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Keeping Warm in Winter
AAroddersAA:
A lot APAT business to take care of at the moment for me.
I have booked up Newcastle flight and hotel. I have booked time off work and flight for Vegas.
Now to the business of selecting the Welsh team. Unlike the Team Championship in January this team event is extermely serious but to be one of the Captain of the Welsh team is a major honour, especially considering how successful the Welsh have been. Myself and Darren have the ideal two teams in our mind but it depends on if those players are available and who else puts themselves forward but we want to get the teams selected soon to give everybody the chance to book up their flights and hotels.
I played another hour of poker tonight and was able to make just over a buyin, but it was all pretty standard stuff tbh.
btw @Brendan or whoever else wants to answer, back to the QQ and 3-Bet of flat. What if it is not QQ but AK? Does that make you more inclinded to 3-Bet/fold? I have been trying doing the flatting thing in position with QQ and JJ and it seems good, still not 100% convinced it is optimal though. I think you can be +EV using both methods but suspect the 3-Bet is more +EV.
TheSnapper:
--- Quote from: AAroddersAA on March 24, 2011, 21:28:37 PM ---
btw @Brendan or whoever else wants to answer, back to the QQ and 3-Bet of flat. What if it is not QQ but AK? Does that make you more inclinded to 3-Bet/fold? I have been trying doing the flatting thing in position with QQ and JJ and it seems good, still not 100% convinced it is optimal though. I think you can be +EV using both methods but suspect the 3-Bet is more +EV.
--- End quote ---
The previous discussion and any points made were solely relevent to the very specific scenario......
Early position (ep) unknown raiser, it is wise to give him credit for a tight range until you see evidence to the contrary, likewise expect an even tighter range for continuing versus a 3bet.
That all adds up to flatting over 3 betting and keeping the hands we dominate in the hand.
The other end of the spectrum is the raiser with a wide ep raising range and 3 bet calling range, this is a 3bet spot for sure since he continues with lots of hands we dominate.
Cliff notes:
* 3 bet the hands that do well against his 3 bet calling range
* As their 3 bet calling ranges get tighter, add in 3 bet bluffs
AAroddersAA:
--- Quote from: TheSnapper on March 24, 2011, 23:03:27 PM ---
--- Quote from: AAroddersAA on March 24, 2011, 21:28:37 PM ---
btw @Brendan or whoever else wants to answer, back to the QQ and 3-Bet of flat. What if it is not QQ but AK? Does that make you more inclinded to 3-Bet/fold? I have been trying doing the flatting thing in position with QQ and JJ and it seems good, still not 100% convinced it is optimal though. I think you can be +EV using both methods but suspect the 3-Bet is more +EV.
--- End quote ---
The previous discussion and any points made were solely relevent to the very specific scenario......
Early position (ep) unknown raiser, it is wise to give him credit for a tight range until you see evidence to the contrary, likewise expect an even tighter range for continuing versus a 3bet.
That all adds up to flatting over 3 betting and keeping the hands we dominate in the hand.
The other end of the spectrum is the raiser with a wide ep raising range and 3 bet calling range, this is a 3bet spot for sure since he continues with lots of hands we dominate.
Cliff notes:
* 3 bet the hands that do well against his 3 bet calling range
* As their 3 bet calling ranges get tighter, add in 3 bet bluffs
--- End quote ---
Sounds about right the more I think about tbh
AAroddersAA:
This last four days I have been sticking to a pretty good disciplined schedule as far as poker goes. I have been getting back from work at around 4:30 - 5pm and have played each evening for about an hour. My results playing the £10nl tables are as follows:-
Tue = +£4
Wed = -£2
Thu = +£13
Fri = +£17
Obviously the figures are rounded up and down to the nearest whole number but I have made 3 buyins over the week for this level and I think I have played well. In the past this used to be pretty standard for me and I will see how I do now this weekend Even in terms of real money won based on my results so far this week that is a good week. Playing the lower limit takes the actual money out of it more (which becomes a concern even when playing inside your bankroll when you are on an bad run) and makes you more focused on playing correctly and making the right plays. It is not very exciting though and wins and losses mean less. Which is actually a good thing.
