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Omaha Zoooooom hand

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deanp27:
I guess you were preparing to check call as villain has a load of missed draws in his range?
I like your play until the river, I think you can VB the turn as you have improved and his likely holdings can still be draw heavy.

I know people in this thread are saying your hand is not very good by the river (which is fair enough) but you should be more interested on what the villains range is likely to be. He probably raises sets and maybe T9xx on the flop so it is hard for him to have a boat and is he going to VB bare 9xxx so hard on the river with the BD flush coming in?

Folding is fine and I have no problems with check/folding at all. Bet/folding is unlikely to be good as there isn"t a lot weaker that will call.

However his sizing is really suspicious and looks quite polarising. Given the amount of draws that have missed I am really tempted to call as i am a curious cat, although not as keen given there is a possibility of BD flush that he is somehow overvaluing in his betsize. I might call and make a note.

Not an Omaha expert but thought I"d just try and give an alternative view than easy fold.

hi_am_chris:
Out of interest would everyone still be folding if that was the 9 of Clubs?

Soooooooo many draws miss

dwh103:
Your line is fine, but you"re overthinking. The villain doesn"t even have a full buy in on the table playing 2c/5c Zoom - "forensic" analysis of what he can/can"t have is a waste of time and energy. Profiling your opponent is as simple as "he"s not likely to be any good" - I don"t think giving him credit for possibly semi-bluff raising a big flush draw on the turn is particularly realistic. In general, strength = strength, so you"re looking at mediocre showdown or draws for his range down the streets imo.

I like your bet sizing, your aim is simply to get to showdown as cheaply as possible, you could perhaps block bet river v v small as the % of Villains who are going to bluff raise here is tiny.

The timing out before potting is pretty suspicious, but I need a better reason to call here. You beat a busted heart or straight draw that didn"t have spades, and you can"t rule out hands that should"ve bet earlier, or shouldn"t bet here at this level. Make a note and move on.

MintTrav:
I think Dave has it spot on. I understand your reasoning Stu but, unless you have reason to do so, you can"t assume that you are against a good player. I have made the mistake, more than once, of assuming that someone else would have played the hand the same way I would if I had particular cards. You may have won this hand for all I know but, at this level, you don"t need to make hard polarised calls to be profitable.

pokerpops:
At these stakes it"s 100% about population tendencies until you have evidence to suggest that someone knows what they are doing.
We have to call $2.32 to win $4.64? 2:1? Easy fold on the river, and that general rule won"t be changed by you showing HH that proves calling was right because for every once you"re right there you are going to be wrong way more than twice.


It"s a misdeal anyway, you have too many hole cards.

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