Author Topic: Keeping Warm in Winter  (Read 148597 times)

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AAroddersAA

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Re: Keeping Warm in Winter
« Reply #1005 on: November 05, 2016, 14:05:40 PM »


POTENTIALLY BORING POST TLDR UNLESS YOU ARE INTERESTED IN HOW SIMPLE MATCHED BETTING WORKS

OK guy"s the goal here is to make £33 to play the APAT games tomorrow night. This will be done with simple offers that anybody can do. I can also explain some far more complex stuff if people are interested (up to and including finding and using each way arbs) anyway. Lets go with our bets and see how we do. I will edit this post as I go with the bets I do. The goal is not to gamble but to win money whatever the result using bookie free bet offers and price boosts.

1) Offer One - Coral 1:50pm at Doncaster - Bet £20 get £10 to use on UK Racing today

    £20 Back Withernsea on Coral £20 @ 10.0
    £17.41 Placed on Smarkets Exchange @ 11.5 Layed Withersea
       Either way this bet will lose £2.92 and gain a £10 Free bet

2) Offer Two - Ladbrokes Bet £20 in play on Chelsea Vs Everton (Min odds 1.5) get £10 free to use on Arsenal Vs Tottenham
(must be done on mobile)

3) Bet365 (get free bet equal to Stake if your horse wins) 3pm Doncaster
    £50 Entsar - Placed on Bet365 @ 5.5 - Backed Entsar to win
    £49.28 - Place on Smarkets exchange @ 5.6 Layed Entsar
        Either way this bet will lose £1.70 but if the horse wins I will gain a £50 free bet

4) Bet365 (get free bet equal to Stake if your horse wins) 2:10 Wincaton
    £50 Zubayr - Placed on Bet365 @ 5.0 - Backed Zubayr to win
    £48.26 - Place on Smarkets exchange @ 5.6 Layed Zubayr
        Either way this bet will lose £2.70 but if the horse wins I will gain a £50 free bet

Target £33
Current Profit £0


I have absolutely no idea what that man just said  ??? ??? ???

Exchange has crashed anyway FFS *lol*
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AAroddersAA

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Re: Keeping Warm in Winter
« Reply #1006 on: November 07, 2016, 10:48:14 AM »
Played the apat games yesterday and did not trouble the scorers.

Never mind because the Vegas holiday starts tomorrow. I will be getting on the train from Newport at 11:04am. Wimslow change and off to Manchester Airport getting there around 2pm. Hopefully find somewhere to print off the boarding pass, check into the hotel and to the bar to meet Stu and Matt for food and a few beers.

Early start is planned on Wednesday, quickly check bags in before a beer and breakfast. This is acceptable at 7:30am as we are going to Vegas.

Long flight before meeting up with Curly, Deb, Tom and Pables. From there anything can happen.
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Scousebill

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Re: Keeping Warm in Winter
« Reply #1007 on: November 07, 2016, 13:20:31 PM »
Machines in the airport that do your boarding passes. Saves with possible dodgy wi-fi connection.
Silver Medal APAT European Champs. 2015
WCOAP 6-MAX Champion, 2015.
2015 APAT Player of The Year.
Online 10th Anniversary Vegas Sat. Winner 2016

Twitter @APATBillShep

AAroddersAA

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Re: Keeping Warm in Winter
« Reply #1008 on: November 08, 2016, 11:19:16 AM »
Cheers Bill. I have just put it on my phone in the end though.

Well we are off. Stu, Matt and Phil are heading down from Stockton way whilst I head up from Wales we will meeting in the middle at Manchester. My first mission is to make the connection at Wimslow this might be a problem but I am sure I can cope whatever. Long on train ride but who cares we are going to Vegas.

The advance party are certainly having a great time already but it will be even better when we get there. Hopefully we will have a video update from the bar later.
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AAroddersAA

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Re: Keeping Warm in Winter
« Reply #1009 on: November 10, 2016, 14:31:00 PM »
Just woke up wondered where I was then realised it was Vegas - result.

