being the most likely dangers to the front 2 in the betting..
GV can possibly make up 3.5 lengths on Dawn Approach on quicker ground, is action suggests it, his subsequent race in the breeders cup backs that up.. Worth chancing at the prices each way imo...
VdN hasn"t done anything wrong, ran a good race in the racing post trophy on unsuitable ground [for him] and backed that up with a good run lto at Lingfield, a good prep 28 days before the 2000G and suitable time to recover [oh thats another negative for Toronado, only 16 days off between races]
so VdN is a tasty each way punt as well imho.....

possible 1234 - [take your pick from these :)]

1 - Dawn Approach
2 - George Vancouver
3 - Van der Neer
4 - Toronada

Mars could be anything but has had just the one race, O"Brien has never prepped any of previous 2000G winners this way so maybe eyeing this more as a prep for the Derby..
Cristoforo Colombo hasn"t raced beyond 6f, his pedigree says he will stay but why did O"Brien not run him over 7f last year if he had the Guineas in mind for him?
Garswood looks like he"ll make a better sprinter than a miler, it won"t surprise me if he turns up at Royal Ascot with an entry in the Jubilee Stakes.
Leitir Mor is surely just a pace maker, strange things happen though :)
Kyllachy Rise is yet to win, what is Sir HC thinking? the owner wants a day out is my guess...

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 07, 2013, 20:20:58 PM
Chester Cup @ 2:45
Buckland 12/1 bog [the obvious improver]
Address Unknown 16/1 bog [smells like this race has been the plan for some time]


others of interest
1:45 - Quatuor

2.15 - Salhooda @3/1+ worth a bet 10/3 7/2 generally available at the moment as written
        Gertrude Versed

3:15 - Captain Dunne
        Noble Storm


one for Saturday if she gets in Betfred Victoria Cup at Ascot - Tartiflette [good enough ability wise to be group class, in the past she has tended to idle when getting her head in front but the penny has dropped in her last 2 races..]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 08, 2013, 10:01:27 AM
on Buckland @ 12/1 to, did see 14/1 this morning. But i do like Countrywide Flame
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 08, 2013, 19:23:12 PM
CHESTER [tomorrow 9th May]
5:00 - Tres Coronas 7/1+ is ok, good run lto behind Icebuster, will run his race no matter what the going tomorrow.
        John Biscuit 12/1+ is ok, 7th and 4 lengths behind Area Fifty One lto at Epsom, this form will get underestimated.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 08, 2013, 23:36:29 PM
Chester [9th May Thursday]

horses of interest
1:45 - Sir John Hawkwood @5/1+
        Assizes @14/1 might cause a upset

2:15 - Bonfire @3/1+ should win but not for me.
        Danadana - could go well if not to much rain between now and race time.

2:45 - Mister Impatience @7/1+

3:15 - Baddilini
        Dashing David

3:50 - Fine n Dandy - might take some stopping.
        Quincel - Dascombes other runner can"t be dismissed

4:25 - Mayaasem @11/2+
        Moviesta @7/1+ [i might have a small punt on these two, depending on how the ground is riding]


so just the 5:00 Tres Coranas & John Biscuit to have a punt on, the rest i"ll watch :)

15:30 Goodwood
Ribbons - should go well if fit..
Naalatt - might cause the probable favourite a shock if she repeats her lto against Sea Shanty.



on Buckland @ 12/1 to, did see 14/1 this morning. But i do like Countrywide Flame


did u have a saver on Address Unknown?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 09, 2013, 16:59:03 PM

did u have a saver on Address Unknown?


No  :(

You doing well at the moment, another 3 winners today?

Might follow you tomorrow, no pressure ;)  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 09, 2013, 17:09:54 PM


did u have a saver on Address Unknown?


No  :(

You doing well at the moment, another 3 winners today?

Might follow you tomorrow, no pressure ;)  


make that 4  :) Tres Coronas won nicely @9/1 [tad bigger on betfair :)]


CHESTER [tomorrow 9th May]
5:00 - Tres Coronas 7/1+ is ok, good run lto behind Icebuster, will run his race no matter what the going tomorrow.
        John Biscuit 12/1+ is ok, 7th and 4 lengths behind Area Fifty One lto at Epsom, this form will get underestimated.


it was my only bet today [John Biscuit non runner] , i"m putting up my other fancies at the prices etc etc my horses of interest do have some thought behind it though :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 10, 2013, 02:05:00 AM
Chester [10th May Thursday]

3:50 - Personal Touch 2/1+
        Dr Red Eye 5/1+


horses of interest
1:45 - Chosen Character 11/2+
        Captain Bertie 6/1+

2:15 - Willie The Whipper 7/2+

2:45 - Memphis Tennessee - hard to split this pair, but i give MTen the edge given the ground conditions
        Mount Athos

3:15 - Storm Moon 9/2+
        Dutch Masterpiece 11/2+ only negative is the draw, Effie B boosted his chances yesterday, ground no probs, Ryan                      
        Moore doing the steering might negate the draw..
        Lyric Ace  16/1+ would be my lively double figures outsider :)

4:25 - Sixties Queen
        Bousatet [what a race, its awful... these 2 are token selections based on draws and pedigrees]

5:00 - Van Percy 5/1+ [not a great race again]

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 10, 2013, 07:00:41 AM
So the 3.50 is where we make our money  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 10, 2013, 22:45:23 PM

one for Saturday if she gets in Betfred Victoria Cup at Ascot - Tartiflette [good enough ability wise to be group class, in the past she has tended to idle when getting her head in front but the penny has dropped in her last 2 races..]


Betfred Victoria Cup at Ascot - Tartiflette - has the right conditions, should run well.. 12/1 BOG
                                            Haaf A Sixpence - 10/1 BOG


other horses of interest in the Victoria Cup
Dream Tune 14/1+
Highland Colori 16/1+
Cape Classic 11/1+


So the 3.50 is where we make our money  ;)


did you?  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 11, 2013, 08:45:42 AM
nope

following Buick today
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 14, 2013, 20:25:28 PM
YORK [15th May]

1:45 - Clayton 11/2+

3:15 - Lethal Force 16/1+
        Society Rock 7/1+


horses of interest

2:15 - York Glory 6/1+
        Mississippi 7/1+
        El Viento 12/1+ [has a good chance if the going gets on the soft side]

2:45 - Woodland Aria 4/1+

3:50 - Guising 7/1+
       
4:25 - Extortionist 5/1+
        Peniaphobia 4/1+

5:00 - Aetna 16/1+
        African Oil 9/1+
        Line Of Reason 6/1+
        Right Touch 8/1+ [not the easiest 3yo h/c to pin down]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 15, 2013, 11:38:20 AM
I"m intrested to see how Lady Frances runs in the 4.25, she is the outsider but dont take to much notice of her last run, it"s a shame it"s only a 7 runner race. Don"t think I will be backing her today but will keep an eye on her for future races  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 15, 2013, 19:57:49 PM
YORK [16th May]

1:45 - Cheworee 10/1+
        Bedloe"s Island 9/1+

not convinced by the probable favourite Jamaican Bolt"s lto behind Thunderball, still sticking with the horses that have shown form lto hence the two above.. Dungannon with Moore booked might run well and if the ground stays pretty much as it is then this might be to much on the soft side for Mister Manannan.

3:15 - Set The Trend 14/1+
        St Moritz 20/1+

both with solid pattern form and drawn well, no solid 4yo"s as in previous years imho.. Es Que Love and Dance And Dance could also go well at juicy odds.. The market leaders have to be took on this year, Fort Bastion is coming off a long lay off,Two For Two found his level lto at Thirsk and its hard to see further improvement, Sound Hearts light raced and stepping down in distance is making his seasonal debut and Anderiego will find this race to hot and from his draw will probably get boxed in.:)

horses of interest

2:15 - Dalkala
        Starscope

2:45 - Trading Leather
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 17, 2013, 04:38:24 AM
YORK [17th May]

2:15 - Rio"s Rosanna 14/1+

3:15 - Orpha 5/1+
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 17, 2013, 21:51:42 PM
NEWBURY Lockinge
3:50 - Farhh 5/1+
        Cityscape 4/1+

if staking points wise, i"d put 3points on Farhh and 1point on Cityscape.. i"m favouring Farhh"s superior stamina in a fast race will be the clincher.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 18, 2013, 09:07:34 AM
3.15 NewB     Hillstar
3.50 NewB     Declaration Of War
3.25 Thirsk   Dick Bos
4.00 Thirsk   Noble Storm
6.25 Donny  Tomintoul Magic
7.30 Donny   Intimidate
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 25, 2013, 00:33:29 AM
Haydock Temple Stakes
3:50 - Spirit Quartz 10/1+ bog
       

forget about the last run of Spirit Quartz and consider his form last year with his close seconds in the Nunthorpe and the King George Stakes behind Ortensia and 10/1 is rather generous :)
LTO behind Sole Power at Newmarket, SQ was on the stands side and never got a tow like the horses drawn center.. This time SQ is drawn one which in recent times is a positive draw plus the ground being good is in his favour, any rain won"t bother him neither... So a 2 point win on Spirit Quartz...

obvious dangers - Sole Power, Reckless Abandon and Kingsgate Native.. the first two are way to short and KN is way to inconsistent at current quoted odds as i write...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 25, 2013, 01:13:53 AM
Curragh Irish 2,000 Guineas
3:20 - George Vancouver 12/1+ [a general 12/1 as i write, take nothing less than 8/1 if no withdrawals]

the cobwebs have been blown off now, hopefully copying/following what Power and Roderic O"connor did after running flat in the English 2000 guineas.. 1 point win

Curragh Greenlands Stakes
2:45 - Dandy Boy 7/1+ bog
        Parliament Square 8/1+ bog

both at current odds worth a 1 point win investment :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 25, 2013, 12:07:19 PM
some good races today

Sole Power for me but I agree, price on the short side
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 30, 2013, 14:43:20 PM
Epsom Derby [Saturday]

Dawn Approach - shorter odds than he was for the 2000 guineas over a trip where there is certainly more doubts, tbh you have to be bonkers to back him at current odds, 3/1+ would be more realistic.

Battle of Marengo - he has won his last 5 starts, it was a messy Derrinstown trial but he won it exactly like a 12f horse tackling a 10f race.. he beat Sugar Boy in the Ballysax, SB won well next time out at Sandown in the classic trial with Libertarian trailing 9 lengths back, that makes Libs subsequent Dante win look a bit iffy imho...

Ocovango - the Prix Greffulhe win beating Bravodino looks up to par as does his previous win in the Prix Mathet over Park Reel who went on to lose by a short head to [coolmoor owned] Tableaux in the Prix Hocquart.. its interesting that Tableaux swerves the Epsom Derby..

Chopin - won the Ehrmann cup by 8 lengths, tough to compare to the traditional Derby trials but he didn"t beat a lot imo, Global Bang isn"t a world beater...

Ruler of the World - Chester Vase winner by 6 lengths in a good time, he handled Chester well which is another positive and beautifully bred out of the Kingmambo mare Love Me True, another positive..

of the rest - Mars - i pegged him as a Derby horse before the 2000g and is a live outsider imo.. Libertarian looks all stamina and will be more interesting if he"s aimed at the St. Ledger.. Festive Cheer - has a bit a find with Ocovango based on his lto in the Prix Hocquart but he"s bred by Montjeu who"s progeny have a good strike rate in the Derby and they do tend to progress well so he has each way claims at a juicy price..

My 1-2-3-4

1 - Ocovango 1 point win @ 7/1 [5/1+ ok]
2 - Ruler of the World 1 point win @ 10/1 [13/2+ ok]
3 - Battle of Marengo
4 - Festive Cheer

It was such a slow 2000 Guineas this year and Dawn Approach"s win was flattered a bit imo and the the slow"ish pace over the first 5 furlongs caught a few flat footed, the proximity of Glory Awaits who raced handily and stole a march on the rest behind should set alarm bells ringing.. Add in the extra 4 furlongs, breeding and the equinome test in which Dawn Approach tested CC [Mr Bolger"s behind Equinome] makes this a must back against Dawn Approach imo...

http://www.equinome.com/

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_embedded&v=BLDszCrwCFE[/youtube]




Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 31, 2013, 01:56:31 AM
The Oaks [Friday 31st May]

the prices pretty much reflect the relative chances of those at the head of the Oaks market so its time to put my contrary head on as its more open than it looks imo, tbh on paper the std this year looks a tad sub-std compared to previous years.

so after watching the trials over again a few times :) the four that stood out were Liber Nauticus,Madame Defarge,The Lark and Talent.. of the four whose leg action looked like they"d appreciate soft ground i"m more drawn to Madame Defarge and The Lark [Liber Nauticus fits but the price is skinny now] and with Talent"s action the possibly soft ground maybe against her..

Madame Defarge - 1point win @20/1+ [16/1+ ok]
The Lark - 1point win @16/1+ [12/1+ ok]

both trained by Mr Bell and both looked to be carrying a bit of condition lto so i"m hoping for bundles of improvement both fitness wise and for ground preference...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 01, 2013, 00:17:40 AM
EPSOM June 1st

2:05 - Haikbidiac 4/1+ bog 2point win [5/2+ ok]

3:15 - Fair Value 14/1+ bog 1point win [11/1+ ok]
        Swiss Cross 25/1+ bog 2point win [16/1+ ok]

as above Epsom Derby
4:00 - Ocovango 1 point win @ 7/1 [5/1+ ok]
        Ruler of the World 1 point win @ 10/1 [13/2+ ok]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 01, 2013, 08:59:48 AM
2.00 Donny, Novirak
3.45 Donny, Queensberry Rules
3.30 Muss, Van Percy
       If I like Van Percy then I have to go with Blue Wave E.W 12/1
5.05 Muss, Karaka Jack
5.35 Muss, Snow Bay
4.00 Epsom, Libertarian EW 16/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 01, 2013, 10:36:56 AM
Epson Derby: Ruler Of The World 9/1

German bred Chopin is a real good horse, but good enough for such a race? Not impossible and no surprise when he finished at the top 3. Ocovango, son of legendary german stallion Monsun is also possible to win this race. A bit personal doubts about Dawn Approach. Battle Of Marengo could be the horse to complete a 1-2 O" Brien triumph.

If rain will make heavy ground I"ll make a late single bet on Ocovango too.

Will combine this horses in my trifecta. Good luck!

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 01, 2013, 13:37:32 PM
1st race at epsom i"ll be interested to see how Salutation fares based on his 2nd behind Soviet Rock with High Troja finishing behind 2l back...

edit - Pasaka Boy wins , glad i avoided that race lol....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 01, 2013, 18:42:45 PM
Dawn Approach confirmed my doubts abouts his stamina. Pulled to much at the beginning so the jockey let him go. May be the reason of his result today. Guess best distance seems to be max 1m 2f. My pick made me happy, bet him 9/1, so good profit. After the replay of the race I wish a bit more confidence by Jamie Spencer. But all in all the connections around Chopin must be proudfull and I"m sure they"ve bought a real good horse.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Waz1892 on June 01, 2013, 20:08:48 PM

Dawn Approach confirmed my doubts abouts his stamina. Pulled to much at the beginning so the jockey let him go. May be the reason of his result today. Guess best distance seems to be max 1m 2f. My pick made me happy, bet him 9/1, so good profit. After the replay of the race I wish a bit more confidence by Jamie Spencer. But all in all the connections around Chopin must be proudfull and I"m sure they"ve bought a real good horse.


a thank-you is due!  no idea on horses, and noted your tip, so went with it!

:)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 02, 2013, 12:08:05 PM


Dawn Approach confirmed my doubts abouts his stamina. Pulled to much at the beginning so the jockey let him go. May be the reason of his result today. Guess best distance seems to be max 1m 2f. My pick made me happy, bet him 9/1, so good profit. After the replay of the race I wish a bit more confidence by Jamie Spencer. But all in all the connections around Chopin must be proudfull and I"m sure they"ve bought a real good horse.


a thank-you is due!  no idea on horses, and noted your tip, so went with it!

:)


Congrat WAZ, nice to hear. To be honest, would be great to pick always the winning horses, but it"s not always the best idea to follow my tipps.  ;D Happy to hear about your winning bet on Ruler Of The World and profitable odds. ;)

Today the french derby will run at Chantilly race course. 19 runners an more than an easy race to bet. Decided to make a value bet on #4 LOCH GARMAN, trained by J. Bolger. 14/1 odds at the moment are profitable too. French trained horses INTELLO and SKY HUNTER are the favourites so I"m sure that France will bet "their" horses and my pick will also pay on place good money. Do you bet again my tip?  ;) Good luck!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 02, 2013, 13:47:49 PM
International guests are favourite at 93. German 1000 Guineas at Dusseldorf race course. French BEATRICE H.Pantall) and UK based Melbourne Memories (C.Cox) to beat. My Pick is #4 CALYXA 7/1.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 03, 2013, 19:41:45 PM
Epsom Derby: Ruler Of The World

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z8VNB-2VJFY&feature=youtu.be[/youtube]

Prix Du Jockey Club, French Derby: Loch Garman was really a disappointment. Never in the race and no moment, simply expressionless. 10th place. Intello an impressive winner.

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SBElMppYp7w[/youtube]

German 1000 Guineas with a thrilling and very close finish. Short neck my bet Calyxa beaten by Akuada.

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2U8Dvues1Ec[/youtube]  (Race at 7:41min)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 08, 2013, 05:46:11 AM
HAYDOCK
2:05 - Dazinski 20/1 bog 2point win [12/1+ ok]
        Palazzo Bianco 9/1 bog 1point win [6/1+ ok]

NEWMARKET
2:55 - Gatepost 12/1 bog 2point win [7/1+ ok]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 08, 2013, 10:52:34 AM
Haydock R 3 Timeform Jury Stakes  - AMARILLO (Place)

Haydock R 4 E.B.F. Cecil Frail Stakes  - GRACIA DIRECTA (Win/Place)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 08, 2013, 13:46:16 PM
TV races on Ch4

NEWMARKET 1:45 - Brown Sugar,Musical Comedy and Stalactite stand out amongst the debut runners, the rest seem priced about right, the type of race where you have to be bonkers to bet in imho :) Gm Hopkins 6/4 to win against so many unexposed horses, excuse me as i vomit :o

HAYDOCK 2:05 - Dazinski and Palazzo Bianco for me, open looking race on paper but i prefer to side with horses that have had some Haydock course form over 14f+

NEWMARKET 2:20 - Assizes,Beaufort Twelve,Nabucco and Ehtedaam stand out for various reasons, odds wise Ehtedaam is way to short imho...

HAYDOCK 2:40 - all have a chance in this :) at the odds Nymphea and Souviens Toi purely on not being quite as exposed as the rest. Prussian and Ambivalent stand out and have been priced up about right so from a punting point of view don"t offer much in the ways of a edge...

NEWMARKET 2:55 - Gatepost ran well behind Fulbright and Duke of Firenze last year and has dropped in the weights, Hanagan booking is another positive.. Whozthecat,Intransigent,Summerinthecity,Enrol and Nocturn look the dangers..

HAYDOCK 3:15 - Red Duke might raise a few eyebrows given his recent form but the step down in trip and fast ground will suit and of the rest Pastoral Player and Red Jazz appeal at the odds..

NEWMARKET 3:30 - Angel Gabrial,Rawaki,No Heretic,Suegioo and Gabrial The Great to fight it out..

HAYDOCK 3:50 - Hoyam,Angels Will Fall and Gracia Directa look the likely trio imho
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 08, 2013, 15:19:50 PM

Haydock R 3 Timeform Jury Stakes  - AMARILLO (Place)

Haydock R 4 E.B.F. Cecil Frail Stakes  - GRACIA DIRECTA (Win/Place)


hehe that upset the favourite backers Achim, Amarillo won nicely, Germany 1-0 up  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 08, 2013, 18:38:15 PM


Haydock R 3 Timeform Jury Stakes  - AMARILLO (Place)

Haydock R 4 E.B.F. Cecil Frail Stakes  - GRACIA DIRECTA (Win/Place)


hehe that upset the favourite backers Achim, Amarillo won nicely, Germany 1-0 up  ;)


;D Horseracing always a riddle. Saw Nymphea the 3rd german horse really late, so 3 winning bets on place and a small profit at the end. Can"t remember a british race card with 3 german horses who finished 1-2. 4 weeks til german derby. Still a riddle but I have a dark favourite. ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Waz1892 on June 08, 2013, 22:09:01 PM



Haydock R 3 Timeform Jury Stakes  - AMARILLO (Place)

Haydock R 4 E.B.F. Cecil Frail Stakes  - GRACIA DIRECTA (Win/Place)


hehe that upset the favourite backers Achim, Amarillo won nicely, Germany 1-0 up  ;)


;D Horseracing always a riddle. Saw Nymphea the 3rd german horse really late, so 3 winning bets on place and a small profit at the end. Can"t remember a british race card with 3 german horses who finished 1-2. 4 weeks til german derby. Still a riddle but I have a dark favourite. ;)


I want you babies Achim!!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 15, 2013, 07:57:14 AM
Scottish Sprint Cup
3:35 - Face The Problem 16/1+ bog 2point win

SANDOWN 1:50 - Salutation @14/1 bog 1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 15, 2013, 12:59:24 PM
tv races on Ch4

SANDOWN 1:50 - Salutation @14/1 could run well based on his Newmarket & Notty form..

YORK 2:05 - can Crackentorp win this race for the third time? others that i think have a shout at rather juicy odds are Rio"s Rosanna,Dancing Primo,Sir Boss,Nanton and Party Line...

SANDOWN 2:20 - Danchai should be the favourite imho, Ashaadd is way to short. Others that caught my eye form/odds wise were Gaul Wood & Basseterre..

YORK 2:40 - Maven,Fort Belvedere and Clayton can give Westwiththenight a run for her money..

SANDOWN 2:55 - Sandreamer has decent"ish each way possibility"s. Now that Smoothtalkinrascal has withdrawn Morawij is a worthy favourite..

YORK 3:15 - Ladys First,Questioning & Stipulate are the suggestions :)

MUSSELBURGH 3:35 - as per above post i quite fancy the chances of Face The Problem. the 20"s have gone now and is currently trading at 14"s.. [anything below 12"s is poor value]

YORK 3:50 - looks like its between Heaven"s Guest,Moviesta,Rivellino,Hairy Rocket & Odooj
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 17, 2013, 21:33:40 PM
Two bets, more if one of these wins

2.30 Elusive Kate
3.05 Swiss Spirit

No logic behind it just like Buick/Gosden
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 17, 2013, 21:45:50 PM
King"s Stand 3.05 Ascot 18/6/2013
Shamexpress - 10/1 1point e/w bog

The fact that he’s a good Flemington straight horse should transfer well to Ascot, every Ascot winner the Aussies have produced over here has been an outstanding Flemington straight horse, so fingers crossed that bodes well. Shea Shea is the obvious danger but it wasn’t a great Al Qouz that he won in Dubai, ok european sprint form is very average and Shamexpress will be the best sprinter Shea Shea has met up to now imho. Shea Shea will most likely make the running and whoever beats him will have to run him down just like the way Shamexpress nailed Moment of Change in the Newmarket at Flemington lto :)
Craig Newitt is another positive having won this race on Miss Andretti six years ago, Shamexpress is not up there with the absolute best sprinters Austraila have had in the past, but if produces anywhere near his Flemington Newmarket form/win he will be good enough to win the King"s Stand tomorrow.

Talking of Aussie sprinters have a punt on Sea Siren Saturday in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes, if you can get 10/1 or bigger its a decent bet imho.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 18, 2013, 01:26:14 AM
both your Gosden hotpots have chances imho Wayne, maybe Elusive Kate can get a soft lead and if Buick doesn"t over do it he could get first run and catch Animal Kingdom out and maybe he"ll get caught flat footed like he did in the Breeders Cup Mile and the Gulfstream Handicap, i"ll have my fingers crossed for you fella :)

ASCOT 18/6/2013
2:30 - Animal Kingdom or Elusive Kate should win it, if the first time cheekpieces work the oracle on Gabrial and keep him in a straight line he might [big might] cause a upset and at the least have decent place prospects at a big price.

3:05 - should be between Shea Shea,Shamexpress,Spirit Quartz,Kingsgate Native,Swiss Spirit and Reckless Abandon..

3:45 - Dawn Approach or Magician, Can there be an upset? hmmm Toronado but at 4/1 ish not the greatest bet in the world and George Vancouver is again being persevered with by A"o"B, BIG if, but he might be the possible shock winner.

4:25 - Thunder Strike,Stubbs,Sir John Hawkins,War Command,Mawfoor & Championship are on my likely winners short list.
fingers crossed the field stays at 16 runners - Thunder Strike - 10/1 1point e/w bog

5:00 - Big Easy,Homeric,Midnight Oil & Well Sharp make my short list - 1point win bog on - Big Easy @ 9/1 & 1point win Homeric @ 12/1

5:35 - Anticipated,Ben Hall,Ogermeister,Steventon Star,Fountain Of Youth & Sleeper King in a tricky race which i"ll just watch.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 19, 2013, 01:41:46 AM
19/6/2013 Ascot

2:30 - Parliament Square 2point ew @ 25/1 bog

3:05 - Sarkiyla 1point win @ 7/1 bog

3:45 - Al Kazeem,The Fugue,Maxios & Camelot to fight it out. Seems priced up about right so not one for me to get involved.

4:25 - Es Que Love 1point ew @ 50/1 bog
        Prince Of Johanne 1point win @ 12/1 bog
        Spa"s Dancer 1point ew @ 25/1 bog

the last two races i"ll just watch :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 19, 2013, 11:17:54 AM
Sandringham Stakes: Why not the 20/1 longshot Senafe? Finished 3rd in Gr2 German 1000 Guineas.Speculative bet but ill bet small win/place and combined exacta: 6-9-14-15
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 19, 2013, 14:10:47 PM

Sandringham Stakes: Why not the 20/1 longshot Senafe? Finished 3rd in Gr2 German 1000 Guineas.Speculative bet but ill bet small win/place and combined exacta: 6-9-14-15


yep she has possibility"s Achim, its a tricky handicap, my short list was -

Mango Diva
Woodland Aria
Annecdote
Hint Of A Tint
Fleeting Smile
Zurigha
Bracing Breeze
Senafe

thats in order of preference, its a tricky handicap with quite a few with scope to improve especially the 3rd 4th and 5th on my list as far as i could work out, i priced it up pretty much as the market so i couldn"t find an angle...

i"ll cheer your horse on Achim, good luck fella...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 19, 2013, 19:01:04 PM
Was a try. Senafe 34/1 long time in front but well beaten and far away from winning horses at the end.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 19, 2013, 23:37:09 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 20, 2013, 21:39:41 PM
ASCOT 2:30 - Albany Stakes
Wedding Ring 2point win 12/1 bog
Lay Sandiva

ASCOT 5:35 - Buckingham Palace Stakes
Democretes - 2point ew 16/1 bog
Es Que Love - 1point win 33/1 bog

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 21, 2013, 20:28:45 PM
ASCOT 22/6/2013
2:30 - Chesham Stakes
Lay Bunker

3:45 - Diamond Jubilee Stakes
Lay Society Rock
Sea Siren 10/1 bog 2point ew
Soul 25/1 1point ew
Maarek 20/1+ 2points ew only if the rain comes and the going/times suggest good to soft or worse

4:25 - Wokingham Stakes
Khubala 16/1 bog 2point ew
Nocturn 11/1 bog 4point win

5:35 - Queen Alexandra Stakes
Lay Shahwardi

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 22, 2013, 14:32:15 PM
One bet today

Country Western 3.35 Ayr
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 23, 2013, 10:52:59 AM
Saint-Cloud/France:
R5 - Gr 1 Grand Prix du Saint-Cloud - #2 NOVELLIST

Dortmund/Germany:
R5 - #3 NICE FELLOW
R6 - #7 GITANA
R7 - Gr3 Grosser Preis der Dortmunder Wirtschaft - #4 NEATICO

Good luck with your picks !

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 23, 2013, 20:10:17 PM

Saint-Cloud/France:
R5 - Gr 1 Grand Prix du Saint-Cloud - #2 NOVELLIST 1st 54Win/24/10 Place

Dortmund/Germany:
R5 - #3 NICE FELLOW 2nd 16/10Place
R6 - #7 GITANA 2nd 15/10 Place
R7 - Gr3 Grosser Preis der Dortmunder Wirtschaft - #4 NEATICO 1st. 23 Win/11 Place

Good luck with your picks !



Wish all race days like this one.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 24, 2013, 15:26:21 PM
I don"t gamble any more
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 24, 2013, 19:20:17 PM
Next saturday german derby meeting will start. June 29th - July 7th.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 28, 2013, 19:39:25 PM
Fred Archer Stakes 2.55 @ Newmarket 29th June
Harris Tweed @2/1 2points win

Criterion Stakes 3.30 @ Newmarket 29th June
Producer @3/1 4points win

Northumberland Plate 3.15 @ Newcastle 29th June
Party Line @33/1 1point win
Scatter Dice @50/1 1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 29, 2013, 08:13:36 AM
Don"t gamble any more but will make an expectation today, off to Doncaster    :D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 30, 2013, 14:29:40 PM
Chantilly, 2:40, R.5:

A bit surprised about the 21/1 odds for PEACE AT LAST.Bet small Win/Place. Horse prefer the soft ground. 15 min to post.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 06, 2013, 11:18:59 AM
Lancashire Oaks @Haydock 2.55
Moment In Time @7/2 [BOG] 3point win

won lto beating Ambivalent and Nymphea over course and distance, the German filly dictated the pace that day and considering Moment In Time was held up in mid div, she did very well to get by Nymphea from such a steady pace.
Ambivalent boosted this effort by winning the Curragh Pretty Polly next time out, so 7/2 is rather generous imho about a rapidly improving Filly who at the start of the season began off a official rating of 78. Now rated 107 having been raised 10lbs by the handicapper after Haydock, hopefully today she"ll prove to be even better than that mark as i rate her 112+ , Albasharah and Midnight Soprano will have to run career bests to finish ahead of her today, you have to respect John Gosden runners in this race but both seem priced up about right with neither quite fitting profile wise how i"d expect Gosden to have a strong chance.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 06, 2013, 12:31:15 PM
Old Newton Cup @Haydock 3.30
Haylaman @16/1 [BOG] 1 point each way

Coral Challenge @Sandown 2.40
Danchai @8/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Coral Distaff @Sandown 3.15
Integral @9/2 [BOG] 4 point win

Coral-Eclipse @Sandown 3.50
Al Kazeem @9/4 [BOG] 2 point win
Mukhadram @8/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 10, 2013, 22:21:31 PM
Bahrain Trophy @Newmarket 1.40 11th July
Havana Beat @5/1 [BOG] 3 point win

Princess of Wales"s Stakes @Newmarket 2.40 11th July
Universal @9/2 [BOG] 2 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 11, 2013, 01:52:30 AM
July Stakes @Newmarket 2.10 11th July
Brown Sugar @15/2 [BOG] 1 point win
Figure Of Speech @9/2 [BOG] 1 point win

both can possibly improve past Sir John Hawkins plus they both have course experience.


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 11, 2013, 16:38:39 PM
EBF Fillies Handicap @Newmarket 1.40 12th July
Jubilante @11/2 [BOG] 1 point win
Milly"s Gift @10/1 [BOG] 0.5 point ew

Duchess of Cambridge Stakes @Newmarket 2.10 12th July
Queen Catrine @8/1 [BOG] 0.5 point ew

6f 3yo Heritage Handicap @Newmarket 3.15 12th July
Secretinthepark @10/1 [BOG] 1 point win
Chilworth Icon @20/1 [BOG] 0.5 point ew
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 11, 2013, 16:43:39 PM
Not betting at the moment but enjoying following your picks
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 12, 2013, 19:20:10 PM
Had a win/place bet today on GRACIA DIRECTA, sadly 2nd. 11/1 :"(
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 12, 2013, 20:49:49 PM
Superlative Stakes @Newmarket 2.40 13th July
Somewhat @11/2 [BOG] 2 point win

Bunbury Cup @Newmarket 3.15 13th July
Redvers @12/1 [BOG] 1 point win
Bertiewhittle @9/1 [BOG] 1 point win

July Cup @Newmarket 3.50 13th July
Lethal Force @9/2 [BOG] 4 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 12, 2013, 23:47:10 PM
Summer Mile Stakes @Ascot 2.30 13th July
Aljamaaheer @5/2 [BOG] 5 point win

John Smith"s Cup @York 2.55 13th July
Niceofyoutotellme @8/1 [BOG] 1 point win
Clon Brulee @9/1 [BOG] 2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 13, 2013, 12:48:33 PM
Too much good racing, cannot resist

2.30 Ascot, Mull Of Killough 9/1
3.05 Ascot, Lady Frances 7/1
3.50 Newmarket, Society Rock 11/2

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 20, 2013, 03:56:56 AM
Hackwood Stakes @Newbury 3.15 20th July
Krypton Factor @2/1 [BOG] 3 point win

Park Stud Stakes @Newmarket 2.25 20th July
Waila @9/4 [BOG] 3 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 27, 2013, 04:15:23 AM
Deloitte Handicap @Ascot 2.40 27th July
Intrigo @7/1 [with most] 3 point win

Betfair International @Ascot 3.15 27th July
Rebellious Guest @50/1 [ladbrokes] 1 point win
Bertiewhittle @16/1 [with most] 1 point win

Sky Bet Dash @York 3.30 27th July
Regal Parade @33/1 [labrokes] 1 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 30, 2013, 01:12:04 AM
Glorious Goodwood :)

Bet365.com Stakes @Goodwood 1.55 30th July
Clon Brulee @8/1 [BOG] 1 point win
Angel Gabrial @16/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Molecomb Stakes @Goodwood  2.30 30th July
Ambiance @13/2 [BOG] 3 point win

Lennox Stakes @Goodwood 3.05 30th July
Red Jazz @28/1 [BOG] 0.5 point ew
Producer @5/1 [BOG] 2 point win

Summer Stakes @Goodwood 3.40 30th July
Guarantee @12/1 [BOG] 1 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 31, 2013, 02:55:29 AM
Goodwood Stakes @Goodwood 1.55 31st July
First Avenue @20/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Sussex Stakes @Goodwood 3.05 31st July
Dawn Approach @Evs [BOG] 3 point win


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 31, 2013, 19:06:38 PM
Gordon"s Stakes @Goodwood 2.15 1st August
Red Avenger @7/1 [BOG] 3 point win

Goodwood Cup @Goodwood 3.15 1st August
Caucus @13/2 [BOG] 1 point win



Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 02, 2013, 02:48:24 AM
Heritage Handicap @Goodwood 3.05 2nd August
Galician @16/1 [BOG] 2 point win

King George Stakes @Goodwood 3.40 2nd August
Swiss Spirit @13/2 [BOG] 3 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 03, 2013, 02:14:11 AM
Stewards Sprint Stakes @Goodwood 2.05 3rd August
Baby Strange @20/1 [BOG] 2 point win
El Viento @16/1 [BOG] 1 point win

RAC Stakes @Goodwood 2.40 3rd August
Havana Cooler @5/1 [BOG] 4 point win

Stewards Cup @Goodwood 3.50 3rd August
Rex Imperator @16/1 [BOG] 2 point win

as for the Nassau, wowser try and sort that lot out.. I"d love to see Hot Snap go well, is Sky Lantern worth laying? meh ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 04, 2013, 09:25:49 AM
Dusseldorf, Germany

R.6 Gr.1 Preis der Diana (400TEUR)

SECRET GESTURE and DAYTONA BEACH are favourites. My bet QUILITA 15/1
16 fillies will run, a riddle to bet. ???

R3. With sympathy for owner and trainer LORD DUBAI 8/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 05, 2013, 09:19:31 AM
German Oaks:

[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=suVIADcsTNc[/youtube]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 08, 2013, 21:18:36 PM
Close friend, trainer and true horsemen passed away today after a battle against leukemia. So hopeful after a bone marrow donation but it"s a hell of disease.

Most succesful german horse trainer til his death today with 2069 victories. All time number 3 now behind legend Heinz Jentzsch and Bruno Schuetz. Uwe Stoltefuss, 3 times flat and 7 times hurdle champion trainer in germany passed away age 57.

Uwe, I"m so thankful to spend a lot of years as a owner at your stable, your friendly support at any time and fun in and offside the race course and friendship. I"ll miss you!

