Poker Forum > Strategy
Snapper's gonna snap
mporter123:
Online MTT - $10+1 APAT Brighton Sat
Fairly early in the tournament, only a few eliminations, 3 seats guranteed, 40 ish runners.
Blinds are 50/100, no ante.
Hero stack - 4,653.
Opponent stack - 20,231 and chip leader
Hero has been playing tight, c betting regularly and seen to give up and check fold turn at least 3 times.
Opponent (DaSnapper) has been very aggressive pre and post flop. 3 and 4 betting light pre and taking aggressive lines post. Not noted as being caught bluffing post flop at showdown.
Hero is in the cutoff and raises to 250 with Ks Kd
Villain calls from the small blind.
Big blind also calls.
Flop 6c Jh 5d
Villain checks, BB checks, Hero bets 345
Villain calls, BB folds
Turn 5h
Villain checks, Hero bets 615
SB calls
River 3s
Villain bets 899. Hero ???
Also particularly interested in thoughts on flop and turn bet sizing.
TheSnapper:
--- Quote from: mporter123 on December 14, 2011, 19:04:01 PM ---
Opponent (DaSnapper) has been very aggressive pre and post flop. 3 and 4 betting light pre and taking aggressive lines post. Not noted as being caught bluffing post flop at showdown.
--- End quote ---
If that is your read........
How can you possibly fold a hand as strong and under repped as KK getting ~4/1 on a super dry board.
mporter123:
check call, check call, lead is strong on any board and I give it even more credance on a dry board like that.
Bet sizing. Hadnt seen you bet that small all tournament - looked like a random 5x hand looking for value.
Pretty much the only thing I beat that you might value bet are wierd two pair type hands. Also thought you could be trying to get showdown cheap with AJ, KJ, QJ type hands but reasoned you 3 bet these pre.
Usually just sigh call these.
SirPercival:
Did you know who "villain" was at the time?
If so, did this change your thinking?
TheSnapper:
--- Quote from: mporter123 on December 14, 2011, 19:04:01 PM ---
Opponent (DaSnapper) has been very aggressive pre and post flop. 3 and 4 betting light pre and taking aggressive lines post. Not noted as being caught bluffing post flop at showdown.
--- End quote ---
This is a classic case of statistical inference, we have played very few hands thus far and I have not yet 3b, I have 4b twice, the first 4b was versus a super tight players 3b when I had 3x open raised utg with AA , the second 4b was a 4b bluff in a cut-off versus BB spot where I am likely to be 3b light so my min+ 4b finds a fold often.
--- Quote from: mporter123 on December 14, 2011, 19:53:25 PM ---
Pretty much the only thing I beat that you might value bet are wierd two pair type hands. Also thought you could be trying to get showdown cheap with AJ, KJ, QJ type hands but reasoned you 3 bet these pre.
--- End quote ---
See above, not a good read imho.
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