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Success going to your head???

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Jon MW:
It was a crapshoot - everybody was shortstacked.

But that aside, if you have a lot of chips and your opponent has a lot of chips and you"re a massive favourite for the pot there should be nothing to stop you trying to get all their chips. If they played badly enough to put all their chips in when behind - you should try and nab them.

I"ve stated elsewhere that I think luck and probability are just different ways of describing a similar concept so it"s neither here nor there what description you use.

But you seem to suggest that if you get damaged by losing a hand like this you have made the mistake earlier by not getting more chips - my suggestion is that not only should the relative chip sizes be irrelevant but that you aren"t losing out because of a mistake you"ve made - you"re losing out because of a mistake your opponent has made.

There isn"t anything you can do stop them making mistakes and getting lucky however well you play (and vice versa - but obviously we don"t make mistakes like that ;) )

kinboshi:
There are occasions when you can just be unlucky (or lucky).  You have QQ, flop comes Qxx, you stick a decent bet in and get called.  The K on the turn is a great card if your opponent has AK, but once the chips go in and they turn over KK...

Not much you can do about that one.  If you"re the one with the kings - you"re laughing.  If you"re the one with the queens, you have to tap the table, smile and say "NH" (probably through gritted teeth).

I get what KP is saying though.  You can "choose" when to go to war, to make sure you"re in the best shape for when the "luck" isn"t on your side, or to make the most when it is.

MJS:
I agree that you should pick your spots very carefully but sometimes the choice you have is a no-brainer and you have to stick your chips in.  I had a situation a couple of weeks ago in a live home game (7 players).  I was second to act and picked up pocket Kings.  The player to my left made a verbal declaration to the player UTG saying "if you go all in then I will call".  The player UTG thought about it for a while and proceeds to move all in.

I don"t see how I can fold, he has me covered so I call.  The player to my left also calls, everybody else folds.  The UTG player turns over AK o/s and the player to my left had a junk hand and just wanted to gamble during a re-buy period.  As you can guess the Ace came on the flop.

Now, although this was during a re-buy period (so of course you call with Kings), I don"t see how this makes any difference.  I would do the same in an APAT or any other event.  If the other guy has Aces then good luck to him.  My point is that sometimes your "choices" are far from that.  You can"t go deep in a tournament without sticking your neck on the line in an unfavourable situation at least once, unless the deck is constantly hitting you in the face.

nosey-p:
This thread is turning into a bad beat post

Jon MW:
Getting back (vaguely at least) to the original post - do people get the impression that they get more bad luck after a big result?

Or is any slump after a big cash or win just down to the other reasons already mentioned - over confidence, for example.

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