(http://imageshack.us/scaled/thumb/826/46a7.jpg)

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 09, 2013, 15:16:37 PM
My Granddad remembers his horse Mondrian Achim, probably because he had a few quid on in the Von Baden back in 89 and 90 :) [him and Paul Coles Ibn Bey used to have a battle]


Ascot tomorrow
Shergar Cup Stayers Handicap @Ascot 1.30 10th August
Broxbourne @4/1 [WH] 2 point win

Shergar Cup Classic Handicap @Ascot 2.40 10th August
Prairie Ranger @6/1 [WH] 2 point win

Sweet Solera Stakes @Newmarket 3.35 10th August
Wedding Ring @3/1 [P.POWER] 2 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 10, 2013, 07:32:18 AM

My Granddad remembers his horse Mondrian Achim, probably because he had a few quid on in the Von Baden back in 89 and 90 :) [him and Paul Coles Ibn Bey used to have a battle]


Mondrian was a world class horse and won 7 Gr. 1 races and two times beaten by Ibn Bey. Will always be connected with my friend Uwe.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 17, 2013, 10:50:15 AM
Great St Wilfrid Stakes @Ripon 3.30 17th August
El Viento @15.5 [B.FAIR] 2 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 17, 2013, 11:24:23 AM
Off to York on Friday so could do with some tips
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 21, 2013, 10:37:41 AM
Symphony Group Stakes @York 1.55 21st August
Lady Gibraltar @12/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Acomb Stakes @York 2.30 21st August
Treaty Of Paris @16/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Great Voltigeur Stakes @York 3.05 21st August
Secret Number @5/1 [BOG] 3 point win

Juddmonte International Stakes @York 3.40 21st August
Al Kazeem @6/4 [BOG] 4 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 21, 2013, 19:59:50 PM
Lowther Stakes @York 2.30 22nd August
Lucky Kristale @3/1 [LAD] 2 point win

Clipper Logistics Stakes @York 3.05 22nd August
Lord Of The Dance @33/1 [BOG] 1 point ew
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 22, 2013, 21:39:51 PM

Off to York on Friday so could do with some tips


have a good day Wayne, here are my fancies for Friday.

Sky Bet Stakes @York 1.55 23rd August
Warlu Way @20/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Lonsdale Cup @York 2.30 23rd August
Ahzeemah @4/1 [BOG] 1 point win
Caucus @6/1 [LAD] 1 point win

Simenon is way to short and worth taking on, plus regarding his record over 2 miles it isn"t that great.

Strensall Stakes @York 3.05 23rd August
Robin Hoods Bay @13/2 [BOG] 2 point win

Nunthorpe Stakes @York 3.40 23rd August
Tickled Pink @12/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 23, 2013, 07:54:51 AM
SWISS SPIRIT looks to be the bet of the day, I"m with you with CAUCUS. ARCHBISHOP in the 3.05, not too sure about the 355 days layoff. GOLDEN TOWN in the 4.20. And MAJESTIC MOON in the last    
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 23, 2013, 11:46:00 AM

SWISS SPIRIT looks to be the bet of the day, I"m with you with CAUCUS. ARCHBISHOP in the 3.05, not too sure about the 355 days layoff. GOLDEN TOWN in the 4.20. And MAJESTIC MOON in the last    


yep Swiss Spirit is well drawn for his hold up style, i"m just taking the view that the low draws will go to fast and i hope that Tickled Pink will be able to set better fractions from her high draw unimpeded as per Sandown and Newmarket earlier in the season when she made all.
I"ve been having a bit of fun trying to produce par (or optimum) finishing speeds for various tracks to establish whether a horse was finishing fast or slow, and using this to estimate how much faster they could have run, had they run optimally.
Allowing for lost ground when hampered is the tricky part to assess :) as at the moment i try to allow for bigger impacts at faster speeds to how i rate the horses..
Using this approach i got the Nunthorpe down to 6 possibles and Swiss Spirit was in there :) but William Buick"s timing skills put me off now [especially after Glorious Goodwood] its ironic that his best race on SS happened when he got badly hampered at Haydock which caused him to ride the horse a little less vigorous in the early stages.
Meh a fun race to analyse, whoever wins it should be bloody good fun watching them charge towards the finishing line Wayne, have a good day fella..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 24, 2013, 10:12:50 AM
Ebor Heritage Handicap @York 3.50 24th August
Guarantee @20/1 [LAD] 2 point win
Genzy @11/1 [BOG] 1 point win

oh why did it have to rain :"(
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 24, 2013, 10:15:23 AM

GOLDEN TOWN in the 4.20.

weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 24, 2013, 10:40:56 AM
City of York Stakes @York 2.05 24th August
Sirius Prospect @7/2 [LAD] 2 point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Santino67 on August 25, 2013, 16:53:40 PM

City of York Stakes @York 2.05 24th August
Sirius Prospect @7/2 [LAD] 2 point win




Weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee again  ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 31, 2013, 10:02:13 AM
Levy Board Handicap @Sandown 3.50 31st August
Fennell Bay @14/1 [PP] 1 point win
Asatir @20/1 [PP] 1 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 31, 2013, 10:33:15 AM
Minstrell Handicap @Chester 2.20 31st August
Captain Dunne @11/1 [BOG] 2 point win

Crabbie Handicap @Chester 2.55 31st August
Clockmaker @16/1 [BOG] 1 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 31, 2013, 17:59:08 PM
Noble Mission - 2 point win @ 2/1 [3rd 5/4]
Educate - 1 point win @ 7/1 [14th 4/1]
Haaf A Sixpence - 2 point win @ 14/1 [1st 10/1]
Desert Image - 1 point win @12/1 [7th 9/1]
West Coast Dream - 1 point win @20/1 [10th 22/1]
Taurus Twins - 1 point win @14/1 [11th 14/1]
Scatter Dice - 2 point win @10/1 [4th 11/1]
John Biscuit - 1 point win @10/1 [7th 11/1]
Producer - 3 point win @4/1 [1st 11/4]
Ektihaam - 2 point win @3/1 [3rd 10/3]
Burano - 0.5 point ew @20/1 [4th 25/1]
Buckland - 1 point win @12/1 [12th 14/1]
Address Unknown - 2 point win @16/1 [1st 12/1]
Tres Coronas - 3 point win @7/1 [1st 9/1]
Personal Touch - 3 point win @2/1 [5th 9/4]
Dr Red Eye - 1 point ew @5/1 [1st 7/1]
Tartiflette - 3 point win @12/1 [6th 12/1]
Haaf A Sixpence - 1 point win @10/1 [20th 7/1]
Clayton - 2 point win @11/2 [6th 6/1]
Lethal Force - 1 point win @16/1 [2nd 16/1]
Society Rock - 3 point win @7/1 [1st 10/1]
Cheworee - 1 point win @10/1 [9th 7/1]
Bedloe"s Island - 2 point win @9/1 [8th 7/1]
Set The Trend - 1 point win @14/1 [12th 25/1]
St Moritz - 1 point win @20/1 [15th 25/1]
Rio"s Rosanna - 2 point win @14/1 [7th 12/1]
Orpha - 2 point win @5/1 [4th 11/4]
Farhh - 3 point win @5/1 [1st 100/30]
Cityscape - 1 point @4/1 [12th 6/1]
Spirit Quartz - 2 point win @10/1 [5th 11/1]
George Vancouver - 1 point win @12/1 [7th 10/1]
Dandy Boy - 1 point win @7/1 [10th 10/1]
Parliament Square - 1 point win @8/1 [9th 12/1]
Ocovango - 1 point win @ 7/1 [5th 8/1]
Ruler of the World - 1 point win @ 10/1 [1st 7/1]
Madame Defarge - 1 point win @20/1 [11th 16/1]
The Lark - 1 point win @16/1 [3rd 16/1]
Haikbidiac - 2 point win @4/1 [3rd 3/1]
Fair Value - 1 point win @14/1 [4th 12/1]
Dazinski - 2 point win @20/1 [12th 16/1]
Palazzo Bianco - 1 point win @9/1 [10th 11/1]
Gatepost - 2 point win @12/1 [10th 11/1]
Face The Problem - 2 point win @16/1 [7th 12/1]
Salutation - 1 point win @14/1 [2nd 9/1]
Shamexpress - 1 point ew @10/1 [9th 12/1]
Thunder Strike - 1 point ew @10/1 [4th 11/2]
Big Easy - 1 point win @9/1 [8th 11/1]
Homeric - 1 point win @12/1 [7th 12/1]
Parliament Square - 2 point ew @25/1 [16th 20/1]
Sarkiyla - 1 point win @7/1 [5th 6/1]
Es Que Love - 1 point ew @50/1 [11th 33/1]
Prince Of Johanne - 1 point win @12/1 [13th 12/1]
Spa"s Dancer - 1 point ew @25/1 [23rd 16/1]
Coulsty - 3 point win @13/2 [11th 7/1]
Just Pretending - 1 point win @6/1 [2nd 9/2]
Top Trip - 1 point ew @16/1 [3rd 7/1]
Llaregyb - 1 point win @16/1 [18th 10/1]
Queensberry Rules - 1 point win @20/1 [3rd 16/1]
Chopin - 2 point win @5/1 [7th 15/2]
Pasaka Boy - 1 point win @22/1 [14th 20/1]
Soviet Rock - 1 point win @12/1 [8th 13/2]
Wedding Ring - 2 point win @12/1 [5th 9/1]
Democretes - 2 point ew @16/1 [16th 16/1]
Es Que Love - 1 point win @33/1 [5th 25/1]
Sea Siren - 2 point ew @10/1 [8th 7/1]
Soul - 1 point ew @25/1 [17th 16/1]
Khubala - 2 point ew @16/1 [4th 16/1]
Nocturn - 4 point win @11/1 [23rd 11/1]
Harris Tweed - 2 point win @2/1 [3rd 11/8]
Producer - 4 points win @3/1 [1st 11/4]
Party Line - 1 point win @33/1 [13th 25/1]
Scatter Dice - 1 point win @50/1 [5th 33/1]
Moment In Time - 3 point win @7/2 [2nd 5/1]
Haylaman - 1 point ew @16/1 [12th 16/1]
Danchai - 1 point win @8/1 [6th 7/1]
Integral - 4 point win @9/2 [1st 4/1]
Al Kazeem - 2 point win @9/4 [1st 15/8]
Mukhadram - 1 point win @8/1 [3rd 15/2]
Havana Beat - 3 point win @5/1 [3rd 5/1]
Universal - 2 point win @9/2 [1st 3/1]
Brown Sugar - 1 point win @15/2 [10th 5/1]
Figure Of Speech - 1 point win @9/2  [2nd 7/2]
Jubilante - 1 point win @11/2 [5th 5/1]
Milly"s Gift - 0.5 point ew @10/1 [7th 25/1]
Queen Catrine - 0.5 point ew @8/1 [3rd 7/1]
Secretinthepark - 1 point win @10/1 [5th 9/1]
Chilworth Icon - 0.5 point ew @20/1 [17th 25/1]
Somewhat - 2 point win @11/2 [2nd 11/4]
Redvers - 1 point win @12/1 [5th 8/1]
Bertiewhittle - 1 point win @9/1 [18th 15/2]
Lethal Force - 4 point win @9/2 [1st 9/2]
Aljamaaheer - 5 point win @5/2 [1st 6/4]
Niceofyoutotellme - 1 point win @8/1 [14th 6/1]
Clon Brulee - 2 point win @9/1 [5th 13/2]
Krypton Factor - 3 point win @2/1 [3rd 13/8]
Waila - 3 point win @9/4 [1st 5/4]
Intrigo - 3 point win @7/1 [3rd 5/1]
Rebellious Guest - 1 point win @50/1 [24th 40/1]
Bertiewhittle - 1 point win @16/1 [19th 25/1]
Regal Parade - 1 point win @33/1 [11th 50/1]
Clon Brulee @8/1 [BOG] 1 point win [12th 7/1]
Ambiance @13/2 [BOG] 3 point win [3rd 8/1]
Producer @5/1 [BOG] 2 point win [10th 4/1]
Guarantee @12/1 [BOG] 1 point win [7th 8/1]
First Avenue @20/1 [BOG] 1 point win [9th 25/1]
Dawn Approach @Evs [BOG] 3 point win [2nd 10/11]
Red Avenger @7/1 [BOG] 3 point win [2nd 11/2]
Caucus @13/2 [BOG] 1 point win [9th 5/1]
Galician @16/1 [BOG] 2 point win [4th 11/1]
Swiss Spirit @13/2 [BOG] 3 point win [2nd 6/1]
Baby Strange @20/1 [BOG] 2 point win [8th 20/1]
El Viento @16/1 [BOG] 1 point win [7th 14/1]
Havana Cooler @5/1 [BOG] 4 point win [3rd 4/1]
Rex Imperator @16/1 [BOG] 2 point win [1st 12/1]
Broxbourne @4/1 [WH] 2 point win [6th 5/1]
Prairie Ranger @6/1 [WH] 2 point win [4th 11/2]
Wedding Ring @3/1 [P.POWER] 2 point win [3rd 7/2]
El Viento @15.5 [B.FAIR] 2 point win [15th 11/1]
Lady Gibraltar @12/1 [BOG] 1 point win [14th 14/1]
Treaty Of Paris @16/1 [BOG] 1 point win [1st 11/1]
Secret Number @5/1 [BOG] 3 point win [3rd 5/1]
Al Kazeem @6/4 [BOG] 4 point win [3rd 11/8]
Lucky Kristale @3/1 [LAD] 2 point win [1st 5/2]
Lord Of The Dance @33/1 [BOG] 1 point ew [15th 33/1]
Warlu Way @20/1 [BOG] 1 point win [12th]
Ahzeemah @4/1 [BOG] 1 point win [1st 4/1]
Caucus @6/1 [LAD] 1 point win [4th 11/2]
Robin Hoods Bay @13/2 [BOG] 2 point win [7th 6/1]
Tickled Pink @12/1 [BOG] 1 point win [6th 16/1]
Guarantee @20/1 [LAD] 2 point win [7th 14/1]
Genzy @11/1 [BOG] 1 point win [2nd 11/1]
Sirius Prospect @7/2 [LAD] 2 point win [1st 5/2]
Fennell Bay @14/1 [PP] 1 point win [2nd 16/1]
Asatir @20/1 [PP] 1 point win [15th 20/1]
Captain Dunne @11/1 [BOG] 2 point win [6th 11/1]
Clockmaker @16/1 [BOG] 1 point win [1st 8/1]

+148.8 points 17% wins

a poor Royal Ascot by my standards rather spoils the Saturday Donk picks and Goodwood had its fair share of unlucky in running excuses.
on the plus side the staking has been ok"ish and i have only picked horses in tv racing and saturday races, but in the main steering towards the tv racing.
as a target i wanted to hit 200 plus points for the flat season [tv and saturday racing only] hopefully fingers crossed i"ll get somewhere near with some tasty races at Newmarket, Ayr and Donny still to come.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on September 02, 2013, 19:52:21 PM
Yesterday I saw NOVELLIST in a very good shape in Baden Baden. Looking hopefull to Longchamp and Prix l"Arc.
http://goo.gl/CdtKkV (http://goo.gl/CdtKkV)

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 07, 2013, 12:55:59 PM

Yesterday I saw NOVELLIST in a very good shape in Baden Baden. Looking hopefull to Longchamp and Prix l"Arc.


Yep he looks the one to beat Achim..

London Handicap@Ascot 1.55 7th September
Monsieur Chevalier @20/1 [BOG] 1 point win
Trail Blaze @16/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Friendly Handicap @Haydock 2.05 7th September
Harrison George @8/1 [BOG] 2 point win

September Stakes @Kempton 2.20 7th September
Rewarded @14/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Old Borough Cup @Haydock 3.15 7th September
Kiama Bay @11/1 [BOG] 1 point win
Scatter Dice @20/1 [LAD] 1 point win



Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 12, 2013, 01:28:57 AM
Monsieur Chevalier @20/1 [BOG] 1 point win [10th 16/1]
Trail Blaze @16/1 [BOG] 1 point win [4th 14/1]
Harrison George @8/1 [BOG] 2 point win [2nd 13/2]
Rewarded @14/1 [BOG] 1 point win [5th 16/1]
Kiama Bay @11/1 [BOG] 1 point win [5th 10/1]
Scatter Dice @20/1 [LAD] 1 point win [6th 14/1]

+141.8 points


Sceptre Stakes @Doncaster 2.10 12th September
Nargys @14/1 [BOG] 1 point win
The Gold Cheongsam @8/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Weatherbys 2yo Stakes @Doncaster 2.40 12th September
Azagal @8/1 [BOG] 1 point win
Tobougg Happy @16/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Park Hill Stakes @Doncaster 3.15 12th September
Alta Lilea @9/1 [BOG] 1 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 13, 2013, 00:51:31 AM
Nargys @14/1 [BOG] 1 point win [1st 8/1]
The Gold Cheongsam @8/1 [BOG] 1 point win [N/R]
Azagal @8/1 [BOG] 1 point win [2nd 12/1]
Tobougg Happy @16/1 [BOG] 1 point win [11th 16/1]
Alta Lilea @9/1 [BOG] 1 point win [3rd 9/1]

+152.8 points


i"m going to wait till morning to see how much rain they get at Donny before i plump for anything..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 13, 2013, 13:12:10 PM
Flying Childers @Doncaster 1.40 13th September
Extortionist @6/1 [BOG] 1 point win
Wind Fire @7/2 [BOG] 1 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 13, 2013, 13:42:40 PM
Doncaster Cup @Doncaster 2.40 13th September
Times Up @5/2 [BOG] 3 point win

May Hill Stakes @Doncaster 3.15 13th September
i fancy Ihtimal but not the odds :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 13, 2013, 16:07:16 PM
Extortionist @6/1 [BOG] 1 point win [3rd 7/1]
Wind Fire @7/2 [BOG] 1 point win [2nd 4/1]
Times Up @5/2 [BOG] 3 point win [1st 3/1]

+159.8 points


i going to wait till tomorrow morning and see how much rain arrives and watch how the markets shape up... as a rule i like to get on at the early prices for obvious reasons but the ground/field sizes at Donny seem to be causing the market some problems that i hope i can take advantage of..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 14, 2013, 00:56:19 AM
there has been some money for this already backed from 25"s to 16"s , would of been a 2 point stake if 20"s or bigger...

Portland Handicap @Doncaster 2.40 14th September
Angels Will Fall @16/1 [BOG] 1 point win

St. Leger @Doncaster 3.50 14th September
Secret Number @12/1 [BOG] 2 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 14, 2013, 02:07:46 AM
Stand Cup @Chester 2.55 14th September
Cubanita @4/1 [BOG] 2 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 14, 2013, 17:19:06 PM
Angels Will Fall @16/1 [BOG] 1 point win [1st 16/1]
Secret Number @12/1 [BOG] 2 point win [6th 11/1]
Cubanita @4/1 [BOG] 2 point win [2nd 7/2]

+171.8 points
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 20, 2013, 23:45:56 PM
Mill Reef Stakes @Newbury 2.20 21st September
Cable Bay @10/1 [BOG] 2 point win

Silver Cup @Ayr 2.40 21st September
Take Cover @11/1 [BOG] 1 point win
Thunderball @25/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Gold Cup @Ayr 3.50 21st September
Gabriel"s Lad @11/1 [BOG] 1 point win
Hasopop @33/1 [BOG] 1 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 27, 2013, 12:58:14 PM
Take Cover @11/1 [BOG] 1 point win [7th 8/1]
Thunderball @25/1 [BOG] 1 point win [20th 25/1]
Gabriel"s Lad @11/1 [BOG] 1 point win [9th 12/1]
Hasopop @33/1 [BOG] 1 point win [18th 40/1]

+167.8 points


and todays fancies -

Aqlaam Stakes @Newmarket 1.40 27th September
Sweet Acclaim @16/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Nayef Joel Stakes @Newmarket 2.40 27th September
Guest Of Honour @6/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Shadwell Fillies Mile @Newmarket 3.15 27th September
Ihtimal @2/1 [BOG] 4 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on September 27, 2013, 21:02:18 PM
Try a bet at Santa Anita tonight. Fall meet will start.
Race 8  Sirocco Strike ML 8/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 28, 2013, 00:57:59 AM
Welfare Handicap @Haydock 3.30 28th September
Secret Witness @12/1 [BOG] 2 point win
Racy @10/1 [BOG] 2 point win

Cambridgeshire Handicap @Newmarket 3.50 28th September
Graphic @14/1 [BOG] 2 point win


Sweet Acclaim @16/1 [BOG] 1 point win [3rd 20/1]
Guest Of Honour @6/1 [BOG] 1 point win [7th 5/1]
Ihtimal @2/1 [BOG] 4 point win [3rd 5/2]

+161.8 points


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on September 28, 2013, 12:57:27 PM
@noble What are your favourites for Prix l"Arc de Triomphe?

Guess Orfevre, Kizuna, Novellist and Treve should be the horses in focus.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 05, 2013, 14:31:47 PM

@noble What are your favourites for Prix l"Arc de Triomphe?

Guess Orfevre, Kizuna, Novellist and Treve should be the horses in focus.


its a shame Novellist has pulled out, as for Kizuna and Treve i"m put off by there draws.. Orfevre is a worthy favourite and of the possible dangers i"d side with the 3 year olds - Ruler Of The World,Flintshire,Leading Light and Intello..

i"ve already backed Ruler Of The World and Leading Light , push come to shove i prefer Leading Light of the two..

as a rule of thumb i either like to see a group1 run last time out as a good prep to the Arc or the horse has had a decent prep in the Prix Niel...
group1 last time out - Al Kazeem [loads to do drawn out in 18] , Treve [same again drawn 15] , Meandre [drawn 2 but not quite good enough at this level imo] and Leading Light [stamina not in question plus good draw]

Prix Niel last time out - Kizuna [only the draw puts me off] , Ruler Of The World [great prep run considering Moore switched twice and lost ground/momentum doing so] , Flintshire and Ocovango [Fabre say no more lol, interesting how Flintshire was ridden though]

good luck Achim if you back anything tomorrow, what sort of angle are you approaching this years Arc with fella?


as for today [i"d put up or sooner but i"ve had problems trying to log on plus 2 german sheperds i"ve recently acquired have kept me rather busy :)]

Challenge Cup @Ascot 3.50 5th October
Sirius Prospect @12/1 [BOG] 2 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 05, 2013, 22:06:58 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 06, 2013, 11:44:05 AM
Will go to Dusseldorf now. Last german Grade race 2013 on the card.

My picks there:

R1. OPERA ROCK Place (mother wins 5 races for me, underestimated today)

R2. SHARANO Win/Place

R4. FLAVIO FORTE Win/Place

R7. NOCTURNE Win/Place

R8. DANON ATTACKER Win/Place, also Exacta each way with FRESH SKYLINE


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 06, 2013, 13:51:13 PM
just about to watch Another Party and Baby Foot, will they be good enough? edit - not derby hopes for next year BUT Karakontie will be interesting for next year over classic middle distances
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 12, 2013, 13:11:56 PM
Three Clicks To Bet Stakes @York 1.50 12th October
Gabrial"s Kaka @14/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Challenge Stakes @Newmarket 2.05 12th October
Lockwood @9/2 [BOG] 3 point win

Rockingham Stakes @York 2.55 12th October
Rufford @7/2 [BOG] 3 point win
Figure Of Speech 7/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Dewhurst Stakes @Newmarket 3.10 12th October
Outstrip @7/4 [BOG] 4 point win

Coral Sprint @York 3.30 12th October
Pastoral Player @25/1 [BOG] 2 point win
Secret Witness 33/1 [BOG] 1 point win

Cesarewitch Handicap @Newmarket 3.50 12th October
Moidore @33/1 [BOG] 1 point win


PROFIT SO FAR  +159.8 points

risking 16 points today so fingers crossed :o
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 19, 2013, 13:42:29 PM
Long Distance Cup @Ascot 1.45 19th October
Saddler"s Rock @25/1 [BOG] 1 point ew

Sprint Stakes @Ascot 2.20 19th October
Jack Dexter @9/2 [BOG] 2 point ew

QEII Stakes @Ascot 3.30 19th October
Maxios @4/1 [BOG] 3 point win


PROFIT SO FAR  +143.8 points
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 26, 2013, 13:14:02 PM
Racing Post Trophy @Doncaster 3.50 26th October
Century @5/1 [BOG] 3 point win
Altruistic @16/1 [BOG] 1 point ew



ROFIT SO FAR  +138.8 points
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 19, 2013, 19:47:11 PM
Turfparadise (USA) Nov. 20th

Race 5: #10 OK INDY 10/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 21, 2013, 01:04:19 AM

Turfparadise (USA) Nov. 20th

Race 5: #10 OK INDY 10/1


OK Indy wins, right spot with huge profit!

$2 Win: 55.6 Place: 16.00 Show: 10.40
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 27, 2013, 09:26:45 AM
Kempton Nov. 27th

Race 5:  500 Free Bets At Betdaq Wild Flower Stakes

Only 7 horses in the field. One of them #3 german JEANIE JOHNSTON . Racing Post announced (20/1) what imo a huge underestimation. This race could be a good Dubai prep race for favourite #2 FATTSOTA (7/4). Can"t ignore the performance last february at Meydan behind Kassiano, also Longchamp last month. The horse to beat. Another horse for 1-2-3 is LIVIA"s Dream. Last time at Lingfield 2nd and today with weight advantage to 4th BANOFEE.

Good value for #3 so I"ll bet the german filly and hope for her speed last 2 furlongs.

My pick: JEANIE JOHNSTON - FATTSOTA - LIVIA"s DREAM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 28, 2013, 07:53:19 AM

Kempton Nov. 27th

Race 5:  500 Free Bets At Betdaq Wild Flower Stakes

Only 7 horses in the field. One of them #3 german JEANIE JOHNSTON . Racing Post announced (20/1) what imo a huge underestimation. This race could be a good Dubai prep race for favourite #2 FATTSOTA (7/4). Can"t ignore the performance last february at Meydan behind Kassiano, also Longchamp last month. The horse to beat. Another horse for 1-2-3 is LIVIA"s Dream. Last time at Lingfield 2nd and today with weight advantage to 4th BANOFEE.

Good value for #3 so I"ll bet the german filly and hope for her speed last 2 furlongs.

My pick: JEANIE JOHNSTON - FATTSOTA - LIVIA"s DREAM



Failed.  :( (5. 6. 7.)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: pables on January 11, 2014, 12:03:04 PM
Picked up the darts today and threw them at the paper and we have these selections

1.35 KEMPTON- GARDE LA VICTOIRE
2.40 KEMPTON- IF IN DOUBT
3.15 KEMPTON- NADIYA DE LA VEGA
3.35 WARWICK- ROYALE KNIGHT
3.50 KEMPTON- LEXIS BOY

EACH WAY LUCKY 31 POOR HOUSE HERE I COME
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 01, 2014, 09:18:52 AM
The flat season is nearly here plus Cheltenham and the Grand National also to look forward to, so its time to get warmed up and hopefully pick out some winners.

Lingfield 4.00 - 5f Handicap (Class 2)
Woolfall Sovereign - 2 points ew

WS has a good record when running in handicaps over 5 furlongs on the all weather - 11113
12/1 with most bookmakers this morning which in places has been snapped up, although you can still get 12"s with some... 10/1 is still ok if thats all you can get..
don"t be put off by his last time out run over 6 furlongs, he has ideal conditions today...

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/results/21-01-2014/southwell/result/601164/compare-bookmakers-at-bookmakers-co-uk-handicap/video?token=5f88b3c004

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/results/22-01-2013/lingfield-park/result/544610/lingfield-park-owners-group-handicap/video

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/results/11-12-2012/lingfield-park/result/539357/attheraces-com-exclusive-barry-geraghty-blog-handicap/video
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on March 07, 2014, 11:06:30 AM
Mr Noble1

I need some winners please for next week, not intrested in any 20/1 place, want some on the nose picks

No presure

:)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 10, 2014, 14:42:59 PM

Mr Noble1

I need some winners please for next week, not intrested in any 20/1 place, want some on the nose picks

No presure

:)


have you lost your lucky pin?   ;)

11th March Cheltenham
1.30 Supreme Novices
Valseur Lido - 20"s on betfair - 1point win
Dams sire is Video Rock so its not surprising that Gigginstown stud snapped him up..

The Liquidator - 27"s on betfair - 1point win
Ran like the wind on good ground back in November in the trials, if you can forgive him for his poor run lto in the Tolworth then his starting odds would be far shorter..

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on March 10, 2014, 17:01:05 PM


Mr Noble1

I need some winners please for next week, not intrested in any 20/1 place, want some on the nose picks

No presure

:)


have you lost your lucky pin?   ;)

11th March Cheltenham
1.30 Supreme Novices
Valseur Lido - 20"s on betfair - 1point win
Dams sire is Video Rock so its not surprising that Gigginstown stud snapped him up..

The Liquidator - 27"s on betfair - 1point win
Ran like the wind on good ground back in November in the trials, if you can forgive him for his poor run lto in the Tolworth then his starting odds would be far shorter..




didn"t know i had one  :D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 10, 2014, 19:24:03 PM
11th March Cheltenham
1.30 Supreme Novices
Valseur Lido - 20"s on betfair - 1point win
Dams sire is Video Rock so its not surprising that Gigginstown stud snapped him up..

The Liquidator - 27"s on betfair - 1point win
Ran like the wind on good ground back in November in the trials, if you can forgive him for his poor run lto in the Tolworth then his starting odds would be far shorter.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
11th March Cheltenham cont.
2.05 Arkle Challenge
Dodging Bullets - 6.4 on betfair - 1point win
Valdez - 11.0 on betfair - 1point win

2.40 Handicap Chase
Cantlow - 17.5 on betfair - 1point win
Time For Rupert - 16.0 on betfair - 1point win

3.20 Champion Hurdle
The New One - 3/1 or better [bf or bog] - 1point win

4.40 National Hunt Chase Amateur
Shotgun Paddy - 5/1 bog with numerous - 1point win

5.15 Novices Handicap Chase
Ericht - 11.0 on betfair - 1point win
Buywise - 23.0 on betfair - 1point win


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on March 11, 2014, 08:44:40 AM
I like the 5.15 Ericht
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 11, 2014, 13:21:50 PM
12th March Cheltenham
1.30 Neptune Novices Hurdle
Faugheen - 9/4 - 2point win
Rathvinden - 7/1 - 1point ew

2.05 RSA Chase
Don Cossack - 12/1 - 1point win
Morning Assembly - 7/1 - 1point win

2.40 Coral Cup
Ifandbutwhynot - bfsp - 1point win
Calculated Risk - bfsp - 1point win
Sametegal - bfsp - 1point win

3.20 Queen Mother Champion Chase
Sire De Grugy - 5/2 - 2point win
Arvika Ligeonniere - 7/1 - 1point win

4.00 Cross Country Chase
Any Currency - 11/1 - 1point win

4.40 Fred Winter
Violet Dancer - 33/1 - 1point win


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 12, 2014, 12:55:10 PM
13th March Cheltenham
1.30 JLT Novices Chase
Taquin Du Seuil - 8/1 - 1point win

2.05 Pertemps Handicap Hurdle
Mister Dillon - bfsp - 1point win

2.40 Ryanair Chase
Hidden Cyclone - 10/1 - 1point win

3.20 World Hurdle
Zarkandar - 12/1 - 1point win

4.00 Byrne Group Plate
Giorgio Quercus - 20/1 - 1point win
Bennys Mist - 20/1 - 1point win

4.40 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup
Our Father - 16/1 - 1point win
Twirling Magnet - 16/1 - 1point win


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 13, 2014, 13:02:36 PM
14th March Cheltenham
1.30 Triumph Hurdle
Guitar Pete - 8/1 - 1point win
Royal Irish Hussar - 10/1 - 1point win
Abbyssial - 16/1 - 1point win

2.05 County Handicap Hurdle
Lyvius - 33/1 - 2point win
Makari - 25/1 - 1point win

2.40 Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle
Kings Palace - 7/2 - 2point win

3.20 Gold Cup Chase
Silviniaco Conti - 3/1 - 2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 14, 2014, 03:18:56 AM
14th March Cheltenham cont.
4.45 Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle
Thomas Crapper - 25/1 - 1point win

5.15 Grand Annual Chase
His Excellency - 20/1 - 1point win
Drumshambo - bfsp - 1point win
Anquetta - bfsp - 1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 29, 2014, 03:17:08 AM
i"m going to avoid Donny and concentrate on Meydan today.

1.10  Godolphin Mile
Shuruq @7/2 2point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on March 29, 2014, 10:08:48 AM
Dubai, Meydan

Try some Win/Place bets today.

1. Dubai Kahayla Classic Gr.1 (Arabian) - Al Mamun Monlau
2. Godolphin Mile  - Gr.2 - Flotilla 9/1
3. Dubai Gold Cup Gr.2 - Seismos 22/1
4. UAE Derby Gr.2 - Giovanni Boldini 9/4
5. Al Quoz Sprint Gr.1 - Amber Sky 3/1
6. Dubai Golden Shaheen Gr.1 - Rich Tapestry 3/1
7. Dubai Duty Free Gr.1 -  The Fugue 10/3
8. Dubai Sheema Classic Gr.1 - Magician 11/4
9. Dubai World Cup Gr.1 - Akeed Mofeed 9/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on March 29, 2014, 11:39:21 AM
At last some proper racing
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 29, 2014, 12:33:41 PM
6.05 Dubai World Cup
Prince Bishop @12/1 [i really like his chances today, its a 5point bet for me, bet big @12/1 :)]

A group1 winner over 10f with Kieren Fallon riding who is 3 out of 3 on him plus he"s in the form of his life and drawn 1. He has never looked to get anywhere near to what ability he showed as a 3yo when with Fabre but for whatever reason [maybe the Fallon factor] all of a sudden in his last 2 races he"s trouncing decent rivals and making it look easy... A very generous 12/1 in general with maybe a little saver of 1 point on Military Attack...

good luck Achim + Wayne
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on March 29, 2014, 13:21:04 PM
Bad luck, Flotilla came from the back, made a great late run and so much ground. Thought could win it, very close.  :( 28/10 place.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 29, 2014, 13:24:33 PM

Dubai, Meydan

Try some Win/Place bets today.

1. Dubai Kahayla Classic Gr.1 (Arabian) - Al Mamun Monlau
2. Godolphin Mile  - Gr.2 - Flotilla 9/1
3. Dubai Gold Cup Gr.2 - Seismos 22/1
4. UAE Derby Gr.2 - Giovanni Boldini 9/4
5. Al Quoz Sprint Gr.1 - Amber Sky 3/1
6. Dubai Golden Shaheen Gr.1 - Rich Tapestry 3/1
7. Dubai Duty Free Gr.1 -  The Fugue 10/3
8. Dubai Sheema Classic Gr.1 - Magician 11/4
9. Dubai World Cup Gr.1 - Akeed Mofeed 9/1


Flotilla went well achim, just not enough pace in the race for that finishing kick of hers, hope you had the place part. Variety Club from 15 got out brilliant and stacked them up before the home turn and kicked for home, a very good jockey performance.

