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Big $11 Jam

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mporter123:
PokerStars Hand #115348301622: Tournament #897807270, $10+$1 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XIV (250/500) - 2014/04/26 22:08:38 WET [2014/04/26 17:08:38 ET]
Table "897807270 979" 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: Mark_Port157 (10962 in chips)
Seat 2: shotgun98 (26333 in chips)
Seat 3: Big_Dave_967 (38198 in chips)
Seat 4: HebronDRQ (21864 in chips)
Seat 6: r7pot (11966 in chips)
Seat 7: danyd86 (54563 in chips)
Seat 8: silvestre130 (10499 in chips)
Seat 9: Roxie Hart (14711 in chips)
Mark_Port157: posts the ante 60
shotgun98: posts the ante 60
Big_Dave_967: posts the ante 60
HebronDRQ: posts the ante 60
r7pot: posts the ante 60
danyd86: posts the ante 60
silvestre130: posts the ante 60
Roxie Hart: posts the ante 60
HebronDRQ: posts small blind 250
r7pot: posts big blind 500
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Mark_Port157 [8c 8d]
danyd86: folds
silvestre130: folds
Roxie Hart: folds
Mark_Port157: raises 500 to 1000
shotgun98: raises 1441 to 2441
Big_Dave_967: folds
HebronDRQ: calls 2191
r7pot: folds
Mark_Port157: ??

shotgun98 is playing 29/21/19 over 64 hands.

HebronDRQ is playing 18/11/6 over 72 hands.

Our image is pretty tight.

Thoughts? Interested in the range for the overcaller and how that affects whether we should jam.

KarmaDope:
I don"t like it. Overcaller is a nit so should be calling you with most hands he plays. Would love to jam over shotgun"s initial raise but with the call...I fold.

TheSnapper:
18/11 is not a nit imo.

6922 in the middle for a huge overlay, co it seems has aggro tendencies and I suspect a weakish range, it"s possible SB is trapping with a monster but weaker hands are equally likely.

You have some maybe not a lot of fold equity and a min 20% hand equity, embrace the variance. Is there any other way to win these big field events?

dwh103:

--- Quote from: TheSnapper on April 27, 2014, 16:24:26 PM ---
18/11 is not a nit imo.

6922 in the middle for a huge overlay, co it seems has aggro tendencies and I suspect a weakish range, it"s possible SB is trapping with a monster but weaker hands are equally likely.

You have some maybe not a lot of fold equity and a min 20% hand equity, embrace the variance. Is there any other way to win these big field events?

--- End quote ---


+1

LombBomb:
Is there ever any argument for just flatting the 3bet?  Doesn"t look like we"re getting great value to set mine but the implied odds are worth considering.  

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