The last 48 hours have been great, we all met up and were sensible in Manchester. Yesterday me and the Stockton boys met The Gers, Joe and some of their mates from their club in Liverpool. We had an early morning pint and then flew to Vegas, flight was ok got through check in ok and everything. Well we nearly lost one but that is another story.

Then we are in Vegas we get in the Limo Ger had organised (cheers Ger) and get to Harrahs which was awesome. We immediately meet Deb and Curly, then Ian arrives and Tom and Colin and the whole thing goes crazy. There were quite a number of Coors lite turning up from all directions. Wer mentioning going to Casino Royale but it never happens. Some of the group go to play poker then come back.

Anyway the plan for today is to play the Golden Nuggett I think looking forward to playing some poker in Vegas.
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Paulie_D

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Re: Keeping Warm in Winter
« Reply #1010 on: November 10, 2016, 18:25:31 PM »
.
“Thor has Mjolnir but I have a banhammer. I think I win”

AAroddersAA

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Re: Keeping Warm in Winter
« Reply #1011 on: November 11, 2016, 02:49:37 AM »

.


Vegas not as good without you mate please come inJune
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AAroddersAA

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Living through the Lock Down
« Reply #1012 on: April 11, 2020, 07:36:18 AM »
Good Morning Ladies and Gentlemen

Never thought I would update this again but times are strange. COVID19 has resulted in normality being put on hold for a little while. Hopefully everybody out there is doing their bit and staying home to prevent the spread.

In recent years I have stepped away from Poker, I have still played the odd APAT and had the odd run but my last live cash was Belgium in 2017, I have only played about 5 since though which I have not taken seriously. I have been doing a lot more sports betting and matched betting than poker. However, the competition element is not there for this like it is with poker. There have been a few half-hearted attempts at comebacks but these have usually involved me playing for a month or so (usually still doing OK to be fair) but then getting bored and giving up for a few months due to the lure of the sports betting markets. Some nights a literally dream about numbers on betting exchanges lol. My main issue with poker is motivation to actually play. Towards the end of last year for example I started playing, had some OK results at $10nl and was up about £100 then had a weekend where I lost £40 and completely lost motivation and since then the only games I have played (before the lockdown started) were a couple of Christmas and the APAT Team Event at DTD. Posting here again is hopefully going to help with that as back in the day I use to like keeping this up to date.

With no sport to bet or even watch this seems like a good opportunity to try and play some useful poker and with the lockdown there are really no distractions, I am still working full time from home but really don't have much else to do. We can expect this to go on for a few months yet I have decided to make another half decent effort at poker. This has been partly inspired by some mates picking the game up again and partly by the fact the games seem to have got better.

I have played a few and my first observations are my cash game is still OK, as I really expected it to be but I am well out of my depth in the tougher tournaments at the moment. The good thing is this is much easier to fix than the other way around. I am starting very small of course, even though my bankroll is very healthy I am sure I would get smashed up in the games I was previously playing although maybe not based on the way the game is playing at the moment.

So there will be videos and updates posted. The goal being to move towards a decent performance at this years WCOAP. It's not until August so has a good chance of going ahead, I hope and I (currently) fully intend to go for the first time since 2016. Maybe Malta will also be a thing again this year. I am also targeting the Summer Sizzler as an option to play some good live poker. Will I actually do any of this. I would say it's below 2.0 on Betfair I go to the WCOAP this year and about even money I play the Sizzler. A lot depends on what happens when life returns to normal and if I can maintain motivation for poker.

For now, though, we will give it a go and see what happens. We have some fairly modest goals for the next week. We are going to start focusing on NLHE cash at low limit so we will just be going with $10nl on Stars.

Saturday - 1500 Hands
Sunday - 1500 Hands
Monday - 1000 Hands
Tuesday - 200 Hands
Wednesday - 200 Hands
Thursday - 200 Hands
Friday - 200 Hands

This will create a small sample of 5000 hands to see how we are doing. Whilst doing this I might flick in for a few APAT games (probably going to play the game tonight for fun not expecting to do that well) and also a few home games setup by one of the members.