Mine never got out of mid div, turned out gate speed was key, as per finish with not many changing position except for Flotilla.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 29, 2014, 13:43:04 PM
Now We Can looks interesting, but i"ll just watch :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on March 29, 2014, 13:46:01 PM
Know next bet is a bold one, but Seismos as a german bred needs support. ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on March 29, 2014, 14:31:58 PM
Great day for Jamie Spencer so far. Back to back winner.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on March 29, 2014, 17:09:03 PM
Try an Exacta with 4-5-6-11(Magician-Mount Athos-Dunadem-Dominant) in Meydan"s 8th race the Dubai Sheema Classic.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 03, 2014, 03:09:51 AM
Aintree 2.00 - Juvenile Hurdle
Fox Norton - 7/1 - 2point win
Broughton - 12/1 - 1point win

Aintree 3.40 - Fox Hunters Chase
Fresh Air And Fun - 50/1 - 1point win
Keenan"s Future - 100/1 - 1point win

Aintree 4.15 - Red Rum Handicap Chase
Last Shot - 16/1 - 1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 04, 2014, 09:55:50 AM
Aintree 4th April
2.00 - Josses Hill @7/4 1point win
2.30 - O"faolains Boy @5/2 2point win
3.05 - Rajdhani Express @9/2 2point win
         Module @5/1 2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 04, 2014, 15:56:55 PM
I know its easy to say after the race but had Ma Filleule at 14/1  ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 11, 2014, 15:19:42 PM
its not a big secret after his debut at Kempton but a John Gosden horse called Western Hymn has just won the 3.05 at Newbury today.. Holds Dante and Derby entries, keep a eye out for him...

https://betting.betfair.com/horse-racing/timeform-debate/simon-rowlands/sectional-debrief-kempton-monday-december-2-031213-43.html
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 12, 2014, 02:33:52 AM
Newbury 3.30 - Spring Cup
Gabrial"s Kaka @ 12/1  2point win

Ayr 3.50 - Scottish Grand National
Roalco De Farges @ 10/1  1point win
Green Flag @ 10/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 14, 2014, 09:20:04 AM

its not a big secret after his debut at Kempton but a John Gosden horse called Western Hymn has just won the 3.05 at Newbury today.. Holds Dante and Derby entries, keep a eye out for him...

https://betting.betfair.com/horse-racing/timeform-debate/simon-rowlands/sectional-debrief-kempton-monday-december-2-031213-43.html


Had a few pennys on him, allready on my radar. How good did Kingman look on Saturday. Gosden is the one to follow which is good for me has you know

Good spot with Gabrial"s Kaka    
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 16, 2014, 02:13:07 AM

Had a few pennys on him, allready on my radar. How good did Kingman look on Saturday. Gosden is the one to follow which is good for me has you know

Good spot with Gabrial"s Kaka    


he looked impressive Wayne :)  some say wait to see the other trials etc etc but if anything runs between now and the Guineas and runs better than Kingman then they"ll be in Frankel like territory imho....
Gosden does not want to risk him on fast ground, with that operation in mind for that bone chip removal. I think its turned into a blessing in disguise for him to revise the classic preparation for Kingman, i prefer the idea of a prep before the 2000g rather than turning up fresh, it didn"t do Frankel any harm.. :) You know what is impressive though, the fact Gosden always leaves a bit to work with his early season sighter"s, Kingman will improve, my gut tells me at this moment in time Towser junior won"t be bereft of classic potential horses this season...
So stationed at the end of Newmarket's Bury Road at Clarehaven is i hope the next 2000g winner, i hope so cos i got on at 5/1 way back lol lol... hmmmm lay a bit off now ;)  


Newmarket
3.30 - Free Handicap
Parbold @ 4/1 2point win

4.05 - Nell Gwyn Stakes
Pelerin @ 16/1 1point win

4.40 -  Feilden Stakes
Obliterator @ 9/2 1point win


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 16, 2014, 21:30:10 PM
Newmarket 3.30 - Abernant Stakes
Dinkum Diamond @ 8/1 2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 19, 2014, 01:21:54 AM
19th April
Haydock 2.40 - Handicap Hurdle
Getabuzz @ 12/1 1point ew
Heath Hunter @ 5/1 1point win

Haydock 3.15 - The Millionaire Maker Handicap Chase
Midnight Sail @ 11/1 3point win
Vif Argent @ 16/1 1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 23, 2014, 03:01:16 AM
April 23rd Epsom
1.45 - Pearl Blue @ 8/1 2point win

3.25 - Sennockian Star @ 14/1 2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 25, 2014, 11:00:17 AM

its not a big secret after his debut at Kempton but a John Gosden horse called Western Hymn has just won the 3.05 at Newbury today.. Holds Dante and Derby entries, keep a eye out for him...

https://betting.betfair.com/horse-racing/timeform-debate/simon-rowlands/sectional-debrief-kempton-monday-december-2-031213-43.html


running today 3.15 Sandown
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 26, 2014, 09:55:05 AM

Newbury 3.30 - Spring Cup
Gabrial"s Kaka @ 12/1  2point win

Ayr 3.50 - Scottish Grand National
Roalco De Farges @ 10/1  1point win
Green Flag @ 10/1  1point win


Gabrial"s Kaka Haydock 3.25
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 26, 2014, 10:05:11 AM
R Moore at Doncaster has 4 rides  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 26, 2014, 12:17:10 PM
What did you think of Western Hymn"s run Wayne? at this stage i"d be more inclined to favour Western Hymn and Kingston Hill for the Derby.. Western Hymn"s inexperience wouldn"t bother me to much as 3yo types like him can improve rapidly, and that turn of foot still smacks of class... Should be a interesting Dante....

Sennockian Star won nicely Wednesday, i love picking apart the class2 heritage handicaps :) i was pleasantly surprised that no one latched on to the fact that he"d reverse the form with Clayton from the lto at Pontefract...

Sandown 3.50 - Gold Cup Chase
Hadrian"s Approach - 14/1 with WH and a couple of others.. 15.5 on Betfair 4.5 to be placed - 1point win 2point place on BF

reasoning/logic
Tricky race to pick apart but what swung it for me given conditions today was Hadrian"s Approach run at Newbury last year when only beaten a short head by Unioniste with Same Difference behind, HA made three mistakes in the straight at Newbury and was only beaten a short head and he had plenty left in the tank.
He has good stamina, he jumps, gallops and stays. He also has plenty of class being by High Chaparral and looks a good win-place bet imho. Sandown should suit him today, finished 5th in this race last year on good dround as a 6year old, had a break this year before Cheltenham which suggests to me that Henderson had this race as the initial target in mind....
The fitting of cheek pieces for the 2nd time might be a plus, focus in the later stages of a race can sometimes come at the cost of keenness in the early part when a horse is fitted with cheekpieces, it might make him a bit more alert in the early part of the race, but that"s no bad thing for this horse imho... I"d be surprised anyhows that Henderson hasn"t schooled him with them on,
this plus the fact i think NH has had this race in mind for HA was another tick in the box.. :)
Geraghty on board isn"t a negative either lol............
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on April 27, 2014, 15:25:41 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 03, 2014, 01:54:41 AM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 07, 2014, 01:55:39 AM
Chester
2.45 - Chester Cup
Brockwell @ 12/1  2point win
Angel Gabrial @ 8/1  1point win

3:15 - 5f Handicap
Sir Maximilian @ 8/1  1point win



Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 08, 2014, 01:47:28 AM
Chester day2 Thursday
5.00 - 1m2f Handicap
Memory Cloth @ 5/1  3point win
Halfsin @ 20/1  2point win [with laddies, 16/1 also a overlay imho]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 09, 2014, 10:44:08 AM
Chester day3 Friday
2.15 - Dee Stakes
Century @ 3/1  1point win
AoB looks to be trying to find where this horse will fit in with future plans, Century won on debut the same maiden as Magician who won this race last year. No hype surrounds this horse after a poor racing post run lto but Ryan Moore is booked who"s record 7/10 for AoB at Chester makes my mind up that a small win bet is worth it at 3/1. [plus if you watch his debut win in a slowly run affair, it rather takes the eye.]

3.50 - 7f Handicap
Dr Red Eye @ 7/1  2point win
Verse Of Love @ 7/1 1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 09, 2014, 12:04:37 PM
1:45 - 7.5f Handicap
4 have pulled out so far, so out of who"s left which horses like soft ground? i couldn"t find a angle tbh Balty Boys with 1st time cheekpieces at 10/1 looked mildly interesting, everything else price wise looked about right or to short.

2:45 - Ormonde Stakes
Hillstar is the likely winner. Brown Panther would of been a bigger threat if the rain had stayed away.

3.15 - 5f Handicap
See The Sun, Blithe Spirit and Fine n Dandy - the first 2 on form lto and FnD based on last years romp at this meeting last year but has he trained on? add to the mix the irish horse of Stacks and its enough for me to pass and watch.

the last 2 races a fillies maiden and a apprentice handicap, hmmmmm BIG SWERVE  ;D

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 09, 2014, 16:54:43 PM
One to keep an eye on over the next few races

Lady Frances

7.50 Ascot tonight
3.15 Ascot 10th May
3.50 York 14th May

 
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 10, 2014, 02:17:14 AM
Ascot 10th May
2.40 - Buckhounds Stakes
Buckwheat @ 14/1  1point win

3.50 - Victoria Cup
Brownsea Brink @ 12/1  2point win
Ayaar @ 14/1  2point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 10, 2014, 11:19:29 AM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 10, 2014, 17:33:53 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 12, 2014, 14:27:27 PM
Maisons-Laffitte May 12th

Race 6: #5 ROMINA (43/10) current tote, 7 runners
Race 7: #7 STARK DANON (73/10) current tote, 10 runners

Can"t nail them as a safe winner, but both are imo promising horses today. Try a small Win/Place-Bet

Ground is heavy, both horses handle this conditions. Let"s see.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 12, 2014, 16:03:02 PM

Maisons-Laffitte May 12th

Race 6: #5 ROMINA (43/10) current tote, 7 runners
Race 7: #7 STARK DANON (73/10) current tote, 10 runners

Can"t nail them as a safe winner, but both are imo promising horses today. Try a small Win/Place-Bet

Ground is heavy, both horses handle this conditions. Let"s see.


Backers with trust in both horses but no ROI today. Finished out of money.  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 14, 2014, 02:39:23 AM
York 14th May
1:45 - 10f Handicap
Rye House @ 3/1  2point win

2.45 - Musidora Stakes
Queen Of Ice @ 4/1  1point win

2.15 - 6f Handicap
Fast Shot @ 10/1  1point win

3.15 - Duke of York Stakes
Jack Dexter @ 9/2  2point win
Moviesta  @ 13/2  2point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 14, 2014, 08:47:27 AM
I love York but York does not love me

Good luck

Keeping my money for Docaster on Saturday
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 15, 2014, 13:14:16 PM

I love York but York does not love me

Good luck

Keeping my money for Docaster on Saturday


it didn"t show me a lot of love yesterday :)


York 15th May
1.45 - 5f Handicap
Magical Macey @ 16/1  1point ew
with Judge n Jury and Bogart being drawn the opposite side i"m hoping this will help.

2.15 - Middleton Stakes
Ambivalent @ 5/1  1point ew

3.15 - Hambleton Stakes
Alfred Hutchinson @ 12/1  1point ew
Fury @ 9/2  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 15, 2014, 14:29:07 PM


I love York but York does not love me

Good luck

Keeping my money for Docaster on Saturday


it didn"t show me a lot of love yesterday :)


York 15th May
1.45 - 5f Handicap
Magical Macey @ 16/1  1point ew
with Judge n Jury and Bogart being drawn the opposite side i"m hoping this will help.

2.15 - Middleton Stakes
Ambivalent @ 5/1  1point ew

3.15 - Hambleton Stakes
Alfred Hutchinson @ 12/1  1point ew
Fury @ 9/2  1point win



Loves you today
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 15, 2014, 23:43:38 PM
York 16th May
2.45 - Yorkshire Cup
Ahzeemah @ 8/1  2point ew

ground versatile but loves good ground which he should have today, he"s placed 15 times out of 19 career starts. Question marks for me regarding his main opponents, going concerns, stepping up/down and throw in a couple of penalties :)
Fallon riding also a plus and Ahzeemah has won at the knavesmire in a decent lonsdale cup line up last year.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 16, 2014, 10:49:27 AM
12/1 Es Que Love 3. very unlucky, guess a real chance to win against Maarek (York, last Wednesday, Duke Of York Clipper Logistics Stakes)
Lucky Win/Place-Bet on 5/1 Bossy Guest in 2y Maiden Stakes (York, Yesterday)

Today my daily bet is 5/1 Inchila Race 2, Newbury.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 17, 2014, 02:48:47 AM

12/1 Es Que Love 3. very unlucky, guess a real chance to win against Maarek (York, last Wednesday, Duke Of York Clipper Logistics Stakes)
Lucky Win/Place-Bet on 5/1 Bossy Guest in 2y Maiden Stakes (York, Yesterday)

Today my daily bet is 5/1 Inchila Race 2, Newbury.


definitely of interest at Royal Ascot over a stiffer 6f on better ground Achim imho.... Clive Cox seems to be improving him..


Newmarket 17th May
3.30 - Sprint Trophy
Stars Above Me @ 5/1  3point win

4:05 - Fairway Stakes
Master Carpenter @ 7/2  1point win

Newbury
2.05 - Aston Park Stakes
Sky Hunter @ 5/1  2point win

3.50 - Lockinge Stakes
Olympic Glory @ Evs  5point win
Montiridge @ 7/1  1point win [saver bet]


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 17, 2014, 11:06:06 AM
Lockinge Stakes, Newbury

Olympic Glory is def the horse to beat. Can"t believe that Verrezano will win this one. CHOPIN, our german contender, gave his debut in April and finished 2nd, winner unplaced in France May 1st. Good ground and in a better shape now should be more than a good fact to make a EW10/1 Valuebet. Sure that trainer won"t make a sightseeing tour to Newbury. ;)

Good luck!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 19, 2014, 10:07:01 AM
Leicester

Race 1: TOWN CRIER

Last race favourite and very unlucky interference. Keep an eye!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 20, 2014, 11:44:44 AM
Nottingham

Race 1: Final Destination EW 5/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 20, 2014, 14:05:07 PM

Nottingham

Race 1: Final Destination EW 5/1



That was like 7d 2c ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 24, 2014, 02:35:37 AM
Catterick 24th May
2.50 - 7f Handicap
Alejandro @ 9/1  1point win

3.25 - 7f Handicap
Snow Bay @ 20/1  1point win

Haydock
2:05 - 6f Handicap
Shore Step @ 14/1  1point win
Run With Pride @ 8/1  1point win

2.40 - Temple Stakes
Kingsgate Native @ 7/1  2point win

3.45 - Silver Bowl Stakes
Shot In The Sun @ 10/1  1point win

Goodwood
2.55 - 7f Handicap
Wee Jean @ 7/1  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 24, 2014, 10:44:22 AM
Haydock 15:10

GRACIA DIRECTA E/W 10/1

Should be run a good race, 6f and good ground much better than last time.

Haydock 15:45

FIRST FLIGHT E/W 13/1

Yesterday a very nice Win/Place bet with Siljans Saga / Prix Corrida Saint Cloud. German horses were absolutely underestimated. 2-5 extremely close, sadly another longshot by a nose 2. Nevertheless good profit.

Good luck!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 24, 2014, 15:26:43 PM
Kingman in class of his own
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 25, 2014, 11:13:44 AM

Kingman in class of his own


Great horse. Trainer Gosden was a bit doubtful about ground and after there were rumours that he would scratch Kingman I
backed Shifting Power for 10/1.

Very disappointed about heavy rain at Haydock, first info was "Good" so I backed Gracia Directa. Make a note, if the filly will run 6f on good ground next time. Dislike soft or heavy ground.

Neatico is a interesting longshot in any combined bets today. (Longchamp, Prix d"Ispahan) when Cirrus Des Aigles clashes Olympic Glory.

Duesseldorf, German 1000 Guineas, a very competitive field. Ajaxana should be the horse to beat, runner up to Meerjungfrau and in front of 3rd Emerald Star (wins Gr.3 Lingfield). Couple of promising horses, especially Diamond Dove, like the 2yo performance, bit doubtful about good ground, soft would be better I guess. Artwork Genie, Ninas Terz and Feodora should be horses in any bets. But at the end maybe the english guest Evita Peron will annoy german connections.  ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 29, 2014, 14:04:02 PM
Baden-Baden:

R6 (Gr.3) - GEREON 6/1 E/W

Sandown Park:

R1 Nordic Quest 6,5/1 E/W
R2 (L) VIA VIA 5.5/1 E/W
R3 (Gr3) Girolamo 9/1 E/W
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 29, 2014, 18:41:05 PM

Baden-Baden:

R6 (Gr.3) - GEREON 6/1 E/W

Sandown Park:

R1 Nordic Quest 6,5/1 E/W
R2 (L) VIA VIA 5.5/1 E/W
R3 (Gr3) Girolamo 9/1 E/W



via via should go well achim, the dam"s best was on heavy and she"s produced a couple of nice ones in marjalina and what a charm.......... gppd luck
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 29, 2014, 20:09:18 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on May 31, 2014, 13:46:19 PM
Baden Baden Spring Meeting:

R5 - WIN FLY FIRST

Haydock Gr3 Jury Stakes

R3 E/W AMARILLO

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 31, 2014, 13:58:33 PM
York 31st May
2.50 - 5f Handicap
Body And Soul @ 14/1  2point win
Tumblewind @ 16/1  1point win

Haydock
2.05 - Pinnacle Stakes
Cubanita @ 7/2  2point win
Astonishing @ 3/1  3point win

2.40 - The John of Gaunt Stakes
Garswood @ 3/1  3point win

3.50 - Sandy Lane Stakes
Shamshon @ 4/1  3point win


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 01, 2014, 11:15:26 AM
Don"t miss the race!

IVANHOWE NAP!

R6, Gr2.  17:00 (UK 16:00) Grand Prix de Chantilly
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 01, 2014, 11:49:47 AM
Sad to hear that legendary trainer John Hills passed away age 53 after a battle against pancreatic cancer. Thoughts with all his family. Also well known in germany (Wind in her Hair, Docksider). RIP
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 03, 2014, 13:48:44 PM

Sad to hear that legendary trainer John Hills passed away age 53 after a battle against pancreatic cancer. Thoughts with all his family. Also well known in germany (Wind in her Hair, Docksider). RIP


yes very sad Achim, golly gosh :) i remember wind in her hair finishing 2nd in the oaks behind balanchine....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 05, 2014, 16:27:24 PM
R5 Tipperary

German bred and Derby horse #3 ERLKOENIG 5/2 should be an interresting horse to bet.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 06, 2014, 05:40:48 AM

R5 Tipperary

German bred and Derby horse #3 ERLKOENIG 5/2 should be an interresting horse to bet.


i hope u had some money on  ;)



Epsom 6th June
2.10 - 10f Handicap
Hi There @ 9/1  1point win

2.45 - Diomed Stakes
Gregorian @ 5/2  2point win

3:20 - 1mile Handicap
Brocklebank @ 40/1  1point win
Jacob Cats @ 40/1  1point win

4.00 - The Oaks
Volume @ 16/1  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 07, 2014, 04:09:39 AM
7th June Epsom Derby

Austraila has a very good chance based on his prep in the 2000 Guineas, he wasn"t stopping and got within 3/4"s of length of winning the thing. New Approach and Sir Percy were the last two non winners of the 2000g to go on and win the Derby, NA got within a nose of winning and SP was 2nd behind George Washington, trailing by 2 and a half lengths. Camelot and Sea the Stars won both classics, this rather puts me off Kingston Hill"s chances today as he was 5 lengths back, recent reminders like Mars last year and Native Khan in 2011 after finishing 3rd behind Frankel in the 2000g put me off Kingston Hill.. Added to that, why didn"t they prep him over further like the last Racing Post winner to win the Derby, Motivator prepped in the Dante.. Even if the heavens open up and the ground gets soft i"d still fancy 3 or 4 to beat KH.
So of the other trials is there anything to take on Austraila realistically? The Derrinstown trial was ran so slow and 3 finished in a heap, Geoffrey Chaucer maybe open to more improvement than Fascinating Rock and Ebanoran but the way the race was ran puts me off there winning chances.
Arod"s 2nd in the Dante at first looked sub par until the Great Gatsby won the French Derby and Arod wasn"t slowing at the finish. True Story had no excuses imho and if he"s ground dependent then he might have a squeak if the rain stays away, but of the two i"d fancy Arod to finish ahead again today.
Orchestra ran well in the Chester Vase and may improve bundles whatever the ground and theres Western Hymn to consider after his slog in the mud in the Sandown classic trial..

Austraila @ 13/8  5point win
Orchestra @ 14/1  1point win
Western Hymn @ 16/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 07, 2014, 05:26:23 AM
7th June Epsom
1.35 - 10f Handicap
Flippant @ 8/1  2point win

3.15 - The Dash
Caspian Prince @ 8/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: adilong1 on June 07, 2014, 10:48:42 AM
Had a rather posh farmer at work on Friday afternoon, and after eves dropping him talking to my boss he tipped Taghrooda and also a little e/w bet on inchila.

Ohh go on then I"ll have a little bet so managed £10 on Tag at 9/2 and £2.50 e/w on Inc at 33/1 only as coral offered top 4, Boom thank you very much nice Mr Farmer.

He also mentioned the Derby and said he rather fancied Western Hymm.....go on then another e/w please
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 07, 2014, 12:22:39 PM
Chantilly

R5 E/W Abendwind 5/1 (Gr.3 Prix Paul de Moussac)

Newcastle

R2 E/W Orbit The Moon 5.5/1
R5 E/W Red Inca 9/1

Epsom

R3 E/W Empoli 11/1 (Gr.1 Coronation Cup) Hope for good ground!
R5 E/W Ebanoran 16/1 (Gr.1 Epsom Derby)

Good luck for you picks !
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 10, 2014, 14:35:28 PM
Salisbury R3 14:55

Debit 6/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 14, 2014, 14:00:51 PM
York 14th JUne
2.40 - Handicap
Spa"s Dancer @9/1  2point win

3.15 - Ganton Stakes
Custom Cut @8/1  1point win

3.50 - 6f Handicap
Ventura Mist @33/1  1point win
Zaraee @20/1  1point win

Musselburgh 14th June
3.35 - Scottish Sprint Cup
Confessional  @10/1  1point win
Ballesteros @25/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 17, 2014, 03:32:34 AM
Royal Ascot 17th June
2.30 - Queen Anne Stakes
Verrazano @4/1  1point win
Anodin @12/1  1point ew

3.05 - Coventry Stakes
Adaay @5/1  1point win
Kool Kompany @8/1  1point win

3.45 - King"s Stand Stakes
Ahtoug @12/1  1point ew
Sole Power @5/1  1point win

4.25 - St James"s Palace Stakes
Kingman @evs  4point win

5.00 - Ascot Stakes
Villa Royale @14/1  1point ew

5.35 - Windsor Castle Stakes
Merdon Castle @6/1  1point win
Midterm Break @14/1  1point win



Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 17, 2014, 18:13:01 PM
Just had the one bet, Kingman
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 18, 2014, 10:24:37 AM
Royal Ascot 18th June
2.30 - Jersey Stakes
Coulsty @25/1 2point win
Toofi @25/1 1point win

3.05 - Queen Mary Stakes
Spanish Pipedream @5/2  3point win

3.45 - Prince of Wales"s Stakes
i"ll just watch Treve win this one at odds on :)

4.25 - Duke of Cambridge Stakes
Integral @3/1  4point win
Purr Along @12/1  1point win

5.00 - Royal Hunt Cup
Gabrial"s Kaka  @20/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 18, 2014, 11:57:46 AM
3.05 Anthem Alexander 7/2
4.25 Integral 3/1

you have a soft spot for Gabrial"s Kaka
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 19, 2014, 04:44:36 AM

3.05 Anthem Alexander 7/2
4.25 Integral 3/1

you have a soft spot for Gabrial"s Kaka


lol just thought he had right conditions but the way the race panned out he never got into a good position, it"ll be interesting to see what they"ll target him at next...



Royal Ascot 19th June
3.05 - Tercentenary Stakes
Barley Mow @6/1  1point ew

3.45 - Ribblesdale Stakes
Inchila @7/2  2point win

4.25 - Gold Cup
Leading Light @11/10  5point win

same prep route as Yeats and Fame And Glory, won well in a decent time and wasn"t stopping.. Laddies are shortest [surprise surprise] with other firms currently a general 11/10, taking evens about the horse is ok...
can"t see much to oppose him with, Tac De Boistron and Brown Panther maybe good each way options imho...

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 19, 2014, 05:55:22 AM
Royal Ascot 19th June
5.00 - Britannia Stakes
Bilimbi @10/1  1point win
Ifwecan @25/1  1point win

5.35 - King George V Stakes
Zee Zeely @10/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 19, 2014, 08:23:00 AM
2.30 The Great War 1/1  
3.45 Bright Approach 5/1
4.25 Leading Light 6/5
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 20, 2014, 05:44:34 AM
Royal Ascot 20th June
2.30 - Albany Stakes
Bitter Lake @10/1  1.5point win
Elite Gardens @12/1  1.5point win

3.05 - Wolferton Handicap
Contributer @14/1  1point win

3.45 - King Edward VII Stakes
Miner"s Lamp @8/1  1point win
Snow Sky @5/1  2point win

4.25 - Coronation Stakes
Rizeena @7/1  1point win
Lightning Thunder @4/1  1point win

5.00 - Queen"s Vase
Marzocco @5/2  4point win
Hartnell @4/1  1point win

5.35 - Buckingham Palace Stakes
Louis The Pious @33/1  1point win
Santefisio @20/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 20, 2014, 09:19:49 AM
3.05 Bold Sniper
3.45 I am a  Western Hymn fan but Buick is on Eagle Top, my head says Western but I"m going to follow Buick
4.25 Lightning Thounder
5.00 Marzocco
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 20, 2014, 11:47:07 AM
Westen Hymn non-runner that explanes it, with that in mind i now like Snow Sky but the moneys already down on Eagle Top
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 20, 2014, 15:46:45 PM
Ascot
Race 4 - Gr.1 Coronation Stakes

Backed ROSALIND 20/1 in Kentucky Oaks and will do it again today.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 20, 2014, 16:34:13 PM

Ascot
Race 4 - Gr.1 Coronation Stakes

Backed ROSALIND 20/1 in Kentucky Oaks and will do it again today.


Jockey K. Fallon unseated directly after Start. Unlucky. Expensive trip from USA.  :(
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 20, 2014, 18:41:22 PM

Westen Hymn non-runner that explanes it, with that in mind i now like Snow Sky but the moneys already down on Eagle Top


i"m always reviewing and revising my own rules about betting and how i assess the race on the day... one rule i"ve learnt the hard way :) wayne is when i"m addressing whatever race, if the trainer has more than one runner and you fancy him[the trainer/horse] to win, you have to cover your main bet and back all his runners in that race.... i over looked my own rule in the buckingham today, David O"Meara had the two runners, needless to say i was a little apprehensive when i saw watchable making ground lol lol..... [this rule of mine applies in quality races, my view is that you should be betting quality horses in the pattern and in classes 1, 2 and 3 only mainly, class4 and above don"t be a mug reduce your stakes, those donkeys rarely repeat their good runs the next time, last time out winners at that class usually lose there next race yet time after time people still back them ::) in fact its not a bad way to approach lay betting ;)]
BTW Eagle Top, what a prospect that horse had gears aplenty, so Gosden has 1m covered with Kingman, 10f for Western Hymn and 12f with Eagle Top... and maybe [just maybe] it will be Marzocco who will be his St. Ledger hopeful...

and a 12/1 winner to boot :)  invest those winnings wisely ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 20, 2014, 19:50:52 PM
Already did in the Next (4.25) on Rizeena at 7/1, and then Bookem Danno at MR 4/1  I don"t get many days like this  ;D Gave a little bit back with Marzocco but I"ve had worse days  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 21, 2014, 08:36:07 AM
You had a good day yourself  :)

Nice pick in the last
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 21, 2014, 09:20:56 AM
Ascot, three longshots today:

E/W

R1 - Crown The Kitten 10/1
R3 - Dandino 10/1
R4 - Astaire 10/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 21, 2014, 12:40:16 PM
2.30 Richard Pankhurst 10/1
3.45 Telescope 9/4
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 21, 2014, 13:08:02 PM
Royal Ascot 21st June
2.30 - Chesham Stakes
Juventas @20/1  1point win

3.05 - Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
Lahaag @33/1  0.5 point ew
Macbeth @50/1  0.5 point ew
Salutation @33/1  0.5 point ew

3.45 - Hardwicke Stakes
Hillstar @9/2  2point win
Telescope @9/4  4point win

4.25 - Diamond Jubilee Stakes
Slade Power @4/1 1.5point win
Aljamaaheer @4/1 1.5point win
Montiridge @25/1  1point win

5.00 - Wokingham Stakes
Seeking Magic @12/1  1point win

5.35 - Queen Alexandra Stakes
Brass Ring @7/1  1point win


good luck today Achim,Wayne and all....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 21, 2014, 16:02:45 PM

2.30 Richard Pankhurst 10/1
3.45 Telescope 9/4


good day for you Wayne, get down Clarehaven Stables and give Towser jnr a bottle of wine :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 28, 2014, 01:53:43 AM
Newcastle 28th June
2.05 - 6f Handicap
Mississippi @10/1  1point win

2.40 - Chipchase Stakes
Hitchens @12/1  1point win

3.15 - 7f Handicap
Farlow @8/1  1point win
Apostle @10/1  1point win

3.50 - Northumberland Plate
Angel Gabrial @7/1  3point win
Glenard @16/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 28, 2014, 13:45:27 PM
Newmarket 28th June
2.20 - Empress Stakes
Littlemissblakeney @4/1  1point win
Parsley @11/2  1point win

3.30 - Criterion Stakes
Gregorian @11/2  2point win
Garswood @9/2  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 30, 2014, 09:28:23 AM
O"Brien trained Geoffrey Chaucer will run in German Derby next sunday. Good enough for unbeaten Sea The Moon?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 30, 2014, 14:45:55 PM

O"Brien trained Geoffrey Chaucer will run in German Derby next sunday. Good enough for unbeaten Sea The Moon?


Update: Godolphin"s Pinzolo also by late call (65K) will run.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 05, 2014, 04:22:54 AM
Sandown 5th July
1.30 - 7f Handicap
Captain Bob @7/2  1point win

2.05 - The Sprint Stakes
Extortionist @8/1  1point win

2.40 - 8f Handicap
Snowboarder @20/1  2point win

3.15 - The Distaff
Queen Catrine @2/1  4point win
Belle D"or @7/2  1point win

3.50 - Coral-Eclipse
The Fugue @9/4  3point win
Kingston Hill @9/2  2point win

Haydock 5th July
3.30 - Old Newton Cup
Dashing Star @9/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 05, 2014, 08:56:16 AM
You missed one, 2.40 Sandown Gabrials Kaka  :D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 05, 2014, 09:23:03 AM
Just the one bet for me 3.50 The Fugue

I like Asyad in the 3.25 Leicester but missed the price, may put a bit on Prince Of Stars in the 5.00 Sandown.

To much racing today to go through plus off to Le Tour De Yorkshire    
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 06, 2014, 14:38:40 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 06, 2014, 18:06:07 PM
Both favourites 1-2. Impressive win by SEA THE MOON. Christoph Soumillion in hand. Victory wire to wire. 11 L !

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2xi78TRDDy4

1. Sea The Moon
2. Lucky Lion
3. Open your Heart
4. Eric
5. Wild Chief
6. Speedy Approach
7. Madurai
8. Amorous Adventure
9. Magic Artist
10. Swacadelic
11. Karltheodor
12. Weltmacht
13. Russian Bolero
14. Baltic Storm
15. Pinzolo
16. Giant"s Cauldron
17. Geoffrey Chaucer
18. Amazonit

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 07, 2014, 16:44:40 PM
Sea The Moon top rated european horse now. (125)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 09, 2014, 01:30:13 AM

Sea The Moon top rated european horse now. (125)


what do you reckon to that Achim? Myself i find it hard to go along with when all the handicappers have in way of european collateral form is with the fifth, Wild Chief. Sea The Moon put up a great performance but in terms of giving a rating based on past german derbies i"d rate the winner at 121 with a ? for now, i have to make it the best Deutsches derby win by far with only Shirocco anywhere near... with a view to the forthcoming arc i"d also be wary of Sea The Moon"s habit of hanging left, i"m still unsure as to whether Soumillon deliberately went to the near side rail or the horse went that way and he went along with it so he"d keep momentum....

as for the football..
Germany 7 Brazil 1

omg you surely weren"t expecting that,what a RESULT  (http://www.freesmileys.org/custom/image/cyan%5E_%5Egeorgia%5E_%5E2%5E_%5E1%5E_%5EEngland are rubbish%5E_%5E.gif) (http://www.freesmileys.org/custom)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 09, 2014, 19:18:49 PM


Sea The Moon top rated european horse now. (125)


what do you reckon to that Achim? Myself i find it hard to go along with when all the handicappers have in way of european collateral form is with the fifth, Wild Chief. Sea The Moon put up a great performance but in terms of giving a rating based on past german derbies i"d rate the winner at 121 with a ? for now, i have to make it the best Deutsches derby win by far with only Shirocco anywhere near... with a view to the forthcoming arc i"d also be wary of Sea The Moon"s habit of hanging left, i"m still unsure as to whether Soumillon deliberately went to the near side rail or the horse went that way and he went along with it so he"d keep momentum....

as for the football..
Germany 7 Brazil 1

omg you surely weren"t expecting that,what a RESULT  (http://www.freesmileys.org/custom/image/cyan%5E_%5Egeorgia%5E_%5E2%5E_%5E1%5E_%5EEngland are rubbish%5E_%5E.gif) (http://www.freesmileys.org/custom)



Unsure is the rating ok or not. Guess it"s always very difficult to tax it especially if a horse destroyed a field like Sea The Moon did it in German Derby. Lucky Lion got 97,5kg after winning the German 2000 Guineas, Sea The Moon now got 102,5kg (winning by 11L). Another benchmark could be the races between The Grey Gatsby/Arod/Wild Chief/Australia.
Im not an expert in rating a horse, guess 125 could be correct, otherwise a horse like Australia wins two consiberable races and got 123. Nevertheless Sea The Moon has to confirm this rating next time. (Baden-Baden then Longchamp)

It was an decision from Soumillion to go near side rail because the ground seems to be in better shape after he make a walk around the racecourse. Another reason was that Soumillion was informed by regular jockey Andreas Helfenbein about behavior of the horse..

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xm4EC5vHQdQ#t=80

GER-BRA, what should I day? It was a win without any importance if they lose the final. Imo it was an unreal result, because the main danger was"nt the german team, it was the self-imposed pressure and helplessness to handle it. Like to see Argentina in final, guess it"s easier to play. No prob if Netherland will win the World Cup, they definitively deserve it too. Great football nation.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 10, 2014, 04:30:26 AM
Quote
GER-BRA, what should I day? It was a win without any importance if they lose the final. Imo it was an unreal result, because the main danger was"nt the german team, it was the self-imposed pressure and helplessness to handle it. Like to see Argentina in final, guess it"s easier to play. No prob if Netherland will win the World Cup, they definitively deserve it too. Great football nation.


Argentina it is Achim, i"m not expecting a thriller :)


Newmarket 10th July
1.40 - Bahrain Trophy
Bunker @7/1  1point win
Odeon @10/1  1point win

2.10 - July Stakes
Belardo @9/2  1point win
Mubtaghaa @7/1  1point win

2.40 - Princess of Wales"s Stakes
Hillstar @7/2  2point win

3.15 - 10f Handicap
Torchlighter @11/1  1.5point win
What About Carlo @7/1  1.5point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 10, 2014, 16:13:22 PM


Newmarket 10th July
1.40 - Bahrain Trophy
Bunker @7/1  1point win
Odeon @10/1  1point win  both non runners

2.10 - July Stakes
Belardo @9/2  1point win
Mubtaghaa @7/1  1point win

2.40 - Princess of Wales"s Stakes
Hillstar @7/2  2point win

3.15 - 10f Handicap
Torchlighter @11/1  1.5point win  1st with r4 deductions below
What About Carlo @7/1  1.5point win


3.15 Newmarket
Non runners:
Madeed N/R
Insaany N/R
Randwick N/R
Our Gabrial N/R

Rule 4 deductions
Win - 15p reductions on bets placed between 00:00:01 and 10:29:19
Win - 10p reductions on bets placed between 10:29:20 and 14:28:08
Win - 15p reductions on bets placed between 14:28:09 and 14:37:47

Torchlighter 11/1 with 15p reductions returned 14.02 points total profit

since i started the points, the thread is now +219.58 points
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 10, 2014, 17:43:42 PM
World Best Racehorse Ranking:

Sea The Moon now 5th (102/124) in the world. 3y old horses 2nd, together with California Chrome behind Kingman.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 10, 2014, 19:31:14 PM

World Best Racehorse Ranking:

Sea The Moon now 5th (102/124) in the world. 3y old horses 2nd, together with California Chrome behind Kingman.


links to what Achim is referring to -
http://www.horseracingintfed.com/racingDisplay.asp?section=22
http://www.horseracingintfed.com/resources/2014Rankings/2014_07_LWBRR_PressRelease.asp
http://www.horseracingintfed.com/resources/2014Rankings/2014_07_LWBRR.asp
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 10, 2014, 20:00:48 PM
Thanks, perfect overview.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 10, 2014, 21:01:19 PM
Newmarket 11th July

1.40 - Fillies 7f Handicap
Provenance @9/2  1point win
Bragging @8/1  1point win

2.10 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes [Cherry Hinton Stakes]
Parsley @9/1  1point win

2.40 - Falmouth Stakes
Purr Along @9/1  1point win

3.15 - 6f Handicap
Gamesome @10/1  2point win
Eastern Impact @14/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 11, 2014, 02:22:22 AM
York 11th July

2.20 - Summer Stakes
Ladies Are Forever @5/1  1.5point win
Joyeuse @9/2  1.5point win  


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 11, 2014, 13:28:08 PM
Quote
1.40 - Fillies 7f Handicap
Provenance @9/2  1point win  N/R
Bragging @8/1  1point win  N/R

2.10 - Duchess of Cambridge Stakes [Cherry Hinton Stakes]
Parsley @9/1  1point win

2.40 - Falmouth Stakes
Purr Along @9/1  1point win

3.15 - 6f Handicap
Gamesome @10/1  2point win  N/R
Eastern Impact @14/1  1point win  N/R


a fair few non-runners today, in the 1.40 Nakuti and Hot Coffee should handle conditions the best... in the 3.15 Supplicant,No Leaf Clover,The Hooded Claw,Kickboxer,Charles Molson and Golden Steps look the more likely... with a gun to my head i"d side with Supplicant based on his 2yo form at Newbury when he beat Rufford and Hot Streak in the group2 mill reef, 20/1 is to big imho...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 11, 2014, 13:56:16 PM

York 11th July

2.20 - Summer Stakes
Ladies Are Forever @5/1  1.5point win
Joyeuse @9/2  1.5point win  



Don"t forget EMERALD STAR 7/1, could be a back to back victory. 2f fewer distance must be no disadvantage. Imo a must in any combined bet.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 11, 2014, 14:26:19 PM


York 11th July

2.20 - Summer Stakes
Ladies Are Forever @5/1  1.5point win
Joyeuse @9/2  1.5point win  



Don"t forget EMERALD STAR 7/1, could be a back to back victory. 2f fewer distance must be no disadvantage. Imo a must in any combined bet.


