Non Poker Forum > Sports Betting & Discussion
Cheltenham festival
jacklevel06:
ThinkerJE:
Homework started for day 1 tomorrow, think it will be a quiet day from a punting point of view with only the 1 handicap (X country does not count) to get stuck into. Selections (for what they are worth) to follow, cannot wait till tapes up at 1.30pm, the best racing week of the year!!!
Swinebag:
well I"ve gone for.....
1.30 - no selection. this will be my best result in this race for 8 years
2.05 - riverside theatre
2.40 - the package
3.20 - kyber kim
4.00 - garde champetre
4.40 - no selection
janc:
so pi$$ed off that I"m at work and cant get the time off
gl guys
ThinkerJE:
Wow day 1 is tough and as such I will be keeping stakes low and looking for some bigger prices to be placed.
Supreme Novice Hurdle
Dunguib is obviously very talented but can"t be backed at that price (and he"s on the drift), with his jumping to be tested and a massive field. So I have gone for BLACKSTAIRMOUNTAIN for Mullins & Walsh with big runs expected from his other runner FLAT OUT and from Henderson"s OSCAR WHISKY. Will probably bet with Paddy Power just in case Dunguib is the real deal as the bet will be refunded.
Arkle Trophy
This event is wide open. Cases can be made for 6 or 7 of the runners but I have bokked the Mullins/Walsh partnership again with SPORT LINE. It has a nice profile and could be very classy. I also think Nicholls might get a big run out of WOOLCOMBE FOLLY (in the news after the accident with Sam Thomas), but this will be a small stakes affair.
William Hill Trophy
Finally a top handicap to get stuck into and there are some very good trends in this race. The profile is a 7 or 8 year old, carrying less than 11st that finished in the top 3 last time out. The other factor is to avoid the favourite (only 1 winner in the last 10 years), but the sp must be 7/1 or less. So I cannot be sure of my final choice until post time but BENSALEM fits the profile well (hopefully he does not start favourite then I can lump on), others to consider are THEATRICAL MOMENT & OGEE, I think the winner will be one of those three. For place purpose the higher weights come back into it and I like RAZOR ROYALE & EXMOOR RANGER. This will surely be the big betting race of a quiet punting day.
Champion Hurdle
Like the Arkle this is also wide open with 7 or 8 potential winners and little to choose between them. Therefore stakes will be low again and i will plump for PUNJABI to defend his crown. For place purposes at big prices i like WON IN THE DARK & JUMBO RIO. This could go down to the wire with 5 or 6 still in contention at the last hurdle.
Cross Country Chase
This should be renamed the Edna Bolger Race and I think GARDE CHAMPETRE will win for the 3rd year running, loves the track, plenty of class, will leave it late but the amazing Nina Carberry will get him home. Place spots can got to ANOTHER JEWEL (not trained by Bolger but did win the Punchestown trial at the end of January) & FRENEY"S WELL (although I would not put you off DROMBEAG or HEADS ONTHE GROUND either). Can decide whether to bet big in this, may depend on how things have gone so far in the day (one of the races I am more confident about).
Mares Hurdle
I am a trends man and so will struggle as there has only been 2 previous runnings of this race. Both have been won by 5 year olds; so I am sticking with them and keeping stakes very low. So lets hope STRAVINSKY DANCE, NO ONE TELLS ME or PEPITE DE SOLEIL can do the business.
A quiet start to the festival with the majority of the bankroll saved for the bigger handicaps still to come. A few winners would be nice to get things going though...
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