Updates of course will follow. So Until then, Stay safe, stay at home, protect the NHS and run golden.
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duke3016

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Re: Keeping Warm in Winter
« Reply #1013 on: April 11, 2020, 10:14:41 AM »
Watched your couple of videos last night and to be fair you give a nice commentary and it was interesting. Stu also gives entertaining interactive commentary on Twitch - maybe you should try that and we can abuse you in the commentary box  ;D

AAroddersAA

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Re: Keeping Warm in Winter
« Reply #1014 on: April 11, 2020, 16:54:00 PM »
The first day back ends in a profit on the cash games. The games are certainly playing differently to how they normally do in the last year or so. I think that we might have a lot of players coming back into the pools just because they are in the house with not a lot to do. The results was:

Hands: 1500
Profit: $33.64
All-in EV: $17.81 (better to be lucky than good)
VPIP: 22.27
PFR: 17.83
3Bet: 8.39
Fold to 3bet: 80.46

I do think I maintained focus quite well and played most of my spots OK, although being rusty from months of inactivity did mean that some decisions were not as good as they really should be. Here are some interesting hands. This was the biggest pot of the day.

https://www.boomplayer.com/32868655_847101DC0D

I think this is an interesting hand even though I think it is fairly standard. I obviously get lucky but quite like how I play it. Pre flop is quite easy. We get a raise from EP and then a 3bet from the button. I have to 4bet my AA there and choose the sizing to try and get to a point where I can shove the flop. I maybe should make it more like $4 as we are very slightly deep. Playing 130 BB rather than 100. It's OK though. He makes the call and the flop is 6s - Jc - Jd

This flop feels OK as one of the hands he can have here is definitely JJ and two jacks on the flop makes that a lot less likely. I think he can have QQ, KK and even some lower pairs here. He can also have a AK and maybe AQ. I don't feel he has a jack all that often. I have got AA, KK and QQ all in my range here as well as AK and maybe some other random hands that decided to 4bet. Feels like a much better flop for me than him, even though he does have slightly more jacks than me, and I only have just over a pot sized bet behind. I can bet small and hope he does something crazy with AK or I can shove and maybe get called by a KK or QQ type hand maybe even a stubborn AK or a smaller pair that is a non-believer.

So I shove it in, he makes the call and shows up with the TJ suited which surprises me, however we bink the river. I am not sure how much I like his call of my 4bet but I suppose it can't be that bad as he will flop enough equity to continue often enough and can sometimes get me off my AK there or maybe even QQ if the flop contains an Ace. I guess this is a pretty standard hand.

https://www.boomplayer.com/32868648_3D83F2C3F7

This hand is a spot where a few decisions could be good or bad. I have AQs in the BB. The button raises just slightly over min and I 3bet and get called by the button. The flop is not too good for me and also brings a flush draw I choose to make a half pot sized bet which gets called. The turn brings a queen giving me TPTK and also complete the club flush draw. I bet half the pot to protect my hand against hands that have a single club and again get called. The river could be a bet/fold or a check/call I go with the bet fold option betting $2 as a bit of a blocker bet. Unfortunately, I get shoved on and have to fold. Not 100 sure how well I played this spot. Should the river be a check/call maybe?

https://www.boomplayer.com/32868460_5FBCDA145C

Not much to say about this hand as it is an obvious cooler that went my way. I choose not to shove the flop in case he has like a bad 10 or a pair that he can fold and to keep some bluffs in his range. I could just call the tune a suppose but it makes the monster a bit obvious. This was quite early in the session (yes, I have now turned on the auto top-up in case anybody was wondering why I start the hand with $9.60).

https://www.boomplayer.com/32869400_65445D5049

Another pair of Jacks this time in the small blind. I raise and get 3bet by the BB. I choose to call as Jacks don't really love 4betting and getting 5bet of even getting called when they 4bet as they tend to end up playing against a range which is heavy with QQ and AK. We get a great flop about as good as we can get without having a Jack on the board and we check call intending to assess the turn and try and get it in on lots of safe turns. Then a Jack hits the turn, as we no longer need protection, I just call to keep bluffs in his range. The river I a blank and I decide to shove. I really don't know why as all through the hand I felt his range was wide and I should keep it like that so the correct play is check raise. I just decided I did not want his AA or KK hands to check behind however when I shove they can sometimes fold anyway. Don't like how I play the river here we win the hand but might have lost money.

