Non Poker Forum > Sports Betting & Discussion
Cheltenham Festival 2011/2012
noble1:
PEDDLERS CROSS
not so good news for Peddlers Cross supporters - http://blog.bangorondeeraces.co.uk/bit-hold-peddlers-cross
jacklevel06:
Noble do you get the Weatherbys cheltenham festival guide.For a stats man like yourself its invaluable.Come"s out on 24/2/2011.
noble1:
--- Quote from: jacklevel06 on February 02, 2011, 17:22:57 PM ---
Noble do you get the Weatherbys cheltenham festival guide.For a stats man like yourself its invaluable.Come"s out on 24/2/2011.
--- End quote ---
i prefer to do my own jackl.. , i approach the cheltenham festival races by looking for stat/form trends,patterns in form,recent form,trainer form and gut instinct based on what i see.. i also keep an eye out for trainer predictability as i call it, the leading trainers do have certain methods in how they prep there horses.. meh the stats play a part especially for the festival cos some of these races have been running for years, we"d be fools to ignore the trends totally but sometimes a little left of center out of the box thinking is required :)
i thought i"d give a few pointers to help those that were interested in having a few bets during Cheltenham, now Leigh comes up with this :) -
--- Quote from: Chipaccrual on February 02, 2011, 10:33:36 AM ---
Keep it coming Noble.
I"m thinking we"ll run a Cheltenham tipping comp on here. Open to suggestions on format.
Got some good prizes.
APAT merchandise
Drinks from Des
A share in the APAT Horse (No, hang on, we sold that to G Casino Bolton on the weekend ;) )
--- End quote ---
so jackl.. and any other apat-GG men out there feel free to suggest how you"d want to score this comp, maybe run the tips versus nosey-p"s lucky? pin selections ? :P
noble1:
Neptune Investment Management Novices Hurdle
winners form below -
2010 - http://www.racingpost.com/horses/horse_home.sd?horse_id=729930
2009 - http://www.racingpost.com/horses/horse_home.sd?horse_id=700801
2008 - http://www.racingpost.com/horses/horse_home.sd?horse_id=672982
2007 - http://www.racingpost.com/horses/horse_home.sd?horse_id=634583
2006 - http://www.racingpost.com/horses/horse_home.sd?horse_id=620206
2005 - http://www.racingpost.com/horses/horse_home.sd?horse_id=556464
2004 - http://www.racingpost.com/horses/horse_home.sd?horse_id=582060
2003 - http://www.racingpost.com/horses/horse_home.sd?horse_id=557094
2002 - http://www.racingpost.com/horses/horse_home.sd?horse_id=537964
2000 - http://www.racingpost.com/horses/horse_home.sd?horse_id=504913
race results from previous years -
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=497797&r_date=2010-03-17&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=473556&r_date=2009-03-11&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=448233&r_date=2008-03-14&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=423219&r_date=2007-03-14&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=398616&r_date=2006-03-15&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=368038&r_date=2005-03-16&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=344428&r_date=2004-03-17&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=326816&r_date=2003-03-12&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=310977&r_date=2002-03-13&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=276311&r_date=2000-03-15&popup=yes
favour Irish and French breds for the shortlist, put a line through the rest...
5 and 6 year olds have a really good record so put a line through the rest...
put a line through Nicky Henderson runners, his record for this is a poor 0/21...
favour horses in your shortlist that open up in the top 6 of the betting...
if a horse in your shortlist ran in the previous year in the Festival Bumper, then if they finished in the top 6 then that can be a pointer... out of 11 which have done so, 3 have won and 3 have placed...
put a line through any horse which did not finish 1st or 2nd lto...
the above should leave a nice shortlist.. :)
also keep an eye out for placed finishers, this race tends to attract top class future stars who go onto win arkles, champion hurdles,gold cups,world hurdles etc etc and even the odd Gold Cup at Ascot has been known [Rite of Passage 20/1]
noble1:
RSA Chase - some pointers
irish bred have a good record so put a line through the rest [keep in Paul Nicholls french breds]
7 and 8 year olds have dominated this 14/16, if you really want to chance it then concentrate on the 7yo"s only...
form matters in this so a 1st or 2nd in the previous race is a must, put a line through the rest...
you need a horse that has had at least 3 races over fences, put a line through any horse with less experience than this..
put a line through any horse with a jockey that has not won at Cheltenham in the current or prior season [obv you don"t get many but you do get some eg - Jan Faltejsek, R M Power and Mattie Batchelor are recent examples]
not many pointers but it will discount quite a few... take a closer look at horses on your shortlist that have had prep runs in the Novice Chase at Newbury [in Feb], the Reynoldstown Novices Chase at Ascot [in Feb], the Dr.P.J Moriarty Novice Chase at Leopardstown and the Feltham novices chase at Kempton...
hopefully the above will increse your chances of finding a winner, good luck....
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=497502&r_date=2010-03-17&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=473173&r_date=2009-03-11&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=447771&r_date=2008-03-13&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=422748&r_date=2007-03-14&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=398284&r_date=2006-03-15&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=366076&r_date=2005-03-16&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=344210&r_date=2004-03-17&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=326500&r_date=2003-03-12&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=310634&r_date=2002-03-13&popup=yes
http://www.racingpost.com/horses/result_home.sd?race_id=276071&r_date=2000-03-15&popup=yes
[youtube=425,350]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8A8VfACxUFU[/youtube]
hmmm ;D
Navigation
[0] Message Index
[#] Next page
[*] Previous page
Go to full version