Last from the start. Outpaced. No explanation.  :(
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 11, 2014, 16:30:35 PM
Parsley and Purr Along failed but Ladies Are Forever won BUT there was a rule4........

Non runners:
Body And Soul N/R
Hallelujah N/R
Spinatrix N/R
Al Thakhira N/R


Rule 4 deductions
Win - 25p reductions on bets placed between 00:00:01 and 08:18:56
Win - 25p reductions on bets placed between 08:18:57 and 08:27:46
Win - 15p reductions on bets placed between 08:27:47 and 09:23:12
Win - 10p reductions on bets placed between 09:23:13 and 12:03:22


Ladies Are Forever 5/1 with 25p reductions returned 5.62 points total profit

that leaves the thread with +2.12 points profit, the thread is now +221.70 points



Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 11, 2014, 21:24:03 PM
Newmarket 12th July

3.50 - July Cup
Slade Power @5/2  4point win
Due Diligence @5/1 2point win
Astaire @16/1 1point win

given ground conditions Slade Power won"t have no problems plus he"ll have Noozhoh Canarias to give him a tow from the high side of the draw..
a couple of savers were in order, Due Diligence is improving and there"s no indication from his action or the form book that he"ll be hindered by conditions... Astaire and jockey Neil Callan get on well with other and like lto at Ascot he will be leading the low drawn horses.. he needs cut in the ground so it won"t surprise me if he makes all to win plus his middle park win last year is a positive.. [just :)]
if they all converge and come down the centre then it"ll favour Slade Power all the more....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 12, 2014, 00:07:48 AM
Newmarket 12th July

2.05 - 1m Handicap
Idea @9/1  1point win

2.40 - Superlative Stakes
Estidhkaar @4/1  1point win

3.15 - Bunbury Cup
Ayaar @8/1  2point win
Loving Spirit @16/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 12, 2014, 03:15:52 AM
York 12th July

2.20 - Silver Cup Stakes
Al Saham @9/2  2point win
Nearly Caught @7/1  1.5point win

2.55 - John Smith"s Cup
Tarikhi @10/1  1point win
Queensberry Rules @12/1  1point win

3:30 - City Walls Stakes
Kingsgate Native @7/2  2point win
Monsieur Joe @14/1  1point win


Ascot 12th July
1.55 - 5f Heritage Handicap
Bogart @25/1  1point win
Barnet Fair @12/1  1.5point win

2.30 - Summer Mile Stakes
Tullius @3/1  2point win
Long John @6/1 1point win
Producer @4/1 1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 18, 2014, 22:19:55 PM
Newmarket 19th July

1.50 - 8f Handicap
Music Theory @7/1  1point win
Prince Of Johanne @12/1 1point win

2.25 - The Aphrodite Stakes
Criteria @3/1  3point win
Astonishing @5/1  2point win


Newbury 19th July
3.15 - Hackwood Stakes
Ahtoug @10/1  1point ew  1/4 1-3 with bet365

3.50 - Super Sprint
Tiggy Wiggy @4/1  2point win
Harry"s Dancer @8/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 19, 2014, 16:41:31 PM
1point loss today with one non runner, 0.5 loss last week leaves the total @ +218.08...

Goodwood is looming large and i"m studying hard for that already, hopefully it"ll pay off :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 20, 2014, 20:20:25 PM

1point loss today with one non runner, 0.5 loss last week leaves the total @ +218.08...

Goodwood is looming large and i"m studying hard for that already, hopefully it"ll pay off :)


Good  ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 21, 2014, 18:42:14 PM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CuJHqR8QLP4
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 21, 2014, 22:22:35 PM
Nothing is impossible. Crazy  ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 22, 2014, 14:56:39 PM
Wayne i hope last Sunday u was on Western Hymn, #awalkinthepark  :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 22, 2014, 16:40:35 PM

Wayne i hope last Sunday u was on Western Hymn, #awalkinthepark  :)


adslkfjghprghsrhi[o[oewuh[0

that means no

I had a realy good day on Saturday so did not want to push my luck on Sunday so stayed away from betting but did not know it was running or i would have lumpted on, bring on York  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 24, 2014, 16:50:50 PM
alot off racing over the next couple of days, all we need is for Mr Noble1 to give us some winners  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 26, 2014, 08:40:12 AM
What a race the King George is going to be and a headache for me, 3 of my horses all in the same race, Telescope, Taghrooda and Eagle Top. Eagle Top did me a great favour in the last race and won with plenty in hand but how good was the race. Telescope, the rain yesterday won"t have helped but the ground will dry quickly. Taghrooda looks to have a edge on the rest although a very small edge. And through in Magician on top then we have a classic race in the making. With 8 runners it may be worth a small EW bet on Romsdal (i like Gosden  ;))

1.50 York Carnevale
3.50 Ascot, Taghrooda  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 26, 2014, 09:44:26 AM
BET365 going 1/4 odds first 3
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 26, 2014, 11:38:39 AM
Ascot 26th July

2.05 - Princess Margaret Stakes
Muraaqaba @7/4  3point win
Accipiter @11/1  1point win

2.40 - 8f Handicap
Kafeel @9/1  1point win

3.15 - 7f Heritage Handicap
Santefisio @33/1  1point win
Heaven"s Guest @20/1  1point win

3.50 - King George VI Stakes
Romsdal @25/1  0.5point ew
Telescope @11/4  4point win
Magician @5/1  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 26, 2014, 12:16:31 PM
York 26th July

1.50 - Fillies 10f Handicap
Maracuja @5/1  2point win
Maven @10/1  1point win

2.20 - 7f Handicap
Sir Reginald @7/1  1point win

2.55 - York Stakes
Windhoek @9/4  4point win
Sheikhzayedroad @9/1  1point win
Danadana @5/1  1point win

3.30 - Skybet Dash
Line Of Reason @13/2  3point win



good luck today Wayne. the King George is quite a puzzle...  :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 26, 2014, 16:26:04 PM
well done fella a nice win for u wayne, not quite firm enough for T-scope....

not a good day for me a 17 point loss this week leaves the total @ +201.08

hopefully Goodwood will go well  :-X
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 26, 2014, 17:23:13 PM
Noble Mission will run in tomorows Gr.1 Grosser Dallmayr Preis, Munich. Will see how good is Lucky Lion. Magic Artist could be the horse for place 2-3.

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 27, 2014, 17:17:39 PM

Noble Mission will run in tomorows Gr.1 Grosser Dallmayr Preis, Munich. Will see how good is Lucky Lion. Magic Artist could be the horse for place 2-3.




Result: Lucky Lion-Noble Mission-Calyxa-Magic Artist

http://www.racingpost.com/news/live.sd?event_id=1986424&category=0
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 28, 2014, 22:40:22 PM
Goodwood 29th July

1.55 - 9f192y Handicap
Hi There @25/1  1point win
Sennockian Star @14/1  1point win
Tobacco Road @33/1  1point win

2.30 - Molecomb Stakes
Beacon @5/6  4point win

3.05 - Lennox Stakes
Toormore @7/4  3point win
Gregorian @7/2  1point win

3.40 - Summer Stakes
Dashing Star @6/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 29, 2014, 07:05:05 AM
1.55 Sea Shanty
2.30 Beacon
3.05 Gregorian
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 29, 2014, 10:06:57 AM
5.10 Beverly Special Fighter
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on July 29, 2014, 11:08:36 AM
Goodwood - Tuesday 29th July 2014

1:55 - Salutation
2:30 - Beacon
3:05 - Toormore
3:40 - Van Percy
4:15 - Misleading
4:50 - Lesha
5:20 - Apricot Sky
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 29, 2014, 12:37:39 PM
OMG :o  Leigh i love Goodwood :) is in the house, good luck today fella....

Gregorian is out Wayne, the Lennox looks a good opportunity for Toormoor now with Garswood the chief danger, a sneeky ew punt might be Glory Awaits @14/1.... i"m surprised Achim hasn"t mentioned Amarillo yet, disappointed at Haydock but came good lto at Hamburg with Adrie de Vries on board again today.....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on July 29, 2014, 12:54:57 PM
I"ve had a few years out from Goodwood. We moved just that little bit further away, so it made the membership less worthwhile, and it"s also clashed regularly with The New Forest Show.

I spent last night going back over my stats from 2005-2011 (Positive ROI 7 years in a row), have tried to fill in the gap of the past two years festivals.

Fingers crossed we can all pick a winner or two throughout the week. I"ve always picked one horse per race, every race.  I"m not great at knowing where the value is as such, but it"s all about the winners for me :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 29, 2014, 13:16:24 PM
I don"t know why but I just don"t like Toormoor but at the same time don"t know what will beat him now Gregorian is out, I wont be betting in this race.

Nice to see Leigh back, I know how he likes Goodwood

3.40 Dashing Star  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 29, 2014, 13:27:13 PM

it"s also clashed regularly with The New Forest Show.


i know u love your dogs, just in case u or anyone who loves dogs/horses etc hasn"t yet visited one of the living heritage country shows here"s a link http://livingheritagecountryshows.com/

i love taking my dogs to the Sandringham show, as well as the various attractions you also have the forest to walk the beasts and sunny Hunny not far up the road....

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on July 29, 2014, 13:40:20 PM
Trying to keep the calendar balanced between shows with the charity, poker tournaments, family commitments, gardening, The Pokeriety website and, oh yeah, proper work :)

Spent yesterday on the show ground doing setup, got today and tomorrow with clients (with one eye on the racing), then working on the stand on Thursday before packing it all up again.  Hopefully can then put my feet up on Friday and Saturday and properly watch the racing.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on July 29, 2014, 14:02:44 PM

Goodwood 29th July

1.55 - 9f192y Handicap
Hi There @25/1  1point win
Sennockian Star @14/1  1point win
Tobacco Road @33/1  1point win


Nice pick sir.  Close at the finish though :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 29, 2014, 14:14:30 PM


Goodwood 29th July

1.55 - 9f192y Handicap
Hi There @25/1  1point win
Sennockian Star @14/1  1point win
Tobacco Road @33/1  1point win


Nice pick sir.  Close at the finish though :)


a perfect example of getting cover, getting to draft from the front plus saving energy for that final furlong :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on July 29, 2014, 16:24:08 PM
I was just warming up with the first 3 races  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 29, 2014, 17:47:27 PM
Can"t wait for more tips from experts side. Nice longshot pick Leigh. ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on July 29, 2014, 18:24:32 PM

Goodwood - Tuesday 29th July 2014

1:55 - Salutation (8/1) - 3rd of 18
2:30 - Beacon (10/11F) - 3rd of 8
3:05 - Toormore (5/6F) - 2nd of 7
3:40 - Van Percy (8/1) - 1st of 14
4:15 - Misleading (13/2) - 1st of 13
4:50 - Lesha (10/1) - 9th of 19
5:20 - Apricot Sky (12/1) - 8th of 21


Happy with the day. Placed in the first 5 races, two winners.  Up 9pts, so freerolling tomorrow. :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on July 29, 2014, 21:19:18 PM
Goodwood - Wednesday 30th July 2014

1:55 - Made In Rio - 2.6
2:30 - Snow Sky - 4.8
3:05 - Kingman - 1.44
3:40 - Tupi - 7.6
4:15 - Touchline - 4.4
4:50 - Hiking - 9
5:20 - Liberty Jack - 10
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 30, 2014, 01:04:30 AM
Goodwood 30th July

1.55 - Goodwood Stakes
Maid In Rio @6/4  3point win

2.30 - Gordon Stakes
Snow Sky @7/2  2point win
Scotland @7/1  1point win

3.05 - Qipco Sussex Stakes
Kingman - no bet for me, the bookies aren"t giving anything away here...

3.40 - Vintage Stakes
Ahlan Emarati @5/1  2point win
Tupi @6/1  2point win

4.50 - Fillies Stakes
Hot Coffee @20/1  1point win
Lady Tiana @16/1  1point win
Water Hole @3/1  2point win
Magique @16/1  1point win

5.25 - 7f Handicap
Accession @12/1  1point win
Bluegrass Blues @10/1  1point win


+4point profit yesterday

the fred picked out some winners - 14/1 2/1 8/1 13/2 Sennockian Star,Special Fighter.Van Percy and Misleading
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 30, 2014, 09:10:30 AM
A day of favourites for me today

1.55 Mad in Rio
2.30 Snow Sky
3.05 Kingman (no bet for me, just like Mr Noble)
3.40 Highland Reel
4.15 Shahah
4.50 Palerma EW
       Alquimia EW
5.25 George Rooke

6.00 Leicester Dolorous
6.55 Sandown Latharnach
7.05 Leicester Watersmeet

No profit from Goodwood but thanks to Special Fighter, which I got at 3/1 (sp 5/4) finished the day  in profit.

In bold I have bet on the rest I will take a view as the day goes along
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 30, 2014, 14:46:26 PM
Bet Snow Sky with Bet365 so just for a laugh have had a risk free bet on Outstip  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 30, 2014, 16:57:43 PM
Magique drifts to 25/1,  thank you i"ll take that :)  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on July 30, 2014, 19:41:23 PM
Goodwood - Thursday 31st July 2014

2:05 - Insaany 16/1
2:35 - Ivawood 4/9
3:10 - Estimate 9/4
3:45 - Stella Bellissima 11/2
4:20 - Sweet Dream - 10/1
4:50 - Secret Hint - 11/2
5:25 - George Cinq - 6/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 30, 2014, 20:44:45 PM
My forecast for Goodwood, July 31

2:05 - ARABLE
2:35 - IVAWOOD
3:10 - CAVALRYMAN
3:45 - NYMPHEA
4:20 - SHAGAH
4:50 - IFWECAN
5:25 - BALMORAL CASTLE
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 30, 2014, 21:14:33 PM
Goodwood 31st July

2:05 - 1m1f192y Handicap
Collaboration @12/1  2point win
Lyn Valley @20/1  1point win
Insaany @16/1  1point win
Donny Rover @16/1  1point win

i"m more than willing to risk 5points against Roseburg who has only won a weak 0-100 5runner cls2 h/c, it was done in a good time but todays race he faces totally different ground, more competition and a 8lbs hike from the handicapper.. if this wasn"t trained by Cumani then it"d be 10/1+..
Rainbow Rock has only won a cls5 hc at Beverley!!!! yet is 2nd fav in the market as i write ???
Madeed is yet to race over 10f...
Astronereus has only won a 10f maiden..
Arable won a cls5 2k hc over a mile lto......

One mad mad market imho......
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on July 30, 2014, 22:25:22 PM

Goodwood 31st July

2:05 - 1m1f192y Handicap
Collaboration @12/1  2point win
Lyn Valley @20/1  1point win
Insaany @16/1  1point win
Donny Rover @16/1  1point win

i"m more than willing to risk 5points against Roseburg who has only won a weak 0-100 5runner cls2 h/c, it was done in a good time but todays race he faces totally different ground, more competition and a 8lbs hike from the handicapper.. if this wasn"t trained by Cumani then it"d be 10/1+..
Rainbow Rock has only won a cls5 hc at Beverley!!!! yet is 2nd fav in the market as i write ???
Madeed is yet to race over 10f...
Astronereus has only won a 10f maiden..
Arable won a cls5 2k hc over a mile lto......

One mad mad market imho......


One could say it"s an insaany market  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on July 30, 2014, 22:25:39 PM
I"m here all week   ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 31, 2014, 03:08:19 AM
Goodwood 31st July

2.35 - Richmond Stakes
Ivawood - no bet race for me... Fox Trotter and Moonraker appeal slightly as place bets...

3.10 - Goodwood Cup
Estimate @2/1  3point win
Brown Panther @3/1  1point win

3.45 - Lillie Langtry Stakes
Nymphea @8/1  1point win
Waila @6/1  1point win
Talent @4/1  1point win

5.25 - 9f Handicap
Jacob Cats @12/1  1point win
Angelic Upstart @8/1  1point win
Weapon Of Choice @12/1  1point win


+22point profit yesterday, overall +26 points

stay tuned for further jokes and puns from Leigh ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on July 31, 2014, 07:39:24 AM
Day off. Spend the day with fishing. Hope to catch something ...also some valued winners. D Good luck!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 31, 2014, 07:56:23 AM
2.05 Astronereus
      Insaany EW
2.35 Ivawood (no bet)
3.10 Estimate
3.45 Stella Bellissima
4.20 World Fair EW
4.50 Secret Hint
5.25 Jacob Cats EW

6.25 Epsom Big Chill
8.05 Loch Ma Naire
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 31, 2014, 17:58:34 PM
Angelic Upstart won at 12/1 with a rule4 of 20p leaving a profit of 9.6 points... all in all day3 i managed a profit of +16.6 points leaving the overall total after 3 days at +42.6 points.....

I"m hitting the crossbar with my non-handicap picks, fingers crossed that will change :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 31, 2014, 19:38:34 PM
i"m going to wait till tomorrow morning before i plump for my day4 picks... bide my time and see what the weather brings...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 31, 2014, 21:01:27 PM
Gambling is for mugs  :"(
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 01, 2014, 04:09:45 AM
Goodwood 1st August

3.05 - 1m Heritage Handicap
Velox @7/1  1point win
Magic City @10/1  1point win
Horsted Keynes @10/1  1point win
Heavy Metal @7/1  1point win

as long as no showers arrive............
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 01, 2014, 05:49:49 AM
Goodwood 1st August

3.40 - King George Stakes
Tropics @7/1  1point win
Demora @14/1  1point win
Extortionist @9/2  2point win
Stepper Point @12/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 01, 2014, 08:54:41 AM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on August 01, 2014, 09:58:12 AM
Awful day for me yesterday.  One odds on winner and a third place.  Didn"t see any of the racing, but The New Forest Show was a huge success, so not all bad.

Just looking at todays card (and the weather) :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on August 01, 2014, 10:38:34 AM
Goodwood - Friday 1st August 2014

1:55 - Aussie Reigns 16/1
2:30 - Shifting Power 11/8
3:05 - Our Channel 12/1
3:40 - Take Cover 8/1
4:15 - Son Of Africa 5/1
4:50 - Muteela 13/8
5:20 - Rydan 13/2
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 01, 2014, 17:14:32 PM

Awful day for me yesterday.  One odds on winner and a third place.  Didn"t see any of the racing, but The New Forest Show was a huge success, so not all bad.

Just looking at todays card (and the weather) :)


Take Cover 8/1 1st 6/1
Son Of Africa 5/1  1st 7/1

how"s your day today?  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on August 01, 2014, 17:24:23 PM
LOL, yeah, today is a good day.

Would have been better if Muteela had come through in the last.

Not sure about the last now.  Seems to have been a bit of a run on Fire Fighting, from 12-1 into 4-1.

Possibly one of those races whereby you just have to watch the market ?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 01, 2014, 17:43:49 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 01, 2014, 18:25:11 PM

LOL, yeah, today is a good day.

Would have been better if Muteela had come through in the last.

Not sure about the last now.  Seems to have been a bit of a run on Fire Fighting, from 12-1 into 4-1.

Possibly one of those races whereby you just have to watch the market ?



the only surprise for me was Tall Ship not being gambled on, Fire Fighting was fairly exposed regarding ground preference and MJ isn"t really the type to disguise his horses by running them on the ground [edit- wrong type of ground] for that length of time...

http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=604248&r_date=2014-06-29&popup=yes#results_top_tabs=re_&results_bottom_tabs=ANALYSIS

have a peek at the above, Tall Ship was only 4l behind the winner 1st 2nd 3rd all won next time out, how did the market miss that??  they obviously thought having moved from Stoutes yard to Moores that it must of been a duffer? given his breeding and how lightly raced he was, the step up to 13f plus the formbook, why did so many not chance Tall Ship??
its lto run at Epsom wasn"t that bad either in terms of weight and speed ratings compared to what the field over 10f had achieved neither....

meh never watch the market with a view to back what they are backing Leigh, backing your own opinion is the way forward.. let the sheep do there thing and take advantage :)

reason for edit - my fingers weren"t keep pace with what i was thinking:)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on August 01, 2014, 19:00:50 PM
Great Post. Good advice.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on August 01, 2014, 19:40:48 PM
Goodwood - Saturday 2nd August 2014

2:05 - Daylight 10/1
2:40 - Second Step 13/2
3:15 - Mango Diva 7/2
3:50 - Seeking Magic 16/1
4:25 - Dutch Connection 3/1
5:00 - Muqaawel 4/1
5:35 - Money Team 11/2
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 01, 2014, 21:35:24 PM
My forecast for Goodwood, Aug 2

2.05 SCHOOL FEES
2.40 ADVENTURE SEEKER
3.15 VENUS DE MILO
3.50 NINJAGO
4.25 DUTCH CONNECTION
5.00 MUQAAWEL
5.35 MONEY TEAM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 02, 2014, 05:43:02 AM
Goodwood 2nd August

3.50 - Stewards Cup
Intrinsic @7/1  2point win
Alben Star @8/1  1point win
Boomerang Bob @25/1  2point win
Seeking Magic @16/1  1point win
Ninjago @14/1  1point win

Basically if the rain doesn"t come i fancy Seeking Magic and Ninjago and i"ll double the stake on them as well.. If the rain does come and its good to soft or worse then Intrinsic and Boomerang Bob my main fancies...

my shortlist for the Stewards Cup was -
Ninjago
Muthmir
Hallelujah
Alben Star
Boomerang Bob
Rex Imperator
Seeking Magic
Fairway To Heaven
Intrinsic

fingers crossed i"ve plumped for the right ones.... good luck today Achim,Leigh and Wayne [i hope you was on Wannabe Yours yesterday]

i"m going to do the first two handicaps of the day, but i"m going to wait to see what the weather brings...


a couple of hard luck 2nds and a 8point loss yesterday puts the satdonk fred at +34.6 points for the festival, overall since i started the points staking on here it stands at +235.68

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on August 02, 2014, 08:12:11 AM
You should put a website together and sell these tips  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 02, 2014, 09:18:39 AM
I did have Wannabe Yours but only a small bet

2.40 Kings Fete
3.15 Sultanina (now regretting)
       Eastern Bell
3.50 Intrinsic
4.25 Dutch Connection

1.55 Thirsk Chances Are
2.55 NewM Enlace
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 02, 2014, 09:25:53 AM
Non Runner Goodwood Aug. 2

2.05
#6 Extrasolar
#10 Englishman
#27 Eastern Dragon

2.40
#3 Satellite

5.00
#1 Home Cummins


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 02, 2014, 13:42:30 PM
Goodwood 2nd August

2.05 - 6f Handicap
Daylight @9/1  1point win
Huntsmans Close @16/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 02, 2014, 14:24:58 PM
Goodwood 2nd August

2.40 - Jaguar Stakes
Double Bluff @8/1  2point win
Second Step @6/1  1point win

3.15 - Nassau Stakes
Narniyn @7/2  2point win
Eastern Belle @20/1  1point win

good luck today....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 02, 2014, 16:33:48 PM

I did have Wannabe Yours but only a small bet

2.40 Kings Fete
3.15 Sultanina (now regretting)
       Eastern Bell
3.50 Intrinsic
4.25 Dutch Connection

1.55 Thirsk Chances Are
2.55 NewM Enlace


WOW! What a performance ! Congrat, very well selected bets.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on August 02, 2014, 17:50:00 PM


I did have Wannabe Yours but only a small bet

2.40 Kings Fete
3.15 Sultanina (now regretting)
       Eastern Bell
3.50 Intrinsic
4.25 Dutch Connection

1.55 Thirsk Chances Are
2.55 NewM Enlace


WOW! What a performance ! Congrat, very well selected bets.


That is superb selecting today for sure
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on August 02, 2014, 17:54:06 PM
Happy with the week  ;D

35 races

8 Winners (8/1, 7/1, 13/2, 6/1, 9/2, 9/2, 2/5F, 2/5F)
3 Seconds
3 Thirds

+12Pts for the festival
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 02, 2014, 17:56:36 PM

My forecast for Goodwood, Aug 2

2.05 SCHOOL FEES UP
2.40 ADVENTURE SEEKER UP
3.15 VENUS DE MILO 3rd
3.50 NINJAGO 2nd
4.25 DUTCH CONNECTION 1st
5.00 MUQAAWEL UP
5.35 MONEY TEAM UP



Wasn"t the day I expected. Nosey-P is my hero today. Fantastic picks, e/w should be a respectable profit for him.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 02, 2014, 18:28:54 PM



I did have Wannabe Yours but only a small bet

2.40 Kings Fete
3.15 Sultanina (now regretting)
       Eastern Bell
3.50 Intrinsic
4.25 Dutch Connection

1.55 Thirsk Chances Are


2.55 NewM Enlace


WOW! What a performance ! Congrat, very well selected bets.


That is superb selecting today for sure


It gets better, I also had Barnet Fair at 8/1 and Outback Traveller at 7/2 but then my mug betting kicked in and gave some of it back. Still up on the week which is grate after the last 2 days

Noble1 had a good day too, he can teach me not to mug bet.  ;)    
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 02, 2014, 18:41:22 PM
having doubled the stake on Seeking Magic and Ninjago, the profit today was +19 points thanks to Double Bluff and Intrinsic..

so that makes the festival points total a grand total of +53.6 points

donkey fred total overall at +254.68 points


nice to see Wayne having a good day, don"t fritter those profits sir :)
Achim and Leigh a very well done, the ebor meeting is the next one to look forward to....

the best 2nd of the week for myself has to be Extortionist, having done some rough guesstimate maths on the ground he lost having angled across the track over a furlong from the 2f to the 1f point [and took into account Take Cover]
Extortionist gave TC 3 to 5 metres best guesstimates, don"t be surprised if they meet again that placings are reversed in similar conditions...
others to note from today for the future were Eastern Belle and Second Step....


You should put a website together and sell these tips  ;)


lol does anyone follow my tips on here?  :)


i wanted to put up a video with youtube but it doesn"t work? does it no longer work on APAT?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 02, 2014, 18:45:03 PM

having doubled the stake on Seeking Magic and Ninjago, the profit today was +19 points thanks to Double Bluff and Intrinsic..

so that makes the festival points total a grand total of +53.6 points

donkey fred total overall at +254.68 points


nice to see Wayne having a good day, don"t fritter those profits sir :)
Achim and Leigh a very well done, the ebor meeting is the next one to look forward to....

the best 2nd of the week for myself has to be Extortionist, having done some rough guesstimate maths on the ground he lost having angled across the track over a furlong from the 2f to the 1f point [and took into account Take Cover]
Extortionist gave TC 3 to 5 metres best guesstimates, don"t be surprised if they meet again that placings are reversed in similar conditions...
others to note from today for the future were Eastern Belle and Second Step....


You should put a website together and sell these tips  ;)


lol does anyone follow my tips on here?  :)


i wanted to put up a video with youtube but it doesn"t work? does it no longer work on APAT?


I tried to on another thread but failed
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on August 02, 2014, 19:05:27 PM
Just tried, failed miserably.

Looks like it"s links only.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 02, 2014, 19:12:08 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on August 02, 2014, 19:18:55 PM
Just looked at the write ups from the Betting Emporium that Neil Channing does. (They release them on the site once the meet is over to everyone).  Their tips were 240pts down for the week. (I think I"ve read that correctly).

I think they were well up on their picks previously though, so just a bit of variance.   ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 03, 2014, 00:12:01 AM

Just looked at the write ups from the Betting Emporium that Neil Channing does. (They release them on the site once the meet is over to everyone).  Their tips were 240pts down for the week. (I think I"ve read that correctly).

I think they were well up on their picks previously though, so just a bit of variance.   ;D


thanks for that Leigh, i"ve never seen that.... when i get time on my hands i"ll go through this fred from the start and see how it would of performed if i staked it like i do now... there are some humdingers tucked away from what i recall from memory - Homecoming Queen 1000 Guineas 33/1, Tiddliwinks in the Duke of York at 40/1 and it won at 25/1 and left a few scratching there heads afterwards, Rite of Passage in the Ascot Gold Cup at 20/1 and Moyenne Corniche 25/1 in the Ebor, Dirar in the Ebor the year before, theres a couple of Chester Cup winners in there i"m pretty sure plus there is Arctic Cosmos who won the Ledger who i kept on plugging in the fred before Ascot... wowser :)  and quite a few more...

thanks Achim i shall keep an eye out on those, i"ve always kept to UK, French and American racing but i should be looking to broaden my horizons to German racing as well in time...



It gets better, I also had Barnet Fair at 8/1 and Outback Traveller at 7/2 but then my mug betting kicked in and gave some of it back. Still up on the week which is grate after the last 2 days

Noble1 had a good day too, he can teach me not to mug bet.  ;)    


a checklist for Wayne ;) for non muggie type bets...
the rules are fairly simple, although all the fundamental rules begin with never, one can break the odd rule when you gain more experience to know when to chance breaking the rule.. ;) [if that makes sense?]

1] Never back a horse unproven on the going.... [speaks for itself]

2] Never back a horse unsuited to a track... [best form over uphill tracks now tackles a sharp track like Chester for example]

3] Never back a horse ridden by a jockey with a poor track record... [Goodwood a great example this week]

4] Never back a horse whose trainer has a poor track record.... [you know this one already Wayne :) cough cough Epsom]

whether using these basic guidelines to whittle a race card down to its contenders OR using them with a view to laying a favourite for instance who"s unproven on the going, these simple rules will steer you clear of many a donk :) and hopefully set you or anyone else interested in horse racing on a profitable path...

and one final thought that all poker players understand deep down - Never bet beyond what you can afford and do not under any circumstance attempt to make or chase your fortune/profit all in one day... always remember it is all about the long run, and in capitals ITS ALL ABOUT THE LONG RUN.....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 03, 2014, 11:41:38 AM
Duesseldorf, Aug 3.: My E/W Picks: 1.Brisanto,2.Island Storm,3.Nicolosio,4.Dutch Gal,5.Fly First,6.Diamond Dove,7.Rosebay,8.Mi Senora. Trifecta Diana: Diamond Dove 1./2. Comboned: Papagena Star, Longina, Lacy, Wunder Good Luck all!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: mousebob on August 03, 2014, 12:48:59 PM
Observations from the Betting ring at Goodwood last week.

Punter had £3k each way on Sennockian Star in the 1st race. (14/1 winner.)
Same guy had Even £5k on the next fav. (got beat).
Was betting in hundreds by the end of the week!

On the last day a different punter had £25k on Barnet Fair. (7/1 winner from much bigger prices).

Think I"m going to have to bet a bit bigger myself in future!!

Tip for today.....Chevallier @ 5/1 each way. 2.40 Newbury.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 03, 2014, 15:18:25 PM
Duesseldorf: Half time, big disappointment after 4 races. 3 times unplaced and one 2nd. Hope for a better 2nd half.  ;D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 03, 2014, 21:08:10 PM
Thrilling finish in DIANA. 26/1 longshot Feodora wins against Diamond Dove/F.Tylicki. Short moment I thought my pick could win it. Exciting race. My betting forecast a shame today.

Result: Feodora 26/1-Diamond Dove 96/10-Longina  27/10-Lacy136/10. Exacta:2421/10 Trifecta: 24475/10


http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=608165&r_date=2014-08-03&popup=yes#results_top_tabs=re_&results_bottom_tabs=ANALYSIS
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 04, 2014, 09:03:05 AM
Preis der Diana:

Race: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BA6jCb5jrMA

Interview Mirco Demuro:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dlBvlN8U6jk
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 09, 2014, 02:41:07 AM
Ascot 9th August


12.55 - Shergar Cup Dash 5f Handicap
Racy @11/2  1point win
Masamah @8/1  1point win

1.30 - Shergar Cup Stayers 16f Handicap
Retirement Plan @6/1  1point win
Kashgar @9/1  1point win
Hassle @5/1  1point win

2.05 - Shergar Cup Challenge 12f Handicap
Presburg @11/2  2point win

3.15 - Shergar Cup Classic 12f Handicap
Swivel @8/1  2point win

3.50 - Shergar Cup Sprint 6f Handicap
Highland Acclaim @9/2  1point win
Golden Steps @11/2  1point win

Haydock
2.20 - 10f Handicap
Lahaag @7/1  1point win

2.55 - Lancaster Stakes
Vancouverite @5/1  2point win
Hillstar @3/1  2point win

Newmarket
3.35 - Sweet Solera Stakes
Efflorescence @7/1  1point win
Winters Moon @9/2  3point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 09, 2014, 11:07:59 AM
Shergar Cup: My forecast

12.55 Goldream

1:30 Sir Frank Morgan

2:05 Communicator

2:40 Navajo Chief

3.15 Wrangler

3:50 Deeds Not Words
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 09, 2014, 12:19:44 PM
2.05 Ascot Bantam 8/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 09, 2014, 16:13:41 PM
-5.5point loss today Aug 9th, leaves fred overall at +249.18 points

some odd rides positionally today, heyho thats racing :)  oddest race has to go the 2.55 at Haydock with everyone happy to let Amralah bowl along at his own pace plus give him a 7 length head start... :)

i hope you guys had a good day, the scoop6 punter failed in the last leg, now thats painful ;D

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 09, 2014, 20:44:46 PM
Really surprised about Girl Team Performance. Top result and fantastic rides.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 10, 2014, 12:28:43 PM
Where is his limit?

SOMMERABEND will run in todays Gr.1 Prix Maurice de Gheest. Hope for a good run. E/W 11/1

Hoppegarten, Gr.1 Grosser Preis von Berlin

OPEN YOUR HEART, very good performance behind Lucky Lion and Sea The Moon in german Derby. Top jockey Mirco Demuro will ride the colt, so it"s my bet 8/1 today against 2013 Derby Winner Lucky Speed and Sirius. Earl of Tinsdal will complete my combined bets.

Good luck all!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 10, 2014, 18:19:39 PM

Where is his limit?

SOMMERABEND will run in todays Gr.1 Prix Maurice de Gheest. Hope for a good run. E/W 11/1

Hoppegarten, Gr.1 Grosser Preis von Berlin

OPEN YOUR HEART, very good performance behind Lucky Lion and Sea The Moon in german Derby. Top jockey Mirco Demuro will ride the colt, so it"s my bet 8/1 today against 2013 Derby Winner Lucky Speed and Sirius. Earl of Tinsdal will complete my combined bets.

Good luck all!


Sommerabend runs well but needs a distance 1400+. 7th, 3L behind winner

Grosser Preis von Berlin

3yo Sirius wins. Another great victory for trainer Andreas Loewe, after Lucky Lion wins G1 Grosser Dallmyr-Preis weeks ago. Fantastic race and finish. Open your Heart always last. Huge perspiration before the race, wasn"t the horse I know.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BbRly9vq_88

Result: Sirius-Berlin Berlin-Lucky Speed-Earl of Tinsdal
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 15, 2014, 06:05:29 AM
Tips for Doncaster (Saturday) would be nice
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 16, 2014, 07:01:34 AM

Tips for Doncaster (Saturday) would be nice


2.30 - 7f Handicap
Surround Sound
Tiger Jim

3.05 - 1m Maiden
Ya Latif

3.40
i"d give this a pass

4.15 - 7f Handicap
Don"t Bother Me
King Torus

4.50 - 5f Handicap
Long Awaited
Burning Thread

5.25 - 10f Handicap
Pleasant Valley

6.00 - 10f Apprentice Handicap
Prophesy
Frontline Phantom
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 16, 2014, 08:17:55 AM
16th August

Newmarket
2.20 - 6f Grey Horse Handicap
Lady Horatia @7/1  1point win
Enderby Spirit @10/1  2point win
Baby Strange @7/1  1point win

2.55 6f Handicap
Kickboxer @16/1  1point win
Penny Drops @3/1  1point win

Newbury
2.40 - Geoffrey Freer Stakes
Pether"s Moon @5/1  2point win

3.50 - Hungerford Stakes
Gregorian @5/2  3point win
Breton Rock @3/1  3point win

Ripon
3.30 - Great St Wilfrid Stakes
Pipers Note @10/1  1point win
Spinatrix @9/1  2point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 16, 2014, 09:00:42 AM
Off to Donny today so not looked at any other racing except get your house on Gregorian  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 16, 2014, 16:06:20 PM
-3point loss today Aug 16th, leaves fred overall at +246.18 points

a couple of 2nds today, 7/2 was readily available on Breton Rock well before the off... the ebor festival is next up so time to get my head in the form book and watch a few videos :)

have a good day out at Donny Wayne...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 17, 2014, 11:53:17 AM
Finished even for the day, had Tiger Jim in the first and Pleasant Valley, had a couple of seconds  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 17, 2014, 21:12:01 PM

Finished even for the day, had Tiger Jim in the first and Pleasant Valley, had a couple of seconds  


u didn"t do Frontline Phantom in the last?