I did record some live stuff as it is easy to just pick out big hands and not give a real idea of how I am playing most of the spots I come across and how I try to think about them. The session is in two parts and it is my thoughts during the games. Hopefully it adds some interest.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bG8YjWBg9aQ - Part 1
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=77S86CmxIzA  Part 2

So, at the end of the day we are very happy with the result of course. Ran good so it is important to remember that on days where I run bad. I aimed to get the sessions and update done by 5pm to be able to take a break before seeing f I feel like playing tonight. That is the most hands I have played in a day for a while so we will see how I feel later and if I jump in or not.

Want to try and do the same kind of thing tomorrow hopefully won't give all the profit back. Swing 3 buy-ins in a day is easy either way.

OK ladies and gents stay at home, stay safe, protect the NHS and run golden.
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AAroddersAA

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Re: Keeping Warm in Winter
« Reply #1015 on: April 12, 2020, 14:42:49 PM »
Good Afternoon

Day two is in the books and the results read a bit different from yesterday:
Hands: 1509
Profit: -$0.84
All-in EV: $17.96 (repaying yesterday's run good)
VPIP: 23.27
PFR: 19.66
3Bet: 7.11
Fold to 3be: 85.37t
The fold to 3bet is probably too high but it is unlikely to be a massive issue in this game. Will try to adjust that though. The session went OK I am happy enough with how I played it.

This hand did some damage (I was not able to get it on Boom as when the money went in my opponent cashed out which stops the Boom player from showing it seems). The hand plays itself though

PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

BTN: 161.2 BB
SB: 100 BB
BB: 147.1 BB
Hero (UTG): 154.2 BB
MP: 101.5 BB
CO: 231.3 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Ah As
Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB raises to 6 BB, Hero raises to 30 BB, BB raises to 147.1 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 117.1 BB
Flop : (294.7 BB, 2 players) 3c Ks 6d
Turn : (294.7 BB, 2 players) 6h
River : (294.7 BB, 2 players) 3d
BB cashed out 52.3 BB for a fee of 0.5 BB
BB shows Kd Kc (Full House, Kings full of Sixes)
 (Pre 19%, Flop 91%, Turn 95%)
Hero shows Ah As (Two Pair, Aces and Sixes)
 (Pre 81%, Flop 9%, Turn 5%)

My tracker says he cashed out for 52.3BB which is $5.23. Given that the pot was $29.47 before rake and $28.14 after rake and he has 19% equity which is $5.34 cashing out is going to be -EV. This is pretty much always the case long term it makes more sense to just click resume hand.

https://www.boomplayer.com/32879830_26CB07EF2F
Not sure if I like how I play this hand or not. Preflop and the flop are fine. When we hit the ace on the turn we have to feel like we have the best hand. We bet half the pot which is OK. Maybe we can go bigger, the space draw completes on the river and we check/call a half pot bet. I think we should either check/fold or bet/fold here as he has a lot of flush draws, probably a mistake there.

https://www.boomplayer.com/32879848_9C91AF0FDC
I win this hand but think I should raise his flop lead with the over pair. QQ beats his range well enough so it should be an easy raise I think. The turn shuts down the action although I didn't think he had a King that often unless it is KJ there did not seem to be much value in a river bet. Think I lose some money in this hand.

