Poker Forum > Strategy
Time to be a hero?
mporter123:
Villain has $5K winnings on stars and is pretty fishy. Only have 32 hands on him but he is playing 32/15, peeling lots in and out of position and is yet to three bet. Not seen him get to showdown very often, seems to play fairly straightforward through the streets.
My image is pretty tight. Been getting a lot of respect and been opening up a lot in last couple of orbits.
PokerStars Hand #84324469684: Tournament #593441015, $8.00+$0.80 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level VIII (60/120) - 2012/08/05 19:39:30 WET [2012/08/05 14:39:30 ET]
Table "593441015 4" 6-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: Cranky
noble1:
hard to see more missed draws than value hands to call here given reads...
78ss 45ss 45s maybe KJss KJhh turned into a bluff versus a trappy set 66 TT 33 maybe even JJ add in QT QJ a spew invoking AQ, 89ss and TJ... even KQss for a split
no shame in folding here given your assumption that villain is pretty straight forward...
i wouldn"t be averse at these stack sizes to delay cbet in spots/situations like this either now and then to mix it up and get my stronger 1pair hands to showdown if we hit turn/river, or stab/bluff if oppo checks to us twice etc etc [all on the board texture]
deanp27:
Doubt I"d fold
AAroddersAA:
Dunno, this does feel like he has a draw to me. One of those situations, I know I am beat but just can"t figure out how.
32/15 are not that impressive as stats based purely on that it sounds like we have a player who calls a little too much. Calling from the SB is not great in this situation either.
I therefore have no idea what he has preflop. I can just about say it is not total junk but other than that I really have no idea. The flop is bad I might well check behind here but I really don"t mind the c-bet. The only thing is this player is likely to call (based on what little I know) so you have to be ready to fire twice maybe. When he does call can we put him on much?
He could have a flush draw, He could have a mid pair like eights or nines. He could certainly have a ten. AK sounds unlikely as he SHOULD have 3 bet pre but you did say he doesn"t 3-bet much. AsKs is possible I guess but unlikely. A monster is awlays possible.
Turn is a good card for us. He check to us again. He probably folds the mid pairs if we bet again. The flush draw will call ( which we want him too). A really big hand should raise us here if we bet which we don"t want as we would have to fold most likely. Checking behind is not a bad play, I probably do it but see circumstances where it costs us value. I would check it but the bet is OK as well again.
The river does not look like anything changed, unless he somehow has AK which it does not feel like he has unless it"s AsKs and that SHOULD 3-bet pre. A really big hand like a set should have raised the turn after we bet.
It feels strong when he leads out though. We should beat none of his value range now but I don"t see how he has anything. I think the correct play is a fold but probably talk myself into calling and doubt I would be good too often.
Pretty tough spot.
Swinebag:
There are quite a few flush draws on the flop that make straights on the river so you only beat missed flush draws. It is not the worst spot to make a hero of yourself.
I think it is 50/50 here. With a strong river bet I am fearing the worst but I won"t lie to you, I call this off.
At the end of the day: "if you can"t decide between call or fold, call because it is more fun" :)
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