What I think I should do here, what I would advise somebody else to do is stay playing at this level for a couple of weeks, maybe a month. Setup a schedule that you stick too and record your results. If you are getting good results then try that same schedule again at the next level up and slowly work your way back to where you are playing confidently but don"t go outside your bankroll. Hmm that sounds like a good idea, I"m good at this pokerz business.
The problem is I have no inclination to do that. I still have more than £600 sat on Sky Poker (so I am actually up on the year which is pretty amazing considering I have been playing useless, I am down at holdem cash but am up at tournaments and Omaha cash) so my brain is saying just go back and play the £30 buyin games again, they are within your bankroll in theory and you know you can beat those players. I am well aware this is not a good idea at this point though.
Well I am going to give my advice a go anyway and see how I do. If my discipline holds out I hope that my game will start to come back together. The plan is from now until the end of next week and I am going to play £10nlhe tables only. I will multi table 4 or 5 tables at a time. I will then record the results and see how I do.
26/03/2011 = 8pm to 9pm (+£19.21)
27/03/2011 = 6:30pm to 7:30pm (+£4.54)
28/03/2011 = 6:30pm to 7:30pm (+£6.39 - changed session time to 9pm to 10pm due to being stuck at work)
29/03/2011 = 5:30pm to 6:30pm (-£12.56)
30/03/2011 = 5:30pm to 6:30pm (+£23.78)
31/03/2011 = 7pm to 8pm (-£5.21)
01/04/2011 = 10am to 12pm (+£5.29)
01/04/2011 = 1pm to 2pm (Did not play)
01/04/2011 = 4pm to 5pm (-£7.21)
02/04/2011 = 10am to 11:30am (Did not play)
03/04/2011 = 4pm to 5pm (Did not Play)
This is 12.5 hours
They say the average winning player should make 5BB/100 - I should point out I have never met they so I have no idea if they has the qualifications to decided this. A suspect you should have a high expectation at this level.
Anyway lets say that I get dealt 250 hands per hour (50 per table) that's 3125 hands
If I can run at 5BB/100 that's 50p I should make per 100 hands
So the expectation based on this should be to win around £15.60 for an average player at this level. Well OK we will see how I go compared to that. I have to be honest and say that sounds ridiculously easy are my calculations even right? I know I may have under estimated the hand per hour but even if it was 70/table then the expectation is still only around £22. Basically what this seems to be saying is that I should be very happy with anything over £25 profit.
Edit for update ended up with a profit of £34.23, but did put in an extra session during which I lost £33.55 so it ended up being basically a break even run.
AAroddersAA:
What an interesting little session today. Again I am pleased with how it went and how I played. As always it came down to how a few specfic hands were played. First one is a QQ hand.
I raised in EP to 40p and get reraised by a player who has not really been out of line, it folds back to me and I flat. Flop is Jack high. I check, he bets 2 and I vall. I check again and he shoves. I don"t see what he could be reraising me with here pre then playing that strong on the flop and turn, so I fold and think that is a good play.
Next hand of interest was when I raise with KQ. I get called and the flop comes queen high. I bet out and again get called and turn turn pairs nines on the board. I check call his shove (he did not have much left) and he show 89. I lose about £4 there.
i then raise again with KQ and get called by another short stack who has about £5 behind. The flop comes queen high. He checks to me and I bet, he shoves and I call. He shows A-Q.
I lose some other small pots and end up down about £12. Then I get KQs. I am OOP in the small blind but when the pretty active button raises I decide to 3bet light.I don"t do this often but it felt like a good spot. He just flats and the pot come A-7-x with two clubs including the ace. I bet as I reckon I can rep the ace and have the nut flush draw. He calls and the turn completes my flush. I think he might have an ace so I make a pot size bet and he reraise me back. I wonder if he might even have two pair or a set so shove he calls with a set of sevens. The river does not help him and I take a pot of about £25 there.
I win a few more pots with cbets and by double barrelling a player who always seems to callc-bets on the flop and give up on the turn.
So yes, good session and I seem to be on my way to recovering my game.
I need to practice by sit n go"s. I have played plenty of PLO cash games but never really played PLO sit n go"s so will get a bit of practce online. MIght do the Blonde sit n go league if there is one next month.
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