https://www.boomplayer.com/32879945_52EA277018

This hand is a bit of a session saver but is I think an interesting one. We start the hand really deep 280BB effective. AK is a raise and he makes the call with QJ. The flop is A-K-3 with 2 clubs. I have top two pair making it hard for him to have anything, although there are some draws so I want to bet. I bet about 40% of the pot hoping to get some value from worse aces and maybe a king. He calls and the turn is a ten which is his gin card. I dislike the ten as I know that he can have QJ here but there are lots of other hands he can have here like flush draws. I decide I need to charge the flush draws which it feels like he can have so I bet just over half pot. He calls. I think his call here is quite a big mistake. When we are this deep and you have the nuts you have to build the pot. In position he was clearly intending to raise the river but I raise would have put me in a tough spot. I would probably have had to call and check/call the river unless he really takes off. As it is I could have just bet/folded the river and got away quite cheap. The river card is really bad for him though. It is literally the worst card in the deck for his hand. The flush got there and any 2 pair ace hand or set just got there. I now have the nuts and therefore bet out almost the full part thinking I can get a call from a flush. He clicks it back which is just bad with his hand. It is so small that I am going to have to call with the flush. I actually now think he might have flopped a set of threes or just be overplaying the flush. I got all-in to try and make him make a big mistake with a flush or set. He call off with the straight. Here I think he has basically got married to his hand on the turn and just refuses to believe the river has killed his hand. I suppose we all do it sometimes.
Basically, a break-even session. I actually got a chest that I opened and it gave me $1 so that takes me into profit for the session (woohoo).

I have enjoyed the last couple of days and hope I maintain the games, my games still seems to be OK for holdem cash. Played the PLO mini games last night on Party but did not cash, think I played OK though but it was really just standard spots. Will probably play again tonight in the 8pm game. Not sure I want to play the main games quite yet as I really need to do some work on the tournament game. Going to just get through the hands for this week first and see if we end up in profit then go from there.

Watched your couple of videos last night and to be fair you give a nice commentary and it was interesting. Stu also gives entertaining interactive commentary on Twitch - maybe you should try that and we can abuse you in the commentary box  ;D

Thing is Stu is very good at that. I don't think I really have his ability to keep it interesting unless people are really interested in poker theory. The youtube videos are helpful to watch back and I might do some longer ones.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M_uYsl9ZEYc&feature=youtu.be  Part 1 today
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G1ve9qjuu-Y Part2 today

I will leave it there, stay safe all.
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duke3016

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Re: Keeping Warm in Winter
« Reply #1016 on: April 13, 2020, 11:03:06 AM »
Nice one Steve, great read (if I understood the maths I would be dangerous). Watched the APAT live commentary last night and have decided to play all the squad games this week as an individual for the craic  8)

AAroddersAA

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Re: Keeping Warm in Winter
« Reply #1017 on: April 13, 2020, 18:59:12 PM »
Nice one Steve, great read (if I understood the maths I would be dangerous). Watched the APAT live commentary last night and have decided to play all the squad games this week as an individual for the craic  8)
I will also be playing the squad games for Raise for Jack with a percentage of our winnings (lol winnings  like that is gonna happen) going to the charity. So will see you at the table I am sure.

Played a smallish session today of only 1000 hands. Went OK winning a little bit over a buyin.

Hands: 1000
Total Profit: $13.72
Allin EV: $11.89
VPIP: 20.82%
PFR: 17.44%
3bet: 9.70%
Fold to 3bet: 81.36%

Happy enough with how I am playing and will just finish off the planned 5K hands for the rest of the week then see where to go from there. I think that should be enough to get some of the rust out of my Holdem game. I still do feel a bit lost in certain situations which I really shouldn't and probably need to run some examples through come solvers. The games are still fairly soft at least in part due to it being Easter weekend and nobody can go out. I have obviously run good as well.

