Poker Forum > Strategy
Hand from the team event.
Mikeyboy9361:
--- Quote from: noble1 on October 28, 2011, 00:36:37 AM ---
--- Quote from: TheSnapper on October 27, 2011, 15:25:24 PM ---
--- Quote from: noble1 on October 26, 2011, 16:36:15 PM ---
model for when villain folds approx 75% with 3 PLAYERS YET TO ACT BEHIND who call 3.5% of the time!!!!
--- End quote ---
Have"nt ever seen ev calcs done this way Noble, though it does make sense that the likelihood of getting a cold caller would be a factor.
Where can we find that tool?
Effective stacks are 17000 btw.
Are the calling ranges for button, SB & BB as wide as 3.5%, player dependent obviously but facing a nit raise and a nit 3bet.......
JJ+,AQs+,AKo
or
TT+,AKs,AKo
seems a wide estimation ???
--- End quote ---
21000 my fault i was in a rush :) but i left it because it only changes the numbers by 200 or so, no read was given as per Ian, nor that u guys consider him nitty lol [sry Ian] :)
That model above was 30% open calling the top 7.5% to a stealing stack shoving [mikey] with 3 to act behind and ian calling both stacks, again mike gave no image for himself [sry mike didn"t know u was a nit :)]
i"ve left the link for eric"s sheets before but here they are - http://www.pokerxfactor.com/sheets/ - u might have to join as a free member [PXF] to be able to use them...
--- End quote ---
Neither did I! ;)
TheSnapper:
--- Quote from: noble1 on October 28, 2011, 03:48:20 AM ---
--- Quote ---Any chance you can run......
17k effective 10% open and 3% calling range for OR and the 3 to act.
Curious and PXF won"t let me in for some reason.
--- End quote ---
--- End quote ---
Thanks Mark.
Its interesting to note that since all small pairs have roughly the same equity versus OR"s calling range, suprisingly a reshove with 22 (31.64%) has very nearly the same value as a reshove with TT (33.65%). :o :o
Marty719:
What range can we profitably reshove here vs a 3% calling range?
TheSnapper:
--- Quote from: Marty719 on October 28, 2011, 14:40:05 PM ---
What range can we profitably reshove here vs a 3% calling range?
--- End quote ---
ATC has 25% equity and +930 cEV
noble1:
--- Quote from: TheSnapper on October 28, 2011, 14:59:12 PM ---
--- Quote from: Marty719 on October 28, 2011, 14:40:05 PM ---
What range can we profitably reshove here vs a 3% calling range?
--- End quote ---
ATC has 25% equity and +930 cEV
--- End quote ---
your getting there Bren, ATC with no one to act behind your very nearly spot on, 3 to act behind with a real nit range of QQ+ AKs would be in the ball park of around a slight minus to a very small positive... all dependent if Ian was to fold any part of his 3% call range even just once after seeing the action, if he calls mikes shove everytime plus 1 caller behind, then mike is a very small winner ev wise... if Ian folds any part of his 3% call range then if mike shoved 100% he would have a cEV of approx half a BB+...
Marty at the bottom of eric"s sheets the Winning Chances Needed to Reshove (given villain"s calling %) box gives the absolute minimum win % u"d need to break even.. [assuming that our assumptions for the players ranges are correct of course :)]
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