Kingman won a shade cosily again :)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dsrh3TurAIU
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 19, 2014, 20:42:16 PM
York 20th August

1.55 - Symphony Group Stakes
Line Of Reason @16/1  2point win
Robot Boy @8/1 2point win
Peterkin @12/1  1point win

2.30 - Acomb Stakes
Basateen @9/4  2point win
Jamaica @2/1  3point win

3.05 - Great Voltigeur Stakes
Kingston Hill @11/8  4point win
Postponed @5/1  2point win

3.40 - Juddmonte International Stakes
Australia @8/13  5point win



Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 20, 2014, 06:52:54 AM
2.30
Dutch Connection 14/1 EW
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 20, 2014, 14:37:52 PM
GET IN

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 20, 2014, 15:35:30 PM

GET IN


nice1 wayne...... :)


York 20th August
4.55 - Nursery Handicap
Majestic Hero @12/1  1point win
Kibaar @12/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 20, 2014, 17:16:28 PM
end of day1 at York and a close 2nd in the last for a good sweat... had a rule4 of 45p on Postponed after Kingston Hill pulled out, giving a +5.5 point profit after deductions. Austraila obliged rather easily leaving the fred with a loss on the day of -3.42 points..

fred grand total so far +242.76 points


fingers crossed for day2  :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 20, 2014, 19:48:16 PM
York 21st August

1.55 - Premier Yearling Stakes
Fast Act @5/1  3point win
Mukhmal @16/1  1point win
Mubtaghaa @16/1  1point win

2.30 - Lowther Stakes
Cursory Glance @2/1  2point win
Tiggy Wiggy @2/1  2point win

3.05 - Clipper Logistics Stakes
Fort Bastion @14/1  1point win
Balducci @18/1  1point win
Two For Two @22/1  1point win

3.40 - Yorkshire Oaks
i"ll sit this one out and watch Taghrooda win at short odds :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 20, 2014, 21:16:21 PM
1.55
New Providence EW 10/1

4.20
Stella Bellissima 8/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 21, 2014, 11:16:23 AM
4.20 - Sir Henry Cecil Stakes
Arabian Comet @9/2  2point win
Starlet @4/1  2point win

4.55 - 7f Handicap
The Gold Cheongsam @20/1  1point win
Jamesbo"s Girl @16/1  1point win
Dutch Rose @14/1  1point win
Royal Rascal @33/1  1point win
Dusky Queen @16/1  1point win

its worth taking on the top 2 in the market in this, both the top 2 could win of course but there odds are way out of line and the 5 i"ve picked are more than capable of winning this...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 21, 2014, 11:22:03 AM
2.30
Tiggy Wiggy
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 21, 2014, 17:05:57 PM
started off well and then some 2nd"s and 3rd"s kicked in lol :) Bragging won well in the last but it was still correct to take the top2 on imo...

still in profit by a massive sum of +2 points on the day...

-1.42 points overall down after day 2 of the festival...

fred grand total so far +244.76 points...


a profit is a profit, fingers crossed for day3 :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 22, 2014, 00:27:34 AM
York 22nd August

1.55 - 12f Handicap
Satellite @16/1  1point win
Lahaag @16/1  1point win
Wigmore Hall @8/1  1point win
Pearl Castle @8/1  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 22, 2014, 09:32:05 AM
2.30
Cavalryman 5/2

3.40
Sole Power 7/2

4.55
Maverick Wave 7/1 EW
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 22, 2014, 11:52:31 AM
York 22nd August

2.30 - Lonsdale Cup
Angel Gabrial @25/1  1point win
High Jinx @8/1  1point win

3.05 - City Of York Stakes
Heaven"s Guest @7/1  2point win
Ertijaal @8/1  1point win

3.40 - Nunthorpe Stakes
Extortionist @16/1  2point win
Sole Power @7/2  1point win
Take Cover @7/1  1point win
Astaire @20/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 23, 2014, 06:53:55 AM
a 8.5 point loss yesterday left the fred grand total so far at +236.26 points...

York 23rd August

3.50 - Ebor Handicap
Elidor @25/1  1point win
Dare To Achieve  @16/1  1point win
Pallasator @7/2  3point win
Aussie Reigns @40/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 23, 2014, 08:01:41 AM

a 8.5 point loss yesterday left the fred grand total so far at +236.26 points...

York 23rd August

3.50 - Ebor Handicap
Elidor @25/1  1point win
Dare To Achieve  @16/1  1point win
Pallasator @7/2  3point win
Aussie Reigns @40/1  1point win


York 23rd August

2.05 - Strensall Stakes
Farraaj @5/4  2point win

2.40 - Melrose Stakes
Rocket Ship @9/1  1point win

3.15 - Gimcrack Stakes
Jungle Cat @6/1  1point win
Glenalmond @20/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 23, 2014, 09:16:26 AM
Don"t like anything today so not going to bother apart from in the 2.40 York Rocket Ship EW
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 23, 2014, 10:29:11 AM
Goodwood 23rd August

2.20 - Prestige Stakes
Publilia @5/1  2point win
Malabar @5/2  2point win

2.55 - 7f Handicap
Intransigent @12/1  1point win
Lexi"s Hero @20/1  1point win

3.30 - Celebration Mile
Captain Cat @2/1  3point win


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 23, 2014, 14:00:41 PM
York 3.15     Baitha Alga
York 3:50     Mighty Yar
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 29, 2014, 13:12:07 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 29, 2014, 20:05:28 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 29, 2014, 22:03:42 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 30, 2014, 08:45:28 AM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 06, 2014, 12:59:24 PM
Ascot 6th September

1.55 7f Handicap
Fort Bastion @25/1  2point win
Pacific Heights @16/1  1point win

3.30 12f Handicap
Battersea @7/1  1point win
Agent Murphy @14/1  1point win


Haydock 6th September

2.05 5f Handicap
Bear Behind @14/1  1point win
Inxile @20/1  1point win

3.15 14f Handicap
Big Thunder @14/1  1point win

3.50 - Sprint Cup
Tropics @11/1  2point win
Gordon Lord Byron @6/1  2point win


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 07, 2014, 12:26:58 PM
fred total overall currently stands at +220.26 after 1 winner @8/1 and a couple of near misses...

there is some half decent racing at York today, so some reasonable bets have popped up...

York 7th September

2.30 12f Handicap
Cosmic Halo @7/1  1point ew [with Ladbrokes]
he won this race last year when a pound higher, Hanagan booked again gives the impression that he"s a solid ew chance..

3.00 Garrowby Stakes
Ladies Are Forever @11/2  1point win
Hallelujah @11/2  2point win
Mince set this race up last year for these two to finish 1-2, today it"s likely to be Justineo setting the pace and running out of puff in the last with my two picks hopefully blasting on by.... L.A.F loves York and HALLE ran well lto in the Stewards Cup..


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 07, 2014, 15:49:02 PM

fred total overall currently stands at +220.26 after 1 winner @8/1 and a couple of near misses...

there is some half decent racing at York today, so some reasonable bets have popped up...

York 7th September

2.30 12f Handicap
Cosmic Halo @7/1  1point ew [with Ladbrokes]
he won this race last year when a pound higher, Hanagan booked again gives the impression that he"s a solid ew chance..

3.00 Garrowby Stakes
Ladies Are Forever @11/2  1point win
Hallelujah @11/2  2point win
Mince set this race up last year for these two to finish 1-2, today it"s likely to be Justineo setting the pace and running out of puff in the last with my two picks hopefully blasting on by.... L.A.F loves York and HALLE ran well lto in the Stewards Cup..


Cosmic Halo won nicely having been quietly nibbled at into 5"s pre-race, Ladies Are Forever ran well to finish 2nd but the favourite Naadirr obliged at 2/1...
That left me with a +5.75 point profit for today...

Sea The Moon runs shortly at Baden-Baden, hopefully we"ll get a better idea of his Arc hopes..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 11, 2014, 12:48:07 PM
Doncaster 11th September

3.45 - 10f Handicap
Long Cross @3/1 2point win
Elhaame @8/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 11, 2014, 13:29:47 PM

Doncaster 11th September

3.45 - 10f Handicap
Long Cross @3/1 2point win
Elhaame @8/1  1point win


1.40 - Nursery Handicap
Persun @12/1  1point ew

2.10 - Sceptre Stakes
J Wonder @7/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 11, 2014, 13:52:55 PM


Doncaster 11th September

3.45 - 10f Handicap
Long Cross @3/1 2point win
Elhaame @8/1  1point win


1.40 - Nursery Handicap
Persun @12/1  1point ew

2.10 - Sceptre Stakes
J Wonder @7/1  1point win


2.40 - Park Hill Stakes
Arabian Comet @4/1  1point win

3.15 - Weatherbys 2yo Stakes
Diamond Creek @66/1  1point ew
Mattmu @12/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 12, 2014, 13:30:03 PM
10 point loss yesterday leaves the fred at +216.01 points...

Doncaster 12th September

1.40 - Flying Childers Stakes
Ahlan Emarati @7/1  2point win
Cotai Glory @4/1  2point win

2.10 - Mallard Handicap
Big Thunder @14/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 12, 2014, 13:41:50 PM

10 point loss yesterday leaves the fred at +216.01 points...

Doncaster 12th September

1.40 - Flying Childers Stakes
Ahlan Emarati @7/1  2point win
Cotai Glory @4/1  2point win

2.10 - Mallard Handicap
Big Thunder @14/1  1point win



2.40 - Doncaster Cup
Times Up @4/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 12, 2014, 14:31:19 PM
 omg Cotai Glory  ::)

3.15 - May Hill Stakes
Muraaqaba @5/4  4point win

3.45 - 6f110y Handicap
Badr Al Badoor @5/1  2point ew
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 12, 2014, 16:00:02 PM
a so near day but Badr Al Badoor showed her battling qualities to leave the fred with a +2.5 point profit for the day...
fingers crossed for tomorrow :)  overall +218.51 points
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 13, 2014, 11:25:45 AM
Doncaster 13th September

2.40 - Portland Handicap
Smoothtalkinrascal @25/1  2point win
Pearl Acclaim @40/1  2point win

3.15 - Park Stakes
Gregorian @9/2  3point win
Ansgar @7/1  2point win

3.50 - St Leger Stakes
Windshear @7/1  2point win
Hartnell @16/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 20, 2014, 08:10:05 AM
overall +222.51 points

Ayr 20th September

3.50 - Gold Cup
Louis The Pious @14/1  3point win
Watchable @10/1  2point win

the O"Meara pair stand out to me, fingers crossed...


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 20, 2014, 11:21:40 AM

overall +222.51 points

Ayr 20th September

3.50 - Gold Cup
Louis The Pious @14/1  3point win
Watchable @10/1  2point win

the O"Meara pair stand out to me, fingers crossed...


Ayr 20th September

2.40 - Silver Cup
Bogart @8/1  1point win
Tatlisu @16/1  1point win
Yeeoow @33/1  1point win


Newbury
1.50 - Legacy Cup
Camborne @11/1  1point win
Hillstar @3/1  2point win

2.55 - 10f Handicap
First Flight @12/1  1point win
Roseburg @11/2  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 20, 2014, 16:13:49 PM
Louis and Hillstar won for the donk fred today for a profit of +39 points...

fred total overall currently stands at +261.51 points....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 25, 2014, 14:01:59 PM
Newmarket 27th September

3.50 Cambridgeshire Handicap
Velox @10/1  2point win
Energia Davos @20/1  1point win
Maverick Wave @25/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 26, 2014, 12:06:05 PM
Newmarket 26th September

1.40 - Rosemary Stakes
Provenance @9/4  2point win
Zibelina @8/1  1point win

2.10 - Sakhee Stakes
Criteria @7/2  2point win

2.40 - Rockfel Stakes
What Say You @7/1  1point win
Fadhayyil @8/1  1point win

3.15 - Joel Stakes
Wannabe Yours @4/1  2point win
Custom Cut @10/1  1point win

3.45 - Godolphin Stakes
Red Galileo @6/1  1point ew [ladbrokes]

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 26, 2014, 16:18:36 PM
+1.5 points profit today, fred total overall currently stands at +263.01 points....

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 27, 2014, 10:51:54 AM

Newmarket 27th September

3.50 Cambridgeshire Handicap
Velox @10/1  2point win
Energia Davos @20/1  1point win
Maverick Wave @25/1  1point win


Newmarket 27th September

2.00 - Jersey Lily Nursery Handicap
Gregoria @8/1  1.5 point ew
Rosalie Bonheur @4/1  1point win

2.35 - Royal Lodge Stakes
straight f/c - 5 to beat 1  2points

3.10 - Cheveley Park Stakes
straight f/c - 8 to beat 2  1point

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 27, 2014, 11:03:19 AM

Newmarket 27th September

3.50 Cambridgeshire Handicap
Velox @10/1  2point win
Energia Davos @20/1  1point win
Maverick Wave @25/1  1point win


Energia Davos has been pulled out, which is shame from a draw perspective...

Niceofyoutotellme @14/1  1point win
Gabrial"s Kaka @20/1  0.5 point ew
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 27, 2014, 16:14:17 PM
+2.4 point profit today,fred total overall currently stands at +265.41 points....

the csf paid 9.4 on tiggy beating AA...

near miss day again :)  still ticking over though... Arc w/e next, the ground is looking likely to be at worst good, so its head in the formbook for me this week...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 01, 2014, 10:07:04 AM
Ascot 4th October

3.50 Challenge Cup Handicap
Heaven"s Guest @14/1  1point win [laddies 14"s,16"s available with other firms]
Highland Acclaim @12/1  1point win [as above firm, fairly popular 11.5 on BF as i write,price shortening across most firms,take no shorter than 10"s]
Fort Bastian @25/1  1point win

increase the win bet on Heaven"s Guest and Highland Acclaim to 2points if they get drawn 14 or lower...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 02, 2014, 18:40:59 PM

Ascot 4th October

3.50 Challenge Cup Handicap
Heaven"s Guest @14/1  1point win [laddies 14"s,16"s available with other firms]
Highland Acclaim @12/1  1point win [as above firm, fairly popular 11.5 on BF as i write,price shortening across most firms,take no shorter than 10"s]
Fort Bastian @25/1  1point win

increase the win bet on Heaven"s Guest and Highland Acclaim to 2points if they get drawn 14 or lower...


Heaven"s Guest @12/1  1point win extra
Highland Acclaim @6/1  1point win extra
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 03, 2014, 00:49:20 AM
Prix l"Arc de Triomphe, Oct 5th

Bet E/W FLINTSHIRE (330/10) today.

My combined exacta: FLINTSHIRE-JUST A WAY-PRINCE GIBRALTAR-AVENIR CERTAIN
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 03, 2014, 09:48:54 AM
the draw for the Arc de Triomphe live now on you tube - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WDU0ws83ptk
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 03, 2014, 10:38:14 AM

Prix l"Arc de Triomphe, Oct 5th

Bet E/W FLINTSHIRE (330/10) today.

My combined exacta: FLINTSHIRE-JUST A WAY-PRINCE GIBRALTAR-AVENIR CERTAIN


Ectot and Ruler of the World are my 2 for the win this year, fingers crossed Achim...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 03, 2014, 11:31:27 AM


Prix l"Arc de Triomphe, Oct 5th

Bet E/W FLINTSHIRE (330/10) today.

My combined exacta: FLINTSHIRE-JUST A WAY-PRINCE GIBRALTAR-AVENIR CERTAIN


Ectot and Ruler of the World are my 2 for the win this year, fingers crossed Achim...


Thanks, good luck to you 2! FLINTSHIRE seems to be an underestimated horse and odds are pretty interesting. Last race the jockey didnt demanded to much. Andre Fabre record trainer in this race and always good enough to bring a dark horse in top performance. So 330/10 are value I can"t resist. Place should pay also good money. Added IVANHOWE into my exacta, now 5 combined. Horse worked very well, nothing is impossible this sunday. ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 04, 2014, 07:57:12 AM
Ascot 4th October

2.05 The Rous Stakes
Justice Day @8/1  1point ew

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 04, 2014, 10:42:51 AM

Ascot 4th October

2.05 The Rous Stakes
Justice Day @8/1  1point ew


Ascot 4th October

3.15 - Bengough Stakes
Tropics @5/1  2point win
Reckless Abandon @7/1  2point win


Ascot 4th October

3.50 Challenge Cup Handicap
Heaven"s Guest @14/1  1point win [laddies 14"s,16"s available with other firms]
Highland Acclaim @12/1  1point win [as above firm, fairly popular 11.5 on BF as i write,price shortening across most firms,take no shorter than 10"s]
Fort Bastian @25/1  1point win

increase the win bet on Heaven"s Guest and Highland Acclaim to 2points if they get drawn 14 or lower...


Heaven"s Guest @12/1  1point win extra
Highland Acclaim @6/1  1point win extra



Newmarket 4th October

2.20 - £500,000 Tattersalls Millions
Misterioso @7/1  1point win
Bossy Guest @8/1  1point win

3.30 - Sun Chariot Stakes
Integral @4/1  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 04, 2014, 17:43:27 PM
Justice Day @8/1  1point ew won with a R4 of 40p for a profit of 6points and Integral @4/1  2point win obliged , the 3.15 and 3.50 were blanks at Ascot... So a +3 point profit today,fred total overall currently stands at +268.41 points....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 05, 2014, 12:25:35 PM
Longchamp 5th October

1.00 - Abbaye
Stepper Point @10/1  1point ew

1.35 - Marcel Boussac
Malabar @7/1  1point ew

2.10 - Jean-Luc Lagardere
Full Mast @11/2  1point ew
Gleneagles @9/4 1point win
The Wow Signal @2/1  4point win

2.45 - Prix de l"Opera
Sultanina @13/2  2point ew
Narniyn @9/1  1point ew

3.30 - Prix de l"Arc de Triomphe
Ectot @7/1  2point win
Ruler Of The World @12/1  1point win
Taghrooda @7/1  1.5point win
Tapestry @14/1  1point ew
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 05, 2014, 16:31:13 PM



Prix l"Arc de Triomphe, Oct 5th

Bet E/W FLINTSHIRE (330/10) today.

My combined exacta: FLINTSHIRE-JUST A WAY-PRINCE GIBRALTAR-AVENIR CERTAIN


Ectot and Ruler of the World are my 2 for the win this year, fingers crossed Achim...


Thanks, good luck to you 2! FLINTSHIRE seems to be an underestimated horse and odds are pretty interesting. Last race the jockey didnt demanded to much. Andre Fabre record trainer in this race and always good enough to bring a dark horse in top performance. So 330/10 are value I can"t resist. Place should pay also good money. Added IVANHOWE into my exacta, now 5 combined. Horse worked very well, nothing is impossible this sunday. ;)


Don"t know, be happy or not. Place on Flintshire paid a lot, but to pick a longshot bet and beaten 2nd isnt perfect.  ;D
Saw late statement of C. Head-Mareek and decided to make last minute bet and hit the exacta with Treve and Flintshire 2192/10 with a buck. Amazing boost from TREVE, came out of the dark and nobody thought she will win again.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 10, 2014, 16:57:47 PM
a 14.5point loss Sunday :"( the fred total overall currently stands at +253.91 points....


Newmarket 11th October

3.50 - Cesarewitch h/c
Jonny Delta @40/1  1.5point ew [bet365 pays 5places]  [40"s on BF 11.5 in the place market 4places]
ground should be ok, feels/looks like a plot/target after a good 7th last year with Haynes booked to ride this year...

Waterclock @44"s 1point win [betfair]
Haynes has deserted last years 2nd but a small wager with Quinn riding in the hope he finds some form...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 11, 2014, 08:22:28 AM
York 11th October

1.50 - 1m208y Handicap
End Of Line @9/1  2point win

3.30 - Sprint Trophy
Rex Imperator @22/1  1point win
Mass Rally @8/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 15, 2014, 19:59:27 PM
Champion Stakes

E/W RULER OF THE WORLD

E/W AL KAZEEM (longshot bet)

QE II Stakes

E/W NIGHT OF THUNDER


Melbourne Cup (Nov 4th)

PROTECTIONIST (backed 200/10)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 17, 2014, 12:15:36 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +245.91 points with last Saturday being a blank..

Newmarket 17th October

2.55 - Middle Park Stakes
Kool Kompany @10/1  1point ew
Cappella Sansevero @7/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 18, 2014, 07:59:45 AM
Ascot 18th October

1.45 - Long Distance Cup
Estimate @6/1  2point win
Biographer @16/1  1point win

on my tissue both of the above are to big..

2.20 - Sprint Stakes
Baccarat @16/1  2point win
Gregorian @10/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 18, 2014, 11:41:10 AM
Ascot 18th October

2.55 - Fillies & Mares Stakes
Silk Sari @5/1  2point win
Tasaday @12/1  1point win

3.30 - Queen Elizabeth II Stakes
Integral @5/1  2point win
Custom Cut @8/1  1point win

4.05 - Champion Stakes
no-2 & no-5  1point reverse exacta

4.45 - Balmoral Handicap
Hawkeyethenoo @16/1  1point win
Abseil @28/1  1point win
Chatez @9/1  1point win


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on October 18, 2014, 12:54:24 PM

Champion Stakes

E/W RULER OF THE WORLD

E/W AL KAZEEM (longshot bet)

QE II Stakes

E/W NIGHT OF THUNDER


Melbourne Cup (Nov 4th)

PROTECTIONIST (backed 200/10)


Champion Sprint:

E/W Maarek
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 25, 2014, 12:35:11 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +229.91 points with last Saturday being a blank..

Doncaster 25th October
3.15 - 5f Handicap
Gladiatrix @25/1  1point win
Demora @14/1  1point win


Aintree
3.00 - Old Roan Chase
Uxizandre @3/1  2point win

3.40 - Veterans Handicap Chase
Lie Forrit @3/1  2point win
Pigeon Island @3/1  2point win


Newbury
1.50 - Horris Hill Stakes
Not So Sleepy @4/1  3point win
Lexington Times @2/1  1.5point win

2.20 - St Simon Stakes
Red Galileo @11/2  1point win
Island Remede @25/1 1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on November 04, 2014, 07:39:57 AM

Champion Stakes

E/W RULER OF THE WORLD

E/W AL KAZEEM (longshot bet)

QE II Stakes

E/W NIGHT OF THUNDER


Melbourne Cup (Nov 4th)

PROTECTIONIST (backed 200/10)
[/b]

Hope some of you follow my tipp.

What a brilliant ride, what a world class horse.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LnzlLHKyw1Q
Title: LAC FONTANA 4/1
Post by: Zozzy on December 13, 2014, 11:59:30 AM
Cheltenham 3:45 - Osborne House Relkeel Hurdle(Grade 2) (1) 2m4f 110yds

Former Champion Hurdle winner Rock on Ruby heads the betting for this highly anticipated Grade 2 clash over hurdles which should turn out to be a proper staying test up the Cheltenham hill. The Harry Fry trained 9 year old was given a nice opener this season with a 3rd place finish behind Purple Bay, although he was destined for a well beat 4th if Irving had stayed on his feet. He should strip a lot fitter tomorrow and has to be respected but LAC FONTANA looks like serious value at 4/1 with Paddy Power. The Paul Nicholls trained 5 year old has to concede weight all round tomorrow, but he is a classy individual that loves it here at Cheltenham, a course where he has already notched up three victories from five runs.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 14, 2015, 13:04:55 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +223.41 points

Ascot 14th Febuary
3.50 - Betfair Ascot Chase
Balder Succes @5.9 on BF  2point win

drifted this morning, no apparent reason as to why.. ground and trip are fine imho plus a 6yo Nicholls favourite to take on in Ptit Zig [Nicholls last two hot 6yo"s to run in this race Kauto Stone and Gwanako both got beat]
how many 6yo"s have won this race previously? i"ll let you look  :)
plus a couple of dodge pots are attracting money - Ma Filleule and Ballycasey
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 21, 2015, 01:04:10 AM
Balder Succes won last week so the fred total overall currently stands at +233.21 points

Kempton 21st Febuary
3.45 - BetBright Chase
Ballinvarrig @14/1  1point win
Tenor Nivernais @14/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on February 21, 2015, 11:59:52 AM
My bets for the day

1.45 Ling, Foxtrot Romeo 6/1
2.35 Kemp, Melodic Rendezvous 9/4
3.30 Newc, Uisge Beatha 11/4
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 28, 2015, 11:59:29 AM
lost 2 points last week so the fred total overall currently stands at +231.21 points

Doncaster 28th Febuary
3.45 - Grimthorpe Chase
Night In Milan @7.4 on bf  2point win
Aachen @16.5 on bf  1point win

Drop Out Joe is favourite at the moment but is coming off a 70 day break and to my eye his jumping is sketchy.
Streams Of Whiskey is coming off a 92 day break who"s a unexposed chaser but if you watch his Haydock win imo thats about his limit of ability in what was a weak race for the prize on offer.
Mon Parrain has claims but can he act as well around Donny as Cheltenham?
Super Duty might spring a surprise but i"d want 16/1+ to chance a small wager at that slim possibility.
The rest of the field you can pick holes in there form so i keep coming back to NIM and Aac.

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 04, 2015, 12:38:18 PM
Cheltenham Day One 2015 10th March

2.40 - Ultima Handicap Chase
Three horses have caught my eye - Annacotty, The Druids Nephew and Barrakilla.
The Druids Nephew heads the market narrowly from the sponsor owned ""its a plot"" Ned Stark :) TDN has a live chance if he reproduces anything like his run back in November at Cheltenham when he chased home Sam Winner.
Annacotty won at Cheltenham in the Freebets.com Handicap Chase back in January over 21f. He didn't look the likely winner jumping the last in second place plus he was forced to switch around the leader as he powered up the hill. I think the extra 4 furlongs will suit and the extra £50,000 he gets from Freebets if he wins at this years festival is a added incentive for the Keighley team to have him spot on to boost the owners bank balance.
Barrakilla is a powerfully built horse and a step up to this trip may bring plenty of improvement. He has to make the final cut though so if he"s still in come nearer the day my wallet will be opened up :)

The Druids Nephew @8/1  2point win
Annacotty @20/1  1point ew

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on March 05, 2015, 09:37:02 AM
Keep the write-ups coming, Mr Noble1

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 05, 2015, 16:00:19 PM
ty Wayne  :-*

Cheltenham Day Four 2015 13th March

3.20 - Gold Cup
Ok a look at the big one and for this i"ll just apply some simple logic. Won a grade 1 chase at Kempton, Cheltenham or Leopardstown. Any older than 10+ and your out, defending champions out, Silviniaco Conti is out [to short plus his course form] and sift through prize money won at those three courses.
That leaves Road To Riches, Carlingford Lough and Many Clouds. I"ll put a line through MC for now as i thought it was a sub-std Hennessy that he won although i might have a small saver if his odds on the day drift a tad.

Road To Riches @8/1  2point win [looks to of progressed a lot after a impressive Galway Plate win]
Carlingford Lough @10/1  1point win

last 5 years prize money won at those three courses Kempton, Cheltenham or Leopardstown at any level looking back 2 years, if won 50k plus have a closer look.
2010
Kauto Star 10yo 270k 130k 114k
Imperial Commander 9yo 125k 85k [1st 7/1] 125k Ryanair winner year before
Cooldine 8yo 96k 63k
Mon Mome 10yo 57k  [3rd 50/1]
Tricky Trickster 7yo 45k
Calgary Bay 7yo 19k

2011
Imperial Commander 10yo 270k
Kauto Star 11yo 114k  [3rd 5/1]
Long Run 6yo 102k 34k  [1st 7/2f] King George winner that season and 3rd in the RSA the year before as a 5yo!!!!
What A Friend 8yo 90k  [4th 25/1]
Kempes 8yo 89k  [pu]
Pandorama 8yo 82k 50k  [7th]

2012
Long Run 7yo 285k 102k  [3rd 7/4f] only the one run that season 2nd in the King George
Kauto Star 12yo 102k
Synchronised 9yo 80k  [1st 8/1] won the Lexus that season
Midnight Chase 10yo 56k 28k 22k

2013
Long Run 8yo 285k 113k  [3rd 7/2]
Sir Des Champs 7yo 74k 51k 28k  [2nd 4/1] Leo Hennessy Gold Cup winner and 4th in Lexus beaten by 0.75L
Bobs Worth 8yo 74k 57k  [1st 11/4]  won Nby Hennessy that season and was the RSA winner the year before
Cape Tribulation 9yo 57k 39k  [5th 12/1] 57k Argento winner [now Betbright Chase]

2014
Bobs Worth 9yo 313k 75k  [5th 6/4f] Lexus winner that season
Silviniaco Conti 8yo 114k  [4th 11/4] King George winner that season
Lord Windermere 8yo 85k  [1st 20/1] RSA winner the year before, woeful form beforehand coming into the race
Last Instalment 9yo 76k  [ur 15/2] won the Leo Hennessy Gold Cup that season
The Giant Bolster 9yo 56k  [3rd 14/1]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 07, 2015, 11:55:57 AM
lost 3 points last week so the fred total overall currently stands at +228.21 points

Sandown 7th March
3.10 - Imperial Cup
Chieftain"s Choice @16/1  1point win
Thistlecrack @14/1  1point win


3 days to go :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 09, 2015, 11:39:49 AM

Cheltenham Day One 2015 10th March

2.40 - Ultima Handicap Chase
Three horses have caught my eye - Annacotty, The Druids Nephew and Barrakilla.
The Druids Nephew heads the market narrowly from the sponsor owned ""its a plot"" Ned Stark :) TDN has a live chance if he reproduces anything like his run back in November at Cheltenham when he chased home Sam Winner.
Annacotty won at Cheltenham in the Freebets.com Handicap Chase back in January over 21f. He didn't look the likely winner jumping the last in second place plus he was forced to switch around the leader as he powered up the hill. I think the extra 4 furlongs will suit and the extra £50,000 he gets from Freebets if he wins at this years festival is a added incentive for the Keighley team to have him spot on to boost the owners bank balance.
Barrakilla is a powerfully built horse and a step up to this trip may bring plenty of improvement. He has to make the final cut though so if he"s still in come nearer the day my wallet will be opened up :)

The Druids Nephew @8/1  2point win
Annacotty @20/1  1point ew




Barrakilla @12/1  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on March 09, 2015, 14:42:15 PM
Had a long weekend away now to get some studying done for tomorrow, now wear did I put that pin
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 10, 2015, 01:27:22 AM

Had a long weekend away now to get some studying done for tomorrow, now wear did I put that pin


u meant your lucky pin right?  ;)


1.30 - Supreme Novices
Don"t fancy anything that much at the odds on offer, i"ll pass and watch.

2.05 - Arkle Trophy
One stick to beat the favourite with and that gives the bookies hope that Un De Sceaux gets beat is his lack of  experience of never having ran at Cheltenham. Also 16 of the last 17 Arkle winners have never fallen or unseated in a chase and Un De Sceaux is the only faller in a chase in this years line up. Now those two stats are enough for me to have a little nibble on Vibrato Valtat.

Vibrato Valtat @5/1  1point win

2.40 - Ultima Handicap Chase [http://www.apat.com/forum/index.php?topic=6616.msg239692#msg239692]
The Druids Nephew @8/1  2point win
Annacotty @20/1  1point ew
Barrakilla @12/1  2point win

3.20 - Champion Hurdle
just watch again and have my fingers crossed for The New One.

4.00 - Mares Hurdle
pass :)

4.40 - Toby Balding National Hunt Chase
pass  :)

5.15 - Novices Handicap Chase
Knock House @12/1  1point win
Generous Ransom @8/1  1point win
Stellar Notion @14/1  2point win
Golden Hoof @25/1 2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on March 10, 2015, 09:30:20 AM


Had a long weekend away now to get some studying done for tomorrow, now wear did I put that pin


u meant your lucky pin right?  ;)


1.30 - Supreme Novices
Don"t fancy anything that much at the odds on offer, i"ll pass and watch.

2.05 - Arkle Trophy
One stick to beat the favourite with and that gives the bookies hope that Un De Sceaux gets beat is his lack of  experience of never having ran at Cheltenham. Also 16 of the last 17 Arkle winners have never fallen or unseated in a chase and Un De Sceaux is the only faller in a chase in this years line up. Now those two stats are enough for me to have a little nibble on Vibrato Valtat.

Vibrato Valtat @5/1  1point win

2.40 - Ultima Handicap Chase [http://www.apat.com/forum/index.php?topic=6616.msg239692#msg239692]
The Druids Nephew @8/1  2point win
Annacotty @20/1  1point ew
Barrakilla @12/1  2point win

3.20 - Champion Hurdle
just watch again and have my fingers crossed for The New One.

4.00 - Mares Hurdle
pass :)

4.40 - Toby Balding National Hunt Chase
pass  :)

5.15 - Novices Handicap Chase
Knock House @12/1  1point win
Generous Ransom @8/1  1point win
Stellar Notion @14/1  2point win
Golden Hoof @25/1 2point win



How can you pass when all the bookies are offering money back
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 10, 2015, 10:18:37 AM

How can you pass when all the bookies are offering money back


existing customer special offers for myself are a rarity.. but it is a person specific one and the odd dormant accounts that i have occasionally give me the odd offer or free bet in an attempt to kick start me in to using their services again.
if your account has been limited then u can forget free bets for existing customers :o
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on March 10, 2015, 10:45:41 AM
I thought Sky, William Hill and a few others were offering this for new and old accounts?  and more are offering money back if the FAV wins (first race) Boyle are offering money back on all races if the SP Fav wins
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 10, 2015, 11:12:09 AM

I thought Sky, William Hill and a few others were offering this for new and old accounts?  and more are offering money back if the FAV wins (first race) Boyle are offering money back on all races if the SP Fav wins


bookmakers MUST manage their risk to stay in business and unfortunately some customers don"t fall within there risk management structure.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on March 10, 2015, 11:37:21 AM
So this is for mug punters like me  :D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 10, 2015, 12:04:57 PM

So this is for mug punters like me  :D


certainly not Wayne, get as many matched deposit or deposit top up bonuses with the online firms as u can to increase your war chest with that particular firm. There are various ways to disguise your success if u have it ;) top up the account with fresh funds on occasions and bet whole numbers, don"t place your bets within the same time frame everytime and stay logged in for while etc etc.. these and other ploys are ways to stay under the radar for long as possible.

my tip when going with whatever firm is to check out through the various forums what there customer services department is like. :) [having learnt through the odd bad experience over the years]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 11, 2015, 03:13:15 AM
Cheltenham 11th March
1.30 - Neptune Novices Hurdle
Nichols Canyon @7/2  3point win

2.05 - RSA Chase
Don Poli - to short but most likely winner, i can"t split enough of the rest for a decent place chance at the current odds

2.40 - Coral Cup
Dell Arca @20/1  2point win
Baradari @16/1  1point win

3.20 - Queen Mother Champion Chase
Champagne Fever @5/1  1point win

4.00 - Cross Country Chase
pass :)


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 11, 2015, 11:33:52 AM
Cheltenham 11th March
4.40 - Fred Winter
Baron Alco @20/1  1point win
Zarib @12/1  1point win

5.15 - Champion Bumper
pass :-\


and as i write Champagne Fever has been pulled out.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 11, 2015, 18:46:09 PM
Cheltenham 12th March
2.05 - Pertemps Handicap
Bygones Sovereign @25/1  1point ew
Call The Cops @8/1  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 11, 2015, 20:18:54 PM

Cheltenham 12th March
2.05 - Pertemps Handicap
Bygones Sovereign @25/1  1point ew
Call The Cops @8/1  2point win


Cheltenham 12th March
2.40 - Ryanair Chase
Foxrock @8/1  1point win
Balder Succes @7/1  2point win
Ma Filleule @5/1  1point win

3.20 - World Hurdle
Saphir Du Rheu @5/1  1point win
Lieutenant Colonel @8/1 1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 11, 2015, 23:46:52 PM


Cheltenham 12th March
2.05 - Pertemps Handicap
Bygones Sovereign @25/1  1point ew
Call The Cops @8/1  2point win


Cheltenham 12th March
2.40 - Ryanair Chase
Foxrock @8/1  1point win
Balder Succes @7/1  2point win
Ma Filleule @5/1  1point win

3.20 - World Hurdle
Saphir Du Rheu @5/1  1point win
Lieutenant Colonel @8/1 1point win


4.00 - Handicap Chase
Darna @33/1  1point win
No Buts @20/1  1point win
Filbert @25/1  1point win

4.40 - Challenge Cup Handicap
Vintage Star @16/1  1point win
Clondaw Knight @18/1  1point win

edit - 2.40 - Ryanair Chase
Johns Spirit @10/1  2point win

thats 4 running for me in the Ryanair, will the King George form hold up? JS ran well in the PP Gold Cup lumping top weight which is the key part of the form and 10/1 is to big the more i look at it. Plenty of runners today, will it go tits up? fingers crossed..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 12, 2015, 16:56:56 PM
2 nice winners today :) so the fred total overall currently stands at +260.21 points

i"ll hang fire till the early hours tomorrow to see if it does rain before i make my final picks on gold cup day [get in Road to Riches ;)]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 13, 2015, 02:07:12 AM
Cheltenham 13th March
1:30 - JCB Triumph Hurdle
Kalkir @20/1  1point win
Petite Parisienne @9/1  1point win
Hargam @6/1  2point win
Top Notch @7/1  2point win

2.05 - County Handicap
Orgilgo Bay @33/1  1point win
Roman Flight @50/1  1point win
Princely Conn @10/1  2point win
Sort It Out @12/1  2point win

3.20 - Gold Cup http://www.apat.com/forum/index.php?topic=6616.msg239700#msg239700
Road To Riches @10/1  2point win
Carlingford Lough @10/1  1point win

my simple logic for the Gold Cup - The horse has to have won a grade 1 chase at Kempton, Cheltenham or Leopardstown. Any older than 10+ and your out, defending ex-champions out, Silviniaco Conti is out [to short plus his course form] and sift through prize money/collateral form etc etc that they have won at those three courses.
That leaves -
Silviniaco Conti 9yo 114k 113k [2x King Georges at Kempton] skinny odds based on course form and he"s out

Lord Windermere 9yo 327k 85k [1x Gold Cup  1xRSA Chase] defending champ, in the Gold Cup's history only seven horses have won more than once since the  Gold Cup chase, as we now know it, was introduced in 1924.
They are - Easter Hero 1929/30 , Golden Miller 1932/33/34/35/36 , Cottage Rake 1948/49/50 , Arkle 1964/65/66 , L"Escargot 1970/71 , Best Mate 2002/03/04 , Kauto Star 2007/09 the only horse to ever regain the Gold Cup.
at this moment in time i"d have to be bonkers to think Lord Windermere is as good as that group, so based on him being the defending champ, he"s out

Bobs Worth 10yo 313k 75k [1x Gold Cup 1x Lexus] trying to regain the Gold Cup, ten years old and he"s out

Carlingford Lough 9yo 66k [1x Irish Hennessy Gold Cup] won lto McCoy riding a plus. Jodami and Imperial Call in 93 and 96 are the last two to have won both the GC and the Hen in the same year which isn"t a great record but in terms of the open nature to this years GC then it gives him a lively chance imho.