Mind you I might still have some work to do on my game as it comes to something when you can't even successfully bluff the nut low off a pot.

https://www.boomplayer.com/32895255_E960E5FE8E

Not sure it is the best play I have ever made, he can easily call me there with a Jack and it doesn't look like I have an Ace. I thought he could fold some hands that beat me, it would appear I was wrong.

https://www.boomplayer.com/32895258_FB35B98AE8

This is a nice flop. The hand kind of plays itself though. Maybe there is an argument for shoving the turn but with the stack sizes and his remaining stack I will be able to shove the river and it keeps bluffs in his range. He should probably check/fold the river but I think by calling rather than raising the turn we give him the chance to make the mistake.

https://www.boomplayer.com/32895076_17016A0447

This was the first time I have felt confident to 4bet light in a situation. I have the ace blocker and can flop good equity. People also play quite straight forward in 4bet pots so the cbet works a lot.

https://www.boomplayer.com/32895056_0F72A011BE

Don't like how I play this hand. Maybe I should be 4betting pre but I think the call Is OK. I should just fold the flop though once I have taken that line. This is one of those spots where I am still not 100% confident.

So we are 4K hands through the 5K I said I would play. I am currently winning overall by $46.52 which is about 11.5BB/100. It really doesn't give an accurate picture though. I have run good and that win rate is obviously not sustainable. My biggest loss was $14.71 when I lost with AA to KK, apart from that I have only lost one hand for 100BB (when I flopped a set against a player who flopped a straight). All that being said I think I would still e a winning player at this stake. The game is playing softer though. I always sad that this game is tougher than 90% of live 50p/£1 games around the UK. I am not sure how true that is at the moment. It is probably still slightly tougher. I am confident in still saying if you can beat this game long term then you would be a winner at the lowest stakes of live poker. If you can beat the $25 Zoom game (which plays harder than the $10 Zoom Game) then you should crush live games up to £1/£2. That's my theory anyway, I could be talking rubbish as I have not played any worthwhile volume of live cash for a few years. Whenever I do though it seems to play the same as always.

Back to work tomorrow - if you can call it that as going to work involves going from my bedroom. Having a shower ect making coffee and sitting down in my living room at my laptop. I have tended to go for a short walk after work just around by my house as it's fairly quiet and its easy enough to avoid other people out walking so I have managed to maintain a routine up to a point. I have been reading a couple of threads on two plus two which are entertaining (even if I don't believe they are 100% real.

https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/174/poker-goals-amp-challenges/return-6bet-me-1762207/
I read the previous thread to this one too, it is well written and entertaining although it is quite clearly a parody with some elements of truth in it.

https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/174/poker-goals-amp-challenges/biggest-loser-online-poker-history-wants-grind-16k-1738987/?highlight=
Not sure how close to the truth this one is. The player and the games exist and the graph looks genuine. Still struggle to believe it can be fully factual though.

Until tomorrow, stay safe everybody.
-----------------------------

Still trying to think of something amusing to write in this bit.

AAroddersAA

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Re: Keeping Warm in Winter
« Reply #1018 on: April 14, 2020, 19:55:07 PM »
Good Evening

Nobody (except me and Ger) is posting on the thread but it is getting views so I assume people are reading.

Played two mini sessions since my last post. The first one was last night and the results were:-

Hands: 198
Profit -$3.47
Allin EV: -$3.47

The second one was this evening

Hands: 205
Profit: $14.18
Allin EV: $14.18
VPIP: 20.5%
PFR: 16%
3bet: 7.23%
Fold to 3bet: 81.82% (this is too high)

This was a big swing hand. I didn't get it on the replayer

PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN (BTN): 94.7 BB
SB (SB): 99.8 BB
Hero (BB): 121.3 BB
UTG (UTG): 107.8 BB
MP (MP): 224.8 BB
CO (CO): 100 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Dealt to Hero:
 

fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, Hero raises to 14 BB, MP calls 11 BB, BTN calls 11 BB

Flop (42.5 BB, 3 players):
   
Hero bets 15 BB, MP calls 15 BB, BTN calls 15 BB

Turn (87.5 BB, 3 players):
 
Hero bets 28 BB, MP calls 28 BB, fold

River (143.5 BB, 2 players):
 
