Poker Forum > Strategy
Turning KK into a bluff on the river?
Fatcatstu:
--- Quote from: AAroddersAA on October 26, 2013, 11:23:41 AM ---
--- Quote from: Charlie44 on October 25, 2013, 12:48:02 PM ---
--- Quote from: AAroddersAA on October 25, 2013, 11:23:44 AM ---
There is $32.25 to win and we are risking $27.30 to win it so he has to fold 46% of the time for us to make money.
--- End quote ---
Nice post Steve. I think I got my analysis completely wrong. In hindsight I agree he probs calls 3 bet much wider range, and raises sets here.
Just a small point I think he risks 38.30 here to win 32.25 so villain has to fold 54% of time. Of course this does not contradict situation from villain"s point of view which is he has to call 27.30 to win 70.55 so only needs to be right just 27.8% of time to be profitable.
--- End quote ---
Sorry yes you are right I had taken the $11 off the total that opponent had already put in the pot (I really should stop posting on hands at midnight lol). This actually makes quite a big difference though, realistically although all of the points made here are great ones I don"t think you get anywhere near enough folds to make this profitable. The logic is good, but without a really good read it is not going to happen often enough.
--- End quote ---
All of this. Is he folding any flush here? Any straight?
This seems like absolute kamakazi poker to me (I know, I know) just don"t see what we are getting to fold here, and feel like we got lucky to run into the weaker end of his range this time unless anyone cares to tell me any huge reasons otherwise?
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