Road To Riches 8yo 75k [1x Lexus] 5 out of the last 9 Gold Cup winners have contested the Lexus Chase, since winning the Galway Plate he"s improved tons. He"s won two grade ones in softer than ideal conditions, he"s best on good ground imo which makes it the more impressive what he"s done this season.

Boston Bob is the only other grade one winner at Aintree and Punchestown but he"s ten years old, Cool Dawn back in 98 was the last 10yo to win. If the likes of Denman and Kauto Star failed to win the GC at 10yo+ then i"d think you"d be fairly safe putting a line through Bob :)

Of the rest - Coneygree after he won the Denman Chase at Newbury last month has been described by Phil Smith the head of handicapping as putting in the best performance at 3m by a novice since Gloria Victis. ? ? ? ? ? thats enough question marks ;D  Phil Smith goes on to rate Coneygree 5lbs better as a novice than what Denman did in the RSA in 07.
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/horse_home.sd?horse_id=764676#topHorseTabs=horse_race_record&bottomHorseTabs=horse_form
he beat Houblon Des Obeaux who is rated 161 over the sticks?? really?? i shall cut off my left testicle with blunt scissors if Coneygree is on par with Denman as a novice [please peruse http://www.racingpost.com/horses/horse_home.sd?horse_id=633710#topHorseTabs=horse_race_record&bottomHorseTabs=horse_form]

i won"t and don"t want to start on about Many Clouds and Djakadam and there current odds which are a joke..

good luck today everyone.


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 13, 2015, 13:30:49 PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 13, 2015, 15:34:20 PM
i am now attempting to cut my left testicle off with some blunt scissors :o
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on March 13, 2015, 15:42:51 PM
The race didn"t make me go WOW

Pretty disappointing, have been much better performances earlier in the week.

In my very unknowledgeable opinion ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on March 13, 2015, 21:01:16 PM
3 days of profit followed by 1 small loss, very happy with the 4 days    
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 13, 2015, 21:13:12 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +243.21 points

fri -17points
thu +37
wed -8
tue +5

a +17point profit over the 4 days with the usual lucky and hard luck stories :"(

Aintree next :) and the Lincoln meeting to begin a profitable flat season i hope...


The race didn"t make me go WOW

Pretty disappointing, have been much better performances earlier in the week.

In my very unknowledgeable opinion ;)


i"m guessing u wasn"t on the winner Leigh ;)  

its a shame the ground got a soaking over night, but heyho next year will Mullins/Walsh win every non handicap race?

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 13, 2015, 21:14:35 PM

3 days of profit followed by 1 small loss, very happy with the 4 days    


invest wisely ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 14, 2015, 01:45:42 AM

The race didn"t make me go WOW

Pretty disappointing, have been much better performances earlier in the week.

In my very unknowledgeable opinion ;)


depends how u look at it Leigh, the Foxhunter Chase ran the same course/distance right after and On The Fringe recorded a time 17.3 seconds slower than Coneygree.

say we allow 4 lengths per second on going Soft, Good to Soft in Places, Soft or slower. That means Coneygree would of beaten On The Fringe by 69.2 lengths.
Silviniaco Conti would of finished 42 lengths in front of On The Fringe.

SC + CoG carried 4lbs less for 26.5 furlongs than OTF. [how much difference did it make? a good puzzle to ponder Leigh]

a furlong is 201.168 metres times 26.5 = 5330.952 metres    1 length is 2.45 metres

in terms of mph Coneygree ran his race at a avg of 29.6273mph , On The Fringe ran a avg of 28.4064mph

Coneygree would of finished 169.54 metres in front of On The Fringe

http://www.britishhorseracing.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/Guide-to-Handicapping.pdf

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on March 14, 2015, 06:37:15 AM
Good info.

Definitely wasn"t on the Coneygree, but had a fun and slightly profitable week, which was good.

Just didn"t feel like a memorable race to live up to the usual hype (perhaps overhype) and billing.

I suppose the same can be said of a lot of sporting events.  The media tries to whirl everyone up into a frenzy of anticipation and energy, commentates on it as if you are watching a once in a lifetime experience, then afterwards analyses how lucky you are to have witnessed said event.

Maybe I"m getting cynical in my old age ;)

Great tips and analysis as always noble1.  Would love to know how your week compares to say someone like The Betting Emporium, who will have charged for their information for the week.

The value is definitely on this thread me thinks :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on March 14, 2015, 11:40:48 AM
I echo that Leigh, I always check on here first before I place a bet, I don"t always take his advice  :o but take on board the comments he makes. 

The flat season is around the corner BRING IT ON

Thanks for Call The Cops  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 14, 2015, 14:35:06 PM
i"ll reply to the above when i get chance.

Lingfield 14th March
3.05 - coral.co.uk Winter Derby
Grendisar @6/1  1point win
Grandeur @6/1  1point win

3.40 - Hever Sprint Stakes
Green Door @12/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 21, 2015, 01:04:39 AM
the fred total overall currently stands at +240.21 points

Newbury 21st March
2.00 - Ultima Handicap Chase
Pepite Rose @4/1  3point win
Persian Snow @8/1  3point win

Both on good marks, one has a good track record, the trainer of the other was in cracking form here yesterday. Group bet them together for some value :)

3.10 - 3m2f110y Handicap Chase
No Duffer @5/1  2point win
Drumshambo @12/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 28, 2015, 11:54:48 AM
the fred total overall currently stands at +231.21 points


hooray the flat season is here at last, i"m not going bezerk and i"ll concentrate on the possible disguised sorts in the spring mile and Haggas and Fahey in the Lincoln.

Doncaster 3.10 - Spring Mile
Indy @14/1  1point win
General Brook @60+ ok on the exchanges, i"ve nibbled away at 65 and 70"s on bf.  1point win

3.45 - Lincoln Handicap
Gabrial @12/1  2point win
Gabrial"s Kaka @10/1  1point
Mange All @13/2  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on March 29, 2015, 20:42:29 PM

the fred total overall currently stands at +231.21 points


hooray the flat season is here at last, i"m not going bezerk and i"ll concentrate on the possible disguised sorts in the spring mile and Haggas and Fahey in the Lincoln.

Doncaster 3.10 - Spring Mile
Indy @14/1  1point win
General Brook @60+ ok on the exchanges, i"ve nibbled away at 65 and 70"s on bf.  1point win

3.45 - Lincoln Handicap
Gabrial @12/1  2point win
Gabrial"s Kaka @10/1  1point
Mange All @13/2  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on March 29, 2015, 20:47:50 PM
A bit late but had Naadirr at 11/2 in the 2.35 and Halation at 12/1 EW in the 3.10. Went for Zarwaan in Lincoln (first 5 EW) finished 6th
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 03, 2015, 12:58:25 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +251.21 points

What are the betting angles today at Lingfield in the All Weather Championship Finals Day, take note of the official ratings because its at level weights but pay a bit attention particularly for lightly raced contenders saved up from their qualifiers? Perhaps the angle might be winners at two or three years old coming to this as three and four year olds who now may/should show improvement, some maybe markedly? Go with course form? Ignore wide drawn horses? Stick with exposed horses at the end of their autumn/winter AW season?
The layers mainly have most angles covered perhaps a little to much atm, so no big punts today is the way to go. Whatever happened to the art of aggressive laying? Give the skilled odds compilers some more autonomy, put up the red flags and accommodate the shrewdies bets. The focus from some bookmakers to hone in on easy revenue streams such as fixed odds betting terminals and online gaming is a joke, UK high street bookies, you are a bookmaker in name only. NUFF said, RANT over :-X


1.40 - Fillies and Mares
This was a class4 race posing as a class2 last year, the std is a bit better this year with 5 class2 winners - Queen Aggie, Khatiba, Lamar, Don"t Be and Maiden Approach. Fresles is the only class1 winner in the line up.
Lamar is out, to wide of a draw and behind Fresles over in France when finding trouble, RM booked hence the price.
Queen Aggie is out, cls2 win over 6f out of class depth today.
Khatiba with no prep, 126 day lay off, never raced around Lingfield - out
Maiden Approach a sudden drop in trip needs to bring about a lot improvement - out
others to note - History Book - out on price

that leaves -
Fresles @4/1  1.5point win
Don"t Be @9/2  1.5point win

2.10 - Sprint Championship
Chookie Royale @11/2  1point win
Intransigent @16/1  1point win


2.40 - 3yo Mile
Lexington Times @9/4  1point win

3.15 - Mile Championships
Tenor @16/1  1point win
Mindurownbusiness @11/2  2point win

4.45 Marathon
Anglophile @3/1  2point win
Hidden Gold @9/4  2point win


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 04, 2015, 06:01:15 AM
the fred total overall currently stands at +245.71 points

Haydock
3.45 - Handicap Chase
Silvergrove @14/1  1point win
Hollow Blue Sky @20/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 04, 2015, 16:37:49 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +264.71 points

Hollow Blue Sky got backed down to as low as 17/2 with some firms throughout the morning, got the value early though.

The Irish National Monday is the next fred target race :-X

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 05, 2015, 15:54:19 PM
Fairyhouse
5.00 Irish Grand National
Grand Jesture @14/1  1point win [may drift BOG with bookies, exchanges take 18.0"s+]
The Job is Right @16/1  1point win
Thunder and Roses @20/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 06, 2015, 13:59:50 PM

Fairyhouse
5.00 Irish Grand National
Grand Jesture @14/1  1point win [may drift BOG with bookies, exchanges take 18.0"s+]
The Job is Right @16/1  1point win
Thunder and Roses @20/1  1point win


Grand Jesture is a non runner. A ex Pipe horse that moved to Tony Martins yard is the alternative having had a nice prep at Navan lto.

No Secrets @25/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 06, 2015, 17:30:06 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +282.71 points

Thunder and Roses won the Irish Grand National at 20/1, a nice sequence of winners lately :) Thunder and Roses,Gabrial and Hollow Blue Sky..
Aintree next, i"m not going bonkers every race but i do have some fancies in mind :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 06, 2015, 17:36:49 PM
Not been around all weekend, just got in and find you have had 2 x 20/1 winners FML

Hope this keeps going at Aintree
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 09, 2015, 01:48:30 AM

Not been around all weekend, just got in and find you have had 2 x 20/1 winners FML

Hope this keeps going at Aintree


so do i wayne :)  but i won"t bet if i don"t think its profitable..

Aintree April 9th
2.15 - 4yo Juvenile Hurdle
Winner Massagot @33/1  0.5point ew

4.40 - Red Rum Handicap Chase
Bellenos @16/1  1point win
Pearls Legend @18/1  1point win
Royal Regatta @8/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 09, 2015, 12:29:21 PM


Not been around all weekend, just got in and find you have had 2 x 20/1 winners FML

Hope this keeps going at Aintree


so do i wayne :)  but i won"t bet if i don"t think its profitable..

Aintree April 9th
2.15 - 4yo Juvenile Hurdle
Winner Massagot @33/1  0.5point ew

4.40 - Red Rum Handicap Chase
Bellenos @16/1  1point win
Pearls Legend @18/1  1point win
Royal Regatta @8/1  1point win


5.15 - Injured Jockeys Fund Handicap Hurdle
Master Malt @20/1  1point win
Katgary @16/1  1point win
Call The Cops @11/2  3point win
Taglietelle @8/1  2point win
The Tourard Man @12/1  1point win

a open"ish h/c hence the spread of group bets.

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 09, 2015, 14:23:39 PM
Wonderd if you was going to put Call The Cops up, got it at 7/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 09, 2015, 16:54:52 PM


Not been around all weekend, just got in and find you have had 2 x 20/1 winners FML

Hope this keeps going at Aintree


so do i wayne :)  but i won"t bet if i don"t think its profitable..

Aintree April 9th
2.15 - 4yo Juvenile Hurdle
Winner Massagot @33/1  0.5point ew

4.40 - Red Rum Handicap Chase
Bellenos @16/1  1point win
Pearls Legend @18/1  1point win
Royal Regatta @8/1  1point win


2 out of 3 aint bad (if they was EW)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 09, 2015, 17:49:22 PM
i thought the last race today was tight, Call The Cops headed by Taglietelle. I hope you backed this as well Wayne? Master Malt nearly stayed on to cause a shock.

Not found anything strong for tomorrow, i"ll post early morning after a good night of snooker :)

I hope everyone did ok today, onwards bound for Saturday for the big"un, how quick will the ground get? i"m on ante-post Rocky Creek and Al Co who to my eye will appreciate it.. I have another 4 in mind but i"ll wait till closer the day to try and get a handle for the ground conditions.

+6 points profit today leaves the fred total currently overall at +288.71 points


2 out of 3 aint bad (if they was EW)


lol you may of noticed i"m not a fan of each way betting :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 09, 2015, 21:43:36 PM
4.05 Ruben Cotter 10/1
4.40 Roi Des Francs 7/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 10, 2015, 00:25:35 AM
Aintree 10th April
1.40 - Alder Hey Handicap Hurdle
Party Rock @33/1  1point win
Olofi @25/1  1point win
Theinval @11/1  1point win
Rock On Rocky @33/1  1point win
Mijhaar @16/1  1point win

2.15 - Novices Hurdle
Qewy @5/1  1point win
Cardinal Walter @7/1  1point win

2.50 - Mildmay Novices Chase
Carole"s Destrier @7/1  1point win
Ainsi Fideles @8/1  1point win

3.25 - Melling Chase
Don Cossack @4/1  1point win

4.05 - Topham Chase
Rajdhani Express @10/1  2point win
Hunt Ball @20/1  1point win
Annacotty @33/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 10, 2015, 17:09:54 PM
Theinval, Don Cossack and Rajdhani Express obliged today for a +25 point profit.

the fred total overall currently stands at +313.71 points

the rest of the evening will be spent analysing and fine tuning my thoughts on tomorrows racing :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 10, 2015, 20:55:43 PM
Aintree 11th April
4.15 - Grand National
Soll @20/1  2point win
Rebel Rebellion @50/1  1point win
Chance Du Roy @40/1  1point win
Saint Are @33/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 11, 2015, 01:20:39 AM

Aintree 11th April
4.15 - Grand National
Soll @20/1  2point win
Rebel Rebellion @50/1  1point win
Chance Du Roy @40/1  1point win
Saint Are @33/1  1point win


2.50 - Stayers Hurdle
Cole Harden @5/2  2point win
Zarkandar @5/2  1point win [saver]

5.10 - Handicap Hurdle
The Game Changer @10/1  1point win
Baltimore Rock @12/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 11, 2015, 09:12:43 AM
I"m on Soll
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 11, 2015, 17:52:17 PM
Seconditis today, Cole Harden and Saint Are finding one to good. The Game Changer and Baltimore Rock 3rd&4th meant a 10 point loss on the final day.

day1 +6 points
day2 +25 points
day3 -10 points

+21points for the festival , overall the fred now stands at +303.71 points.

I enjoyed the racing all week and a great effort from Many Clouds giving it his all yet again lumping 11-9 and a 8 year old as well. Next targets are the Craven Meeting mid-week and the Scottish Grand National next Saturday. :)

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 15, 2015, 01:15:57 AM
Newmarket April 15th
3.30 - European Free Handicap
Jungle Cat @10/1  1point win

4.05 - Nell Gwyn Stakes
Osaila @5/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 15, 2015, 12:14:50 PM
Lots of good racing today, although i"m not to sure we"ll see any superstars. John Gosden runs three interesting sorts today,
Faydhan in the Free Handicap, Lady Correspondent in the Nell Gywn and Golden Horn in the Feilden Stakes.
In order then my thoughts on the three -
Faydhan - a Guineas colt? an unusual prep for the Guineas. Fannan who should reappear in the Greenham to my eye looks his main hope for the 2000g. Granted in his only run to date Faydhan beat a future Acomb winner Dutch Connection by 6 lengths but breeding wise his pedigree has a heck of lot speed and not much stamina. Currently 4/11 , 2/5 ish for todays race i"ll chance his stamina doubts [imho :)] and take him on with Jungle Cat, who has to step up but the current odds compensate for that.

Lady Correspondent - just the one career run, reportedly working well on the gallops, Moore booked to ride. Best watched for now imo but at Newbury Saturday keep a eye out for Jellicle Ball in the Fred Darling.

Golden Horn - just the one run towards the end of the season beating a nice Haggas runner - Storm the Stars, the two pulling 7 lengths away from the 3rd. GH has a Dante entry and at 2/1 ish wouldn"t be a bad bet today likewise Storm the Stars in the second last race today currently 15/8 ish. That will disappear rapidly if Golden Horn wins prior :)


In the last race of the day Luca Cumani runs Spiriting which is the current favourite thanks to Timeform who rate him 95"ish based on his Yarmouth run 2nd time out. The BHA differ in that view giving him a h/c mark of 79. Luca thinks he"s been underestimated but the market has took no chances..
http://www.lucacumani.com/news.php?id=115
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 15, 2015, 18:34:33 PM
Osaila won so the fred total overall currently stands at +307.71 points

Newmarket April 16th
3.30 - Abernant Stakes
Music Master @9/4  3point win
American Hope @16/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 15, 2015, 22:36:48 PM

Osaila won so the fred total overall currently stands at +307.71 points

Newmarket April 16th
3.30 - Abernant Stakes
Music Master @9/4  3point win
American Hope @16/1  1point win


Newmarket April 16th
2.55 - 3yo Trophy
Rocky Rider @7/2  1point win
Tannaaf  @7/1  1point win

4.40 - Earl of Sefton Stakes
French Navy @5/2  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 16, 2015, 08:43:07 AM
I had a good day yesterday with Bossy Guest 6/1, Montefalcon 9/2, Osaila 4/1, and Salt Island 7/1 hope today is jusy has good. The only one I have picked so far is Rocky Rider  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 16, 2015, 16:55:36 PM
French Navy won @3/1 so the fred total overall currently stands at +304.71 points

Kool Kompany was a turn up, stamina no problem today in the Craven. Ivawood to win the 2000g is beginning to look quite likely with Hughesie gushing everytime he"s asked about him.

Newbury Friday and Saturday to target next plus Ayr and the Scottish National to look forward to.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 17, 2015, 10:00:58 AM
Newbury 17th April
3.25 - Dubai Duty Free 3yo 7f Handicap
Capel Path @5/1  2point win

Sugar Boy is a danger given Gosden"s record but that wasn"t with Godolphin horses :)  Stoutey knows the street cry breed and he made his debut [Capel Path] at Newmarket with a typical teaching the ropes ride held up. Next run teach from the front, 3rd run he knows his job and beats a nice Gosden horse who wins cosily next time out. Ryan Moore now aboard, say no more!!!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 17, 2015, 12:02:53 PM

Newbury 17th April
3.25 - Dubai Duty Free 3yo 7f Handicap
Capel Path @5/1  2point win

Sugar Boy is a danger given Gosden"s record but that wasn"t with Godolphin horses :)  Stoutey knows the street cry breed and he made his debut [Capel Path] at Newmarket with a typical teaching the ropes ride held up. Next run teach from the front, 3rd run he knows his job and beats a nice Gosden horse who wins cosily next time out. Ryan Moore now aboard, say no more!!!


3.55 - 5f Handicap
Noble Storm @25/1  1point win
Boom The Groom @12/1  1point win

of the other races the 2.50 looks tight between the top 3 in the market so i"ll just watch and i"ll keep an eye out for the outsider Gibeon to see how he fares.
back to the 3.25 i"ve had a small place bet on the filly Vesnina @4/1, up against it with the colts but her form took a boost with the Nell Gywnn 2nd New Providence and it wouldn"t surprise me to see her stay for a place today.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 18, 2015, 02:17:52 AM
the fred total overall currently stands at +300.71 points

Ayr 18th April
3.45 - Scottish Grand National
Cogry @20/1  1point win
Milborough @20/1  1point win


Newbury
3.25 - Spring Cup
Gabrial @8/1  2point win
Buckstay @7/1  1point win
Examiner @20/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 24, 2015, 18:10:04 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +294.71 points



Sandown 3.50 - Gold Cup Chase
Hadrian"s Approach - 14/1 with WH and a couple of others.. 15.5 on Betfair 4.5 to be placed - 1point win 2point place on BF

reasoning/logic
Tricky race to pick apart but what swung it for me given conditions today was Hadrian"s Approach run at Newbury last year when only beaten a short head by Unioniste with Same Difference behind, HA made three mistakes in the straight at Newbury and was only beaten a short head and he had plenty left in the tank.
He has good stamina, he jumps, gallops and stays. He also has plenty of class being by High Chaparral and looks a good win-place bet imho. Sandown should suit him today, finished 5th in this race last year on good dround as a 6year old, had a break this year before Cheltenham which suggests to me that Henderson had this race as the initial target in mind....
The fitting of cheek pieces for the 2nd time might be a plus, focus in the later stages of a race can sometimes come at the cost of keenness in the early part when a horse is fitted with cheekpieces, it might make him a bit more alert in the early part of the race, but that"s no bad thing for this horse imho... I"d be surprised anyhows that Henderson hasn"t schooled him with them on,
this plus the fact i think NH has had this race in mind for HA was another tick in the box.. :)
Geraghty on board isn"t a negative either lol............


Sandown 25th April
3.50 - Gold Cup Chase
Royale Knight @20/1  2point win
Rocky Creek @16/1  2point win
Bally Legend @25/1  1point win
Unioniste @14/1  1point win


Unioniste because of the above, i"d fancy more if a few lbs lower in the h/c...
Bally Legend - weight carrying wise gives him a better chance than last year, has a squeak odds a tad to big imo.
Rocky Creek - some where near his betbright chase run at kempton gives him a good chance.
Royale Knight - good run lto in the national, trainer underestimated, 20/1 rather good odds.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 25, 2015, 14:38:42 PM
Grand Jesture 10/1, no thinking behind it, the pin has got to be lucky at some point
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 01, 2015, 14:04:33 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +288.71 points

unlucky wayne with Grand Jesture, refused to race is a nightmare.


Punchestown 1st May
4.20 - Handicap Chase
Mr Fiftyone @11/2  2point win
Shanahan"s Turn @10/1  2point win

Mr Fiftyone"s lto behind Ballyadam Approach gives him a good chance.
Shanahan"s Turn is rather well in for his h/c debut if he reproduces his win over Wounded Warrior back in October.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 02, 2015, 10:00:09 AM
Got my money back so all was not lost.

2.20 Stepper Point
4.55 Tempus Temporis

Off to Donny, any tips?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 02, 2015, 12:14:11 PM
Donny
5.10 Sheriff Of Nawton
6.45 Strong Chemistry (will be watching the 4.20 NewM to see how Desert Force runs)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 02, 2015, 13:07:18 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +284.71 points


Newmarket 2nd May
3.45 - 2000 Guineas
Ol" Man River @8/1  2point win
Celestial Path @20/1  1point win

low draw ok imo..
Gleneagles the obv danger..









Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 02, 2015, 13:48:10 PM
Newmarket 2nd May
2.00 - 9f Handicap
Top Tug @4/1  1point win
Halation @5/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 02, 2015, 14:19:54 PM
Doncaster 2nd May
5.10 - Certification
5.45 - Be Perfect
6.15 - Secret Ambition or Birchwood
6.45 - Popeswood or Surewecan
7.15 - Tiger Jim or Meshardal
7.45 - ? :)
8.15 - Commodore or Tohfa


good luck wayne, i did these quick btw :o
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 02, 2015, 14:34:51 PM
3.45 NewM
Territories
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 03, 2015, 13:13:23 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +279.71 points


Newmarket 3rd May
3.40 - 1000 Guineas
Lucida @6/1  2point win
Terror @28/1  1point win
Osaila @9/1  1point win

Lucida - 2nd in the Moyglare behind Cursary Glance, Bolger then won the Rockfel with Lucida likewise a few years back with Finsceal Beo, he knows his onions, 6/1 to big imho.
Terror - never raced beyond 6f but her pedigree on the dam"s sire side gives some hope [Redback/Mark of Esteem] more so than Tiggy Wiggy [the other Kodiac] Watched the vids and if tuned up i can"t see any reason as to why 1 mile would not be beyond her.
Osaila - if you like Lucida then Osaila has to enter calculations based on the Moyglare plus lto in the Nell Gywnn when Hannon stated she wasn"t fully wound up.

plus all three have experience of the Rowley which is a bonus :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 03, 2015, 13:41:24 PM
Newmarket 3rd May
1.50 - 12f Handicap
Gothic @6/1  1point win
Astronereus @6/1  1point win
Fire Fighting @12/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 03, 2015, 14:42:47 PM
Newmarket 3rd May
3.00 - 6f Handicap
Run With Pride @20/1  1point win
Huntsmans Close @12/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 03, 2015, 15:10:34 PM

Newmarket 3rd May
3.00 - 6f Handicap
Run With Pride @20/1  1point win
Huntsmans Close @12/1  1point win


head up on the line, timing :)  the Wokingham will be the next target i"m guessing ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 03, 2015, 16:18:03 PM
a couple of near misses :"( today, Chester is on the horizon, head in the form book :)

the fred total overall currently stands at +277.71 points.


i hope you filled your boots in the 7.15 and the 8.15 last night Wayne :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 05, 2015, 16:56:51 PM
Chester 6th May
3.10 - Chester Cup
Gabrial"s King @8/1  2point win
Trip To Paris @12/1  1point win
Zafayan @9/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 05, 2015, 18:51:55 PM

a couple of near misses :"( today, Chester is on the horizon, head in the form book :)

the fred total overall currently stands at +277.71 points.


i hope you filled your boots in the 7.15 and the 8.15 last night Wayne :)


Between us (my and the Mrs) we had the first 4 winners, unfortunately I only had the one winner from the back pocket  ;) the other 3 was kiddie bets, the 7.15 we went for Tiger Tim  :( To tell you the truth I cannot remember what we had in the last but it wasn"t Tohfa. But a good night was had by all.

Off to Lingfield on the 6th (Derby Day)  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 06, 2015, 13:11:09 PM
Chester 6th May
2.40 - Cheshire Oaks
Victoria Pollard @15/2  1point win
Zamoura @10/1  1point win


I want to take on Diamondsandrubies who is way to short. Victoria Pollard lto at Newbury was ok given the slow early pace in a maiden that over the years has produced the odd good horse :) Eswarah 2005 and Dancing Rain 2011 went on to win the Oaks. Islington in 02 was to win 4 group1"s in her career subsequently after winning the 10f Newbury maiden. Its a race i "ve always looked out for, Eswarah and Dancing Rain prepped next in the Swettenham Fillies Trial Stakes so its strange i think that Balding has chosen the Cheshire Oaks, maybe he feels its weak enough for VP to pick up some black type. She dossed when hitting the front at Newbury, at 15/2+ i think its ok to chance she will improve on that maiden win.
Also on that day Gosden ran Star Of Seville who won cosily in the same race in which Western Hymn won the year before going on to better things. Gosden mentioned bringing SOS back to Newbury for the Swettenham trial then, maybe a swerve from Balding which maybe a pointer to the regard he has for SOS"s Epsom Oaks chances?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 06, 2015, 18:14:38 PM

Chester 6th May
3.10 - Chester Cup
Gabrial"s King @8/1  2point win
Trip To Paris @12/1  1point win
Zafayan @9/1  1point win


I"m going to have to start following you  :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 07, 2015, 11:23:49 AM
Trip To Paris ran well Wayne, far better than i could anticipate from his draw/ground and run style. That"s a pattern class horse, the way he travels and finishes he could easily acquit himself with honour at a higher level.


Chester 7th May
2.10 - 10f Handicap [plus from 75 to 89 yards as the rail has been moved out :)]
Master Of Finance @8/1  1point win
Tahira @16/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 07, 2015, 14:15:11 PM
Chester 7th May

2.40 - Huxley Stakes
between the first 3 in the betting Cannock Chase, Air Pilot and Maverick Wave.. I"m going to give it a swerve as nothing appeals at the odds.

3.10 - Chester Vase
just a watch for me, i was all over Ruler of the World after he won this back in 2013. If Hans Holbein runs well in this i think that gives Bocca Baciata a very serious Oaks chance. [Legatissimo looks like a high class miler to me, stretching it imo to hope she gets the extra 4 furlongs and win a Oaks]

3.45 - 7f Handicap
swerve this race :)

4.20 - Maiden Stakes
swerve this race :)

4.55 - 6f Handicap
Johnny B Goode @7/1  1point win
Roudee @12/1  1point win

5.25 - 10f Handicap
Empress Ali @6/1  2point win
Ardmay @6/1  1point win
Ginger Jack @8/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 08, 2015, 00:53:23 AM
the fred total overall currently stands at +276.71 points.

Chester 8th May

2:10 - 7f122y Handicap
Alejandro @7/1  1point win
Brazos @8/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 08, 2015, 22:04:34 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +274.71 points.

Ascot 9th May
3.45 - 7f Victoria Cup
Heaven"s Guest @16/1  2point win
Russian Realm @14/1  1point win
Zarwaan @12/1  1point win
American Hope @14/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 13, 2015, 01:33:20 AM
he fred total overall currently stands at +269.71 points.

York 13th May
2.40 - 6f Handicap
Tatlisu @11/1  2point win
Out Do @14/1  1point win

3.15 - Duke Of York
Gammarth @33/1  1point win
Astaire @6/1  2point win
Lucky Kristale @12/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 13, 2015, 09:14:18 AM
just the one bet today (unless it wins)

2.40 Tatlisu, 10/1 EW (first 5)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 13, 2015, 11:52:31 AM

he fred total overall currently stands at +269.71 points.

York 13th May
2.40 - 6f Handicap
Tatlisu @11/1  2point win
Out Do @14/1  1point win

3.15 - Duke Of York
Gammarth @33/1  1point win
Astaire @6/1  2point win
Lucky Kristale @12/1  1point win


Out Do withdrawn, Boy In The Bar @10/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 13, 2015, 23:45:13 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +262.71 points.

York 14th May
2.10 - 5f Handicap
Demora @10/1  1point win
Judge"n Jury @16/1  1point win

2.40 - Middleton Stakes
Bragging @2/1  2point win
Ribbons @5/1  1point win

3.15 - Dante Stakes
Elm Park @4/1  3point win

3.45 - Hambleton Handicap
Prince Of Johanne @16/1  1point ew
Fort Bastion @7/1  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 14, 2015, 10:01:37 AM
what about Out Do in the first?

I can see why Elm Park but i have gone with Jack Hobbs
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 14, 2015, 10:48:22 AM
York 14th May
5.20 - 16f Handicap
Saved By The Bell @10/1  1point win
Mawaqeet @25/1  1point ew
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 14, 2015, 12:36:55 PM

what about Out Do in the first?

I can see why Elm Park but i have gone with Jack Hobbs



cos sometimes he can be a tad slow out of the gate, gets away with it over 6f, won"t today if that happens.
never raced over 5f.
can"t think of many cls2 6f winners off such a high hc mark, drop down to a cls2 5f and win?
to short odds wise imo :)

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 14, 2015, 14:27:59 PM
and Out Do wins lol , what on earth has O"Meara done to that horse? lol
i"d thought he"d be able to win a more valuable 6f hc off that mark, he won"t now. but you never know with O"Meara :)

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 15, 2015, 13:52:56 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +251.71 points. after a 11 point loss yesterday :"(

York 15th May
2.40 - 12f Handicap
Top Tug @9/2  2point win
Emerahldz @16/1  1point win
Old Town Boy @14/1  1point win

3.15 - Yorkshire Cup
Romsdal @9/4  2point win
Snow Sky @3/1  1point win [saver, i hope :)]

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 15, 2015, 14:06:22 PM
Newbury 15th May
2.55 6f Handicap
Accession @9/2  1point win
Fast Track @15/2  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 15, 2015, 19:45:40 PM
Not a good week for me at York
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 15, 2015, 22:10:19 PM

Not a good week for me at York


Horror show for me to Wayne, then tonight at Hamilton i nearly go through the card the only losing race being the 8o"clock.
That has gave me a boost :) i love soft ground conditions, Alan Berry and Dalgleish.

Onwards and upwards though, the fred total overall currently stands at +247.71 points.
I"ve hit Night Of Thunder as hard as i can on the exchanges taking plenty of the 4"s available, if you can still get 3.7+ then don"t go to a bookie.
Of the others in the Lockinge tomorrow i"ve had some little pecks at Integral,Tullius,Custom Cut and Toormore.
For the donk fred i"ve gone for just the one big main and one saver -

Newbury 16th May [been described as good going, i think not]
3.45 - Lockinge Stakes
Night Of Thunder @5/2  5point win [go on exchanges to get more if you fancy this one to]
Toormore @8/1  1point win

N.O.T is the only true group1 performer in the field, say no more imho. Reminds me of Farhh who had some scraps [as Hannon would put it for NOT] with Frankel and got over looked really at a opening price of 5/1 which only got nibbled into eventually at 100/30 and hosed up beating the 5/4 fav Declaration Of War. NOT not as over looked but with Kingman out of the way, i"d expect Thunder to clean up this season over a mile.
http://www.richardhannonracing.co.uk/latestnews.htm


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 22, 2015, 20:25:14 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +260.46 points.

Haydock 23rd May
2.35 - Silver Bowl Stakes
Storm Rock @13/2  3point win
Moonlightnavigator @10/1  2point win
Gerry The Glover @16/1  1point win

3.45 - Temple Stakes
Hot Streak @5/1  2point win
Pearl Secret @11/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 30, 2015, 01:23:44 AM
the fred total overall currently stands at +263.46 points.

Haydock 30th May
2.35 - The John of Gaunt Stakes
Breton Rock @4/1 4point win
Cable Bay @9/2  2point win [saver]
That Is The Spirit @8/1  2point win [saver]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 30, 2015, 13:35:20 PM
Time to spare before the Fa Cup today, so i"ll whizz through the tv racing today.

York 1.45 7f hc
O"Meara won this last year and he"s throwing 5 darts at it this year and out of those Alejandro 2/2 over 7f at York is a contender. Add the O"Meara 6yo improver Al Khan into the mix, moved from Ollie Pears yard and Do"M has improved his mark 14lbs, you can"t discount him.
Of the rest Highland Colori has a decent ew chance based on his last run plus a handy 5lbs claimed off by Kieran Shoemark won"t do him any harm.
Alfred Hutchinson will be thereabouts as will Majestic Moon,Dusky Queen and Rene Mathis.
At the prices if i were to have a punt i"d side with Alejandro 12/1 and Highland Colori 12/1.....................

Haydock 2.00 Pinnacle Stakes
Good luck if you are trying to make sense of a mares and fillies race :) a couple that might be slightly under rated in the market are Miss Marjurie and Lady Tiana.

York 2.20 Listed 1m6f
The winner will come from these 3 imho - Clever Cookie,Big Orange or Elidor

Haydock 2.35 The John of Gaunt Stakes
My picks are in previous post. Basically what swung it for me was course form hence Breton Rock.

Newmarket 2.45 Fairway Stakes
Peacock is to short imo.. Tannaaf and Snoano based on there runs behind Cape Clear Island have a decent shout at the odds...