Hero bets 64.3 BB and is all-in, MP calls 64.3 BB

Hero shows:
 
(Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 43%, Flop 28%, Turn 30%)

MP shows:
 
(Flush, Queen High)
(Pre 57%, Flop 72%, Turn 70%)

Hero wins 259.9 BB

Not sure how much I like how I play it to be honest, it's most likely OK. I don't dislike my 3bet preflop at all but calling would be OK as well. The c-bet on the flop is marginal but OK. Once he calls I think he has a lot of JJ and QQ type hands which called the 3bet preflop. I still have all the over-pairs including AA with the Ad so I think betting the turn as I also have some equity is OK as well I hit the nut flush on the river and it's an easy shove. I would also have shoved an Ace or Queen here by the way but it is easier to get called when the flush hits as he can easily have a hand like he did. There is also the small chance he hit a set of queens and although that hand should fold sometimes it doesn't

I played the squads game last night and scrapped a min cash. I was doing OK until I checked the BB against a button limper with 82 and the flop came A-8-2. We were both sat on about 35BB and so I bet 3.4BB into a 3.5BB pot he then raises I think he has a lot of aces here that my two pair beats but my hand is very vulnerable and needs protection. I shove my stack and he makes the call with A6. The turn and the river were both 9's and he takes a massive pot to go chip leader with 750K (second place at that time had about 550K).  I am not exactly a massive Favorited in the hand but I guess I want the call there. I still manage to hold on a cash. Hopefully will make a better run in the PLO8 tonight.
I also have a quandary. I am currently working from home as are most people I am sure. I get 35 days holiday a year (Jan - Dec) and have so far used 4. I tend to not use holidays much in the first half of the year only really using holidays for the Team Event (I only used one day for that) and Cheltenham  for which I used 3 days (I had some time owed to me so just finished early enough on the Tuesday to run around several bookies mainly William Hill). I have a week booked off in May. We will still be in lockdown by the looks of it so do I cancel it? I can't take any time in June as our team is already got too many people off not like Royal Ascot is gonna happen anyway. However, I then get to July and can take a week off every month or a good few long weekend for Poker / Racing Festivals / Race days / Dogs. It will mean however that I only take 4 days annual leave in the first 6 months of the year. I would be able to carry over anything I don't use. I think I would rather take the time when I can actually do something with it as opposed to just sitting at home, if I am here then I may as well open the laptop and work as opposed to open a different laptop and play poker.
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Still trying to think of something amusing to write in this bit.

AAroddersAA

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Re: Keeping Warm in Winter
« Reply #1019 on: April 18, 2020, 10:28:59 AM »
I played the last 600 hands of the 5000 I said I would play this week and made a profit in doing so. So overall the results were:

Hands: 5000
Total Profit: $84.06
Total All-in EV:  $74.37
VPIP: 22.13%
PFR: 18.32%
3bet: 7.91%
Fold to 3bet: 82.14%
BB/100: 16.81

Don't think that really says much. The win rate is not sustainable even at these stakes although I am confident I can beat this game still, my win rate would be nowhere near this. As expected my cash game is in much better shape than my tournament game. I have only played APAT games (the squad's games) and for the first time I can remember since I stared playing APAT games I don't think I would be a winning player in that field. Enough time to do something about that before I need to play anything near serious though but I will skip the bigger weekend events for now. That's for the future though. Don't think I am at playing well enough to start focusing on MTT's as yet.

I have decided I want to increase the sample size I have here so want to add another 2.K hands to it this weekend. That's only 1250 hands each day so should not be too hard. I do think my VPIP and PFR are too far apart although 22.18 is not terrible it should be about one percent closer. More updates to come. Here are some interesting hands from the last few days:

https://www.boomplayer.com/32930200_087E6F8CA0

https://www.boomplayer.com/32930189_9C4E15185A

https://www.boomplayer.com/32930147_5C4CC94BB3
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Still trying to think of something amusing to write in this bit.