Poker Forum > Strategy
Righ thing? Wrong Thing?
Swinebag:
The BB may have 2 small hearts. He may have felt priced into call after your raise was called by the button. This could explain the shove lead because he doesn"t want better FDs trying to out draw him. However he may take a similar line with paired board and Ah or he may have flopped top pair and is trying to protect his hand
As the others have said, you are beating most of his hands here and have to call FTW. If he has a flush, you can still dog him with your 7 outs on the flop and 10 outs on the turn.
I dont know the odds of flopping a flush with 2 suited cards, but I do know it is a long shot, so try not to be too scared when you flop a monster on a flushed board.
Honeybadg:
Hate it but throw it away ...
Why did you only raise to 3000, did you want a caller?
What does the button have?? (Probably not an issue)
I have seen lots of people lead out with baby flushes ... especially if they are perceived as loose ... as people will call with worse hands like AQ here ...
Could he have A(h)T - straight draw too? (Would obviously call this)
I think it is really hard to fold here ... but problem comes from the initial low raise ... I would raise to 6000 pre-flop and be delighted if they fold.
L
Swinebag:
--- Quote from: Honeybadg on April 01, 2009, 13:56:55 PM ---
I would raise to 6000 pre-flop and be delighted if they fold.
--- End quote ---
This is surely way too spewy. What do you do if you are reraised? Do you fold after having put over 20% of your stack in? I think 5x BB is ok in the earlier levels but not at the FT. Do you raise 5x BB when you steal with junk? If you do then these steals have to be successful over 77% of the time for them to be profitable.
I actually like the raise to 3000. In a lot of ways you want the call from the BB. He is getting good odds to play a weak hand out of position. This is what you want...flops against weaker hands when in position. If you keep your raising ammounts consistent at the 2.5 BB level you can steal and fold to resistance much easier. Your steals only have to be successful 63% to be profitable
deanp27:
how many players flop a flush and overshove the pot?
he may do this with 910o but most likely top pair, 2 pair or a big draw/combo (he could even have total air if he is a maniac)
the raise size is perfect, overraising as suggested above is terrible tournament play for a million reasons, now do the right thing and call.
even if you are currently beat you will have c30% equity in the pot for a redraw(cos he never has QQ here).
kinboshi:
Instacall.
You"re crushing a lot of his range, and only slightly behind a small part of it. This is what you wanted...
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