York 2.55 Spring Sprint hc
The unexposed Green Door appeals at 12/1 after a decent lto behind Robot Boy, now on his 3rd start should be wound up for today.
Kimberella at 25/1 could cause a upset and Red Baron has a favourites chance, 8/1 is ok... Bogart is the other that made my list of contenders....

Haydock 3.10 Achilles Stakes
My pick for this would be ground dependent, if its good then Music Master and Out Do should battle it out. If the ground still has a bit of juice in it then Musical Comedy and Intibaah might pinch it from the top 2 in the market.

Newmarket 3.20 12f hc
Dashing Star each way has a squeak at the prices, others that may cause Penhill problems might be Modernism and Watersmeet.........

Haydock 3.45 Sandy Lane Stakes
Limato is the obvious, any cut in the ground brings Mattmu and Toocoolforschool into the frame.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 31, 2015, 13:56:44 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +267.46 points.

Cable Bay won yesterday at 5/1 sp not the result i"d liked but judging how the horses were going to act on the ground was a head scratcher :)
So today the quality racing is at Chantilly with the Prix du Jockey Club [French Derby] off at 2.45 and there are a couple i fancy that have beaten Medrano rather easily that stand out - Karaktar and Silverwave.

Chantilly 2.45 French Derby
Karaktar @3/1  5point win
Silverwave @13/2  2point win
New Bay @7/2  2point win [saver on stakes]

Fabre has been confident that New Bay will stay the extra 2.5 furlongs but i"m going to stick with proven 10f form today.

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 04, 2015, 18:54:06 PM
the fred total overall currently stands at +267.46 points. [the stakes saver won]

Epsom 5th June
4.30 - Investec Oaks
Crystal Zvezda @4/1  2point win
Together Forever @10/1  1point win
Legatissimo @7/2  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 04, 2015, 20:10:37 PM
Epsom 5th June
2.00 - Princess Elizabeth Stakes
Lightning Thunder @6/1  2point win
Odeliz @3/1  4point win

2.35 - 10f Handicap
Sennockian Star @7/1  2point win
Fire Fighting @13/2  2point win
What About Carlo @12/1  2point win

3.10 - Diomed Stakes
Arod @2/1  2.5point win
Custom Cut @4/1  1.5point win

3.45 - Mile Handicap
Imshivalla @11/1  1point win
God Willing @9/1  1point win

5.50 - 7f Handicap
Ticks The Boxes @8/1  1point win
George Bowen @12/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 05, 2015, 09:21:28 AM
Is having so much racing in one day a good thing or does the quality suffer?

2.00 Odeliz
2.35
3.10 Arod
3.45
4.30 Together Forever
       Jazzi Top
       Both EW  

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 05, 2015, 13:18:01 PM

Is having so much racing in one day a good thing or does the quality suffer?


imho there is a dearth of quality racing for the better horses in this country Wayne..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 06, 2015, 01:50:48 AM
onwards to a new day  :"(

the fred total overall currently stands at +252.96 points.

Epsom 6th June
3.45 - 5f Dash
Monumental Man @12/1  2point win
Desert Law @18/1  1point win
Perfect Muse @10/1  2point win

4.30 - Investec Derby
Golden Horn @7/4  3point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 06, 2015, 11:25:31 AM
My Win/Place bets today: Epsom Derby: Rogue Runner 50/1 - Belmont Park, Manhattan Stakes: Magic Artist 13/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 06, 2015, 13:58:48 PM

My Win/Place bets today: Epsom Derby: Rogue Runner 50/1 - Belmont Park, Manhattan Stakes: Magic Artist 13/1


good luck Achim, Rogue Runner is interesting as the trainer has to be respected for his record over the years. Mr Wohler knows his onions and Rogue Runner may well outrun his odds. Rogue has a nice dosage profile more in line for a potential Derby contender than Golden Horn. I find it puzzling how some pedigree experts question Golden Horn on his dosage profile having seen what Sea the Stars and Ouija Board did, bizarre dosage blinkers :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 07, 2015, 18:05:03 PM
Had a great day at Lingfield 4 winners out of 6 (left before race 7) met Frankie after he"s win in the Derby
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on June 10, 2015, 19:03:07 PM


My Win/Place bets today: Epsom Derby: Rogue Runner 50/1 - Belmont Park, Manhattan Stakes: Magic Artist 13/1


good luck Achim, Rogue Runner is interesting as the trainer has to be respected for his record over the years. Mr Wohler knows his onions and Rogue Runner may well outrun his odds. Rogue has a nice dosage profile more in line for a potential Derby contender than Golden Horn. I find it puzzling how some pedigree experts question Golden Horn on his dosage profile having seen what Sea the Stars and Ouija Board did, bizarre dosage blinkers :)


Trainer woehler said: Rogue Runner didnt like the strong pace after the start and may be the special Epsom racecourse. winners were top class horses so all in all no chance for a better result.

Magic Artist late run didnt work out, close 5th but no chance to win.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 13, 2015, 02:19:19 AM
the fred total overall currently stands at +272.21 points.


Sandown 13th June
2.20 8f Handicap
Jacob Black @13/2  2point ew

2.55 - Scurry Stakes
Waady @9/4  3point win

York 13th June
2.35 - 7f Handicap
Al Khan @25/1  1point ew
Free Code @10/1  1point win
Alejandro @25/1  1point win

3.45 - 6f Sprint Handicap
Northgate Lad @12/1  1point ew
Bond"s Girl @33/1  1point ew

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 13, 2015, 16:17:47 PM
+5.5 points today leaves the fred total overall currently at +277.71 points.

Royal Ascot next, the head has been buried in the form book. :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 14, 2015, 15:20:04 PM
Star Of Seville wins the Prix de Diane, i hope you was following Gosden today Wayne? It got over looked a tad due to her Epsom Oaks effort only nine days ago but the drop back to 10f was ideal today. A rare English win and a huge boost in form for the Musidora 2nd Together Forever.
Royal Ascot top jockey will be interesting this year, Ryan Moore has ruled the roost over the past few years but Frankie Dettori wouldn"t be a bad shout this year at the current odds with him riding some nice ones for Gosden this year.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 14, 2015, 20:26:54 PM
Saddle no gambling for me, saving it for Ascot
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 16, 2015, 03:27:30 AM
June 16th

Royal Ascot
3.40 - King"s Stand
Sole Power @4/1  2point win
Shamal Wind @8/1  1point win

5.00 - Ascot Stakes
Lycidas @10/1  1point win
Clondaw Warrior @8/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 16, 2015, 09:15:03 AM
I like the look of Shamel Wind too, EW for me

Gone with Able Friend in the first with Sky (money back if lose) with a little bit on Night of Thunder with Paddy (money back if 2nd or 3rd)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 16, 2015, 11:30:47 AM

I like the look of Shamel Wind too, EW for me

Gone with Able Friend in the first with Sky (money back if lose) with a little bit on Night of Thunder with Paddy (money back if 2nd or 3rd)


Here"s a vid of Able Friend with his best performance in the HK Mile with the likes of Trade Storm and Captain Cat well and truly beaten. Bloody good fractions set in the last 2furlongs off a very strong pace gives AF a great shout today IF he takes to Ascot and a straight mile.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uHUBRbIvnZk

Another interesting vid of American Pharoah in the Belmont ran along side Secretariats race, guess who"d win?  :) only approx 14 lengths in it ;D
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eT50hQINVrI

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 16, 2015, 20:48:33 PM
+4 points today/yesterday leaves the fred total overall currently at +281.71 points.

Day 2 June 17th

Royal Ascot
2.30 - Jersey Stakes
Bossy Guest @9/1  1point win
Devonshire @16/1  1point win

3.40 - Duke of Cambridge Stakes
Euro Charline @6/1  1point ew

5.00 - Royal Hunt Cup
Chil The Kit @16/1  1point win
Ayaar @12/1  1point win
Temptress @12/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 16, 2015, 22:43:45 PM
Day 2 June 17th

Royal Ascot
5.35 - Sandringham Handicap
Always Smile @5/2  2point win
Touchline @7/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 17, 2015, 18:34:12 PM
-8 points today day2 leaves the fred total overall currently at +273.71 points.

A rather unlucky day lol , 2nd and 3rd"s which could of been better given that little bit of luck in running. At least i"m hitting the cross bar, it"d be more frustrating if my selections were bringing up the rear.
The unluckiest trip has to go The Grey Gatsby though, Western Hymn normally hangs left which i suspect Spencer was expecting to happen AND what happens WH hangs right lol...
It doesn"t surprise me Botti was upset about how quickly the handlers gave up on Euro Charline, i"ve definitely seen them try harder with far more stubborn types. Integral was there to be taken on, in all now eight fillies to have carried a Group-1 penalty into this race have been beaten, including now Integral and Soviet Song. [there you go Mr Cunningham, a decent fact/stat to say rather than the nonsense you come out with ::)]
Day3 to look forward to with 2 tricky 3yo handicaps and the Gold Cup looking open. Day4+5 have the races i"m most looking forward to BUT i"ve now turned the volume off whenever Cunningham speaks about draws or form ;D

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 17, 2015, 20:54:38 PM
Day 3 June 18th

Royal Ascot
4.20 - Gold Cup
Forgotten Rules @11/4  6point win
Mizzou @11/2  3point win
Vent De Force @9/1  2point win

I"m looking at this given my strike rate over the years in this race, Rite of Passage included. Profit is the main aim, the only dangers imho are Trip to Paris and Kingfisher. The former because the ground and trip might bring about improvement and he hasn"t got to make a enormous leap in the ratings. The latter because you"ve got to respect O"Briens record in this race. Both have to reverse the form though with the top 3, so at the odds from a win perspective i"ll steer clear.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 17, 2015, 21:59:34 PM
Good luck tomorrow, I have had a shocking 2 days I may just forget about the next 3 days and play on the Women"s football.

My horse is due to run next Wednesday at Carlisle      
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 18, 2015, 08:35:49 AM

Good luck tomorrow, I have had a shocking 2 days I may just forget about the next 3 days and play on the Women"s football.

My horse is due to run next Wednesday at Carlisle      


ty Wayne, todays races apart from the Gold Cup imo have a barrel load of variables to give the layers hope :) and which horse will that be at Carlisle?

Right on to the cavalry charge Britannia, i"m hoping Hanagan has chosen the wrong horse [thats if he had a choice] because i"m more drawn to Sahaafy who made mince meat of Angel Vision at Newmarket lto. Collateral form wise on a line through AV Sahaafy may still be nicely weighted if go by Hundi"s performance in the Sandringham [surprise surprise trained by Hills]
Another in the Britannia that might go ok at the odds is Bow And Arrow, not the greatest draw in one but Doyle has swapped horses with Buick [work that one out :)] Bow And Arrow has a squeak if he reproduces his Beverley form when he beat Gerry The Glover plus it had Enlace out of its comfort zone pace wise.

Day 3 June 18th

Royal Ascot
5.00 - Britannia Stakes
Sahaafy @10/1  2point win
Bow And Arrow @25/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 18, 2015, 12:23:26 PM
Day 3 June 18th

Royal Ascot
2.30 - Norfolk Stakes
giving this one a pass, apart from the obvious obvious Waterloo Bridge could spring a shock because of the obvious :)

3.05 - Tercentenary Stakes
pass on this one, not even a each way punt :o i did lots of head scratching looking through this one :) i"d prefer being a layer in this one. Time Test the obvious but not bomb proof. Cape Clear Island, Disegno and Peacock look the main dangers.

3.40 - Ribblesdale Stakes
Curvy @7/1  2points ew

5.35 - King George V Stakes
Space Age @12/1  0.5point ew
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 18, 2015, 15:27:13 PM

Day 3 June 18th

Royal Ascot
2.30 - Norfolk Stakes
giving this one a pass, apart from the obvious obvious Waterloo Bridge could spring a shock because of the obvious :)

3.05 - Tercentenary Stakes
pass on this one, not even a each way punt :o i did lots of head scratching looking through this one :) i"d prefer being a layer in this one. Time Test the obvious but not bomb proof. Cape Clear Island, Disegno and Peacock look the main dangers.

3.40 - Ribblesdale Stakes
Curvy @7/1  2points ew

5.35 - King George V Stakes
Space Age @12/1  0.5point ew


now that"s what you call a good days work, you said you do not do ew  :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 18, 2015, 18:16:49 PM

nice pick, you said you do not do ew  :)


i do it when i think its appropriate :)

+11 points today day3 leaves the fred total overall currently at +284.71 points.

lots of thoughts on the Gold Cup best kept to myself :) anyhows for the fred i got it wrong and in hindsight should of spread the points across the five i pinpointed.
tomorrow is another day though and the Duke of Edinburgh is the target race, i"ve a good record over quite a few years in that as well [just to put the kibosh on myself :)]
its fast turning into a procession for Moore, yes he has decent horses but this week he"s riding at a different level to a normally top world class level. what level is the next up from world class?  :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 18, 2015, 19:18:17 PM
Day 4 June 19th

Royal Ascot
3.40 - Commonwealth Cup
Hootenanny @9/2  1point win
Limato @11/2  1point win

not going bezerk in this race :) i"ll edit in further races as the night goes due to dog walking duties etc etc  :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Zozzy on June 19, 2015, 08:04:23 AM
This is the second tip I have had for Hootenanny. I haven"t bet on the geegees for a while. It is 100/30 best price with Paddy Power. Must be worth a couple of quid with the best jockey on board.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 19, 2015, 10:51:16 AM

This is the second tip I have had for Hootenanny. I haven"t bet on the geegees for a while. It is 100/30 best price with Paddy Power. Must be worth a couple of quid with the best jockey on board.


its a ok bet, its not home and hosed but it has its ideal conditions and a good jockey aboard :)  5/1 was available last evening, quickly clipped into 9/2 and steadily since has contracted. The bookies are mirroring the exchanges so either option to back Hootenanny [exchange or street] is ok, after 5% commission will pay the same.

Day 4 June 19th

Royal Ascot
4.20 - Coronation Stakes
Found @7/4  2point win [2/1 to be found if you shop around but generally shortening still]
Lucida @4/1  2point win  [7/2 ok, price is shortening]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 19, 2015, 13:30:05 PM
Day 4 June 19th

Royal Ascot
2.30 - Albany Stakes
Our Joy @12/1  0.5point ew

5.00 - Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
Watersmeet @10/1  2point win
Dashing Star @8/1  2point win
Arab Dawn @7/1  2point win
Warrior Of Light @18/1  1point win

5.35 - Queen"s Vase
Aloft @3/1  2point win
Yarrow @15/2  1point win
Vive Ma Fille @25/1  0.5point ew
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 19, 2015, 13:33:19 PM
just put all the above posts into one :)

Day 4 June 19th

Royal Ascot
2.30 - Albany Stakes
Our Joy @12/1  0.5point ew

3.40 - Commonwealth Cup
Hootenanny @9/2  1point win
Limato @11/2  1point win

4.20 - Coronation Stakes
Found @7/4  2point win [2/1 to be found if you shop around but generally shortening still]
Lucida @4/1  2point win  [7/2 ok, price is shortening]

5.00 - Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
Watersmeet @10/1  2point win
Dashing Star @8/1  2point win
Arab Dawn @7/1  2point win
Warrior Of Light @18/1  1point win

5.35 - Queen"s Vase
Aloft @3/1  2point win
Yarrow @15/2  1point win
Vive Ma Fille @25/1  0.5point ew

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on June 19, 2015, 14:29:32 PM
i was not going to have a go but so tempting

3.40 Hootenanny
4.20 Found
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 19, 2015, 15:24:09 PM

i was not going to have a go but so tempting

3.40 Hootenanny
4.20 Found


both have a decent shout, good luck fella.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 19, 2015, 17:51:11 PM
+6 points today day4 leaves the fred total overall currently at +290.71 points.

not a barn storming day but turned a profit, day five betting i"ll hang back to see what the weather brings.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 20, 2015, 02:52:59 AM
Day 5 June 20th

Royal Ascot
5.00 - Wokingham Stakes

good ground or better short list
Ruwaiyan
Tatlisu
Algar Lad
Basil Berry
Huntsmans Close
Ninjago

good to soft or worse
Intransigent
Rene Mathis
Highland Acclaim
Gamesome
Blaine
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 20, 2015, 04:10:20 AM
Day 5 June 20th

Royal Ascot
4.20 - Diamond Jubilee
Mustajeeb @11/2  2point win
Glass Office @25/1  1point ew
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 20, 2015, 13:01:23 PM
Day 5 June 20th

Royal Ascot
3.05 - Wolferton Handicap
Fire Fighting @22/1  1point ew
Ayrad @16/1  1point ew [withdrawn]

3.40 - Hardwicke Stakes
Eagle Top @3/1  2point win

4.20 - Diamond Jubilee
Mustajeeb @11/2  2point win
Glass Office @25/1  1point ew

5.00 - Wokingham Stakes
Tatlisu @12/1  1point win
Basil Berry @33/1  1point win
Algar Lad @25/1  1point win
Rene Mathis @40/1  0.5point ew


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 24, 2015, 13:55:48 PM
-5.5 points Ascot day5 leaves the fred total overall currently at +285.21 points.

Carlisle 24th June
3.00 - Carlisle Bell Consolation
Another For Joe @12/1  1point win

3.35 - Carlisle Bell
Trinity Star @6/1  2point win

4.10 - Eternal Stakes
Touchline @3/1  2point win
Astrelle @10/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 26, 2015, 21:12:53 PM
-6 points at Carlisle leaves the fred total overall currently at +279.21 points.

so onto Newcastle :)

3.45 - Northumberland Plate
Gabrial"s King @11/1  2point win
Gabrial"s Star @16/1  1point win
Nearly Caught @14/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on June 27, 2015, 13:44:45 PM
Newcastle 27th June

2.00 - Chipchase Stakes
between these four - Danzeno, Eastern Impact, Watchable and Mattmu
nothing appeals at the current odds. :(

2.35 - 6f Handicap
Major Jack and Arctic Feeling are the two i"ve backed one drawn low and one high.. The top 2 currently heading the market look opposable imo.. Bushcraft looks good round a turn but different conditions today on a straight 6f in the biggest field of runners he has faced. Tanzeel making his seasonal debut and entered in the Bunbury Cup may not be fully wound up today.
MJ + AF are 9/1 and 25/1 with the bookmakers atm...

3.10 - 7f Handicap
Baraweez and Zarwaan have a good chance, Ellison has booked Silvestre De Sousa his go to man when he fancies his horse [Colm O"Donoghue the usual jock is riding in the Irish Derby]
Zarwaan has the best recent form on offer after finishing 4 and a half lengths behind Speculative Bid, although a entry into the Bunbury Cup is a tad off putting.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 04, 2015, 12:54:03 PM
the fred overall currently stands at +275.21 points.


Sandown 4th July
2.00 - 5f Group3 Sprint
Stepper Point @10/1  1point win

2.35 - Challenge Handicap
Basem @7/2  2point win
Sahaafy @9/2  2point win


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 04, 2015, 13:11:35 PM
3.10 - Distaff
Jellicle Ball @4/1  1point win
Pack Together @33/1  0.5point ew [1/4 odds with bet365 + coral]

1.25 - 7f Handicap [soon to run]
Crack Shot @10/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 09, 2015, 11:03:34 AM
the fred overall currently stands at +276.21 points.

Newmarket 9th July
2.40 - July Stakes
Eltezam @6/1  1point ew

3.15 - Princess Of Wales
Gospel Choir @7/2  1point win
Hillstar @13/2  1point win

3.45 - 10f Handicap
Awesome Power @7/2  2point win
Dissolution @11/2  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 10, 2015, 09:20:56 AM
the fred overall currently stands at +269.21 points.

Newmarket 10th July
2.10 - 7f Fillies Handicap
Wordcraft @7/2  3point win
Enlace @14/1  1point win
Muffri"ha @18/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 10, 2015, 11:45:10 AM

the fred overall currently stands at +269.21 points.

Newmarket 10th July
2.10 - 7f Fillies Handicap
Wordcraft @7/2  3point win
Enlace @14/1  1point win
Muffri"ha @18/1  1point win


Newmarket 10th July
3.45 - 6f Handicap
Magical Memory @7/1  3point win
Steve Prescott @25/1  1point ew

going with the best form shown so far - MM efforts behind Twilight Son give him a great chance, Moore booked [edit was booked:)], should be 5/1 the field imho.
SP is far to big of a price  his run behind Captain Colby was a great effort as CC set a ferocious pace and with the field strung out at halfway SP was the only horse who could get near Colby to put up a challenge in the last furlong.
Both picks have decent course form :)
BTW - keep an eye out for Captain Colby especially if Ryan enters him in the Nunthorpe, one to follow imo as he"ll only get better with time.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 10, 2015, 13:41:48 PM
out of the other races at Newmarket today -

in the 2.40 Duchess of Cambridge nothing appealed to me odds wise, thought about laying Easton Angel :) the Albany and the Queen Mary are a good pointer generally for this race so if forced to bet i"d side with Illuminate. Each way Kurland and Blue Bayou could cause a surprise [both to big odds wise imo] but for the fred today i"ve concentrated my attention to the televised handicaps.
the 3.15 Falmouth Stakes Lucida looks the likely winner given her 1000 Guineas and Coronation form, of the French challengers i"d prefer Fintry. Upset wise Euro Charline has a squeak and at the odds wouldn"t be the worst punt in the world.

non ch4 races later on Mr Win,Buckstay and Accession are my punts for the Silver Bunbury Cup at 4.55....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 10, 2015, 18:15:33 PM
the fred overall currently stands at +283.21 points.

Magical Memory ran to form, Muffri"ha got out of her pocket but found one to good on the day and all 3 punts in the Silver Bunbury Cup decided to finish 1,2,3...
The Bunbury Cup is the target race tomorrow, i"ll post up later tonight...
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 10, 2015, 19:22:17 PM
Newmarket 11th July
3.10 - Bunbury Cup
Heaven"s Guest @14/1  1point win
Suzi"s Connoisseur @16/1  1point win
Jallota @14/1  1 point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 10, 2015, 21:56:53 PM

Newmarket 11th July
3.10 - Bunbury Cup
Heaven"s Guest @14/1  1point win
Suzi"s Connoisseur @16/1  1point win
Jallota @14/1  1 point win


Newmarket 11th July
2.00 - Mile Handicap
Quick Defence @8/1  1point win
Snoano @20/1  1point win
Good Contact @10/1  1point win

Ascot 11th July
2.10 - 5f Handicap
Discussiontofollow @15/2  1point win
Desert Law @14/1  1point win

York 11th July
2.20 - John Smith"s Silver Cup
Great Hall @14/1  1point win
Famous Kid @11/2  2point win
Astronereus @6/1  2point win

3.25 - John Smith"s Cup
Fire Fighting @12/1  1point ew
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 18, 2015, 02:02:28 AM
the fred overall currently stands at +282.21 points


Newbury 18th July
2.35 - Steventon Stakes
Fire Fighting @11/2  1point win
Mustadeem @7/1  1point win

3.45 - Super Sprint
Excessable @3/1  3point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 18, 2015, 10:09:30 AM
Excessable looks the one to beat and Hawatif EW, Portamento in the 3.10 and Consort in the 2.35. 2.15 NewM Dream Child. 4.35 NewM Aranka. 2.10 Ripon Whispering Wolf EW
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 19, 2015, 09:45:30 AM
One winner, 3 2nds, very nearly a good day. The winner was 10/1 so profit for the day.

Sensational Secret runs in a weeks time
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Zozzy on July 19, 2015, 10:27:18 AM
Horses for today from a respected tipping site, if anyone is interested:


We are on a pretty good run of profit the last few days and are on course to break the 1000pts profits barrier (hopefully today).

CURRAGH
2.05 Karalara 4/1 2 point win
2.35 Dancing On Air 4/1 2 point win
3.10 Home Of The Brave 5/1 3 point win
3.45 Brooch 11/4 4 point win NAP
4.15 Gallope 5/1 2 point win
4.50 Encrypted Message 9/1 1 point EW Longshot
5.20 Tara Dylan 10/3 2 point win

REDCAR
2.00 Barabau 7/1 1 point EW
2.30 Bold Henmie 7/1 1 point EW
3.05 Taffetta 5/1 2 point win
3.40 Commissar 2/1 2 point win
4.10 Eastern Racer 10/3 2 point win
4.45 Wiener Valkyrie 13/8 2 point win
5.15 Bahamian Desert 2/1 3 point win NB
5.45 Bowdlers Magic 8/1 1 point EW

So far in 2015 our horse racing tips are +980.08pts up which includes all singles, Lucky15s and Daily Doubles
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Zozzy on July 19, 2015, 10:36:13 AM
p.s. I am not betting on any of them, I just stumbled across it for your information.



#iamnotliableforanylosses   :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 19, 2015, 12:17:48 PM
what site?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Zozzy on July 20, 2015, 08:03:57 AM

what site?

http://getyour-tipsout.co.uk/category/horse-racing/

Twitter follow  @GetYourTipsOut
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 25, 2015, 00:54:31 AM
the fred overall currently stands at +277.21 points

Ascot 25th July
3.15 - International Stakes
Suzi"s Connoisseur @14/1  2point ew
Heaven"s Guest @12/1  1point ew

3.50 - King George
Madame Chiang @16/1  1point ew
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 25, 2015, 13:53:44 PM
York 25th July
3.30 - 6f Dash
Tanzeel @7/1  2point win
Algar Lad @10/1  2point win
Pipers Note @20/1  1point win

tough day today, chanced some points in the 2 big handicaps and the horn won"t be blowing it today in the King George:)
a hefty rule4 and the field has cut up, i knew that with backing Madame Chiang last night it was a high possibility it"d end up like that. Snow Sky is the one to beat imho and Eagle Top is far to short given he"s untested in the ground, Pivotal yes but not all take to soft conditions. Clever Cookie 5/1 right now, REALLY :o  i"ll be gob smacked if that wins ::)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 27, 2015, 15:11:56 PM
the fred overall currently stands at +306.21 points


28th July Goodwood
2.00 - 10f Handicap
Mount Logan @8/1  2point win
Sennockian Star @12/1  1point win
Fire Fighting @16/1  2point win
Forgotten Hero @16/1  1point win

tight on form compared to previous years, others of note imho are Voice Of A Leader and Master The World.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 27, 2015, 21:11:33 PM
28th July Goodwood
3.45 - Summer Stakes
Farquhar @15/2  1point win
Notarised @8/1  1point win

4.20 - 5f Handicap
Top Boy @10/1  1point win
Perfect Muse @12/1  1point win

5.30 - 8f Handicap
Volunteer Point @12/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 28, 2015, 08:56:32 AM
The 2nd best meeting of the year (after York Ebor)

2.00 Elhaame 9/1
3.10 Toormore 9/4
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 28, 2015, 13:44:54 PM

The 2nd best meeting of the year (after York Ebor)

2.00 Elhaame 9/1
3.10 Toormore 9/4


good luck Wayne, today although tricky mainly because of the ground question it does make it a good day to punt. plenty of variables equals punters paradise imho :)
the last thing any punter needs is predictable racing, we don"t want it to easy for the layers to price up the racing :o

so a big thank you to Seamus COC at Goodwood, your going descriptions are legendary :)  last year good going before the first, good to firm straight after the race finished [on the fast side of GtF] #goingstick?????
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 28, 2015, 17:54:49 PM
+7 points on day1 means the fred overall currently stands at +313.21 points

29th July Goodwood
4.55 - Fillies Stakes Handicap
Forest Maiden @11/2  2point win
Lady Marl @12/1  1point win
Hala Madrid @16/1  1point win
Sonnetation @16/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on July 28, 2015, 19:31:09 PM
Did you get my PM
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 29, 2015, 04:19:31 AM
29th July Goodwood
2.00 - Goodwood Stakes
Aramist @22/1  1point win
Gavlar @12/1  1point win

2.35 - Gordon Stakes
Highland Reel @2/1  2point win
Disegno @6/1  1point win

5.25 - 7f Handicap
Mime Dance @10/1  1point win
Fiftyshadesofgrey @12/1  1point win


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 29, 2015, 04:52:27 AM

Did you get my PM



seen it now :)  wear your lucky pants today [take no chances ;)]
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 30, 2015, 02:02:02 AM
-5 points on day2 means the fred overall currently stands at +308.21 points

30th July Goodwood
2.05 - 10f Handicap
Gibeon @16/1  1point win
Resonant @11/1  1point win

3.10 - Goodwood Cup
Quest For More @11/2  3points ew

3.45 - The Lillie Langtry Stakes
Arabian Comet @9/2  1point win
Jordan Princess @5/1  2point win
Kaldera @8/1  1point win

5.30 - 5f Handicap
Penny Dreadful @33/1  1point win
Kinematic @16/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 31, 2015, 12:47:36 PM
+11.12 points on day3 means the fred overall currently stands at +319.33 points

31st July Goodwood
2.00 - Glorious Stakes
The Corsican @2/1  2point win
Dubday @13/2  1point win

2.35 - Thoroughbred Stakes
Kool Kompany @16/1  0.5point ew

3.10 - Betfred Golden Mile
Basem @6/1  2point win
Chil The Kite @14/1  1point win
Belgian Bill @20/1  1point win

3.45 - King George Stakes
Cotai Glory @6/1  2point win
Muthmir @11/2  2point win

5.30 - 11f Handicap
Taraz @7/2  2point win
Shell Bay @12/1  1point win



Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 31, 2015, 18:35:08 PM
+8 points on day4 means the fred overall currently stands at +327.33 points

last day tomorrow and the Stewards Cup to look forward to.. holding back the bets until/in case Seamus decides to water :)

looking at the going stick readings across the country which makes you think :o

Goodwood   31 July   30 July - 01 August   
Good to Firm (Good in Places)   7.6 on Friday at 09:45

Ripon   31 July   03 August   
Good to Soft   7.8 on Friday at 14:15

Catterick   31 July   04 August   
Soft (Good to Soft in places)   7.4 on Friday at 14:00



Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on July 31, 2015, 21:15:08 PM
1st August Goodwood

3.45 - Stewards Cup
Huntsmans Close @8/1  2point win
Related @16/1  2point win
Basil Berry @33/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 01, 2015, 01:32:30 AM
1st August Goodwood

2.00 - Consolation Stewards Sprint
Barnet Fair @16/1  1point win
Seeking Magic @22/1  1point win
Rex Imperator @12/1  1point win

2.35 - 12f Handicap
Dartmouth @4/1  2point win
River Dart @12/1  1point win
Novancia @11/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 01, 2015, 09:56:54 AM
2.00 Rex Imperator 10/1
3.10 Legatissimo 2/1
4.55 Flash Fire 4/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 01, 2015, 13:42:23 PM

2.00 Rex Imperator 10/1
3.10 Legatissimo 2/1
4.55 Flash Fire 4/1


Good luck today Wayne, there is some very competitive racing today and the layers will be hoping to get a few favourites beat today. The Nassau in particular looks very tight, John Gosden races three today hoping to extend his recent good record in this race. All three have chances, Star Of Seville on her Musidora and Prix Diane is the obvious. The other two have good squeaks, Jazzi Top will improve for the drop back and with Buick riding at 16/1 makes each way appeal. Bright Approach has only had three starts in her interrupted career, on debut at Newbury she made good headway two from home before showing a smart turn of foot to lead inside the final furlong and win eased down by 1.5 lengths from Be My Gal. The runner-up went on to score in Listed and Group3 company, and the fourth home Marsh Daisy went on to win twice, the Height of Fashion Stakes included. Talmada came 3rd and has never really fulfilled her ability although she has bumped into the odd good one :) Covert Love at Newcastle being the latest example. At 50/1 and Hughes booked, Bright Approach this once 5/1 shot for the Ribblesdale wouldn"t be the worst each way punt. Back to Covert Love and the tie in with Talmada gives O"Briens Wedding Vow a half decent shout at 10/1.
I haven"t put them up in the Fred but 3 decent each way shouts imho - Bright Approach @50/1  Jazzi Top @16/1 and Wedding Vow @10/1.

good luck all..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 04, 2015, 15:36:45 PM
-2 points on day5 means the fred overall currently stands at +325.33 points


an ok Goodwood, the Ebor festival next up then the Cambridgeshire and the Ayr Gold Cup looming up. this season seems to be going by so quickly!

Goodwood
day1  +7 points
day2  -5 points
day3  +11.12 points
day4  +8 points
day5  -2 points

+19.12 points overall for the festival, the Shergar Cup at Ascot is up next on Saturday.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 07, 2015, 20:46:18 PM
8th August Ascot

12.55 - Shergar Cup Dash
Secretinthepark @8/1  2point win
Justice Day @7/1  2point win

2.05 - Shergar Cup Challenge 12f Handicap
Xinbama @5/1  1point win
worth a punt in what looks a wide open race but even though up in class for his last run at Leicester, with Spencer riding again its worth a tickle. Whacked up 8lbs for a cosy win - http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/results/22-07-2015/leicester/result/683973/tom-cribb-handicap/video

3.15 - Shergar Cup Classic 12f Handicap
Polarisation @6/1  2point win
Havisham @7/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 07, 2015, 21:03:57 PM
8th August Haydock

2.20 - 10f Handicap
Sennockian Star @14/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 09, 2015, 01:29:40 AM
+9 points yesterday so the fred overall currently stands at +334.33 points


next target race will be the Great St. Wilfrid at Ripon next Saturday - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_St._Wilfrid_Stakes
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 11, 2015, 21:10:20 PM
i"ve done a review of the fred since april 2013 [when i started to stake by points] to see how its doing in ROI terms - [counted up the points staked since april 2013 page by page :"( and it was 1566 points staked for +334.33 points profit]

334.33/1566 = +21.34%


i"ve copied all the posts and i"m going to review over time the 1000 or so bets :o and try to up the ROI..

from my own personal records in my daily betting i know which types of races and distances etc where my better strike rates and ROI"s are..
i just have to figure out how i can apply it to the donk fred within the staking strategy and the tv/festival races i stick to in the fred..

win some lose some, sometimes the odd horrendous losing streak in the fred :(  but that"s what is so great, the battle is the enjoyable part and hopefully still turn a profit LONG TERM.. if not then review and learn, move on :)



Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: mousebob on August 11, 2015, 22:12:23 PM
After reading your last post my initial thoughts are;
1. Don"t worry about your % profit-it"s already excellent.
2. Whatever your stake per point is you must increase it.
3. Open other accounts with as many bookmakers as possible in order to obtain the best odds
& be able to get your bets on when they start closing your accounts.
4. I must start betting on your selections & not just reading after time!
Good luck & keep up the good studying. Personally I tend to keep to maidens/2 year olds (less form!)
Bob.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 15, 2015, 01:17:14 AM

After reading your last post my initial thoughts are;
1. Don"t worry about your % profit-it"s already excellent.
2. Whatever your stake per point is you must increase it.
3. Open other accounts with as many bookmakers as possible in order to obtain the best odds
& be able to get your bets on when they start closing your accounts.
4. I must start betting on your selections & not just reading after time!
Good luck & keep up the good studying. Personally I tend to keep to maidens/2 year olds (less form!)
Bob.


thanks Bob, i always want to get better, it just means i have to put the work in :)
on the stakes - i"m going to change a few things next flat season.
bookies - lots already closed or restricted, still got some but thank god for the exchanges :)
stick up some of your fancies on here if you think something in the mdns/2yo races is worth a dabble.


15th August Ripon
3.00 - Silver Trophy
Fast Shot @12/1  1point win
Mississippi @16/1  1point win

3.30 - Great St Wilfrid
Shore Step @12/1  1point win
Poyle Vinnie @10/1  1point win
Tatlisu @12/1  1point win

the recent rain means i"m not going mad today at Ripon.

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 15, 2015, 09:31:31 AM
Off to Donny to see if I can win some money for York  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 15, 2015, 12:56:54 PM
Arlington Park: Win/Place-Bet: R7 American St.Leger - Lucky Speed 5/1; R8 Secretariat Stakes - Goldstream 9/2. Place-Bet: R10 Arlington Million Stakes - Wake Forrest 12/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 16, 2015, 10:45:16 AM

Off to Donny to see if I can win some money for York  


did plan-A work Wayne?



Arlington Park: Win/Place-Bet: R7 American St.Leger - Lucky Speed 5/1; R8 Secretariat Stakes - Goldstream 9/2. Place-Bet: R10 Arlington Million Stakes - Wake Forrest 12/1


good ride from Andreas there Achim...  Todays pun for the Arlington Million is ""The Pizza Man Gets the Dough""
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 17, 2015, 11:36:24 AM
Not plan A but plan C  :)

Plan A win more money then what i went with, fail

Plan B win enough money to pay for the day (Drink, Food, Travaling, Gambling) fail

Plan C win enough money to pay for the gambling, tick

Two good winners 5/1, 13/2 and some 2nds (did not back ew)

Went with the Mrs so was picking 2 or 3 per race so that eat into the profits or would have been a more prfitable day  

Bring On York  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 19, 2015, 09:00:35 AM
1.55 Luchy Beggar
2.30 Recorder / Adventurous
3.05 Tashaar
3.40 Golden Horn
4.20 Sweeping Up
4.55 Tawwaaq  /  Whitman
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 19, 2015, 09:01:42 AM
SS given a mark of 62 will be running BH Monday  ;)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 19, 2015, 10:28:49 AM
one non runner and a 4point loss Saturday leaves the fred currently overall at +330.33 points



Bring On York  


19th August York
1.55 - Symphony Group Stakes h/c
Bogart @12/1  2point win
Mass Rally @16/1  2point win
Shore Step @12/1  1point win

2.30 - Acomb Stakes
Jaadu @33/1  0.5point ew
Recorder @4/1  2point win
Lieutenant General @5/1  1point win

3.05 - Great Voltigeur Stakes
Balios @9/2  2point win
Storm The Stars @3/1  2point win

3.40 - Juddmonte International
csf - 6 to beat 4  2points
csf - 6 to beat 5  1point

4.20 - 16f Handicap
Ridgeway Storm @20/1  1point win
Lungarno Palace @16/1  1point win

4.55 - Nursery h/c
Kassia @14/1  1point win
Dark Defender @12/1  1point win
Whitman @10/1  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 20, 2015, 10:50:35 AM
a -3point loss yesterday D1 at York leaves the fred currently overall at +327.33 points

well that was a turn up yesterday, i"m not in the fillies are ahead of the colts camp :)

on to today and a easy day2 card for picking out winners, only fillies and mares races, 2yo races and a one competitive handicap to mull over :o  layers nirvana :)


20th August York D2
1.55 - 2yo Yearling Stakes
Lathom @10/1  2point win
Excessable @9/1  1point win
Mr Lupton @16/1  1point win

i"m taking on short favourite Tasleet with the Super Sprint form.


2.30 - Lowther Stakes
Besharah @7/2  3point win
Easton Angel @7/2  1point win

3.05 - 8f Handicap
You"re Fired @6/1  1point ew

3.40 - Yorkshire Oaks
Covert Love @11/4  3point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 20, 2015, 11:41:44 AM
20th August York D2
4.20 - Sir Henry Cecil Stakes
Suffused @4/1  1point win
Martlet @8/1  1point win

4.55 - 7f Fillies Handicap
Spangled @7/2  2point win
Risen Sun @12/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: mousebob on August 20, 2015, 16:52:21 PM
Backed Spangled at 6/1 yesterday, laid some back at 3/1.
Hoping for a good run in 3 minutes!!
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 21, 2015, 08:00:17 AM
a +4.5point profit yesterday D2 at York leaves the fred currently overall at +331.83 points


Backed Spangled at 6/1 yesterday, laid some back at 3/1.
Hoping for a good run in 3 minutes!!


came out the gate to slow Mouse which cost her in the end in how the race panned out.

21st August York D3
1.55 - 12f Handicap
Libran @12/1  1point win

2.30 - Lonsdale Cup
Mizzou @5/1  1point win
Vent De Force @12/1  1point win

3.05 - City Of York Stakes
Fadhayyil @8/1  2point win
Speculative Bid @8/1  1point win

3.40 - Nunthorpe Stakes
Profitable @25/1  1point win
Line Of Reason @40/1  1point win
Goldream @16/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on August 21, 2015, 13:51:32 PM
1.55 Memorial Day
2.30 Big Orange
3.05 Hevens Guest
3.40 Acapulco
4.20 Fawaareq
4.55 Hathal
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 21, 2015, 16:49:41 PM
a +20.8point profit today D3 at York leaves the fred currently overall at +352.63 points

last day of the ebor festival tomorrow and of course the target race is the Ebor h/c... i"ll put up the picks this evening or early in the morning... dogs to walk etc :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 22, 2015, 08:04:18 AM
22nd August York D4
2.35 - Melrose Stakes
Dannyday @12/1  1point win
Maxwell @12/1  1point win

3.45 - Ebor Handicap
Quick Jack @6/1  3point win
Wicklow Brave @9/1  1point win



Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 22, 2015, 12:30:54 PM
Ebor Handicap:

Think interesting odds, my bet at York today.

Win/Place

#8 Ajman Bridge 12/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 22, 2015, 17:28:36 PM

22nd August York D4
2.35 - Melrose Stakes
Dannyday @12/1  1point win
Maxwell @12/1  1point win

3.45 - Ebor Handicap
Quick Jack @6/1  3point win
Wicklow Brave @9/1  1point win



@noble1 Good pick!

All in all a big disappoinment for favoured horses and big money for successful punters.



1 Litigant 33/1
2 Wicklow Brave 9/1
3 Suegioo 40/1
4 Toe The Line 25/1

WIN £39.30 PL £7.00, £3.60, £6.40, £4.70
Ex £529.90
CSF £258.81
TRICAST £9917.89
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 23, 2015, 09:00:01 AM
a -6point profit today D4 at York leaves the fred currently overall at +346.63 points

Ebor Festival
D1 -3 points
D2 +4.5 points
D3 +20.8points
D4 -6points

+16.3points overall for the festival.

all in all an ok week :) the Ebor h/c was a surprise, great one for the layers Achim :)

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 23, 2015, 10:30:00 AM
Win/Place
Worcester: R5 NESTERENKO
Deauville: R6 ALEX MY BOY

Place:
Deauville R5: FEODORA, think soft ground no disadvantage, interesting longshot, horse for combined bets.

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 23, 2015, 20:02:24 PM

Win/Place
Worcester: R5 NESTERENKO
Deauville: R6 ALEX MY BOY

Place:
Deauville R5: FEODORA, think soft ground no disadvantage, interesting longshot, horse for combined bets.


a good bit of training and placement from Andreas there Achim, connections felt the easier ground would be more suitable for the horse when he moved from the Johnston yard... totally different class of horse on easy going now..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on August 23, 2015, 21:33:30 PM
Back to back for Trainer Andreas Woehler, Protectionist won the Prix Kergorlay 2014.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: mousebob on August 24, 2015, 20:30:57 PM
Off to Newbury tomorrow night.
I like a 2yo in the 6.10. Rocking Rudolph.
Good looking filly with a lot of size & scope, lost all chance in the stalls last time.
Taken 10/1 so hope to get a run for my money.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 29, 2015, 11:50:48 AM
the fred currently overall stands at +346.63 points


29th August Goodwood
2.35 - 7f Handicap
Suzi"s Connoisseur @8/1  2point win
Rene Mathis @16/1  1point win
Pastoral Player @16/1  1point win
Jallota @16/1  1point win

3.10 - March Stakes
Rawaki @3/1  3point win
Vive Ma Fille @3/1  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on August 29, 2015, 19:38:07 PM
a +7point profit today leaves the fred currently overall at +353.63 points

next week its the Haydock Sprint Cup to be perused over :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 05, 2015, 03:02:34 AM
5th September Ascot
2.50 - 7f Handicap
Mullionheir @8/1  2point win
Above The Rest @14/1  2point win

3.25 - 12f Handicap
Dissolution @10/1  1point win
Muqtaser @7/1  1point win


5th September Haydock
2.35 - Old Borough Cup
Aramist @16/1  1point ew
Blue Wave @10/1  1point win

3.45 - Sprint Cup
Danzeno @13/2  2point win
Gordon Lord Byron @8/1  2point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 11, 2015, 11:44:51 AM
a stinker of a day and a -11point loss last Saturday leaves the fred currently overall at +342.63 points


11th September Doncaster
1.55 - Flying Childers
Log Out Island @14/1  1point win
Areen @16/1  1point win

2.30 - Mallard Stakes
Noble Silk @33/1  1point win
Curbyourenthusiasm @6/1  2point win

3.05 - Doncaster Cup
Fun Mac @6/1  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on September 11, 2015, 12:36:30 PM
Went on Wednesday, had 3 winners including a 9/1  ;D

Struck out yesterday

Like the look of todays racing

1.55 Gutaifan 2/1
2.30 Not Never 5/1
3.05 Claondaw Warrior 6/1
3.40
4.15 Shore Step 4/1
5.50 Tashweeq  5/2
 
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 11, 2015, 15:45:21 PM

Went on Wednesday, had 3 winners including a 9/1  ;D


well done Wayne, i hope your making a profit :)
i steered clear of yesterdays racing but on Wednesday i had a rare bet in the nursery. I"d been at Newmarket when Show Legend ran 2nd behind Experto Crede and carrying 14lbs less in the nursery i drip fed as much as i could on the exchanges.
KERCHING i love it when i pull one out of the hat like that :)

today a rather handy drift to 7/1 for Curbyourenthusiasm leaves the fred in profit by +9points, overall +351.63 points.

tomorrow i"ll leave late to see if the rain comes, the Portland is my main focus/target race plus the 7f122y h/c at Chester looks an ok betting race for me.

good luck with Shore Step and Tashweeq in your last 2 betting races today Wayne.  Shore Step looks solid, i was nearly tempted with Love Island but decided to swerve.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 12, 2015, 11:15:39 AM
12th September Doncaster
2.35 - Portland Handicap
Highland Acclaim @11/1  2point win
Kimberella @16/1  2point win

Chester
2.15 - 7f122y Handicap
Gabrial"s Kaka @13/2  2point win
Jack"s Revenge @16/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 18, 2015, 21:33:45 PM
a -7point loss last Saturday leaves the fred overall +344.63 points.

19th September Ayr
3.45 - Ayr Gold Cup
Heaven"s Guest @20/1  2point win
Rene Mathis @16/1  2point win
Buckstay @14/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on September 18, 2015, 22:46:46 PM
Don"t Touch @ 8/1 EW 5 places
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 25, 2015, 12:19:03 PM
a -5point loss last Saturday leaves the fred overall +339.63 points.

well done Wayne last Saturday,Fahey was having a blinder of a day and fingers crossed has another Heavens Guest type to go to war with next season to mop up a few more valuable handicaps :)


Newmarket 25th September
1.55 - Rosemary Stakes
Spangled @4/1  2point win
Muffri"ha @8/1  1point wun
Light And Shade @10/1  1point win

2.30 - Nayef Stakes
Journey @9/2  2point win

3.05 - Rockfel Stakes
Doubly Motivated @9/2  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 26, 2015, 10:59:48 AM
a +4point profit yesterday leaves the fred overall +343.63 points.


26th September Newmarket
3.50 - Cambridgeshire Handicap
Abseil @12/1  3point win
Portage @8/1  3point win
Halation @18/1  1point win
My Dream Boat @22/1  1point win
Master The World @33/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 27, 2015, 09:59:46 AM
alas yesterday Master The World got lonely in front and idled a wee bit, for a excruciating 2nd.

that means a -9point loss yesterday which leaves the fred overall +334.63 points.

The Arc next week, can Treve be beaten?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: CincinnatiKid on September 27, 2015, 22:12:14 PM
Three Group 1 wins today for german horses were are really good day for our racing scene.
Nightflower/Cologne
Red Dubawi/Milan
Kazzio/Meran (hurdle)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on September 30, 2015, 10:31:22 AM

Three Group 1 wins today for german horses were are really good day for our racing scene.
Nightflower/Cologne
Red Dubawi/Milan
Kazzio/Meran (hurdle)


For those that may not know The Gran Premio Merano is worth a massive 250,000 Euros held in Italy. It is a group1 Steeplechase and the most valuable/biggest jumps race in Italy.
Willie Mullins had sent over Perfect Gentlemen with Ruby riding, Kazzio the sole german representative won quite nicely having previously shown good form winning 3 Seejagdrennen lake steeplechases and finishing 2nd in the the Grand Steeplechase de Flanders at Waregem in Belgium.

Nightflower is a Dylan Thomas filly who has been second in both the German Oaks and Grosser Preis von Baden this year trained by the excellent Peter Schiergen. She won the group1 Preis von Europa in Cologne beating a decent field.

Red Dubawi trained by Erika Mader came from last place to win the Premio Vittorio di Capua.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SxIxykjo49I - RIP Perfect Gentlemen who sadly died in the race when jumping into the back of a horse and when on the ground it looks like the back marker runs over him giving him a knock which sadly killed him.


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on October 03, 2015, 08:47:19 AM
3.30 NewM Integral 7/2
3.45 Ascot Farlow 16/1
               Buckstay 6/1
4.20 Ascot Farsakh 4/1
3.00 Redcar Mr Lupton 7/1
                 Still On Top 10/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 03, 2015, 11:03:20 AM
good luck today Wayne.

3rd October Ascot
3.45 - Challenge Cup
Heaven"s Guest @10/1  2point win
Tanzeel @10/1  2point win
Mister Universe @18/1  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 04, 2015, 13:00:02 PM
a -6point loss yesterday so that leaves the fred overall +328.63 points

4th October Longchamp
2.55 - Prix de l"Arc de Triomphe
Golden Horn @6/1  2point win
Treve @5/4  2point win [insurance :)]

both had the best group1 preps imho.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 06, 2015, 23:18:41 PM
a +10point profit Sunday in the Arc, so that leaves the fred overall +338.63 points


This Friday the 2 day future Champion series festival begins at Newmarket, fillies day1 and colts day2. Fingers crossed for some profitable punts :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 09, 2015, 12:17:22 PM
9th October Newmarket
2.40 - Challenge Stakes
Belardo @6/1  1point win
Markaz @9/2  1point win

3.45 - Old Rowley Cup
Not Never @8/1 2point win
Wonder Laish @5/1  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on October 10, 2015, 11:22:23 AM
Looking forward to the 3.10 Newmarket, flip of a coin but i"m in the Emotionless camp.
2.35 Newmarket Ibn Malik
2.15 York Memorial Day
3.25 York Golden Steps  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 10, 2015, 11:23:43 AM
a -6point loss yesterday, so that leaves the fred overall +332.63 points

10th October Newmarket
3.50 - Cesarewitch Handicap
Grumeti @40/1  1point win
Steve Rogers @25/1  1point win
Nearly Caught @20/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 10, 2015, 11:48:50 AM

Looking forward to the 3.10 Newmarket, flip of a coin but i"m in the Emotionless camp.
2.35 Newmarket Ibn Malik
2.15 York Memorial Day
3.25 York Golden Steps  


good luck Wayne, i like Emotionless, to the eye and by the Birchwood/Galileo Gold form line.. but its a sit, watch and enjoy type race from my punting point of view.

10th October York
3.25 - Coral Sprint Trophy
Blaine @16/1  2point win
Highland Acclaim @12/1  2point win
Go Far @18/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 10, 2015, 17:39:11 PM
a +43point profit today thanks to Grumeti who drifted before the off to 50/1,79.24 if u backed bfsp :o so that leaves the fred overall +375.63 points

British Champions Day at Ascot next week, there"s going to be some good racing to enjoy.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on October 11, 2015, 13:55:30 PM

a +43point profit today thanks to Grumeti who drifted before the off to 50/1,79.24 if u backed bfsp :o so that leaves the fred overall +375.63 points

British Champions Day at Ascot next week, there"s going to be some good racing to enjoy.


Great pick, I was on Oriental Fox
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 17, 2015, 12:21:54 PM


a +43point profit today thanks to Grumeti who drifted before the off to 50/1,79.24 if u backed bfsp :o so that leaves the fred overall +375.63 points

British Champions Day at Ascot next week, there"s going to be some good racing to enjoy.


Great pick, I was on Oriental Fox


a great race to watch back Wayne, there are a couple who finished back in the field who may prove profitable to follow.


17th October Ascot
12.45 - Long Distance Cup
Wicklow Brave @10/1  1point win

1.20 - Champions Sprint Stakes
Twilight Son @5/1  1point win

1.55 - Fillies & Mares Stakes
Madame Chiang @20/1  1point win
Journey @7/1  1point win

3.05 - Champion Stakes
The Corsican @11/1  1point win

3.45 - Balmoral Handicap
Musaddas @7/1  1point win
Gm Hopkins @11/1  1point win
Master The World @14/1  1point win

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 17, 2015, 16:40:22 PM
a break even profit today :) so that leaves the fred overall +375.63 points

RIP Howard Kendall, a top class footballer [which gets over looked a tad imho] and a toffee legend as a manager.
Nil Satis Nisi Optimum
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 23, 2015, 11:11:44 AM
Last day of the flat racing season tomorrow for the donk fred.
Not to bad of a season,profit is profit.I"ll have the odd go at the big handicaps during the jumps season. Roll on next year and Cheltenham. :-:-)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on October 24, 2015, 01:56:42 AM
24th October Doncaster
2.35 5f h/c
Demora @6/1  2point win
Arctic Feeling @10/1  1point win
Union Rose  @16/1  1point win

3.45 Racing Post Trophy
Foundation @evs  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 06, 2015, 18:16:13 PM
last flat h/c to have a go at, profit total currently stands at +369.63 points.

7th November Doncaster
3.30 November Handicap
Mistiroc @10/1  2point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 14, 2015, 13:01:25 PM
fred profit overall is +367.63 points.
no fred bets today but I"ve had a dabble in the big handicap at Cheltenham , the three I like are-
Present View
Generous Ransom
Annacotty

PV - 1st time blinkers=interesting
GR - has had a wind op,prepped over hurdles lto
AC - still nicely hc"d imho
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 14, 2015, 14:49:22 PM
never cheered as loud

:-P
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 15, 2015, 13:03:37 PM
Annacotty ran well 16/1 readily available minutes before the off.
I"m not counting these towards the fred total. The Greatwood is the hc I"m having a bash at today, there are two I like -
Devilment and Totalize

Triumph form and a 2nd to Lac Fontana.
Dev is better hc"d than what connections perceive imho.
Tot will love the ground and that 2nd equals chicken dinner.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Zozzy on November 20, 2015, 20:49:18 PM
One of my favorite horses is running tomorrow in the big race at Haydock . I"ve not had a bet on the gee gees for a while but I will be having a little flutter.

Saturday 21st Nov

Cue Card    - Betfair Chase  3pm Haydock
odds 3/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 21, 2015, 14:29:43 PM
good luck zoz, just a watch for me. Cue ran well lto and conti has his ideal conditions.
I"m going to have a crack at the Hennessey next week.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Zozzy on November 23, 2015, 15:05:13 PM

One of my favorite horses is running tomorrow in the big race at Haydock . I"ve not had a bet on the gee gees for a while but I will be having a little flutter.

Saturday 21st Nov

Cue Card    - Betfair Chase  3pm Haydock
odds 3/1
WOW! Cue Card won by 7 lengths!
I got the 3/1 as well  (http://www.clicksmilies.com/s1106/party/party-smiley-018.gif)

#zozzythetipster
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 24, 2015, 18:24:35 PM
congrats #zozzythetipster   :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on November 27, 2015, 22:07:39 PM
28th November
Newbury 3.00 - Hennessy Gold Cup
If In Doubt @8/1
Bob"s Worth @6/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on December 12, 2015, 12:22:48 PM
Cheltenham
1.50 CAVIAR GOLD CUP Handicap Chase
For this race I have plumped for good recent form to split my shortlist.
That left me with -
Tenor Nivernais who won nicely lto at Ascot.
Annacotty - won lto and still hc"d imho to produce back to back wins.
Little Jon - his form ties in with the above.
10/1  8/1  8/1  readily available for the three and I"ve backed all three plus layed Mozoltov.

Buywise got discounted for his jumping.
Sound Investment cut due to ground.
Johns Spirit cut due to form and a uninspired jockey booking from Jonjo.
Champagne West cut because of no recent run.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on January 30, 2016, 13:07:43 PM
there"s some good racing at Cheltenham today but I"ll swerve the temptation and wait until the festival.

the 2.25 looked the best betting race and Tenor Nivernais  at 6/1 ew wouldn"t be the worst bet ever.
as for Johns Spirit I can"t work out what"s happening jockey wise and at 12/1 and  on a good racing weight  compared to the field was nearly a tempting small win bet.


edit - and at Donny in the 3.15 skybet chase Holywell under top weight cannot be discounted plus Ziga Boy warranted a 2nd look on his cd win.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on February 13, 2016, 11:19:07 AM
Newbury 13th Feb Betfair Hurdle
Blazer is worthy of a good size stake. Geraghty doesn"t get down to such a low riding weight for also rans.
Others worth a dabble imho are Stenrubin, Forest Bihan and Zarib.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 14, 2016, 23:39:19 PM
Cheltenham
2.50 - Ultima Handicap
Out Sam @15/2  2point win
The Young Master @14/1  1point win
Indian Castle @25/1  1point win
Ballykan @25/1  1point win

good luck all if your having a punt at the festival this year.
the gold cup is the one I"m most looking forward to, on paper it should be a cracker.

edit - Indian Castle has pulled out so I"m putting an extra point on The Young Master to win 2point win @14/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 15, 2016, 15:20:46 PM
Cheltenham
5.30 novice h/c
Aloomomo @5/1  3point win
Amore Alato @16/1  1point win
Willow"s Saviour @9/1  2point win

after seeing the first three races I"ve decided to put these up in the fred.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 16, 2016, 09:36:30 AM
Cheltenham Day2
2.50 Coral Cup
Rock the Kasbah  @10/1  2point win
Baoulet Delaroque  @12/1  3point win

tough race.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 16, 2016, 11:41:55 AM
Cheltenham Day2
4.50 Fred Winter
Ardamir  @18/1 1point ew
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on March 16, 2016, 11:44:06 AM

Cheltenham Day2
2.50 Coral Cup
Rock the Kasbah  @10/1  2point win
Baoulet Delaroque  @12/1  3point win

tough race.



Coral paying 6 places
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 16, 2016, 11:50:28 AM
yep get on if you can. ew not a bad way to go.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: pables on March 16, 2016, 23:28:58 PM
Not good day today but encouraged by the money back if lose  from Sky

My picks for tomorrow no big surprises

1.30   Black Hercules
2.10   Leave at Dawn
2.50   Vautour
3.30   Thistlecrack
4.10   Fingals Bay
4.50   Limini
5.30   Doctor Harper

Good Luck
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 17, 2016, 10:23:49 AM
good luck Mr Pables, just the one race today for me from a back perspective. 

Cheltenham Day3
2.10 Pertemps Handicap
Arpege D"Alene  @16/1 3point win
Un Ace  @22/1 1point win
Westren Warrior  @22/1 1point win

edit - found a couple more.

4.10 Stable Plate Handicap
Sew on Target  @33/1  1point win
Astracad  @50/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 18, 2016, 11:52:53 AM
Cheltenham Day4
2.10 County Handicap
Montbazen @25/1  2point ew
Fethard Player @50/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on March 18, 2016, 14:23:23 PM

Cheltenham Day4
2.10 County Handicap
Montbazen @25/1  2point ew
Fethard Player @50/1  1point win


I was going to reply earlier as to why you were putting up Fethard Player.  Possibly fancied a cheeky each way, but then my phone rang and I forgot.

Damn clients :)   Nice pick  :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 18, 2016, 14:33:49 PM


Cheltenham Day4
2.10 County Handicap
Montbazen @25/1  2point ew
Fethard Player @50/1  1point win


I was going to reply earlier as to why you were putting up Fethard Player.  Possibly fancied a cheeky each way, but then my phone rang and I forgot.

Damn clients :)   Nice pick  :)


might fail a drug test later Leigh, google the horse and its guaranteed you"ll be amazed at the excuse.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on March 18, 2016, 15:03:34 PM
Wow

Costly way to spend a penny :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 18, 2016, 16:39:02 PM

Wow

Costly way to spend a penny :)


Sharapova missed a trick there, boyfriend pees the bed maybe?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: pables on March 18, 2016, 23:28:32 PM
Crap crap crap day today, decided to lay Zubayr in the JCB Triumph hurdle, whilst drinking my coffee (big mistake in running) but smarkets appeared to move the selections coz all of a sudden a horse I had backed originally,- Ivanovich gorbatov became the welcome recipient,my green suddenly became very red  :"( :"(

still Vautour and Thistlecrack will be fond memories for me and Cue Card getting up after the fall which put my loss into perspective.

See anyone at Aspers tomorrow if going

Be Lucky
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on March 19, 2016, 10:51:46 AM

Crap crap crap day today, decided to lay Zubayr in the JCB Triumph hurdle, whilst drinking my coffee (big mistake in running) but smarkets appeared to move the selections coz all of a sudden a horse I had backed originally,- Ivanovich gorbatov became the welcome recipient,my green suddenly became very red  :"( :"(

still Vautour and Thistlecrack will be fond memories for me and Cue Card getting up after the fall which put my loss into perspective.

See anyone at Aspers tomorrow if going

Be Lucky


lol same here Pables, not the best from a back perspective but made up for it with some good lays. Thistlecrack was a big dent though, Sprinter Sacre is my favourite moment of the festival.  The bookies got away with some huge overrounds,  no one in the media really pointed that out (disappointing)..
The flat season isn"t far away and the Grand National to look forward to now.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 01, 2016, 21:31:42 PM
2nd April Doncaster
2.45 Lincoln H/C
Storm Rock @14/1  2point win
You"re Fired  @16/1  2point win
Secret Brief  @20/1  1point ew
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 02, 2016, 15:44:12 PM
off to a win for the flat season, the first of many imho  :)

the bookies squeezing the sp"s before the off in the Lincoln.
so next week in the national take a price if your backing anything 25/1 and below.
if you fancy a biggish to big outsider back on the exchanges as close as you dare to the off. (win bets)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 05, 2016, 18:47:45 PM
backed UDODONTU at 10/1  :(
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 06, 2016, 19:45:22 PM

backed UDODONTU at 10/1  :(


saving your luck for the National Wayne?  :P
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 07, 2016, 11:24:37 AM
Don"t normaly back on the golf but need somethink for a bit of intrest when watching so I"m on Rose EW @20/1 8 places
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 09, 2016, 01:20:49 AM

Don"t normaly back on the golf but need somethink for a bit of intrest when watching so I"m on Rose EW @20/1 8 places


good luck Wayne, I"m gonna have a crack at the National and cross my fingers that Spurs lose and Leicester win this weekend.

9th April  Aintree
5.15 Grand National
Holywell @16/1  2point win
Boston Bob @33/1  2point win
The Last Samuri @10/1  1point win

good luck everyone whatever you back tomorrow.

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 09, 2016, 10:18:46 AM


Don"t normaly back on the golf but need somethink for a bit of intrest when watching so I"m on Rose EW @20/1 8 places


good luck Wayne, I"m gonna have a crack at the National and cross my fingers that Spurs lose and Leicester win this weekend.

9th April  Aintree
5.15 Grand National
Holywell @16/1  2point win
Boston Bob @33/1  2point win
The Last Samuri @10/1  1point win

good luck everyone whatever you back tomorrow.




That"s both of us with no chance, also gone for Holywell and The Last Samuri   :D
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on April 09, 2016, 12:05:36 PM
Whoops.

Holywell for me aswell, and Buywise as a longer price.

Oh well :) :) :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 09, 2016, 12:58:00 PM
confidence you two, picking National winners is easy lol.

good luck my dear fellows.  :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 11, 2016, 09:08:50 AM

Don"t normaly back on the golf but need somethink for a bit of intrest when watching so I"m on Rose EW @20/1 8 places


a excruciating sweat for you Wayne, so near but alas Rosie just dropped one to many.
What about Speith? that was a blow up of Van de Velde/Greg Norman proportions. Great from a british point of view though :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 12, 2016, 08:46:41 AM
2nd round did it for Rose, he had a great 4th round uintill the 17th and 18th. You always get a run for your money with Rose.

Was about to go to bed when he had his meltdown on the 12th. He had not been playing well all week apart from his putting. His tee to green was one of the worst but is chip and putting ranked 1st. He did well to recove in the final 6 holes and not to plumbit down the leader board.

Happy for Willett, he played at the golf coures i ust to play at in Rotherham.    
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 16, 2016, 09:15:28 AM
16th April Ayr
4.10 Scottish National
Shotgun Paddy  @25/1  1point win
Tour Des Champs  @33/1  1point win
Highland Lodge  @20/1  1point win
Folsom Blue  @14/1  1point win

4 picks that will go in the conditions.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 16, 2016, 10:35:13 AM
Two outsiders for the snooker, Ali Carter and John Higgins if you call these two outsiders lol.
Both under rated in the win market.
C"mon the Captain....
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 16, 2016, 15:37:13 PM
Vyta Du Roc
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 17, 2016, 11:47:51 AM

Vyta Du Roc

ul Wayne,  at least you got some sort of run for your money.

So the Captain got through the first round and the crucible curse struck again for the first time champions.
Ali can hopefully keep showing those battling qualities all the way to the final.
C"MON THE CAPTAIN
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 17, 2016, 12:48:01 PM


Vyta Du Roc

ul Wayne,  at least you got some sort of run for your money.

So the Captain got through the first round and the crucible curse struck again for the first time champions.
Ali can hopefully keep showing those battling qualities all the way to the final.
C"MON THE CAPTAIN


Backed it at 14/1 ew first 5
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 21, 2016, 08:49:20 AM
Off to Beverly today, any tips?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on April 21, 2016, 11:02:28 AM

Off to Beverly today, any tips?


2:20 Beverley Bullet

Ran five times last season, didn"t win a thing, but..............

Never ran at Beverley.  Wink Wink, Nudge Nudge, Say No More ;)

(This information is purely coincidental, but the jockey"s silks also have a yellow APAT star on them).

What more of a sign do you need ?


(This is not an actual tip, unless it comes in, then I will take full credit)  :) :)

Hope it"s a good days racing Wayne.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 21, 2016, 11:36:18 AM
It"s is been well backed this morning @ 5/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 21, 2016, 11:40:16 AM
2.50 Arab Poet as to been the main bet of the day @ 6/4
3.20 alphabetical Order @11/4
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 22, 2016, 18:35:58 PM

2.50 Arab Poet as to been the main bet of the day @ 6/4
3.20 alphabetical Order @11/4

profit wayne   kerching :)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 23, 2016, 09:31:04 AM
23rd April
Sandown 4.10 Gold Cup
Henri Parry Morgan @9/1  2point win
Southfield Theatre @8/1  1point win
Le Reve @ 14/1  1point win

good luck everyone if you are punting.
fingers crossed for Everton, surely we can beat United.   lol
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 30, 2016, 09:26:31 AM
Was going to lump on Air Force Blue but now having doubts  
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on April 30, 2016, 10:11:29 AM
2.00 Intimation @ 5/1
2.30 Toss up between Jungle Cat @ 8/1 or Take Cover @ 10/1
3.05 Jack Hobbs but not backing it @1/2
3.45 Marcel @ 11/1 EW
4.20 Venturous @ 4/1
4.55 Abdon @ @ 5/1
5.30 Folkswood @ 2/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 30, 2016, 13:40:17 PM

2.00 Intimation @ 5/1
2.30 Toss up between Jungle Cat @ 8/1 or Take Cover @ 10/1
3.05 Jack Hobbs but not backing it @1/2
3.45 Marcel @ 11/1 EW
4.20 Venturous @ 4/1
4.55 Abdon @ @ 5/1
5.30 Folkswood @ 2/1


good luck Wayne, I"m just in the two races today.

30th April Newmarket
2.30 Palace House
Aeolus @16/1  1point ew

3.45 2000 Guineas
Massaat @14/1  1point ew
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on April 30, 2016, 14:07:01 PM

Was going to lump on Air Force Blue but now having doubts  

having a saver bet on AFB to cover your stake on Marcel might be the way to go Wayne.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 01, 2016, 12:43:35 PM
1st May Newmarket
3.00 6f hc
Captain Bob @20/1  1point ew

3.40 1000 Guineas
Nathra @8/1  2point win
Midweek @16/1  1point ew

both have had preps, Jet Setting could be in the mix and wouldn"t be the worst each way tickle ever imho.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 04, 2016, 11:45:22 AM
4th May Chester
3.10 Chester Cup
Silver Concorde @8/1  2point win
No Heretic @12/1  2point win
Totalize @20/1  1point win
Venue @33/1 1point win

in the 3.45 hc sprint I like Kimberella but not at 6/1 or less.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 04, 2016, 15:35:39 PM

4th May Chester
3.10 Chester Cup
Silver Concorde @8/1  2point win
No Heretic @12/1  2point win
Totalize @20/1  1point win
Venue @33/1 1point win

in the 3.45 hc sprint I like Kimberella but not at 6/1 or less.


take note of Moonrise Landing if it heads to Newcastle for the Northumberland, now on AW..
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 04, 2016, 17:58:25 PM
Nice picks, did you have Kimberella?
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 04, 2016, 18:16:24 PM

Nice picks, did you have Kimberella?


got a avg of 7.2 on betdaq drip feeding.
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 05, 2016, 11:56:01 AM
May 5th Chester
2.10 10f hc
not a race I want to bet in, but the two obvious interests imo are Darshini and American Artist.

2.40 Huxley Stakes
again its a betting swerve. Western Hymn is the one to beat, a case can be made for most the field to win if the favourite fails.

3.10 Chester Vase
US Army Ranger most likely in what really should be called is the O"Brien benefit Vase.

3.45 3yo hc
bloody marvelous lol not the best of races. Ode to Evening at 8/1+ ew might be of betting interest.

5.25 10f hc
the Dascombe pair Newera and The Character are of interest.

not the best punting day imho :-)
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 05, 2016, 18:37:38 PM
I generally keep away from betting at Chester, don"t know why but just don"t like the racing. Would have a small go if was watching it but been at work. Went last year and had a good day (apart from the betting) and would go again for the social side but not as a punter.      
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 06, 2016, 11:07:55 AM

I generally keep away from betting at Chester, don"t know why but just don"t like the racing. Would have a small go if was watching it but been at work. Went last year and had a good day (apart from the betting) and would go again for the social side but not as a punter.      

its always good to know where you are profitable Wayne.

6th May Chester
2.10 7f cls2 hc
Arnold Lane @7/1  2point win
Hillbilly Boy @7/1  1point win
Glenalmond @10/1  1point win

2.40 Dee Stakes
no bet, Linguistic looks like he"ll improve on his Newmarket run lto. Gosden was going to aim him at the Dante, interesting change of route.


Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 06, 2016, 19:32:55 PM


I generally keep away from betting at Chester, don"t know why but just don"t like the racing. Would have a small go if was watching it but been at work. Went last year and had a good day (apart from the betting) and would go again for the social side but not as a punter.      

its always good to know where you are profitable Wayne.

6th May Chester
2.10 7f cls2 hc
Arnold Lane @7/1  2point win
Hillbilly Boy @7/1  1point win
Glenalmond @10/1  1point win

2.40 Dee Stakes
no bet, Linguistic looks like he"ll improve on his Newmarket run lto. Gosden was going to aim him at the Dante, interesting change of route.





On Fire
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 06, 2016, 21:01:57 PM
just variance Wayne, long term I"ll keep on chugging out 20 to 25% roi year in year out. :-O
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 07, 2016, 01:45:34 AM
7th May Ascot
4.15 Victoria Cup
Outback Traveller @10/1  2point win
Emell @25/1  1point win
Related @50/1  1point win
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 10, 2016, 19:51:54 PM
York 11th May

3.15 Magical Memory or Twilight Son.....Magical by a nose 11/4
3.45 So Mi Dar 5/6
4.20 Castle Harbour EW 8/1

Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 11, 2016, 11:14:32 AM

York 11th May

3.15 Magical Memory or Twilight Son.....Magical by a nose 11/4
3.45 So Mi Dar 5/6
4.20 Castle Harbour EW 8/1


good luck Wayne there"s some good racing at York in store. The Dante will give some Derby clues as to where US Army Ranger stands who wasn"t as bad as the Ch4 ""EXPERTS"" made out imho.


11th May York

2.40 6f hc
God Willing @16/1  1point win
George Dryden @8/1  1point win

3.15 Duke of York
Goken @33/1  1point win
Eastern Impact @16/1  1point win

the 2.10 is a no bet, Spanish Squeeze and Pacify look the ones to beat.
in the 3.45  So Mi Dar will more than likely give Gosden another win in this race. Fireglow looks the danger but the market looks priced up about right imho.




Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: Chipaccrual on May 11, 2016, 14:53:57 PM
No tips, just wanted to be in on Page 100.

Nice work Sir.


WP, NH
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 11, 2016, 19:58:01 PM

York 11th May

3.15 Magical Memory or Twilight Son.....Magical by a nose 11/4
3.45 So Mi Dar 5/6
4.20 Castle Harbour EW 8/1




Not a bad day  ;D

Had Castle @ 9/1 Also had Montverdi EW and Kananee @2/1
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: nosey-p on May 12, 2016, 07:14:48 AM
York 12th May

2.20 Journey @ 15/8
3.15 Midterm @ 6/4 but I do like Foundation so will have a saver bet
3.45 Always Smile @ 7/1
4.15 Exist @ 3/1
Not very original picks but cannot see anything else that I like    
Title: Re: Saturday Donkey
Post by: noble1 on May 12, 2016, 11:10:08 AM

York 12th May

2.20 Journey @ 15/8
3.15 Midterm @ 6/4 but I do like Foundation so will have a saver bet
3.45 Always Smile @ 7/1
4.15 Exist @ 3/1
Not very original picks but cannot see anything else that I like    



yep Gosden had a good day yesterday Wayne, good lu